Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026?
open
Total volume
$6,169
$42 in 24h
Trades
103
Unique wallets
42
Liquidity
$42,513
Latest YES mid
8¢
Latest NO mid
92¢
End date
2027-01-01
First seen
2026-05-28
last 06-18 16:40
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+6.0¢
(top1%: 18% YES on $620
vs crowd: 12% YES on $4.1K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 4 | $109 | $511 | $401 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 5 | $11 | $2.3K | $2.2K |
| 🐟 Fish | 11 | $19 | $649 | $629 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 22 | $330 | $173 | +$157 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 2 | $109 | $511 | $401 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $2 | $1.8K | $1.8K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $11 | — | +$11 |
| Median | 2 | $5 | — | +$5 |
| Below median | 4 | $30 | — | +$30 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 4 | $9 | $601 | $592 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | — | — | +— |
| unranked | 22 | $304 | $688 | $384 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0xf6d1…32b8 | No | +1,867 | $1,774 | $1,774 | 2 | 05-29 10:47 |
| (anonymous) 0xedea…a94d | Yes | +1,822 | $91 | $91 | 1 | 05-29 10:47 |
| Happy-Pickup 0x0cf7…af6e | Yes | +1,312 | $70 | $140 | 2 | 06-07 07:43 |
| Quizzical-Hire 0x4337…8882 | No | +555 | $511 | $511 | 2 | 06-05 13:19 |
| Scary-Antibody 0x2be0…68ad | Yes | +400 | $32 | $32 | 1 | 06-07 07:43 |
| Expensive-Fugato 0xf70b…b78e | No | +179 | $163 | $163 | 3 | 06-06 04:50 |
| Defenseless-Placement 0x275c…6090 | No | +132 | $123 | $123 | 1 | 06-13 09:20 |
| Subdued-Supernatural 0xe899…a588 | Yes | +111 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-06 04:50 |
| Automatic-Caravan 0xe703…af4e | Yes | +100 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 06-03 22:15 |
| Good-Natured-Time 0xe328…9f4a | Yes | +84 | $6 | $6 | 2 | 06-18 15:28 |
| Utilized-Discovery 0x4618…f25e | Yes | +75 | $6 | $6 | 4 | 06-13 09:20 |
| (anonymous) 0x699a…bb9f | Yes | +38 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-12 05:25 |
| Closed-Rating 0x505e…affc | Yes | +33 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-04 01:29 |
| Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | +20 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-16 07:12 |
| (anonymous) 0xe215…1c22 | Yes | +17 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-18 16:40 |
| Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | +12 | $2 | $4 | 2 | 06-07 07:43 |
| Idealistic-Magnet 0x740b…647a | No | +11 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 05-31 15:27 |
| (anonymous) 0x2fa8…e1f5 | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 06-16 17:36 |
| Tired-Acoustics 0x61f2…e77a | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 06-18 15:28 |
| Vigilant-School 0x3cff…6fbd | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 2 | 06-17 00:52 |
| Soupy-Dozen 0x6527…38e5 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-31 11:27 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-18 16:40:52 | Few-Prevention 0xa58d…b9b8 | Yes | SELL | 17 | 9¢ | $2 | 0xb5c9f3… |
| 06-18 16:40:52 | (anonymous) 0xe215…1c22 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 9¢ | $2 | 0xb5c9f3… |
