Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026?
open
Total volume
$19,766
$42 in 24h
Trades
286
Unique wallets
93
Liquidity
$42,513
Latest YES mid
4¢
Latest NO mid
96¢
End date
2027-01-01
First seen
2026-05-28
last 07-09 21:17
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-5.6¢
(top1%: 6% YES on $3.6K
vs crowd: 12% YES on $10.8K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 12 | $416 | $3.8K | $3.4K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 15 | $321 | $4.8K | $4.4K |
| 🐟 Fish | 22 | $118 | $672 | $554 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 44 | $429 | $224 | +$205 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 3 | $232 | $3.4K | $3.2K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 7 | $7 | $2.1K | $2.1K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $11 | $16 | $5 |
| Median | 8 | $30 | $2.0K | $2.0K |
| Below median | 10 | $59 | $153 | $93 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 4 | $26 | $6 | +$19 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 7 | $45 | $606 | $561 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 7 | $179 | $400 | $222 |
| unranked | 44 | $694 | $747 | $52 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| stormshadow 0x2ca9…b942 | No | +2,216 | $2,024 | $2,024 | 11 | 06-26 15:41 |
| (anonymous) 0xf6d1…32b8 | No | +1,867 | $1,774 | $1,774 | 2 | 05-29 10:47 |
| (anonymous) 0xedea…a94d | Yes | +1,822 | $91 | $91 | 1 | 05-29 10:47 |
| Few-Prevention 0xa58d…b9b8 | Yes | +654 | $-24 | $487 | 50 | 07-09 18:20 |
| Cheery-Preparation 0xcaab…24dd | No | +610 | $415 | $5,375 | 11 | 07-08 14:58 |
| Quizzical-Hire 0x4337…8882 | No | +555 | $511 | $511 | 2 | 06-05 13:19 |
| Frizzy-Tabernacle 0xc66c…36ac | Yes | +541 | $28 | $28 | 4 | 07-09 21:17 |
| Purple-Yarn 0x7c9e…db3d | Yes | +420 | $23 | $23 | 2 | 07-09 18:20 |
| Pleasant-Councilor 0x42fa…1fc7 | No | +335 | $312 | $312 | 3 | 06-30 17:01 |
| (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | +202 | $186 | $186 | 1 | 06-28 17:01 |
| Expensive-Fugato 0xf70b…b78e | No | +179 | $163 | $163 | 3 | 06-06 04:50 |
| (anonymous) 0xd2d9…5653 | Yes | +170 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 06-26 13:56 |
| Traumatic-Yogurt 0x0b46…625f | Yes | +144 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 06-24 14:02 |
| Defenseless-Placement 0x275c…6090 | No | +132 | $123 | $123 | 1 | 06-13 09:20 |
| Subdued-Supernatural 0xe899…a588 | Yes | +111 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-06 04:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x1c64…8ffc | Yes | +111 | $10 | $10 | 2 | 06-29 15:04 |
| Utilized-Discovery 0x4618…f25e | Yes | +95 | $7 | $7 | 5 | 06-24 18:12 |
| Good-Natured-Time 0xe328…9f4a | Yes | +84 | $6 | $6 | 2 | 06-18 15:28 |
| (anonymous) 0xac83…26c4 | Yes | +60 | $4 | $4 | 5 | 07-02 03:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x5a61…2a07 | Yes | +51 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-22 18:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x699a…bb9f | Yes | +38 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-12 05:25 |
| Closed-Rating 0x505e…affc | Yes | +33 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-04 01:29 |
| Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | +20 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-16 07:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x4ecb…bf12 | Yes | +18 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 06-26 14:58 |
| (anonymous) 0xe215…1c22 | Yes | +17 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-18 16:40 |
| Idealistic-Magnet 0x740b…647a | No | +11 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 05-31 15:27 |
| (anonymous) 0x2fa8…e1f5 | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 06-16 17:36 |
