Light-Electronics — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$195

Unrealized P&L

-$457

Hit rate

95.0%

Resolved

479

Trades

2,335

lifetime

Volume

$186.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$80

Open exposure

$208

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-19 14:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 140 days

Categories

Other

64% 91% -$1,045

Politics

30% 96% +$705

Tech

4% 93% +$86

Crypto

2% 100% +$21

Sports

1% 100% +$36

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes		+1,300	$611	12¢	$149	-$462	08-19 14:14
Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026?	Yes		+60	$53	97¢	$58	+$5	06-24 03:02

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	5	$6.9K	3,471	3,471	-0	Yes	+$4	06-16 06:13
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	7	$4.1K	4,203	0	+4,203	Yes	+$106	06-16 06:18
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	5	$3.9K	3,914	0	+3,914	No	+$21	06-02 18:33
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?	17	$3.1K	3,138	0	+3,138	Yes	+$19	06-20 18:33
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	42	$3.1K	1,660	1,660	+0	No	+$43	06-26 21:25
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	17	$3.0K	2,231	900	+1,331	No	+$45	05-30 12:25
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	14	$3.0K	3,043	0	+3,043	Yes	+$58	05-03 22:00
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	47	$2.9K	3,003	0	+3,003	No	+$123	07-03 21:43
spacex ipo closing market cap above 3pt2t	8	$2.6K	2,650	0	+2,650	No	+$10	06-12 18:16
Trump out as President by April 30?	6	$2.5K	2,486	0	+2,486	No	+$2	05-01 03:30
will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026	24	$2.3K	2,423	0	+2,423	No	+$111	07-13 04:35
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	19	$2.1K	1,867	300	+1,567	No	+$32	05-21 17:24
Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	12	$2.1K	2,130	0	+2,130	No	+$16	05-14 03:19
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	11	$2.1K	1,150	950	+200	No	+$9	05-14 01:30
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?	13	$2.1K	2,030	100	+1,929	Yes	+$30	06-21 05:35
will cdu win the second most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	6	$2.1K	1,258	800	+458	Yes	+$0	03-13 05:57
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?	8	$1.9K	1,136	775	+361	Yes	+$4	05-13 05:18
will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	4	$1.9K	1,900	0	+1,900	No	+$4	06-18 22:01
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026?	10	$1.7K	1,761	0	+1,761	No	+$17	05-13 05:08
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by May 15?	17	$1.7K	1,708	0	+1,708	No	+$35	05-16 03:05
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	1	$1.4K	1,431	0	+1,431	Yes	+$6	04-30 20:58
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	16	$1.4K	1,421	0	+1,421	Yes	+$26	06-22 06:15
fifwc ury cvi 2026 06 21 spread home 2pt5	7	$1.4K	1,398	0	+1,398	Cabo Verde	+$5	06-21 23:58
fifwc ger civ 2026 06 20 spread away 1pt5	4	$1.4K	1,387	0	+1,387	Germany	+$2	06-20 21:53
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?	8	$1.3K	1,324	0	+1,324	Yes	+$9	06-23 17:57
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,300 by end of June?	3	$1.3K	657	657	+0	No	+$0	06-22 04:02
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	6	$1.3K	650	650	+0	No	+$7	06-16 03:18
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	1	$1.3K	1,291	0	+1,291	Yes	+$3	04-09 02:54
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	3	$1.3K	1,289	0	+1,289	Yes	+$4	04-07 17:50
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	2	$1.3K	645	645	+0	No	+$4	04-30 20:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-19 14:14:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	100	33¢	$33	0x63ab95…
08-17 19:07:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	100	37¢	$37	0xbece5e…
08-17 18:46:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	100	39¢	$39	0x6f0516…
08-16 13:34:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	88	43¢	$38	0x9a8ce5…
08-16 12:07:51	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	49	43¢	$21	0x9dba2a…
08-16 11:58:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	13	43¢	$6	0x6c16f0…
08-12 11:38:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	175	46¢	$80	0x7ebd9c…
08-12 11:37:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	25	46¢	$12	0x29b93b…
08-11 18:09:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	200	48¢	$96	0x249530…
