Realized P&L (24h)
Unrealized P&L
+$559
Hit rate
Resolved (24h)
0
Trades (24h)
19
20 lifetime
Volume (24h)
$810
$897 lifetime
Avg / trade
$45
Open exposure
$1.13K
9 positions
First seen
2026-05-04
last 05-06 12:02
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
51%
Other
49%
Crypto
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
3 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026? Yes +1,000 $280 42¢ $415 +$135 05-05 17:34
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? Yes +2,000 $88 15¢ $303 +$215 05-04 22:19
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026? Yes +500 $70 36¢ $177 +$107 05-05 17:34
Will 100-124 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3? Yes -4,990 $-300 $-175 +$125 05-05 19:11
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31? Yes +100 $59 40¢ $40 $-19 05-06 11:52
Will Trump say "Hell" 3+ times during Small Business Summit? No +20 $18 100¢ $20 +$2 05-05 18:47
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30? Yes +210 $7 $3 $-4 05-06 12:02
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30? Yes +84 $3 $1 $-2 05-05 22:05
Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on May 6? Yes +24 $0 $0 +$0 05-06 10:46