Realized P&L
+$9
Unrealized P&L
-$6
Hit rate
74.1%
Resolved
393
Trades
3,649
lifetime
Volume
$14.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$194
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-16
last 07-21 02:08
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 22 days
Categories
Other
46% 75% +$26
Sports
24% 78% $-13
Crypto
17% 95% +$1
Politics
12% 56% $-5
Tech
0%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
80 active days in 12wk • peak 98 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +85 $15 26¢ $22 +$7 07-19 09:11
Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2026? No -14 $-8 90¢ $-12 $-4 06-12 13:06
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026? No -12 $-10 92¢ $-11 $-1 06-03 17:12
Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch? No -10 $-9 89¢ $-9 +$0 05-27 21:34
Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026? No -9 $-8 96¢ $-8 $-0 05-27 21:34
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? No -10 $-6 78¢ $-8 $-2 06-03 17:12
GRVT FDV above $500M one day after launch? No -9 $-7 82¢ $-7 $-0 06-03 17:12
Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026? No -12 $-5 59¢ $-7 $-2 06-12 13:09
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? No -7 $-6 94¢ $-7 $-1 07-15 11:33
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +9 $7 74¢ $6 $-1 06-01 19:04
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No +11 $4 58¢ $6 +$2 07-15 11:31
Will Matt Heilala advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? No +6 $6 98¢ $6 +$1 06-08 22:47
Bank of England rate hike in 2026? No -8 $-4 72¢ $-6 $-1 07-20 11:12
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026? No -6 $-5 97¢ $-5 $-0 05-27 21:35
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +11 $8 46¢ $5 $-3 06-22 14:25
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +11 $3 44¢ $5 +$2 06-06 15:32
Will Solana reach $200 by December 31, 2026? No -5 $-5 94¢ $-5 $-0 06-03 17:12
Will Laurent Wauquiez be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No -5 $-5 97¢ $-5 $-0 06-02 10:10
Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch? No -5 $-5 97¢ $-5 $-0 06-10 09:16
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? Yes +38 $6 12¢ $5 $-2 06-18 13:52
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? No -5 $-4 96¢ $-5 $-0 06-02 10:11
GRVT FDV above $1B one day after launch? No -5 $-5 95¢ $-5 $-0 06-02 10:09
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +5 $3 88¢ $4 +$1 07-09 02:33
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? No -6 $-4 78¢ $-4 $-0 07-20 11:12
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? No -4 $-4 96¢ $-4 $-0 05-27 21:36
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No -5 $-4 90¢ $-4 $-0 05-27 21:36
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December? Yes +18 $3 23¢ $4 +$1 07-12 16:34
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? No -4 $-4 94¢ $-4 $-0 05-27 21:37
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No -4 $-3 90¢ $-4 $-1 06-18 13:53
Will Matt Claman advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? No -4 $-4 99¢ $-4 $-0 07-15 11:31