Fearful-Woodwind — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.33K

Unrealized P&L

-$15

Hit rate

74.2%

Resolved

Trades

251

lifetime

Volume

$57.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$227

Open exposure

$471

2 positions

First seen

2026-04-23

last 06-08 16:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Other

57% 92% +$22

Tech

21% — —

Sports

14% 67% $-1,746

Crypto

4% 100% +$183

Politics

3% 100% +$212

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

31 active days in 12wk • peak 51 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027?	No		-509	$-391	80¢	$-406	$-15	06-07 16:37
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 300M by June 5?	No		-66	$-65	98¢	$-65	+$0	06-07 16:37

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt6t	5	$10.8K	12,470	0	+12,470	open	—	06-08 09:19
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$4.1K	2,089	2,089	+0	open	—	04-25 01:26
Will Opendoor (OPEN) close above $5.00 end of April?	4	$2.7K	2,985	0	+2,985	open	—	04-30 02:40
Will Seoul have less than 40mm of precipitation in April?	15	$2.4K	2,628	0	+2,628	open	—	04-28 00:42
Wild vs. Avalanche	2	$1.8K	2,200	0	+2,200	Avalanche	$-1,844	05-14 02:27
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 56-57°F on April 27?	2	$1.8K	1,820	0	+1,820	open	—	04-27 15:58
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on April 26?	4	$1.5K	1,528	0	+1,528	open	—	04-26 21:21
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C or higher on April 26?	12	$1.4K	1,572	0	+1,572	open	—	04-26 02:10
spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt8t	2	$1.3K	1,413	0	+1,413	open	—	06-08 16:36
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	3	$1.3K	805	805	+0	open	—	05-13 20:20
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 58-59°F on April 27?	4	$1.2K	1,256	0	+1,256	open	—	04-27 17:19
will anthropics valuation hit low 875b by june 30	1	$1.1K	0	1,215	-1,215	open	—	06-07 16:34
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	4	$1.0K	1,114	0	+1,114	open	—	05-28 21:14
Thunder vs. Suns	1	$998	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	04-25 21:57
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)	6	$939	1,050	0	+1,050	open	—	05-03 01:00
Wild vs. Avalanche	1	$930	1,000	0	+1,000	Avalanche	+$70	05-06 02:01
Will Los Angeles Lakers advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?	1	$917	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	04-30 01:15
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 10?	2	$792	450	450	+0	Yes	+$103	05-10 14:42
Opendoor (OPEN) Up or Down on May 1?	8	$760	917	0	+917	open	—	05-01 19:17
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $4.25 Week of May 4 2026?	7	$677	777	0	+777	open	—	05-05 16:08
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $4.00 Week of May 4 2026?	6	$630	685	0	+685	open	—	05-08 03:00
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	2	$615	1,651	1,651	+0	open	—	05-13 20:21
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	2	$570	350	350	+0	open	—	05-10 14:43
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of May 4 2026?	2	$565	650	0	+650	No	+$85	05-06 15:28
Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?	2	$556	290	290	+0	open	—	05-13 20:21
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	2	$551	745	0	+745	No	+$194	05-05 02:37
Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on May 1?	1	$546	600	0	+600	open	—	05-01 14:59
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	3	$489	423	423	+0	open	—	05-06 13:55
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on April 26?	1	$482	507	0	+507	open	—	04-26 03:33
Will Matt McCarty finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Cadillac Championship?	4	$458	526	0	+526	open	—	05-03 19:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 16:36:01	spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt8t	No	BUY	213	91¢	$194	0x1c940e…
06-08 09:19:54	spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt6t	No	BUY	169	87¢	$147	0xa72073…
06-08 06:11:46	spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt6t	No	BUY	1,000	89¢	$890	0xc5b9e3…
06-08 06:11:15	spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt6t	No	BUY	2,210	88¢	$1,945	0x3629bb…
06-08 06:09:51	spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt8t	No	BUY	1,200	90¢	$1,080	0x626a5b…
06-08 05:34:45	spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt6t	No	BUY	1,331	87¢	$1,158	0x75c63f…
06-08 05:34:18	spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt6t	No	BUY	7,760	86¢	$6,674	0xfdfadb…
06-07 16:37:03	Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027?	No	SELL	509	77¢	$391	0xf417b4…
06-07 16:37:03	Will US crude oil reserves fall to 300M by June 5?	No	SELL	66	99¢	$65	0x660382…
06-07 16:34:54	will anthropics valuation hit low 875b by june 30	No	SELL	1,215	92¢	$1,119	0x56aa45…