| Vengeful-Zoology 0x32ae…e3be | Yes | +8 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-26 12:48 |
| Mundane-Airbag 0xa3af…b7a6 | No | +7 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 06-26 14:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x489a…fff2 | Yes | +6 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 06-28 22:23 |
| Dearest-Proctor 0x8fdf…af9e | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-26 13:59 |
| (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | +5 | $4 | $14 | 3 | 06-27 23:04 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-28 22:23 |
| (anonymous) 0x9de6…e7f0 | No | +5 | $5 | $24 | 4 | 07-09 21:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x179c…d292 | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-24 20:24 |
| (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | Yes | +2 | $0 | $3 | 5 | 06-26 14:58 |
| Exemplary-Hypothermia 0xa594…95f6 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-07 05:16 |
| Soupy-Dozen 0x6527…38e5 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-31 11:27 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-09 21:17:52 | Frizzy-Tabernacle 0xc66c…36ac | Yes | SELL | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xcb6898… |
| 07-09 21:17:52 | (anonymous) 0x5f25…3e2c | No | SELL | 6 | 95¢ | $6 | 0xcb6898… |
| 07-09 21:17:52 | (anonymous) 0x9de6…e7f0 | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0xcb6898… |
| 07-09 18:20:11 | Frizzy-Tabernacle 0xc66c…36ac | Yes | BUY | 92 | 4¢ | $4 | 0x7a187e… |
| 07-09 18:20:11 | Purple-Yarn 0x7c9e…db3d | Yes | BUY | 210 | 4¢ | $8 | 0x7a187e… |
| 07-09 18:20:11 | Happy-Pickup 0x0cf7…af6e | Yes | SELL | 1,312 | 4¢ | $52 | 0x7a187e… |
| 07-09 18:20:11 | (anonymous) 0x9de6…e7f0 | No | SELL | 10 | 96¢ | $10 | 0x7a187e… |
| 07-09 18:20:11 | Few-Prevention 0xa58d…b9b8 | Yes | BUY | 1,000 | 4¢ | $40 | 0x7a187e… |
| 07-08 14:58:56 | Few-Prevention 0xa58d…b9b8 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x618ba6… |
| 07-08 14:58:56 | Dim-Pillbox-Tolerance 0x9614…d217 | No | SELL | 2 | 94¢ | $2 | 0x618ba6… |
| 07-08 14:58:50 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | SELL | 2 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x967d4c… |
| 07-08 14:58:50 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x967d4c… |
| 07-08 14:58:49 | (anonymous) 0xb8df…d316 | Yes | SELL | 868 | 5¢ | $43 | 0x2cc005… |
| 07-08 14:58:49 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | BUY | 2 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x2cc005… |
| 07-08 14:58:49 | Frizzy-Tabernacle 0xc66c…36ac | Yes | BUY | 250 | 5¢ | $12 | 0x2cc005… |
| 07-08 14:58:49 | Cheery-Preparation 0xcaab…24dd | No | SELL | 616 | 95¢ | $585 | 0x2cc005… |
| 07-07 21:17:28 | Frizzy-Tabernacle 0xc66c…36ac | Yes | BUY | 200 | 6¢ | $12 | 0x648eda… |
| 07-07 21:17:28 | Few-Prevention 0xa58d…b9b8 | Yes | SELL | 200 | 6¢ | $12 | 0x648eda… |
| 07-07 11:34:14 | Few-Prevention 0xa58d…b9b8 | Yes | SELL | 36 | 6¢ | $2 | 0x4ee6d4… |
| 07-07 11:34:14 | Rewarding-Alto 0xd3ba…33b9 | No | SELL | 36 | 94¢ | $34 | 0x4ee6d4… |
| 07-07 07:29:26 | Dim-Pillbox-Tolerance 0x9614…d217 | No | BUY | 2 | 95¢ | $2 | 0x06b3a8… |
| 07-07 07:29:26 | Cheery-Preparation 0xcaab…24dd | No | SELL | 2 | 95¢ | $2 | 0x06b3a8… |
| 07-07 05:16:35 | Few-Prevention 0xa58d…b9b8 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xc3196c… |
| 07-07 05:16:35 | Dim-Pillbox-Tolerance 0x9614…d217 | No | SELL | 2 | 94¢ | $2 | 0xc3196c… |
| 07-07 05:16:28 | Exemplary-Hypothermia 0xa594…95f6 | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x660072… |
| 07-07 05:16:28 | Cheery-Preparation 0xcaab…24dd | No | SELL | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x660072… |
