Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026?
open
Total volume
$22,734
$42 in 24h
Trades
491
Unique wallets
130
Liquidity
$42,513
Latest YES mid
4¢
Latest NO mid
96¢
End date
2027-01-01
First seen
2026-05-28
last 08-22 10:05
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-7.0¢
(top1%: 5% YES on $5.4K
vs crowd: 12% YES on $12.5K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 16 | $448 | $4.3K | $3.9K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 18 | $373 | $5.5K | $5.1K |
| 🐟 Fish | 26 | $136 | $891 | $755 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 70 | $495 | $308 | +$187 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 4 | $255 | $5.2K | $4.9K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 8 | $20 | $519 | $499 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $6 | $132 | $126 |
| Median | 13 | $40 | $2.7K | $2.7K |
| Below median | 12 | $87 | $153 | $66 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 4 | $42 | $6 | +$36 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 12 | $186 | $802 | $616 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 6 | $48 | $636 | $588 |
| unranked | 69 | $769 | $853 | $85 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| stormshadow 0x2ca9…b942 | No | +2,817 | $2,599 | $2,809 | 15 | 08-18 13:34 |
| (anonymous) 0xf6d1…32b8 | No | +1,867 | $1,774 | $1,774 | 2 | 05-29 10:47 |
| (anonymous) 0xedea…a94d | Yes | +1,822 | $91 | $91 | 1 | 05-29 10:47 |
| Few-Prevention 0xa58d…b9b8 | Yes | +912 | $-35 | $546 | 72 | 08-20 13:23 |
| Cheery-Preparation 0xcaab…24dd | No | +610 | $415 | $5,375 | 11 | 07-08 14:58 |
| Quizzical-Hire 0x4337…8882 | No | +555 | $511 | $511 | 2 | 06-05 13:19 |
| (anonymous) 0xae38…6247 | Yes | +375 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 07-29 12:41 |
| Pleasant-Councilor 0x42fa…1fc7 | No | +335 | $312 | $312 | 3 | 06-30 17:01 |
| Subdued-Supernatural 0xe899…a588 | Yes | +308 | $18 | $18 | 5 | 07-22 05:51 |
| (anonymous) 0xcc5e…94f9 | Yes | +250 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 07-18 00:21 |
| Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | +230 | $6 | $6 | 9 | 08-21 13:48 |
| (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | +202 | $186 | $186 | 1 | 06-28 17:01 |
| Flimsy-Lute 0x5849…a99e | Yes | +194 | $2 | $6 | 10 | 08-22 10:05 |
| Expensive-Fugato 0xf70b…b78e | No | +179 | $163 | $163 | 3 | 06-06 04:50 |
| Traumatic-Yogurt 0x0b46…625f | Yes | +144 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 06-24 14:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x1c64…8ffc | Yes | +111 | $10 | $10 | 2 | 06-29 15:04 |
| Good-Natured-Time 0xe328…9f4a | Yes | +84 | $6 | $6 | 2 | 06-18 15:28 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | +81 | $75 | $826 | 5 | 07-22 13:49 |
| Defenseless-Placement 0x275c…6090 | No | +67 | $59 | $187 | 2 | 08-21 13:48 |
| (anonymous) 0xac83…26c4 | Yes | +60 | $4 | $4 | 5 | 07-02 03:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x5a61…2a07 | Yes | +51 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-22 18:32 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +50 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-10 07:41 |
| (anonymous) 0x4ecb…bf12 | Yes | +40 | $3 | $3 | 3 | 07-21 14:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x699a…bb9f | Yes | +38 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-12 05:25 |
| (anonymous) 0x5f6b…08f3 | Yes | +36 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 08-22 10:05 |
| Closed-Rating 0x505e…affc | Yes | +33 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-04 01:29 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | +30 | $29 | $235 | 20 | 08-22 10:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x0b10…ad72 | Yes | +27 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-24 08:12 |
| (anonymous) 0xe215…1c22 | Yes | +17 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-18 16:40 |