| 06-18 15:28:58 | Tired-Acoustics 0x61f2…e77a | No | BUY | 10 | 92¢ | $9 | 0xcb7ac2… |
| 06-18 15:28:58 | Few-Prevention 0xa58d…b9b8 | Yes | SELL | 24 | 9¢ | $2 | 0xcb7ac2… |
| 06-18 15:28:58 | Good-Natured-Time 0xe328…9f4a | Yes | BUY | 34 | 9¢ | $3 | 0xcb7ac2… |
| 06-18 14:08:28 | (anonymous) 0x2d04…3065 | Yes | SELL | 444 | 6¢ | $27 | 0x15ff5b… |
| 06-18 14:08:28 | Few-Prevention 0xa58d…b9b8 | Yes | BUY | 444 | 6¢ | $27 | 0x15ff5b… |
| 06-18 14:06:41 | Few-Prevention 0xa58d…b9b8 | Yes | SELL | 111 | 9¢ | $10 | 0x92fd0a… |
| 06-18 14:06:41 | (anonymous) 0x2d04…3065 | Yes | BUY | 111 | 9¢ | $10 | 0x92fd0a… |
| 06-18 14:06:16 | (anonymous) 0x2d04…3065 | Yes | BUY | 333 | 9¢ | $30 | 0x81d489… |
| 06-18 14:06:16 | Few-Prevention 0xa58d…b9b8 | Yes | SELL | 333 | 9¢ | $30 | 0x81d489… |
| 06-17 17:58:19 | (anonymous) 0xcc82…a9f4 | No | SELL | 100 | 91¢ | $91 | 0xd9f844… |
| 06-17 17:58:19 | Few-Prevention 0xa58d…b9b8 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 9¢ | $9 | 0xd9f844… |
| 06-17 00:52:10 | (anonymous) 0x65a9…f593 | No | SELL | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0x2a8569… |
| 06-17 00:52:10 | Vigilant-School 0x3cff…6fbd | No | BUY | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0x2a8569… |
| 06-17 00:52:10 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | No | BUY | 0 | 93¢ | $0 | 0x2a8569… |
| 06-16 17:36:08 | (anonymous) 0x2fa8…e1f5 | No | BUY | 10 | 94¢ | $9 | 0x99b931… |
| 06-16 17:36:08 | Few-Prevention 0xa58d…b9b8 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x99b931… |
| 06-16 14:48:41 | Vigilant-School 0x3cff…6fbd | No | BUY | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x6f46cd… |
| 06-16 14:48:41 | (anonymous) 0x15ab…1817 | No | SELL | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x6f46cd… |
| 06-16 07:12:22 | Few-Prevention 0xa58d…b9b8 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 9¢ | $2 | 0xecb966… |
| 06-16 07:12:22 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 20 | 9¢ | $2 | 0xecb966… |
| 06-15 07:28:18 | (anonymous) 0x422c…7287 | Yes | SELL | 432 | 7¢ | $30 | 0x1f084d… |
| 06-15 07:28:18 | (anonymous) 0xfc08…6be7 | No | SELL | 432 | 93¢ | $402 | 0x1f084d… |
| 06-15 01:50:52 | (anonymous) 0xc7b2…417e | Yes | SELL | 13 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x803d76… |
| 06-15 01:50:52 | (anonymous) 0xfc08…6be7 | No | SELL | 13 | 93¢ | $12 | 0x803d76… |
| 06-13 09:20:15 | Utilized-Discovery 0x4618…f25e | Yes | BUY | 16 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x4ccaa8… |
| 06-13 09:20:15 | (anonymous) 0xfc08…6be7 | No | SELL | 65 | 93¢ | $60 | 0x4ccaa8… |
| 06-13 09:20:15 | Defenseless-Placement 0x275c…6090 | No | BUY | 132 | 93¢ | $123 | 0x4ccaa8… |
| 06-13 09:20:15 | Few-Prevention 0xa58d…b9b8 | Yes | BUY | 51 | 7¢ | $4 | 0x4ccaa8… |
| 06-13 01:52:52 | Few-Prevention 0xa58d…b9b8 | Yes | BUY | 200 | 7¢ | $14 | 0xb14f82… |
| 06-13 01:52:52 | (anonymous) 0xe77b…2e29 | Yes | SELL | 200 | 7¢ | $14 | 0xb14f82… |
| 06-12 05:25:24 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | SELL | 38 | 8¢ | $3 | 0x230bac… |
| 06-12 05:25:24 | (anonymous) 0x699a…bb9f | Yes | BUY | 38 | 8¢ | $3 | 0x230bac… |
