Fabulous-Lark-Hippopotamus 0x10445f…d88ceb
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← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$9
Unrealized P&L
+$4
Hit rate
74.1%
Resolved
393
Trades
3,217
lifetime
Volume
$12.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$189
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-16
last 06-09 16:45
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 22 days
Categories
Other
44% 75% +$26
Sports
27% 78% $-13
Crypto
19% 95% +$1
Politics
10% 56% $-5
Tech
0% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 188 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026? No -12 $-10 90¢ $-11 $-0 06-03 17:12
Will any Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Exam? Yes +12 $5 80¢ $9 +$4 06-05 01:14
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No -9 $-8 90¢ $-8 $-1 06-03 17:12
Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch? No -10 $-9 86¢ $-8 +$0 05-27 21:34
Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026? No -9 $-8 94¢ $-8 $-0 05-27 21:34
Will Neymar play in the World Cup? Yes +9 $8 94¢ $8 +$0 06-01 19:04
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No +16 $8 52¢ $8 +$0 06-06 17:49
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of June? No -8 $-8 99¢ $-8 $-0 06-06 01:03
GRVT FDV above $500M one day after launch? No -9 $-7 84¢ $-7 $-0 06-03 17:12
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +9 $7 82¢ $7 $-0 06-01 19:04
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? No -7 $-6 90¢ $-7 $-0 06-03 17:13
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June? No -6 $-6 99¢ $-6 $-0 05-27 21:35
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? No -10 $-6 55¢ $-6 +$1 06-03 17:12
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? No +17 $5 32¢ $6 +$1 06-01 19:05
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026? No -6 $-5 97¢ $-5 $-0 05-27 21:35
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? Yes +5 $5 100¢ $5 +$0 06-07 22:45
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? Yes +28 $5 18¢ $5 +$0 06-01 19:05
Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? Yes +5 $5 100¢ $5 +$0 06-08 06:39
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No -5 $-5 96¢ $-5 $-0 05-30 21:10
Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? No +5 $5 100¢ $5 +$0 06-08 06:44
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +6 $5 78¢ $5 +$0 06-07 13:52
Will Gold (GC) settle over $5,400 on the final trading day of June 2026? No +5 $5 99¢ $5 +$0 06-02 10:09
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June? No +5 $5 99¢ $5 +$0 06-08 19:35
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes? Yes -5 $-5 99¢ $-5 $-0 05-27 21:35
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026? No +5 $5 99¢ $5 $-0 06-03 23:58
Iran leadership change by June 30? No +5 $5 96¢ $5 $-0 06-06 08:24
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,400 by end of June? No +5 $5 98¢ $5 $-0 06-01 19:10
Will Laurent Wauquiez be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No -5 $-5 97¢ $-5 $-0 06-02 10:10
Haiti elections delayed again? No +10 $5 50¢ $5 $-0 06-10 03:11
Will Solana reach $200 by December 31, 2026? No -5 $-5 94¢ $-5 $-0 06-03 17:12