Realized P&L
-$1.19K
Unrealized P&L
+$21
Hit rate
55.3%
Resolved
3,990
Trades
6,315
lifetime
Volume
$24.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$217
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-16
last 10-23 14:23
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 179 days
Categories
Other
58% 53% -$1,028
Sports
18% 51% -$204
Politics
13% 51% +$245
Crypto
12% 54% -$198
Tech
0% 36% -$2
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$4
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
17 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +218 $31 8¢ $19 -$13 07-22 22:11
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +19 $5 88¢ $17 +$12 06-06 15:32
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No +17 $4 96¢ $16 +$12 07-15 11:31
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +85 $15 17¢ $14 $0 07-19 09:11
Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026? No +11 $10 95¢ $11 +$1 05-27 17:32
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +12 $9 76¢ $9 +$0 06-15 03:28
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +314 $9 3¢ $9 $0 06-19 23:42
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +57 $5 16¢ $9 +$4 06-09 14:18
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +219 $5 4¢ $8 +$3 06-18 13:53
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +9 $7 83¢ $7 $0 06-01 19:04
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +11 $8 62¢ $7 -$1 05-20 15:40
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? Yes +21 $2 32¢ $7 +$4 06-18 14:15
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No +7 $6 92¢ $6 $0 08-02 07:39
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +250 $5 2¢ $6 +$0 06-01 18:53
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House Yes +73 $13 8¢ $5 -$8 06-13 08:24
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +46 $6 12¢ $5 -$1 08-02 07:39
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +250 $4 2¢ $5 +$1 06-01 19:09
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +11 $6 46¢ $5 -$1 07-08 00:33
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +5 $4 97¢ $5 +$1 06-18 13:53
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? No +5 $5 97¢ $5 +$0 08-02 07:39
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +5 $5 94¢ $5 +$0 06-18 13:53
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? No +5 $4 97¢ $5 +$1 05-26 09:35
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +33 $2 13¢ $4 +$3 05-09 14:33
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? Yes +5 $4 80¢ $4 +$0 06-18 13:53
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +5 $3 86¢ $4 +$1 05-27 15:33
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? No -4 -$3 94¢ $-4 $0 05-11 08:43
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? No +5 $4 82¢ $4 +$0 05-27 02:36
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +5 $3 78¢ $4 +$0 07-09 02:33
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +129 $3 3¢ $4 +$1 08-06 21:27
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? No +5 $3 78¢ $4 +$1 05-29 15:53