| 06-10 18:23:01 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | SELL | 200 | 8¢ | $16 | 0x1172c1… |
| 06-10 18:23:01 | (anonymous) 0xe77b…2e29 | Yes | BUY | 200 | 8¢ | $16 | 0x1172c1… |
| 06-09 08:31:10 | Utilized-Discovery 0x4618…f25e | Yes | BUY | 30 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x7bb8b0… |
| 06-09 08:31:10 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x7bb8b0… |
| 06-09 06:21:03 | (anonymous) 0xd067…9d32 | Yes | SELL | 76 | 7¢ | $5 | 0xeb45d2… |
| 06-09 06:21:03 | Few-Prevention 0xa58d…b9b8 | Yes | BUY | 76 | 7¢ | $5 | 0xeb45d2… |
| 06-08 13:56:46 | Few-Prevention 0xa58d…b9b8 | Yes | BUY | 56 | 7¢ | $4 | 0x2f11ba… |
| 06-08 13:56:46 | (anonymous) 0x32d8…07ac | Yes | SELL | 56 | 7¢ | $4 | 0x2f11ba… |
| 06-07 18:34:46 | Deadly-Weird 0xe049…cf67 | Yes | SELL | 117 | 7¢ | $8 | 0xd30da8… |
| 06-07 18:34:46 | Few-Prevention 0xa58d…b9b8 | Yes | BUY | 117 | 7¢ | $8 | 0xd30da8… |
| 06-07 07:43:30 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | BUY | 38 | 8¢ | $3 | 0x1768c5… |
| 06-07 07:43:30 | Scary-Antibody 0x2be0…68ad | Yes | BUY | 400 | 8¢ | $32 | 0x1768c5… |
| 06-07 07:43:30 | Happy-Pickup 0x0cf7…af6e | Yes | SELL | 438 | 8¢ | $35 | 0x1768c5… |
| 06-06 04:50:04 | Subdued-Supernatural 0xe899…a588 | Yes | BUY | 111 | 9¢ | $10 | 0x53103a… |
| 06-06 04:50:04 | Expensive-Fugato 0xf70b…b78e | No | BUY | 111 | 91¢ | $101 | 0x53103a… |
| 06-05 16:46:55 | (anonymous) 0x32d8…07ac | Yes | BUY | 56 | 9¢ | $5 | 0xe8c20c… |
| 06-05 16:46:55 | Expensive-Fugato 0xf70b…b78e | No | BUY | 56 | 91¢ | $51 | 0xe8c20c… |
| 06-05 15:46:30 | Expensive-Fugato 0xf70b…b78e | No | BUY | 12 | 91¢ | $11 | 0x84305d… |
| 06-05 15:46:30 | Utilized-Discovery 0x4618…f25e | Yes | BUY | 12 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x84305d… |
| 06-05 13:19:40 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 8¢ | $4 | 0x94cf75… |
| 06-05 13:19:40 | Quizzical-Hire 0x4337…8882 | No | BUY | 18 | 92¢ | $17 | 0x94cf75… |
| 06-05 13:19:40 | Few-Prevention 0xa58d…b9b8 | Yes | BUY | 68 | 8¢ | $5 | 0x94cf75… |
| 06-05 13:19:16 | Intelligent-Nightingale 0x736f…deaa | No | SELL | 537 | 92¢ | $494 | 0x1ec68f… |
| 06-05 13:19:16 | Quizzical-Hire 0x4337…8882 | No | BUY | 537 | 92¢ | $494 | 0x1ec68f… |
| 06-05 13:18:39 | Intelligent-Nightingale 0x736f…deaa | No | BUY | 537 | 93¢ | $499 | 0xaa2214… |
| 06-05 13:18:39 | Few-Prevention 0xa58d…b9b8 | Yes | BUY | 537 | 7¢ | $38 | 0xaa2214… |
| 06-05 12:59:57 | (anonymous) 0xd067…9d32 | Yes | BUY | 43 | 7¢ | $3 | 0xa45af3… |
| 06-05 12:59:57 | Few-Prevention 0xa58d…b9b8 | Yes | SELL | 43 | 7¢ | $3 | 0xa45af3… |
| 06-05 12:57:15 | Few-Prevention 0xa58d…b9b8 | Yes | SELL | 19 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x436a16… |
| 06-05 12:57:15 | (anonymous) 0xd067…9d32 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x436a16… |
| 06-05 12:55:04 | Few-Prevention 0xa58d…b9b8 | Yes | SELL | 14 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x521f99… |
| 06-05 12:55:04 | (anonymous) 0xd067…9d32 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x521f99… |
| 06-05 11:16:21 | Vapid-Enrollment 0x41ec…5529 | Yes | SELL | 167 | 6¢ | $10 | 0xb93b23… |
| 06-05 11:16:21 | Probable-Site 0x1e52…91d6 | No | SELL | 167 | 94¢ | $157 | 0xb93b23… |
