Plump-Public — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$154

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

69.5%

Resolved

166

Trades

513

lifetime

Volume

$7.49K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-01 17:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 81 days

Categories

Other

41% 62% -$75

Crypto

37% 71% -$144

Politics

21% 89% +$85

Sports

2% 43% -$22

Tech

0% 100% +$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-01).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	11	$357	278	278	+0	Yes	+$5	02-28 06:58
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	13	$240	168	147	+22	No	+$41	04-02 02:54
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	14	$233	212	207	+5	No	+$74	04-14 15:52
will bitcoin dip to 65k in march 2026	17	$221	253	253	+0	Yes	-$13	03-29 22:50
will bitcoin reach 74k april 6 12	11	$213	192	136	+57	No	+$74	04-12 17:48
will the price of bitcoin be between 64000 66000 on march 31	8	$198	116	115	+1	No	+$15	03-31 17:21
will bitcoin reach 74k march 9 15	8	$198	157	155	+1	Yes	+$46	03-16 03:52
pakistan x afghanistan ceasefire by march 31	11	$166	197	197	+0	No	+$14	03-08 03:44
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	9	$166	163	133	+30	No	-$1	03-31 16:06
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	12	$165	109	108	+0	No	+$23	03-28 13:20
jesus christ return before 2027 odds 5 monday night 12 1 am	9	$135	131	95	+36	No	+$1	02-15 19:28
will the price of bitcoin be between 64000 66000 on april 2	6	$135	138	134	+4	No	-$30	04-02 14:00
will solana dip to 80 in march 2026	8	$131	178	178	+0	Yes	-$47	03-29 22:46
will bitcoin dip to 60k february 23 march 1	2	$122	365	365	+0	No	-$76	02-28 14:06
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	7	$122	65	65	+0	No	+$7	03-15 03:11
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	8	$118	188	188	+0	Yes	-$10	03-27 19:53
will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on april 1	4	$114	60	60	+0	No	+$4	04-01 15:24
odds of khamenei being out as supreme leader by march 31 over 30 in february	8	$108	95	95	+0	Yes	-$50	02-28 06:28
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	4	$99	57	57	+0	No	+$16	06-02 00:26
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	5	$99	124	124	+0	Yes	-$3	02-28 06:30
will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on march 31	4	$96	63	62	+1	No	+$10	03-31 09:05
will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on march 30	3	$90	50	50	+0	No	+$10	03-30 16:28
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	5	$90	51	51	+0	No	+$8	04-26 18:41
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	5	$89	31	70	-38	No	+$9	06-29 05:57
will crude oil cl hit low 90 by march 20	4	$87	62	62	+0	No	+$9	03-21 03:26
will there be at least 1050 measles cases in the us by february 28 2026	2	$85	45	45	+0	Yes	+$5	02-27 15:25
will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on april 14	2	$83	71	69	+2	Yes	-$17	04-13 22:58
will the price of bitcoin be between 66000 68000 on april 2	3	$83	68	67	+1	Yes	-$17	04-02 01:41
will there be at least 1600 measles cases in the us by march 31 2026 795 942	3	$82	66	66	+0	No	+$3	03-12 21:50
will crude oil cl hit low 90 by end of march 217 921	5	$82	175	175	+0	Yes	-$42	03-23 18:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-01 17:10:02	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	16	94¢	$15	0xb66ffb…
07-01 17:09:16	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	16	93¢	$15	0x57694e…
06-30 02:45:31	Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	131	6¢	$8	0x0dd7a1…
06-30 02:43:31	Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	1,099	1¢	$8	0x8c5f41…
06-29 05:59:16	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	16	92¢	$15	0x8a1b41…
06-29 05:58:31	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	No	BUY	26	77¢	$20	0xd03076…
06-29 05:57:28	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	35	99¢	$35	0x45d1c6…
06-23 13:15:20	Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	647	2¢	$11	0x014d06…
06-23 13:14:32	Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	239	4¢	$11	0x3ec03c…
06-23 13:13:07	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	23	98¢	$22	0x006a06…
06-23 02:53:47	Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0xbff31a…
06-23 02:52:32	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	11	96¢	$11	0x11eedd…
06-22 21:28:11	Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	452	2¢	$9	0x2014a7…
06-22 21:25:50	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	No	BUY	11	72¢	$8	0x750151…
06-22 21:25:17	will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of june	Yes	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x15d3d3…
06-19 22:12:02	Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	78	7¢	$5	0x5aea91…
06-19 22:11:25	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	6	93¢	$5	0x208246…
06-17 04:10:22	will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of june	Yes	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xdb2971…
06-17 03:51:38	will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of june	No	SELL	35	14¢	$5	0x10d5dd…
06-17 03:23:04	will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of june	Yes	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x16be20…
06-17 03:22:30	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	12	90¢	$11	0x8fb7b6…
06-15 05:16:42	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	103	8¢	$8	0x387ca6…
06-15 05:11:34	will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of june	No	BUY	35	58¢	$20	0x86b989…
06-15 05:09:15	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	No	SELL	30	96¢	$29	0x4526ce…
06-14 22:00:51	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	18	60¢	$11	0xfc8614…
06-02 20:53:12	Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 7?	No	BUY	3	80¢	$2	0x472ca1…
06-02 08:47:55	Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 7?	No	BUY	8	92¢	$7	0xcf674f…
06-02 06:35:26	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	No	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0x6c08ae…
06-02 04:58:10	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	No	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0x513956…
06-02 00:42:14	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	60	17¢	$10	0xedd718…
06-02 00:40:50	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	200	9¢	$18	0xcf2843…
06-02 00:30:53	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0xcfbd0b…
06-02 00:26:59	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x3fef5a…
06-02 00:26:29	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x786464…