08-07 02:19:42	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	No	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0x68b68c…
08-06 21:37:29	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	No	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x5cd91c…
08-06 13:28:48	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	No	BUY	27	97¢	$26	0xfa3fda…
08-06 09:19:14	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	No	BUY	86	98¢	$84	0x083873…
08-05 17:49:29	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x649adf…
08-05 16:40:09	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	No	BUY	38	100¢	$37	0x963458…
08-04 21:55:44	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	No	BUY	463	99¢	$458	0x2a2992…
08-04 18:29:57	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	No	BUY	466	100¢	$465	0xccbc88…
08-04 05:35:44	will trump speak to elon musk in july 20260626154217440	No	BUY	111	100¢	$111	0x56bcfa…
08-04 04:44:09	will trump speak to elon musk in july 20260626154217440	No	BUY	63	99¢	$63	0x6a88b0…
08-04 04:38:09	will trump speak to elon musk in july 20260626154217440	No	BUY	350	99¢	$345	0x563977…
08-04 04:37:11	will trump speak to elon musk in july 20260626154217440	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xf2daf3…
08-04 04:35:27	will trump speak to elon musk in july 20260626154217440	No	BUY	200	99¢	$197	0x4e5c86…
08-04 04:34:14	will trump speak to elon musk in july 20260626154217440	No	BUY	99	99¢	$97	0x74df98…
08-03 20:51:11	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x08b8e6…
08-03 15:29:56	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	BUY	175	99¢	$174	0x98aeb3…
07-31 22:24:59	lol mvu cpd 2026 07 31	Cupid Esports	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x5ac635…
07-31 22:23:05	lol mvu cpd 2026 07 31 game2	Cupid Esports	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x9de707…
07-31 22:22:21	lol mvu cpd 2026 07 31	Cupid Esports	BUY	143	99¢	$142	0xa48049…
07-31 22:20:11	lol mvu cpd 2026 07 31	Cupid Esports	BUY	25	96¢	$24	0xb5a4c1…
07-31 22:19:17	lol mvu cpd 2026 07 31 game2	Cupid Esports	BUY	21	97¢	$21	0xb38105…
07-31 22:18:54	lol mvu cpd 2026 07 31 game2	Cupid Esports	BUY	12	97¢	$12	0x66b666…
07-31 21:07:03	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0xeaf93e…
07-29 06:00:14	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1,134	100¢	$1,131	0x9ac399…
07-28 06:46:10	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	No	BUY	100	93¢	$93	0x41f181…
07-27 19:52:31	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0x21564e…
07-26 07:43:45	Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x64a4d7…
07-26 07:43:43	Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?	Yes	BUY	128	100¢	$127	0xbde6de…
07-26 06:57:28	Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x297b53…
07-24 19:42:46	lol vit kc 2026 07 24	Karmine Corp	SELL	40	92¢	$37	0x7002a4…
07-24 19:41:54	lol vit kc 2026 07 24	Karmine Corp	SELL	46	87¢	$40	0xa7711d…
07-24 19:41:51	lol vit kc 2026 07 24	Karmine Corp	SELL	9	87¢	$8	0xf5dd54…
07-24 19:22:06	lol vit kc 2026 07 24	Karmine Corp	BUY	100	93¢	$93	0x6e1c5c…
07-24 03:21:42	Will LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?	No	BUY	120	96¢	$115	0x15a940…
07-22 23:17:43	Will LeBron James play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27?	No	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0x87dc44…
07-22 09:51:28	Will LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?	No	BUY	150	97¢	$145	0x0d7a17…
07-20 16:03:22	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0x17c10e…
07-20 16:00:03	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	13	36¢	$5	0x26c003…
07-19 21:51:37	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	BUY	63	91¢	$58	0xeca4cd…
07-19 21:51:37	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	BUY	6	92¢	$6	0x2eea53…
07-19 21:47:19	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	BUY	50	89¢	$45	0x96477b…
07-19 21:47:18	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	BUY	31	90¢	$28	0x86b059…
07-19 21:47:18	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	BUY	19	90¢	$17	0x0351e3…
07-19 21:44:28	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	BUY	100	92¢	$92	0xe253a2…
07-19 15:42:09	lol kc dk 2026 07 19	Dplus KIA	BUY	198	99¢	$196	0xa7cb9f…
07-19 15:42:04	lol kc dk 2026 07 19	Dplus KIA	BUY	47	99¢	$47	0x53f407…
07-18 22:10:33	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	England	BUY	35	91¢	$32	0xb27d00…
