Light-Electronics — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$63

Unrealized P&L

+$37

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

1,466

lifetime

Volume

$94.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$64

Open exposure

$2.70K

5 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-09 19:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

53% 100% +$63

Politics

39% — —

Crypto

4% — —

Tech

3% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

52 active days in 12wk • peak 52 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?	Yes	+1,184	$1,144	99¢	$1.2K	+$25	06-09 19:01
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?	Yes	+791	$780	100¢	$789	+$9	06-09 14:52
Will SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026?	Yes	+476	$474	100¢	$475	+$2	06-05 04:59
Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?	Yes	+240	$238	100¢	$239	+$1	06-05 19:21
SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?	Yes	+25	$25	100¢	$25	+$0	06-04 05:52

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	5	$3.9K	3,914	0	+3,914	open	—	06-02 18:33
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	14	$3.0K	3,043	0	+3,043	Yes	+$58	05-03 22:00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	15	$2.7K	2,231	504	+1,727	open	—	05-30 12:25
Trump out as President by April 30?	6	$2.5K	2,486	0	+2,486	open	—	05-01 03:30
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	19	$2.1K	1,867	300	+1,567	open	—	05-21 17:24
Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	12	$2.1K	2,130	0	+2,130	open	—	05-14 03:19
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	11	$2.1K	1,150	950	+200	open	—	05-14 01:30
will cdu win the second most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	6	$2.1K	1,258	800	+458	open	—	03-13 05:57
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by May 15?	17	$1.7K	1,708	0	+1,708	open	—	05-16 03:05
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	1	$1.4K	1,431	0	+1,431	open	—	04-30 20:58
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	1	$1.3K	1,291	0	+1,291	open	—	04-09 02:54
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	3	$1.3K	1,289	0	+1,289	open	—	04-07 17:50
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	2	$1.3K	645	645	+0	open	—	04-30 20:10
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	8	$1.3K	1,288	0	+1,288	open	—	05-23 14:40
will khamenei tweet again by march 5	5	$1.3K	1,266	0	+1,266	open	—	03-06 06:04
us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	10	$1.3K	706	606	+100	open	—	04-14 22:03
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	7	$1.2K	1,216	0	+1,216	open	—	05-15 21:10
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?	30	$1.1K	1,184	0	+1,184	open	—	06-09 19:01
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	24	$1.1K	600	600	+0	open	—	05-08 04:38
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	7	$1.1K	534	534	+0	open	—	04-16 02:13
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	3	$1.0K	1,052	0	+1,052	open	—	04-30 20:36
Will the Fed cut rates before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?	6	$1.0K	524	524	-0	No	+$2	05-13 05:03
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	3	$1.0K	400	650	-250	open	—	05-12 20:56
will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 7 339 656	14	$1.0K	1,041	0	+1,041	open	—	03-11 01:08
israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	2	$1.0K	1,017	0	+1,017	open	—	06-05 19:52
Will a new MAI model be released by April 30, 2026?	20	$997	1,000	0	+1,000	Yes	+$3	05-01 19:15
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	10	$914	932	0	+932	open	—	05-15 21:48
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	4	$821	863	0	+863	open	—	05-25 13:29
will iran strike israel on march 10	26	$799	842	0	+842	open	—	03-13 06:08
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	5	$793	804	0	+804	open	—	05-19 04:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 19:01:03	Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x924a84…
06-09 18:50:57	Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x6ec3da…
06-09 18:09:39	Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x748105…
06-09 15:51:46	Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x1d42b6…
06-09 14:52:46	Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x4e8155…
06-09 14:46:51	Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x945ec7…
06-09 07:45:55	Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0x8be551…
06-09 07:45:55	Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x39c023…
06-09 07:45:54	Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0x243447…
06-09 07:45:54	Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0x189139…
06-09 06:09:15	Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x7549ac…
06-09 06:08:43	Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x37e5f3…
06-09 06:08:40	Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	98¢	$34	0x648489…
06-09 05:49:10	Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	98¢	$12	0xae3670…
06-09 05:43:18	Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	98¢	$20	0x45bed6…
06-09 05:41:07	Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x43a3b4…
06-09 05:40:39	Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	66	98¢	$64	0xbfcaac…
06-09 03:31:49	Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	98¢	$24	0x1386d6…
06-08 16:27:04	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0x84937c…
06-08 16:27:04	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0x06692b…
06-08 16:21:51	Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	98¢	$59	0xef8c51…
06-08 16:21:45	Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	98¢	$34	0xff0276…
06-08 11:54:43	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	BUY	300	98¢	$295	0x306f45…
06-08 09:00:03	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x088b55…
06-08 00:40:16	Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xa77450…
06-05 19:52:33	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xa8c91e…
06-05 19:32:21	Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0x745397…
06-05 19:21:10	Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xc48af1…
06-05 19:12:48	Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x9adb79…
06-05 19:12:37	Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x2d8bb3…
06-05 19:12:12	Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	99¢	$59	0x8b994d…
06-05 19:11:19	Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0xceb4da…