| Idealistic-Magnet 0x740b…647a | No | +11 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 05-31 15:27 |
| (anonymous) 0x2fa8…e1f5 | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 06-16 17:36 |
| (anonymous) 0x2732…dc84 | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 07-14 12:43 |
| Vengeful-Zoology 0x32ae…e3be | Yes | +8 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-26 12:48 |
| Dearest-Proctor 0x8fdf…af9e | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-26 13:59 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-28 22:23 |
| (anonymous) 0x27d4…7d08 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 08-05 07:55 |
| Gaseous-Soybean 0xb2a3…79e0 | No | +3 | $3 | $25 | 4 | 08-11 14:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x0024…b0cc | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 08-04 08:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x179c…d292 | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-24 20:24 |
| Practical-Yew 0xfb15…441e | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 08-04 06:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | Yes | +2 | $0 | $3 | 5 | 06-26 14:58 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +1 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 07-10 19:17 |
| Exemplary-Hypothermia 0xa594…95f6 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-07 05:16 |
| (anonymous) 0x8eb6…cd7e | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 08-04 16:10 |
| Soupy-Dozen 0x6527…38e5 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-31 11:27 |
| Minty-Crust 0x2c38…a15a | No | +1 | $2 | $380 | 15 | 08-18 05:56 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-22 10:05:43 | (anonymous) 0x5f6b…08f3 | Yes | BUY | 36 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x8f54c1… |
| 08-22 10:05:43 | Flimsy-Lute 0x5849…a99e | Yes | SELL | 6 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x8f54c1… |
| 08-22 10:05:43 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 30 | 97¢ | $29 | 0x8f54c1… |
| 08-21 13:48:10 | Defenseless-Placement 0x275c…6090 | No | SELL | 65 | 99¢ | $64 | 0x345c87… |
| 08-21 13:48:10 | Utilized-Discovery 0x4618…f25e | Yes | SELL | 135 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x345c87… |
| 08-21 13:48:10 | Flimsy-Lute 0x5849…a99e | Yes | BUY | 30 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x345c87… |
| 08-21 13:48:10 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 40 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x345c87… |
| 08-20 16:42:58 | Flimsy-Lute 0x5849…a99e | Yes | BUY | 70 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xd6f290… |
| 08-20 16:42:58 | (anonymous) 0xd2d9…5653 | Yes | SELL | 170 | 1¢ | $2 | 0xd6f290… |
| 08-20 16:42:58 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 40 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xd6f290… |
| 08-20 13:23:45 | (anonymous) 0xe5f9…8280 | No | SELL | 6 | 97¢ | $6 | 0x4dbdd0… |
| 08-20 13:23:45 | (anonymous) 0x58d9…ab4a | No | SELL | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x4dbdd0… |
| 08-20 13:23:45 | (anonymous) 0x1b64…91e9 | Yes | SELL | 838 | 2¢ | $17 | 0x4dbdd0… |
| 08-20 13:23:45 | (anonymous) 0x4708…9bb1 | No | SELL | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x4dbdd0… |
| 08-20 13:23:45 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 30 | 97¢ | $29 | 0x4dbdd0… |
| 08-20 13:23:45 | Few-Prevention 0xa58d…b9b8 | Yes | BUY | 781 | 2¢ | $16 | 0x4dbdd0… |
| 08-20 13:23:45 | (anonymous) 0xbac8…32c7 | No | SELL | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x4dbdd0… |
| 08-20 13:23:45 | (anonymous) 0x4a76…5b26 | No | SELL | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x4dbdd0… |
| 08-18 13:34:55 | (anonymous) 0xbac8…32c7 | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0xab8a25… |
| 08-18 13:34:55 | (anonymous) 0x4a76…5b26 | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0xab8a25… |
