Gaseous-Soybean 0xb2a309…3a79e0
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Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
+$47
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
341
lifetime
Volume
$1.39K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$146
14 positions
First seen
2026-05-25
last 07-22 15:57
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
45% — —
Politics
25% — —
Tech
21% — —
Crypto
9% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
49 active days in 12wk • peak 30 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +166 $48 50¢ $84 +$36 07-22 04:14
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +16 $3 99¢ $16 +$13 07-21 03:40
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +21 $17 70¢ $15 $-3 07-21 21:07
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? Anthropic +8 $7 86¢ $7 $-0 07-10 13:52
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? No +5 $4 88¢ $4 +$0 07-01 06:07
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +5 $4 80¢ $4 $-0 07-04 13:34
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes +16 $3 23¢ $4 +$1 07-16 22:05
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? No +5 $4 70¢ $4 $-0 07-04 11:57
Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026? No +3 $3 96¢ $3 $-0 07-10 13:45
Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? No +5 $2 44¢ $2 +$0 07-06 11:06
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +8 $1 22¢ $2 +$0 07-19 23:20
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027? Yes +1 $1 87¢ $1 $-0 07-21 21:09
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81 Yes +7 $1 12¢ $1 $-0 07-21 21:09
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No +0 $-0 82¢ $0 +$0 07-21 14:41