06-05 19:10:42	Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x722fb5…
06-05 19:10:30	Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x9b0bad…
06-05 19:07:46	Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	34	95¢	$32	0x2b4095…
06-05 19:07:25	Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0x313cbb…
06-05 16:00:13	Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	96¢	$14	0x4006bd…
06-05 14:42:28	Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0xeff867…
06-05 07:05:37	Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xc0f3c5…
06-05 06:40:54	Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0x577784…
06-05 06:15:55	Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	32	99¢	$32	0xee64c7…
06-05 05:43:12	Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	99¢	$23	0x89c2d0…
06-05 04:59:57	Will SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	276	99¢	$275	0x98b718…
06-05 04:58:36	Will SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	99¢	$199	0x1f6515…
06-04 23:10:30	Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xfed28f…
06-04 23:10:18	Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	95¢	$8	0x6405cb…
06-04 23:10:04	Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	95¢	$8	0xb82cf0…
06-04 23:09:24	Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x9e4af2…
06-04 23:09:15	Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xf78c04…
06-04 23:09:09	Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xd3fd97…
06-04 23:09:03	Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	99¢	$10	0x8f76d8…
06-04 23:08:57	Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x7e502a…
06-04 22:45:58	Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	98¢	$197	0xe34ead…
06-04 21:58:22	Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	94¢	$7	0xac6a9b…
06-04 20:55:45	Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	43	94¢	$41	0xc5f877…
06-04 19:32:04	Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	256	98¢	$252	0xebc20d…
06-04 19:02:06	Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	96¢	$288	0x6ff42a…
06-04 18:39:39	Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	48	96¢	$46	0x86d98f…
06-04 18:36:19	Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	43	96¢	$41	0x9fd1da…
06-04 05:52:09	SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x04cebd…
06-04 03:33:33	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$998	0x03afb2…
06-02 18:33:38	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,391	99¢	$1,380	0x8de06d…
06-02 17:37:37	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	280	99¢	$278	0xa702d2…
06-02 16:57:02	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	192	99¢	$190	0x90d0b2…
06-02 15:40:16	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	46	99¢	$45	0x804d1a…
06-02 15:03:14	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	SELL	45	100¢	$45	0xb464fa…
06-02 04:46:42	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2,005	100¢	$1,999	0x4d8f1a…
06-02 04:41:55	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	68	100¢	$68	0x57d078…
06-01 21:59:53	Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xb74fa3…
06-01 21:42:53	Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0x6528db…
06-01 21:00:55	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0x0ff1e9…
06-01 20:56:17	Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	79	100¢	$79	0x92df3d…
06-01 20:36:28	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	93¢	$7	0xc468c7…
06-01 20:36:02	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	92¢	$13	0x9b2ac7…
05-31 06:17:16	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x807142…
05-31 06:11:35	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	52	93¢	$48	0xabb404…
05-31 06:00:59	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	15	97¢	$14	0xf598fe…
05-31 04:37:13	Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	72	99¢	$71	0xcb1c4a…
05-31 04:29:42	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	24	97¢	$23	0xbb2532…
05-31 02:04:39	Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xc2a6c3…
05-30 23:34:20	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	25	94¢	$23	0x39355f…
05-30 23:14:00	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	0	94¢	$0	0x0c0611…
05-30 23:10:05	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	25	94¢	$23	0x2ab6fd…
05-30 22:55:39	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0x41fb4f…
05-30 12:25:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	500	100¢	$498	0xfafa3f…
05-27 06:02:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	481	98¢	$471	0x2742f7…
05-27 06:01:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	400	98¢	$392	0xbc488a…
05-25 13:29:42	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	506	99¢	$500	0x28a1ed…
05-24 15:52:30	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	157	95¢	$150	0xfcc0ed…
05-24 06:47:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	BUY	150	98¢	$147	0xd88e44…
05-24 06:18:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	BUY	155	99¢	$154	0x0be704…
05-24 06:17:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	BUY	145	99¢	$144	0xd97896…
05-24 05:01:32	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	100	85¢	$85	0x6e2a52…
05-24 04:59:19	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	100	86¢	$86	0x612481…
05-23 23:07:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x52cee6…
05-23 21:38:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0x6a4893…
05-23 21:04:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	BUY	166	99¢	$164	0x6f38b7…
05-23 20:09:27	New "Stranger Things" episode released by May 31?	No	BUY	470	100¢	$469	0x4457b9…
05-23 14:40:22	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0x393cf7…
05-23 13:07:35	New "Stranger Things" episode released by May 31?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xabf482…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	201	$39.1K	10,177	06-09 18:07
Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab	172	$641.3K	55,764	06-01 05:26
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	169	$1.46M	23,820	06-09 23:57
(anonymous) 0xd6ee…37a2	169	$275.1K	22,403	03-28 06:06
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	160	$43.9M	45,481	06-10 01:59
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3	154	$373.6K	1,544	06-04 19:32
Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24	151	$71.2K	6,451	06-03 21:51
(anonymous) 0x945a…a48c	146	$29.3K	12,183	06-09 07:47