06-01 13:54:26	Will Vin Kruttiventi advance from the CA-13 primary election?	No	BUY	102	97¢	$99	0xf5f030…
05-29 16:15:05	Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by June 30?	Yes	SELL	178	86¢	$153	0x9eb634…
05-28 21:14:00	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	166	92¢	$153	0x3c9c33…
05-28 01:52:30	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	888	94¢	$834	0x1c4342…
05-28 01:41:02	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x44fc95…
05-28 01:39:50	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	50	92¢	$46	0x51e8f0…
05-27 23:57:51	Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by June 30?	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x5f468a…
05-27 23:57:42	Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by June 30?	Yes	BUY	158	98¢	$155	0xf6ed6c…
05-27 20:39:17	Will Vin Kruttiventi advance from the CA-13 primary election?	No	BUY	150	93¢	$139	0x7f0fb2…
05-24 01:54:12	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 May 18-24?	No	SELL	173	96¢	$166	0xc005ae…
05-21 02:29:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xe1439d…
05-21 02:22:35	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 May 18-24?	No	BUY	173	90¢	$155	0x2fd904…
05-21 02:19:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x1d07e5…
05-21 02:19:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x64885a…
05-21 02:14:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	122	82¢	$100	0xbf5c9b…
05-20 03:50:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	66	38¢	$25	0xbd6351…
05-20 03:49:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0xde7057…
05-20 02:00:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	SELL	33	99¢	$33	0xc27a27…
05-20 01:59:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	33	76¢	$25	0x726460…
05-20 01:53:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x563f34…
05-20 00:31:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x945086…
05-16 21:23:42	MVP Fight Night: Ronda Rousey vs. Gina Carano	Rousey	BUY	377	84¢	$317	0x386871…
05-14 02:27:33	Wild vs. Avalanche	Wild	BUY	200	92¢	$184	0xaa941c…
05-14 02:05:05	Wild vs. Avalanche	Wild	BUY	2,000	83¢	$1,660	0x5dabb7…
05-13 20:21:20	Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?	Yes	SELL	290	99¢	$287	0xc183e0…
05-13 20:21:06	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,651	4¢	$70	0xf485c6…
05-13 20:20:59	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	SELL	805	86¢	$692	0x2f78d5…
05-11 23:01:48	Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?	Yes	BUY	290	93¢	$270	0x0a95e1…
05-11 20:17:51	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,651	33¢	$545	0x145f21…
05-10 14:43:12	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	118	98¢	$116	0x151383…
05-10 14:43:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	350	78¢	$273	0xc9eb5e…
05-10 14:42:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 10?	Yes	SELL	450	99¢	$448	0x227bda…
05-10 03:59:47	UFC: Strickland and Chimaev to Touch Gloves?	No	BUY	167	90¢	$150	0x10f9a6…
05-10 03:44:13	UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)	Joshua Van	BUY	513	78¢	$400	0x8cb20f…
05-09 15:50:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 10?	Yes	BUY	450	77¢	$345	0x7c6252…
05-09 01:56:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 9?	Yes	BUY	321	79¢	$254	0x04334c…
05-08 03:00:35	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $4.00 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf1264e…
05-07 16:18:17	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $410 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	234	96¢	$224	0x16a433…
05-07 00:19:08	Canadiens vs. Sabres	Sabres	BUY	250	86¢	$215	0xc0edc5…
05-06 22:19:33	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $4.50 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	19	97¢	$18	0x3b2d49…
05-06 15:28:37	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	400	85¢	$340	0xd3ffde…
05-06 13:55:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	SELL	423	47¢	$199	0xdb8b27…
05-06 02:01:10	Wild vs. Avalanche	Avalanche	BUY	1,000	93¢	$930	0x9cc300…
05-05 17:12:50	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $92 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	200	85¢	$170	0x952f88…
05-05 16:11:18	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $4.00 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	50	92¢	$46	0x3e9123…
05-05 16:08:10	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $4.25 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	57	84¢	$48	0x7cb42e…
05-05 16:08:00	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $4.00 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	200	90¢	$180	0x9b957f…
05-05 16:07:56	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $3.75 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	230	97¢	$223	0xccf4a5…
