Svelte-Lawn 0xecfaf2…1e3c6f
whale hot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$14.5K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.42K
Hit rate
49.4%
Resolved
2,179
Trades
18,834
lifetime
Volume
$596.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$32
Open exposure
$6.46K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-25
last 10-25 06:27
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 161 days
Categories
Other
79% 35% +$21,314
Politics
12% 50% -$6,101
Sports
8% 39% +$220
Tech
1% 44% -$786
Crypto
1% 59% +$39
Pop-Culture
0% 20% -$137
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
58 active days in 12wk • peak 285 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +700 $644 92¢ $640 -$4 10-25 06:27
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +725 $551 80¢ $584 +$33 08-01 18:51
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? No +500 $311 94¢ $468 +$156 08-01 01:43
tyler robinson convicted of homicide No +500 $252 88¢ $443 +$191 07-24 01:04
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? Yes +500 $393 80¢ $398 +$4 10-21 23:28
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +400 $318 79¢ $314 -$4 07-06 01:33
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +400 $270 78¢ $310 +$40 08-14 05:06
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +825 -$68 29¢ $239 +$307 10-23 13:42
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +950 -$284 23¢ $222 +$506 10-23 13:30
us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157 Yes +600 $470 35¢ $211 -$259 08-11 09:33
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +300 $162 68¢ $202 +$40 09-15 09:12
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? No +200 $149 97¢ $194 +$45 07-30 14:48
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? No +200 $126 85¢ $170 +$44 09-03 20:46
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? No +300 $166 56¢ $169 +$4 08-02 16:02
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +200 $158 82¢ $163 +$5 08-05 17:50
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-01 House seat? Yes +240 $150 64¢ $155 +$5 10-21 14:15
iran leadership change by june 30 2027 674 Yes +600 $123 26¢ $153 +$30 08-08 22:06
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? No +1,100 $83 14¢ $148 +$65 08-26 19:48
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +880 $133 15¢ $134 +$1 08-10 07:57
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +17,765 $118 1¢ $133 +$16 09-07 09:03
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +888 $22 15¢ $132 +$110 08-20 14:49
Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026? No +140 $96 84¢ $117 +$21 08-10 14:12
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +1,200 $157 9¢ $111 -$46 07-15 09:49
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +1,110 $107 9¢ $105 -$2 08-13 01:29
Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? No +200 $101 52¢ $103 +$2 08-01 09:29
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +5,109 $28 2¢ $100 +$72 09-13 08:20
andrew tate released from custody by december 31 2026 20260719025109264 No +100 $70 92¢ $92 +$22 07-22 03:53
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No +100 $84 90¢ $90 +$6 07-25 13:12
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +100 $79 86¢ $86 +$7 07-28 22:55
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +1,554 $79 5¢ $77 -$2 09-26 16:48