| 07-06 19:27:02 | Cheery-Preparation 0xcaab…24dd | No | SELL | 2 | 95¢ | $2 | 0x9a3a31… |
| 07-06 19:27:02 | Dim-Pillbox-Tolerance 0x9614…d217 | No | BUY | 2 | 95¢ | $2 | 0x9a3a31… |
| 07-06 17:46:32 | Cheery-Preparation 0xcaab…24dd | No | SELL | 147 | 95¢ | $139 | 0x5f5c84… |
| 07-06 17:46:32 | Dear-Gripper 0x41cb…a5df | Yes | SELL | 147 | 5¢ | $7 | 0x5f5c84… |
| 07-06 07:29:26 | Candid-Gig 0x23db…cf1c | Yes | SELL | 222 | 5¢ | $11 | 0xa6bf5a… |
| 07-06 07:29:26 | Cheery-Preparation 0xcaab…24dd | No | SELL | 222 | 95¢ | $211 | 0xa6bf5a… |
| 07-05 14:49:53 | Few-Prevention 0xa58d…b9b8 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x6d4d68… |
| 07-05 14:49:53 | Alienated-Chemical 0x5cec…7c61 | No | SELL | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x6d4d68… |
| 07-04 19:49:46 | Few-Prevention 0xa58d…b9b8 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x121118… |
| 07-04 19:49:46 | Carefree-Depot 0x4d57…419c | No | SELL | 15 | 94¢ | $14 | 0x121118… |
| 07-02 18:58:38 | (anonymous) 0x9de6…e7f0 | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x825eb3… |
| 07-02 18:58:38 | Cheery-Preparation 0xcaab…24dd | No | SELL | 10 | 95¢ | $10 | 0x825eb3… |
| 07-02 18:13:02 | Few-Prevention 0xa58d…b9b8 | Yes | BUY | 1,000 | 5¢ | $50 | 0x38db60… |
| 07-02 18:13:02 | Growling-Traveler 0xf66f…8e0c | Yes | SELL | 2,682 | 5¢ | $134 | 0x38db60… |
| 07-02 18:13:02 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | BUY | 79 | 5¢ | $4 | 0x38db60… |
| 07-02 18:13:02 | Cheery-Preparation 0xcaab…24dd | No | SELL | 1,603 | 95¢ | $1,523 | 0x38db60… |
| 07-02 03:03:16 | (anonymous) 0xac83…26c4 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x5d8a38… |
| 07-02 03:03:16 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x5d8a38… |
| 07-02 03:03:16 | All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6 | Yes | SELL | 18 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x5d8a38… |
| 07-02 03:03:16 | Cheery-Preparation 0xcaab…24dd | No | SELL | 7 | 95¢ | $7 | 0x5d8a38… |
| 07-01 17:07:49 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 120 | 94¢ | $113 | 0x78fe4c… |
| 07-01 17:07:49 | Few-Prevention 0xa58d…b9b8 | Yes | SELL | 120 | 6¢ | $7 | 0x78fe4c… |
| 07-01 08:56:55 | (anonymous) 0xac83…26c4 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xc70476… |
| 07-01 08:56:55 | Carefree-Depot 0x4d57…419c | No | BUY | 15 | 95¢ | $14 | 0xc70476… |
| 07-01 06:43:32 | (anonymous) 0x1986…1fe4 | No | SELL | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x60a90c… |
| 07-01 06:43:32 | Few-Prevention 0xa58d…b9b8 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x60a90c… |
| 06-30 17:01:26 | Pleasant-Councilor 0x42fa…1fc7 | No | BUY | 210 | 93¢ | $195 | 0xb3719c… |
| 06-30 17:01:26 | Purple-Yarn 0x7c9e…db3d | Yes | BUY | 210 | 7¢ | $15 | 0xb3719c… |
| 06-30 09:30:56 | Pleasant-Councilor 0x42fa…1fc7 | No | BUY | 108 | 93¢ | $100 | 0x702cfe… |
| 06-30 09:30:56 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 108 | 93¢ | $100 | 0x702cfe… |
| 06-30 00:04:01 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 18 | 93¢ | $16 | 0x8476fc… |
| 06-30 00:04:01 | Pleasant-Councilor 0x42fa…1fc7 | No | BUY | 18 | 93¢ | $16 | 0x8476fc… |
| 06-29 15:04:11 | (anonymous) 0x1c64…8ffc | Yes | BUY | 56 | 9¢ | $5 | 0x5f99ac… |
| 06-29 15:04:11 | Growling-Traveler 0xf66f…8e0c | Yes | SELL | 56 | 9¢ | $5 | 0x5f99ac… |
| 06-29 14:54:23 | Growling-Traveler 0xf66f…8e0c | Yes | SELL | 222 | 9¢ | $20 | 0x09e682… |
| 06-29 14:54:23 | Candid-Gig 0x23db…cf1c | Yes | BUY | 222 | 9¢ | $20 | 0x09e682… |
| 06-29 14:00:38 | Growling-Traveler 0xf66f…8e0c | Yes | SELL | 56 | 9¢ | $5 | 0x23a0ba… |
| 06-29 14:00:38 | (anonymous) 0x1c64…8ffc | Yes | BUY | 56 | 9¢ | $5 | 0x23a0ba… |
| 06-29 13:32:44 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 18 | 92¢ | $16 | 0x121d2a… |
