Realized P&L
+$15.6K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.62K
Hit rate
80.3%
Resolved
18
Trades
38,648
lifetime
Volume
$2.65M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$69
Open exposure
$15.6K
16 positions
First seen
2026-01-14
last 07-01 18:36
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 12 days
Categories
Politics
74% 64% +$17,715
Other
25% 0% $-14
Crypto
1%
Sports
1% 0% $-2,085
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 747 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +7,326 $3,793 70¢ $5.2K +$1,372 06-22 14:14
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? No -4,564 $-8,270 97¢ $-4443 +$3,827 06-30 10:03
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? No -2,235 $-1,872 95¢ $-2130 $-258 06-10 08:44
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? Yes +5,522 $1,539 25¢ $1.4K $-159 06-22 15:00
US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026? No -648 $-551 100¢ $-648 $-97 06-02 15:41
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +888 $524 70¢ $626 +$102 06-20 15:01
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +571 $354 82¢ $471 +$117 06-03 21:19
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes -860 $436 30¢ $-254 $-689 06-19 19:31
H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026? No +205 $166 92¢ $189 +$24 06-25 20:05
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? Yes -652 $-184 22¢ $-140 +$44 06-25 19:01
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? Yes +1,984 $486 $53 $-434 06-30 17:56
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay Yes -151 $-26 15¢ $-22 +$4 06-11 22:16
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? Yes -126 $-37 14¢ $-18 +$19 06-01 03:55
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes -2,278 $2,305 $-8 $-2,313 06-27 19:49
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30? Yes -465 $-37 $-5 +$32 05-31 15:31
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026? No -351 $-29 $-0 +$29 06-28 14:46