05-05 15:16:34	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $4.25 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	27	81¢	$22	0x80462a…
05-05 02:55:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	383	97¢	$370	0xc9f40f…
05-05 02:37:02	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	245	76¢	$186	0xcfd768…
05-05 01:03:08	76ers vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	200	85¢	$170	0x8b6b03…
05-04 22:15:46	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	500	73¢	$365	0x0321b7…
05-04 22:12:22	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $4.25 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	15	84¢	$13	0xf03f7a…
05-04 21:58:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	350	85¢	$298	0xe14d25…
05-04 19:54:30	Will IONQ (IONQ) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	192	90¢	$173	0x67171d…
05-04 19:50:28	Will IONQ (IONQ) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	12	88¢	$11	0x43f7a8…
05-04 19:25:58	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $3.75 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	225	98¢	$221	0xf57f86…
05-04 19:25:40	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $4.00 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	189	87¢	$164	0xa285b7…
05-04 15:58:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	118	97¢	$114	0xc72d43…
05-04 15:48:28	Will Palantir (PLTR) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	300	96¢	$288	0x8048e3…
05-04 15:31:08	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,400 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	100	80¢	$80	0xe99365…
05-04 15:29:44	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,400 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	100	81¢	$81	0x35e241…
05-04 15:29:16	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,350 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	106	92¢	$98	0x691062…
05-04 15:09:22	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $4.25 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	200	82¢	$164	0xf46163…
05-04 15:08:42	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $4.25 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	200	82¢	$164	0x09a410…
05-04 03:02:46	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	254	94¢	$238	0xc4e53a…
05-04 03:01:56	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	46	94¢	$43	0x4b2f90…
05-04 02:12:50	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $240 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$9	0xc892bc…
05-04 02:06:38	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $4.00 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xe94a72…
05-04 02:05:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0xc34465…
05-04 02:04:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	250	90¢	$225	0xa63894…
05-04 01:59:26	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $4.25 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	158	97¢	$153	0x092838…
05-04 00:19:20	Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)	Raptors	BUY	222	69¢	$153	0xba714a…
05-03 23:55:16	Spread: Lightning (-1.5)	Canadiens	BUY	225	80¢	$180	0xe934ed…
05-03 21:23:06	Magic vs. Pistons	Pistons	BUY	104	98¢	$102	0x4fc59a…
05-03 21:23:00	Magic vs. Pistons	Pistons	BUY	96	98¢	$94	0x73fe02…
05-03 20:05:16	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,350 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	35	98¢	$34	0x8d9989…
05-03 20:03:08	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $690 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	200	98¢	$196	0x113be9…
05-03 20:02:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x5ff55c…
05-03 20:01:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0xa5ab72…
05-03 19:44:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	375	69¢	$258	0x54f6a9…
05-03 19:43:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	48	68¢	$33	0x489fd5…
05-03 19:43:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	BUY	400	84¢	$336	0x305cb8…
05-03 19:27:34	Will Matt McCarty finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Cadillac Championship?	Yes	BUY	26	88¢	$23	0x99fe59…
05-03 18:28:46	Will Matt McCarty finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Cadillac Championship?	Yes	BUY	194	87¢	$169	0x134f73…
05-03 18:28:04	Will Matt McCarty finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Cadillac Championship?	Yes	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xa5e841…
05-03 18:28:00	Will Matt McCarty finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Cadillac Championship?	Yes	BUY	300	87¢	$261	0x8239c5…
05-03 17:23:38	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $4.00 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	141	97¢	$137	0xa9a28d…
05-03 17:23:24	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $4.25 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	120	95¢	$114	0xe37d2f…