| 06-29 13:32:44 | All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x121d2a… |
| 06-28 22:23:50 | (anonymous) 0x489a…fff2 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x4dd3ec… |
| 06-28 22:23:50 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0x4dd3ec… |
| 06-28 17:10:10 | (anonymous) 0x489a…fff2 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x197cda… |
| 06-28 17:10:10 | Quixotic-Story 0x7dc9…525e | Yes | SELL | 1 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x197cda… |
| 06-28 17:01:22 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | SELL | 28 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x80c5e9… |
| 06-28 17:01:22 | Bossy-Grandma 0x163b…08de | Yes | SELL | 8 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x80c5e9… |
| 06-28 17:01:22 | (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | BUY | 202 | 92¢ | $186 | 0x80c5e9… |
| 06-28 17:01:22 | Cheery-Preparation 0xcaab…24dd | No | BUY | 111 | 87¢ | $97 | 0x80c5e9… |
| 06-28 17:01:22 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 24 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x80c5e9… |
| 06-28 17:01:22 | Growling-Traveler 0xf66f…8e0c | Yes | BUY | 1,110 | 9¢ | $100 | 0x80c5e9… |
| 06-28 17:01:22 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | BUY | 5 | 88¢ | $4 | 0x80c5e9… |
| 06-28 17:01:22 | Quixotic-Story 0x7dc9…525e | Yes | SELL | 13 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x80c5e9… |
| 06-28 17:01:22 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | SELL | 249 | 8¢ | $20 | 0x80c5e9… |
| 06-28 17:01:22 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | BUY | 228 | 92¢ | $210 | 0x80c5e9… |
| 06-28 17:01:22 | Dear-Gripper 0x41cb…a5df | Yes | SELL | 243 | 10¢ | $24 | 0x80c5e9… |
| 06-27 23:05:47 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xafedf2… |
| 06-27 23:05:47 | (anonymous) 0x7de3…6466 | No | SELL | 15 | 92¢ | $13 | 0xafedf2… |
| 06-27 23:04:59 | (anonymous) 0x7de3…6466 | No | BUY | 15 | 95¢ | $14 | 0x055a53… |
| 06-27 23:04:59 | (anonymous) 0xac83…26c4 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x055a53… |
| 06-27 23:04:59 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | SELL | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x055a53… |
| 06-27 07:20:43 | (anonymous) 0x58a0…9708 | No | SELL | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0x3c1e48… |
| 06-27 07:20:43 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x3c1e48… |
| 06-26 18:32:28 | Quixotic-Story 0x7dc9…525e | Yes | BUY | 14 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x8936e6… |
| 06-26 18:32:28 | Dear-Gripper 0x41cb…a5df | Yes | BUY | 2 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x8936e6… |
| 06-26 18:32:28 | (anonymous) 0x31d9…bb17 | Yes | SELL | 16 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x8936e6… |
| 06-26 15:41:04 | stormshadow 0x2ca9…b942 | No | BUY | 67 | 93¢ | $62 | 0x324615… |
| 06-26 15:41:04 | (anonymous) 0x31d9…bb17 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x324615… |
| 06-26 15:41:04 | Dear-Gripper 0x41cb…a5df | Yes | BUY | 52 | 7¢ | $4 | 0x324615… |
| 06-26 14:58:28 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | Yes | SELL | 5 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x38a5b9… |
| 06-26 14:58:28 | (anonymous) 0x4ecb…bf12 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x38a5b9… |
| 06-26 14:58:28 | Mundane-Airbag 0xa3af…b7a6 | No | BUY | 7 | 91¢ | $6 | 0x38a5b9… |
| 06-26 13:59:37 | (anonymous) 0x4ecb…bf12 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x2411ab… |
| 06-26 13:59:37 | Dearest-Proctor 0x8fdf…af9e | No | BUY | 6 | 90¢ | $5 | 0x2411ab… |
| 06-26 13:58:15 | Wide-Eyed-Dark 0x167a…91d5 | Yes | SELL | 47 | 7¢ | $3 | 0x29015d… |