Realized P&L
+$3
Unrealized P&L
+$20
Hit rate
98.7%
Resolved
2
Trades
109
lifetime
Volume
$3.62K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$33
Open exposure
$355
9 positions
First seen
2026-01-29
last 07-02 11:51
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
59%
Other
41% 100% +$5
Sports
0% 0% $-1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
27 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +133 $100 76¢ $101 +$1 07-01 18:26
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +99 $70 100¢ $98 +$28 05-31 18:26
Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by June 30? No -90 $-83 99¢ $-90 $-7 06-07 19:50
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +33 $20 74¢ $25 +$5 06-21 18:37
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +111 $20 14¢ $15 $-5 06-08 09:49
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? Yes +71 $10 12¢ $9 $-1 07-01 18:23
Israeli election results in a hung parliament? Yes +18 $7 47¢ $9 +$2 07-02 11:51
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No -12 $-5 54¢ $-6 $-1 06-02 13:28
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? Yes +18 $5 17¢ $3 $-2 06-08 08:53