Svelte-Lawn 0xecfaf2…1e3c6f
whale
← all wallets
Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
+$632
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
12,583
lifetime
Volume
$439.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$35
Open exposure
$3.25K
22 positions
First seen
2026-01-25
last 07-21 10:59
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
87% — —
Sports
8% — —
Politics
4% — —
Crypto
0% — —
Tech
0% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
50 active days in 12wk • peak 63 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +600 $498 74¢ $447 $-51 07-08 12:10
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +400 $-600 99¢ $395 +$995 07-11 07:18
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +400 $342 92¢ $366 +$24 07-01 07:14
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +400 $310 72¢ $290 $-20 07-21 16:09
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +500 $250 54¢ $268 +$18 07-05 07:41
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +800 $192 22¢ $172 $-20 07-05 09:34
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +200 $174 85¢ $170 $-4 07-12 20:45
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +800 $124 19¢ $152 +$28 07-12 08:39
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes +250 $145 54¢ $134 $-11 07-11 02:57
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +200 $139 66¢ $133 $-6 07-15 18:31
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? Yes -500 $259 24¢ $-117 $-377 06-13 05:39
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? Yes +200 $84 56¢ $111 +$27 07-17 14:00
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? Yes +200 $79 40¢ $80 +$1 07-16 01:23
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? Yes +100 $71 76¢ $76 +$5 07-11 16:28
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? No +100 $86 74¢ $73 $-12 07-09 17:26
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No +100 $66 70¢ $70 +$4 07-16 13:42
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? No +100 $67 66¢ $66 $-1 07-13 15:23
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No +46 $36 82¢ $38 +$2 07-19 10:41
Kash Patel out by December 31? Yes +100 $50 37¢ $37 $-13 07-11 06:41
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? Yes -300 $29 12¢ $-36 $-65 07-13 04:18
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $25 22¢ $22 $-3 07-16 19:11
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +0 $-111 1¢ $0 +$111 06-29 07:39