Realized P&L
+$15.6K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.77K
Hit rate
80.3%
Resolved
18
Trades
40,434
lifetime
Volume
$2.87M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$71
Open exposure
$14.4K
13 positions
First seen
2026-01-14
last 07-21 03:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 12 days
Categories
Politics
72% 64% +$17,715
Other
25% 0% $-14
Sports
2% 0% $-2,085
Crypto
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
83 active days in 12wk • peak 665 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +5,261 $1,893 99¢ $5.2K +$3,318 07-10 23:56
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? Yes +11,662 $3,023 18¢ $2.2K $-865 07-16 02:36
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Yes +4,802 $2,167 40¢ $1.9K $-222 07-13 16:08
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? No -1,735 $-1,406 93¢ $-1606 $-200 07-09 11:55
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +1,555 $1,057 52¢ $816 $-241 07-06 13:07
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +888 $524 78¢ $697 +$173 06-20 15:01
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? No +2,024 $302 26¢ $526 +$225 07-16 12:06
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +571 $354 86¢ $494 +$140 06-03 21:19
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? Yes +4,090 $476 12¢ $470 $-6 07-19 16:22
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes -860 $436 22¢ $-185 $-621 06-19 19:31
H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026? No +205 $166 90¢ $184 +$19 06-25 20:05
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? Yes +1,158 $83 11¢ $127 +$44 07-02 14:14
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay Yes -151 $-26 12¢ $-17 +$8 06-11 22:16