06-02 00:26:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	SELL	55	100¢	$55	0xbdee21…
05-30 01:26:03	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xdac4c5…
05-30 01:23:41	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x251eea…
05-29 14:36:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	25	74¢	$18	0x7beff0…
05-29 14:36:16	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	SELL	20	93¢	$19	0xa3ab6c…
05-29 04:23:11	Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?	Yes	BUY	3	84¢	$2	0x885c87…
05-29 04:22:42	Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?	No	SELL	14	16¢	$2	0xad01fe…
05-25 09:19:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	33	71¢	$23	0x15c9ae…
05-25 09:17:07	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	No	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x6e0bdb…
05-25 09:15:39	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	SELL	29	97¢	$28	0xc83cca…
05-24 15:04:39	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	19	64¢	$12	0x56b939…
05-24 15:04:16	Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by May 31?	No	SELL	13	94¢	$12	0x270c2c…
05-17 00:23:45	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	23	84¢	$19	0xcd0049…
05-17 00:23:21	Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by May 31?	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$19	0x1f8170…
05-16 01:09:42	Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by May 31?	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$19	0xb7755f…
05-16 01:09:16	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0xda6d79…
05-11 20:53:30	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	9	60¢	$6	0x9471bc…
05-11 20:53:09	Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	No	SELL	7	74¢	$5	0xb290ef…
05-02 14:14:34	Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?	No	BUY	14	68¢	$9	0xccf351…
05-02 14:12:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	BUY	29	57¢	$17	0x8547cc…
05-02 00:46:28	Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	No	SELL	0	78¢	$0	0xf162d6…
05-02 00:45:30	Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by May 31?	No	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x6ca93b…
05-02 00:22:04	Spirit Airlines shutdown/liquidation by May 31?	Yes	BUY	17	71¢	$12	0x7d1072…
05-01 13:45:38	U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?	Yes	BUY	10	87¢	$8	0xe4bc91…
05-01 13:45:30	U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?	No	SELL	67	13¢	$9	0x2c290c…
05-01 13:44:36	U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?	Yes	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0x41b6bf…
05-01 13:42:10	U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?	Yes	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x6ba50c…
05-01 13:33:08	U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?	No	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x12811c…
05-01 13:23:30	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0xe5bf8a…
05-01 13:20:34	Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x6fc5c3…
05-01 13:05:42	U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?	No	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x0898c6…
04-30 23:02:26	Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	No	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xfa9c06…
04-30 01:08:10	Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x0ea55d…
04-29 19:33:34	Will Trump talk to Mohammed bin Salman in April?	Yes	BUY	5	73¢	$3	0xf7e2ff…
04-29 19:30:22	Will Trump talk to Mohammed bin Salman in April?	No	SELL	14	25¢	$3	0x3ee172…
04-28 03:57:10	Will Trump talk to Mohammed bin Salman in April?	No	BUY	14	84¢	$12	0xe4e001…
04-28 03:56:30	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	98¢	$12	0xb1b0f9…
04-26 18:42:04	Will 8–9 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	24	73¢	$17	0x6ff1a0…
04-26 18:41:42	Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	SELL	18	97¢	$17	0x940a14…
04-26 14:14:08	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	12	86¢	$11	0x3064ae…
04-26 14:13:42	Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	SELL	11	97¢	$11	0x428771…
04-25 21:44:10	Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	13	83¢	$11	0xacafb0…
04-25 21:43:50	Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	SELL	11	95¢	$11	0x3aee7c…
04-24 23:47:34	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x5402ca…
04-24 23:47:00	Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	SELL	11	93¢	$10	0x454dde…
04-21 20:39:34	will bitcoin reach 77k on april 21	No	BUY	17	85¢	$15	0xcaa43e…
04-21 20:39:12	will bitcoin dip to 74k on april 21	No	SELL	16	90¢	$15	0x7d7355…
04-21 20:01:18	will bitcoin dip to 74k on april 21	No	BUY	17	79¢	$13	0x06d375…
04-21 19:55:38	U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?	No	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x044001…
04-21 19:55:14	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	SELL	23	98¢	$23	0xe7766c…
04-16 16:05:58	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	23	83¢	$19	0x633ed7…
04-16 16:05:30	Will there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	21	92¢	$20	0x60d70b…
04-15 00:39:16	will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on april 15	No	BUY	17	71¢	$12	0x5cc32d…
04-15 00:38:54	Will there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	13	92¢	$12	0x68cbe7…
04-14 16:02:43	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	No	BUY	75	14¢	$11	0x8eab46…
04-14 15:52:07	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	No	SELL	26	80¢	$21	0xd1109d…
04-14 01:04:35	Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	11	96¢	$10	0xf45840…
04-13 23:25:29	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in April?	No	BUY	103	10¢	$10	0x4b1a4f…
04-13 23:25:11	Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	11	96¢	$10	0xbec12e…
04-13 22:58:31	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in April?	No	BUY	255	13¢	$32	0x4e58d6…
04-13 22:58:01	will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on april 14	No	SELL	69	48¢	$33	0x4f8475…
04-13 19:54:25	will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on april 14	No	BUY	71	71¢	$50	0xbe7e8c…
04-13 19:53:03	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in April?	No	BUY	63	16¢	$10	0xd546a8…
04-13 09:16:11	will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on april 13	No	BUY	61	82¢	$50	0x0a1453…
04-12 17:49:01	Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0xb2fd64…
04-12 17:48:29	will bitcoin reach 74k april 6 12	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xea088d…