Realized P&L
+$9
Unrealized P&L
+$4
Hit rate
74.1%
Resolved
393
Trades
3,422
lifetime
Volume
$13.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$205
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-16
last 06-30 21:27
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 22 days
Categories
Other
43% 75% +$26
Sports
25% 78% $-13
Crypto
18% 95% +$1
Politics
13% 56% $-5
Tech
0%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
82 active days in 12wk • peak 188 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No +27 $14 60¢ $16 +$2 06-18 14:17
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? No +16 $2 99¢ $16 +$14 06-27 23:45
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +91 $16 14¢ $12 $-4 06-11 19:59
Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2026? No -14 $-8 84¢ $-11 $-3 06-12 13:06
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026? No -12 $-10 93¢ $-11 $-1 06-03 17:12
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +11 $8 80¢ $9 +$1 06-22 14:25
Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch? No -10 $-9 87¢ $-8 +$0 05-27 21:34
Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026? No -9 $-8 94¢ $-8 $-0 05-27 21:34
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +9 $7 86¢ $7 +$0 06-01 19:04
GRVT FDV above $500M one day after launch? No -9 $-7 78¢ $-7 $-0 06-03 17:12
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? No -7 $-6 94¢ $-7 $-1 06-03 17:13
Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026? No -12 $-5 56¢ $-7 $-2 06-12 13:09
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? No -10 $-6 56¢ $-6 +$1 06-03 17:12
Will Matt Heilala advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? No +6 $6 87¢ $5 $-0 06-08 22:47
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026? No -6 $-5 98¢ $-5 $-0 05-27 21:35
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes? Yes -5 $-5 100¢ $-5 $-0 05-27 21:35
Will Aristotle self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026? No +5 $3 99¢ $5 +$2 06-22 11:26
Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch? No -5 $-5 98¢ $-5 $-0 06-10 09:16
Will Laurent Wauquiez be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No -5 $-5 97¢ $-5 $-0 06-02 10:10
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? Yes +38 $6 12¢ $5 $-2 06-18 13:52
Will Solana reach $200 by December 31, 2026? No -5 $-5 90¢ $-5 $-0 06-03 17:12
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? No -5 $-4 96¢ $-5 $-0 06-02 10:11
Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026? No -5 $-5 100¢ $-5 $-0 05-27 21:35
GRVT FDV above $1B one day after launch? No -5 $-5 94¢ $-5 $-0 06-02 10:09
Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No +5 $5 91¢ $5 $-0 06-28 10:45
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? No -4 $-4 96¢ $-4 $-0 05-27 21:36
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No -5 $-4 93¢ $-4 $-0 05-27 21:36
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? No -4 $-4 94¢ $-4 $-0 05-27 21:37
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No -4 $-3 89¢ $-4 $-1 06-18 13:53
Kash Patel out by December 31? Yes +9 $4 42¢ $4 $-1 06-23 10:28