| 08-18 13:34:55 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 92 | 3¢ | $3 | 0xab8a25… |
| 08-18 13:34:55 | (anonymous) 0xe5f9…8280 | No | BUY | 6 | 97¢ | $6 | 0xab8a25… |
| 08-18 13:34:55 | stormshadow 0x2ca9…b942 | No | SELL | 109 | 97¢ | $105 | 0xab8a25… |
| 08-18 05:56:51 | Minty-Crust 0x2c38…a15a | No | SELL | 10 | 96¢ | $10 | 0x1c87c9… |
| 08-18 05:56:51 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x1c87c9… |
| 08-18 05:25:45 | Minty-Crust 0x2c38…a15a | No | SELL | 50 | 96¢ | $48 | 0xf1fdc2… |
| 08-18 05:25:45 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 30 | 96¢ | $29 | 0xf1fdc2… |
| 08-18 05:25:45 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xf1fdc2… |
| 08-18 05:25:45 | (anonymous) 0x58d9…ab4a | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0xf1fdc2… |
| 08-18 05:25:45 | (anonymous) 0x4708…9bb1 | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0xf1fdc2… |
| 08-18 05:25:30 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xa3cbbf… |
| 08-18 05:25:30 | Minty-Crust 0x2c38…a15a | No | BUY | 49 | 98¢ | $48 | 0xa3cbbf… |
| 08-18 05:25:30 | (anonymous) 0xe5f9…8280 | No | SELL | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0xa3cbbf… |
| 08-18 05:25:30 | Flimsy-Lute 0x5849…a99e | Yes | BUY | 25 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xa3cbbf… |
| 08-18 05:25:30 | (anonymous) 0xe2a0…1e3b | No | SELL | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0xa3cbbf… |
| 08-18 04:27:06 | Flimsy-Lute 0x5849…a99e | Yes | BUY | 11 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xe2608e… |
| 08-18 04:27:06 | Minty-Crust 0x2c38…a15a | No | BUY | 11 | 98¢ | $11 | 0xe2608e… |
| 08-17 09:59:06 | Minty-Crust 0x2c38…a15a | No | SELL | 44 | 97¢ | $43 | 0x94f4e5… |
| 08-17 09:59:06 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 44 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x94f4e5… |
| 08-17 09:56:57 | Minty-Crust 0x2c38…a15a | No | SELL | 45 | 97¢ | $44 | 0xaa9dfb… |
| 08-17 09:56:57 | (anonymous) 0xe2a0…1e3b | No | BUY | 6 | 97¢ | $5 | 0xaa9dfb… |
| 08-17 09:56:57 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 34 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xaa9dfb… |
| 08-17 09:56:57 | (anonymous) 0xe5f9…8280 | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0xaa9dfb… |
| 08-17 08:00:52 | Minty-Crust 0x2c38…a15a | No | BUY | 45 | 97¢ | $44 | 0x395f5a… |
| 08-17 08:00:52 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | BUY | 45 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x395f5a… |
| 08-17 07:56:58 | Minty-Crust 0x2c38…a15a | No | BUY | 44 | 97¢ | $43 | 0xbc7758… |
| 08-17 07:56:58 | Few-Prevention 0xa58d…b9b8 | Yes | BUY | 44 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xbc7758… |
| 08-16 20:00:55 | Minty-Crust 0x2c38…a15a | No | SELL | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0x851577… |
| 08-16 20:00:55 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x851577… |
| 08-15 15:24:04 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xacf0a8… |
| 08-15 15:24:04 | Minty-Crust 0x2c38…a15a | No | SELL | 9 | 96¢ | $9 | 0xacf0a8… |
| 08-15 08:38:40 | Few-Prevention 0xa58d…b9b8 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xfca70e… |
| 08-15 08:38:40 | Minty-Crust 0x2c38…a15a | No | BUY | 11 | 97¢ | $11 | 0xfca70e… |
| 08-13 15:59:36 | stormshadow 0x2ca9…b942 | No | BUY | 6 | 96¢ | $6 | 0x5fad58… |
| 08-13 15:59:36 | (anonymous) 0x1720…be3f | No | SELL | 6 | 96¢ | $6 | 0x5fad58… |
| 08-12 06:01:30 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xef725b… |
| 08-12 06:01:30 | Mundane-Airbag 0xa3af…b7a6 | No | SELL | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0xef725b… |
| 08-11 21:13:06 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xa8ff9d… |
| 08-11 21:13:06 | Mundane-Airbag 0xa3af…b7a6 | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xa8ff9d… |
| 08-11 14:59:01 | Gaseous-Soybean 0xb2a3…79e0 | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xd841c3… |
