Realized P&L
+$3
Unrealized P&L
+$41
Hit rate
98.7%
Resolved
2
Trades
87
lifetime
Volume
$2.27K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$26
Open exposure
$284
7 positions
First seen
2026-01-29
last 06-08 09:49
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
57%
Other
42% 100% +$5
Sports
0% 0% $-1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
23 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +99 $70 94¢ $92 +$22 05-31 18:26
Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by June 30? No -90 $-83 90¢ $-81 +$1 06-07 19:50
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? No +55 $36 74¢ $41 +$5 06-06 19:52
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30? No -33 $-32 90¢ $-30 +$2 06-07 19:48
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +111 $20 26¢ $29 +$9 06-08 09:49
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No -12 $-5 48¢ $-6 $-0 06-02 13:28
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? Yes +18 $5 30¢ $5 +$0 06-08 08:53