07-18 22:07:13	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	England	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0x06b7d0…
07-18 21:49:18	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	England	BUY	28	97¢	$27	0x50adf2…
07-18 21:42:16	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	England	BUY	50	89¢	$44	0xa4ccd7…
07-18 21:38:55	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	England	BUY	100	91¢	$91	0x617584…
07-18 20:56:06	Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?	Yes	SELL	239	94¢	$224	0x1420dd…
07-18 13:23:09	lol t1 kc 2026 07 18	T1	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x245031…
07-18 13:19:27	lol t1 kc 2026 07 18	T1	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0xd6c379…
07-18 13:18:39	lol t1 kc 2026 07 18	T1	BUY	200	98¢	$196	0xafc4eb…
07-18 13:17:43	lol t1 kc 2026 07 18	T1	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x1435b8…
07-18 00:37:27	lol miss wu 2026 07 17	University of Mississippi	BUY	8	98¢	$7	0x14b670…
07-18 00:36:30	lol miss wu 2026 07 17 game2	University of Mississippi	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0xd8c381…
07-18 00:34:58	lol miss wu 2026 07 17	University of Mississippi	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0x0c703d…
07-18 00:33:54	lol miss wu 2026 07 17 game2	University of Mississippi	BUY	189	99¢	$187	0x720d17…
07-17 21:18:37	Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?	Yes	BUY	170	89¢	$151	0xd9199e…
07-17 21:03:25	Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?	Yes	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0x47ddf9…
07-17 21:02:21	Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?	Yes	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0xdbc394…
07-17 19:48:49	lol ross use1 2026 07 17	Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition	BUY	26	94¢	$24	0xda9c7c…
07-17 19:48:48	lol ross use1 2026 07 17	Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition	BUY	14	94¢	$13	0xff3d8c…
07-17 19:48:48	lol ross use1 2026 07 17	Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition	BUY	32	94¢	$30	0xbfa288…
07-17 19:48:48	lol ross use1 2026 07 17	Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition	BUY	28	94¢	$26	0xb3a3bf…
07-17 16:18:16	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xa09a08…
07-17 15:45:36	lol blg dk 2026 07 17	Bilibili Gaming	SELL	25	29¢	$7	0x5df265…
07-17 15:32:01	lol blg dk 2026 07 17	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	25	96¢	$24	0x2945f9…
07-17 05:30:46	Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?	Yes	BUY	39	85¢	$33	0x80bf85…
07-16 19:32:55	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0x253f5c…
07-16 14:18:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	150	56¢	$84	0x619575…
07-16 06:41:04	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xc91f14…
07-15 21:52:11	Will LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0xae9bc5…
07-15 21:22:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	100	58¢	$58	0xb511ca…
07-15 20:58:23	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 spread away 1pt5	England	BUY	4	91¢	$3	0xed2288…
07-15 20:58:22	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 spread away 1pt5	England	BUY	24	91¢	$22	0x898b37…
07-15 20:58:16	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 spread away 1pt5	England	BUY	30	91¢	$28	0xb554ee…
07-15 20:58:16	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 spread away 1pt5	England	BUY	42	91¢	$38	0x0d4b88…
07-15 20:56:55	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	100	92¢	$92	0xe0de50…
07-15 20:53:41	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	England	SELL	100	5¢	$5	0x53f245…
07-15 20:45:34	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	England	BUY	100	80¢	$80	0xf84c40…
07-15 19:15:13	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x754a90…
07-15 16:57:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	100	58¢	$58	0x0bf20a…
07-14 20:26:32	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	326	95¢	$311	0x8b924a…
07-14 20:24:07	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	194	96¢	$186	0xed18a7…
07-14 20:21:59	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	500	100¢	$498	0xeb7866…
07-13 04:35:23	will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026	No	BUY	20	97¢	$20	0xe2ee61…
07-13 04:18:17	will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026	No	BUY	150	98¢	$146	0x69cb0c…
07-12 05:08:29	Will LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x0c537d…