| 08-11 14:59:01 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xd841c3… |
| 08-10 15:03:15 | (anonymous) 0x1720…be3f | No | BUY | 6 | 96¢ | $6 | 0xa203cd… |
| 08-10 15:03:15 | (anonymous) 0x4708…9bb1 | No | BUY | 0 | 96¢ | $0 | 0xa203cd… |
| 08-10 15:03:15 | Gaseous-Soybean 0xb2a3…79e0 | No | SELL | 6 | 96¢ | $6 | 0xa203cd… |
| 08-10 00:39:10 | Few-Prevention 0xa58d…b9b8 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xa92b3f… |
| 08-10 00:39:10 | Gaseous-Soybean 0xb2a3…79e0 | No | BUY | 11 | 97¢ | $11 | 0xa92b3f… |
| 08-08 00:57:19 | Few-Prevention 0xa58d…b9b8 | Yes | BUY | 200 | 3¢ | $6 | 0x1f9255… |
| 08-08 00:57:19 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | Yes | SELL | 200 | 3¢ | $6 | 0x1f9255… |
| 08-06 16:27:08 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 200 | 3¢ | $6 | 0x1cfbb3… |
| 08-06 16:27:08 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | Yes | SELL | 200 | 3¢ | $6 | 0x1cfbb3… |
| 08-06 16:19:11 | (anonymous) 0x578f…f112 | No | SELL | 80 | 96¢ | $77 | 0xd7b258… |
| 08-06 16:19:11 | stormshadow 0x2ca9…b942 | No | BUY | 80 | 96¢ | $77 | 0xd7b258… |
| 08-06 16:18:54 | stormshadow 0x2ca9…b942 | No | BUY | 624 | 96¢ | $597 | 0x957743… |
| 08-06 16:18:54 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | Yes | BUY | 200 | 4¢ | $8 | 0x957743… |
| 08-06 16:18:54 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | Yes | BUY | 200 | 4¢ | $8 | 0x957743… |
| 08-06 16:18:54 | (anonymous) 0xbb39…ee8a | No | SELL | 224 | 96¢ | $214 | 0x957743… |
| 08-06 07:47:02 | (anonymous) 0x4808…1285 | No | SELL | 3 | 96¢ | $2 | 0x89a331… |
| 08-06 07:47:02 | Few-Prevention 0xa58d…b9b8 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x89a331… |
| 08-05 11:36:08 | (anonymous) 0x8c70…daef | No | SELL | 3 | 96¢ | $3 | 0x12976a… |
| 08-05 11:36:08 | Few-Prevention 0xa58d…b9b8 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x12976a… |
| 08-05 10:51:11 | (anonymous) 0x805d…9a6e | No | SELL | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0xd4a84a… |
| 08-05 10:51:11 | Few-Prevention 0xa58d…b9b8 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xd4a84a… |
| 08-05 08:33:36 | Few-Prevention 0xa58d…b9b8 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x7ecf4b… |
| 08-05 08:33:36 | (anonymous) 0xd11e…9543 | No | SELL | 4 | 96¢ | $4 | 0x7ecf4b… |
| 08-05 07:55:47 | (anonymous) 0x27d4…7d08 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $4 | 0x55d46d… |
| 08-05 07:55:47 | (anonymous) 0x578f…f112 | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $4 | 0x55d46d… |
| 08-05 01:48:12 | (anonymous) 0x913c…6566 | No | SELL | 7 | 96¢ | $7 | 0x526969… |
| 08-05 01:48:12 | Few-Prevention 0xa58d…b9b8 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x526969… |
| 08-04 20:47:35 | (anonymous) 0x34b4…3f37 | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xd624f8… |
| 08-04 20:47:35 | Few-Prevention 0xa58d…b9b8 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xd624f8… |
| 08-04 20:14:18 | Complex-Poison 0x3848…8f61 | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xe71144… |
| 08-04 20:14:18 | Few-Prevention 0xa58d…b9b8 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xe71144… |
| 08-04 16:10:29 | (anonymous) 0x8eb6…cd7e | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x1c59a7… |
| 08-04 16:10:29 | (anonymous) 0x578f…f112 | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x1c59a7… |
| 08-04 15:15:06 | Fickle-Likeness 0x6791…50f0 | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $4 | 0x035209… |
| 08-04 15:15:06 | Few-Prevention 0xa58d…b9b8 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x035209… |
| 08-04 08:05:50 | (anonymous) 0x578f…f112 | No | SELL | 3 | 96¢ | $3 | 0x843c19… |
| 08-04 08:05:50 | (anonymous) 0x0024…b0cc | No | BUY | 3 | 96¢ | $3 | 0x843c19… |
| 08-04 06:03:21 | Practical-Yew 0xfb15…441e | No | BUY | 3 | 96¢ | $3 | 0x2683da… |
| 08-04 06:03:21 | (anonymous) 0x578f…f112 | No | SELL | 3 | 96¢ | $3 | 0x2683da… |