Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
open
Total volume
$2,423
$12,698 in 24h
Trades
31
Unique wallets
25
Liquidity
$14,463
Latest YES mid
30¢
Latest NO mid
70¢
End date
2026-05-31
First seen
2026-05-04
last 05-05 21:59
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🦐 Shrimp | 25 | $229 | $1.8K | $1.6K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | — | $1 | $1 |
| Below median | 1 | — | — | +— |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| unranked | 21 | $229 | $1.8K | $1.6K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flustered-Impala 0x41e8…b994 | No | +2,045 | $1,484 | $1,484 | 4 | 05-05 18:28 |
| Worldly-Crime 0x05c8…2223 | Yes | +267 | $130 | $130 | 2 | 05-05 18:37 |
| Velvety-Rutabaga 0x9ddf…2c83 | No | +244 | $134 | $134 | 1 | 05-05 16:27 |
| Delicious-Hackwork 0xd67b…5780 | No | +236 | $180 | $180 | 1 | 05-04 20:24 |
| Vital-Antler 0xf58c…d588 | Yes | +104 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 05-05 04:14 |
| Disastrous-Bend 0xe000…cbb1 | Yes | +82 | $25 | $25 | 2 | 05-05 21:59 |
| Voluminous-Crop 0x8dd4…e792 | No | +67 | $37 | $37 | 1 | 05-05 16:34 |
| NoSteinNoGate 0xff7c…b233 | Yes | +60 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 05-05 07:46 |
| Grimy-Turnstile 0xf5bb…bdb8 | Yes | +29 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-05 19:03 |
| Honest-Checking 0xc3e0…c1d3 | Yes | +27 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-05 18:38 |
| Probable-Interpreter 0x2168…1da7 | Yes | +20 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-04 20:54 |
| Scientific-Impala 0x07d1…8ffa | Yes | +15 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-05 17:34 |
| Second-Hand-Lobster 0x54bb…5787 | Yes | +7 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-05 16:39 |
| Offensive-Pianist 0x74d8…641e | Yes | +6 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-05 18:42 |
| Sticky-Dispute 0x60ec…52d5 | No | +4 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-05 08:56 |
| Stiff-Armpit 0x5345…dd4a | No | +4 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-05 16:34 |
| (anonymous) 0xa951…e6b3 | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-05 13:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x9c4e…92c5 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-05 18:33 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-05 21:59:38 | Disastrous-Bend 0xe000…cbb1 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 31¢ | $12 | 0x5649cb… |
| 05-05 21:59:32 | Disastrous-Bend 0xe000…cbb1 | Yes | BUY | 42 | 31¢ | $13 | 0xcb2e92… |
| 05-05 21:39:50 | Cheery-Fiesta 0x70e9…975b | No | SELL | 15 | 67¢ | $10 | 0x4ae500… |
| 05-05 19:03:00 | Grimy-Turnstile 0xf5bb…bdb8 | Yes | BUY | 29 | 34¢ | $10 | 0x6e764f… |
| 05-05 18:42:44 | Offensive-Pianist 0x74d8…641e | Yes | BUY | 6 | 34¢ | $2 | 0x51b77e… |
| 05-05 18:38:16 | Honest-Checking 0xc3e0…c1d3 | Yes | BUY | 27 | 37¢ | $10 | 0x7db453… |
| 05-05 18:37:32 | Worldly-Crime 0x05c8…2223 | Yes | BUY | 104 | 29¢ | $30 | 0x3460b4… |
| 05-05 18:33:10 | (anonymous) 0x9c4e…92c5 | No | BUY | 1 | 77¢ | $1 | 0xfca577… |
| 05-05 18:28:04 | Flustered-Impala 0x41e8…b994 | No | BUY | 1,515 | 76¢ | $1,146 | 0x4db643… |
| 05-05 18:24:26 | Flustered-Impala 0x41e8…b994 | No | BUY | 201 | 67¢ | $135 | 0x798ceb… |
| 05-05 18:23:00 | Flustered-Impala 0x41e8…b994 | No | BUY | 200 | 62¢ | $124 | 0xe66df0… |
| 05-05 18:21:06 | Flustered-Impala 0x41e8…b994 | No | BUY | 129 | 61¢ | $79 | 0xbb0af6… |
| 05-05 17:34:30 | Scientific-Impala 0x07d1…8ffa | Yes | BUY | 15 | 35¢ | $5 | 0x9df632… |
| 05-05 16:39:26 | Second-Hand-Lobster 0x54bb…5787 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 46¢ | $3 | 0xdf7ca5… |
| 05-05 16:34:58 | Voluminous-Crop 0x8dd4…e792 | No | BUY | 67 | 55¢ | $37 | 0x5b7b53… |
| 05-05 16:34:20 | Stiff-Armpit 0x5345…dd4a | No | BUY | 4 | 55¢ | $2 | 0x7189e6… |
| 05-05 16:27:40 | Velvety-Rutabaga 0x9ddf…2c83 | No | BUY | 244 | 55¢ | $134 | 0xd355ee… |
| 05-05 16:02:22 | Slight-Regard 0x1eb8…b468 | Yes | SELL | 84 | 47¢ | $39 | 0x2488bc… |
| 05-05 15:42:14 | Worldly-Crime 0x05c8…2223 | Yes | BUY | 163 | 61¢ | $100 | 0x21e917… |
| 05-05 14:05:22 | Slow-Bake 0x16f0…aba5 | Yes | SELL | 461 | 35¢ | $162 | 0x058d42… |
| 05-05 13:55:24 | (anonymous) 0xa951…e6b3 | No | BUY | 2 | 65¢ | $1 | 0x8ab3cf… |
| 05-05 13:11:54 | Mundane-Comradeship 0x300c…6a92 | Yes | SELL | 400 | 30¢ | $121 | 0xdd9ea5… |
| 05-05 08:56:02 | Sticky-Dispute 0x60ec…52d5 | No | BUY | 4 | 78¢ | $3 | 0x833489… |
| 05-05 07:46:18 | NoSteinNoGate 0xff7c…b233 | Yes | BUY | 60 | 22¢ | $13 | 0xd7f789… |
| 05-05 04:14:34 | Vital-Antler 0xf58c…d588 | Yes | BUY | 104 | 24¢ | $25 | 0x7cdf8e… |
| 05-05 03:40:02 | Submissive-Constellation 0xba2e…471c | Yes | SELL | 5 | 21¢ | $1 | 0xcc4db9… |
| 05-05 02:10:26 | Poised-Common 0xfa2b…f194 | No | SELL | 1 | 77¢ | $0 | 0x9b3a58… |
| 05-04 23:39:42 | Practical-Catch 0x842b…b366 | Yes | SELL | 16 | 27¢ | $4 | 0x5947d3… |
| 05-04 23:20:00 | Practical-Catch 0x842b…b366 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 27¢ | $14 | 0x4ab469… |
| 05-04 20:54:48 | Probable-Interpreter 0x2168…1da7 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 25¢ | $5 | 0x235970… |
| 05-04 20:24:36 | Delicious-Hackwork 0xd67b…5780 | No | BUY | 236 | 76¢ | $180 | 0x127119… |