Modest-Someone 0xe8094f…fb039b
whale hot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$4.66K
Unrealized P&L
-$329
Hit rate
70.5%
Resolved
1,109
Trades
7,148
lifetime
Volume
$303.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$43
Open exposure
$3.66K
16 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-01 16:28
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 195 days
Categories
Politics
52% 51% +$5,009
Other
36% 53% +$839
Crypto
7% 53% -$1,064
Sports
4% 56% -$189
Tech
0% 100% +$63
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
67 active days in 12wk • peak 164 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes -1,200 -$978 94¢ $-1134 -$156 06-06 15:39
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No -1,200 -$982 94¢ $-1134 -$152 06-13 07:57
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -500 -$417 82¢ $-413 +$5 05-03 23:41
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes -2,446 -$257 11¢ $-257 +$0 08-17 09:16
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -5,500 -$126 4¢ $-195 -$69 07-01 15:41
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No -700 -$206 16¢ $-111 +$95 06-05 18:15
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -5,000 -$46 2¢ $-97 -$52 07-09 13:07
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +100 $11 58¢ $58 +$48 10-28 00:42
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -3,054 -$27 2¢ $-55 -$27 07-12 17:12
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? No +200 $56 26¢ $51 -$5 11-01 02:14
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +100 $62 42¢ $42 -$21 10-27 20:39
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -2,500 -$40 1¢ $-36 +$4 06-06 23:32
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5? No +300 $27 10¢ $28 +$1 11-01 12:07
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4? No +416 $26 6¢ $27 +$1 11-01 12:00
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4? No +207 $28 10¢ $20 -$8 11-01 10:02
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes +0 -$8 8¢ $0 +$8 05-28 06:29