| 06-04 19:46:28 | Few-Prevention 0xa58d…b9b8 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xada144… |
| 06-04 19:46:28 | Stylish-Stance 0xb0aa…7cfd | No | SELL | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0xada144… |
| 06-04 17:47:15 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | No | SELL | 482 | 93¢ | $449 | 0x302f1a… |
| 06-04 17:47:15 | Few-Prevention 0xa58d…b9b8 | Yes | SELL | 482 | 7¢ | $34 | 0x302f1a… |
| 06-04 17:47:12 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | No | BUY | 482 | 94¢ | $453 | 0x88486f… |
| 06-04 17:47:12 | Instructive-Faculty 0xf0f3…985a | Yes | SELL | 200 | 6¢ | $12 | 0x88486f… |
| 06-04 17:47:12 | Few-Prevention 0xa58d…b9b8 | Yes | SELL | 718 | 6¢ | $43 | 0x88486f… |
| 06-04 17:47:12 | Happy-Pickup 0x0cf7…af6e | Yes | BUY | 1,750 | 6¢ | $105 | 0x88486f… |
| 06-04 01:29:30 | Few-Prevention 0xa58d…b9b8 | Yes | SELL | 33 | 6¢ | $2 | 0x4d075d… |
| 06-04 01:29:30 | Closed-Rating 0x505e…affc | Yes | BUY | 33 | 6¢ | $2 | 0x4d075d… |
| 06-03 22:15:40 | Few-Prevention 0xa58d…b9b8 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 6¢ | $6 | 0xc09b95… |
| 06-03 22:15:40 | Automatic-Caravan 0xe703…af4e | Yes | BUY | 100 | 6¢ | $6 | 0xc09b95… |
| 06-02 01:55:51 | Vapid-Enrollment 0x41ec…5529 | Yes | BUY | 167 | 6¢ | $10 | 0xc5048c… |
| 06-02 01:55:51 | Few-Prevention 0xa58d…b9b8 | Yes | SELL | 167 | 6¢ | $10 | 0xc5048c… |
| 05-31 21:41:00 | Ragged-Proctor 0xba8f…ad42 | Yes | SELL | 83 | 4¢ | $3 | 0x457d04… |
| 05-31 21:41:00 | Few-Prevention 0xa58d…b9b8 | Yes | BUY | 83 | 4¢ | $3 | 0x457d04… |
| 05-31 19:00:04 | Good-Natured-Time 0xe328…9f4a | Yes | BUY | 50 | 6¢ | $3 | 0xe3c410… |
| 05-31 19:00:04 | Few-Prevention 0xa58d…b9b8 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 6¢ | $3 | 0xe3c410… |
| 05-31 15:27:45 | Few-Prevention 0xa58d…b9b8 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x771d93… |
| 05-31 15:27:45 | Idealistic-Magnet 0x740b…647a | No | BUY | 11 | 96¢ | $11 | 0x771d93… |
| 05-31 11:27:59 | Soupy-Dozen 0x6527…38e5 | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x25ab34… |
| 05-31 11:27:59 | Few-Prevention 0xa58d…b9b8 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x25ab34… |
| 05-30 16:50:27 | Instructive-Faculty 0xf0f3…985a | Yes | BUY | 200 | 6¢ | $12 | 0xb66bf3… |
| 05-30 16:50:27 | Few-Prevention 0xa58d…b9b8 | Yes | SELL | 200 | 6¢ | $12 | 0xb66bf3… |
| 05-30 04:36:46 | Utilized-Discovery 0x4618…f25e | Yes | BUY | 17 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x98fe26… |
| 05-30 04:36:46 | Few-Prevention 0xa58d…b9b8 | Yes | SELL | 17 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x98fe26… |
| 05-29 13:35:24 | Few-Prevention 0xa58d…b9b8 | Yes | SELL | 83 | 6¢ | $5 | 0x19ee1e… |
| 05-29 13:35:24 | Ragged-Proctor 0xba8f…ad42 | Yes | BUY | 83 | 6¢ | $5 | 0x19ee1e… |
| 05-29 10:47:03 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | No | SELL | 26 | 95¢ | $24 | 0x8fd777… |
| 05-29 10:47:03 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | SELL | 26 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x8fd777… |
| 05-29 10:47:00 | (anonymous) 0xf6d1…32b8 | No | BUY | 1,796 | 95¢ | $1,706 | 0x56c8f4… |
| 05-29 10:47:00 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | No | BUY | 26 | 95¢ | $24 | 0x56c8f4… |