Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026?
open
Total volume
$20,835
$42 in 24h
Trades
381
Unique wallets
113
Liquidity
$42,513
Latest YES mid
4¢
Latest NO mid
96¢
End date
2027-01-01
First seen
2026-05-28
last 07-30 16:10
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-8.0¢
(top1%: 4% YES on $5.4K
vs crowd: 12% YES on $11.4K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 13 | $416 | $4.3K | $3.9K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 17 | $358 | $4.8K | $4.4K |
| 🐟 Fish | 24 | $135 | $690 | $555 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 59 | $491 | $253 | +$238 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 5 | $232 | $5.2K | $5.0K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 6 | $11 | $514 | $504 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $11 | $74 | $62 |
| Median | 11 | $31 | $2.0K | $2.0K |
| Below median | 11 | $78 | $153 | $74 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 4 | $42 | $6 | +$36 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 9 | $180 | $606 | $426 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 6 | $47 | $641 | $594 |
| unranked | 58 | $769 | $789 | $20 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| stormshadow 0x2ca9…b942 | No | +2,216 | $2,024 | $2,024 | 11 | 06-26 15:41 |
| (anonymous) 0xf6d1…32b8 | No | +1,867 | $1,774 | $1,774 | 2 | 05-29 10:47 |
| (anonymous) 0xedea…a94d | Yes | +1,822 | $91 | $91 | 1 | 05-29 10:47 |
| (anonymous) 0x1b64…91e9 | Yes | +838 | $36 | $36 | 2 | 07-26 19:40 |
| Cheery-Preparation 0xcaab…24dd | No | +610 | $415 | $5,375 | 11 | 07-08 14:58 |
| Quizzical-Hire 0x4337…8882 | No | +555 | $511 | $511 | 2 | 06-05 13:19 |
| (anonymous) 0xae38…6247 | Yes | +375 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 07-29 12:41 |
| Pleasant-Councilor 0x42fa…1fc7 | No | +335 | $312 | $312 | 3 | 06-30 17:01 |
| Subdued-Supernatural 0xe899…a588 | Yes | +308 | $18 | $18 | 5 | 07-22 05:51 |
| (anonymous) 0xcc5e…94f9 | Yes | +250 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 07-18 00:21 |
| (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | +202 | $186 | $186 | 1 | 06-28 17:01 |
| Expensive-Fugato 0xf70b…b78e | No | +179 | $163 | $163 | 3 | 06-06 04:50 |
| (anonymous) 0xd2d9…5653 | Yes | +170 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 06-26 13:56 |
| Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | +150 | $5 | $5 | 7 | 07-12 11:14 |
| Traumatic-Yogurt 0x0b46…625f | Yes | +144 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 06-24 14:02 |
| Utilized-Discovery 0x4618…f25e | Yes | +135 | $9 | $9 | 6 | 07-19 19:06 |
| Defenseless-Placement 0x275c…6090 | No | +132 | $123 | $123 | 1 | 06-13 09:20 |
| (anonymous) 0x578f…f112 | No | +129 | $123 | $260 | 3 | 07-30 03:36 |
| (anonymous) 0x1c64…8ffc | Yes | +111 | $10 | $10 | 2 | 06-29 15:04 |
| Good-Natured-Time 0xe328…9f4a | Yes | +84 | $6 | $6 | 2 | 06-18 15:28 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | +81 | $75 | $826 | 5 | 07-22 13:49 |
| (anonymous) 0xac83…26c4 | Yes | +60 | $4 | $4 | 5 | 07-02 03:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x5a61…2a07 | Yes | +51 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-22 18:32 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +50 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-10 07:41 |
| (anonymous) 0x4ecb…bf12 | Yes | +40 | $3 | $3 | 3 | 07-21 14:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x699a…bb9f | Yes | +38 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-12 05:25 |
| Closed-Rating 0x505e…affc | Yes | +33 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-04 01:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x0b10…ad72 | Yes | +27 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-24 08:12 |
| (anonymous) 0xe215…1c22 | Yes | +17 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-18 16:40 |
| Idealistic-Magnet 0x740b…647a | No | +11 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 05-31 15:27 |
| (anonymous) 0x2fa8…e1f5 | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 06-16 17:36 |
| (anonymous) 0x2732…dc84 | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 07-14 12:43 |
| Vengeful-Zoology 0x32ae…e3be | Yes | +8 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-26 12:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x913c…6566 | No | +7 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 07-28 03:15 |
| Mundane-Airbag 0xa3af…b7a6 | No | +7 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 06-26 14:58 |
| Dearest-Proctor 0x8fdf…af9e | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-26 13:59 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-28 22:23 |
| Fickle-Likeness 0x6791…50f0 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 07-28 10:55 |
| (anonymous) 0xd11e…9543 | No | +4 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 07-27 07:18 |
| Flimsy-Lute 0x5849…a99e | Yes | +4 | $-1 | $3 | 4 | 07-19 19:06 |
| (anonymous) 0x179c…d292 | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-24 20:24 |
| Gaseous-Soybean 0xb2a3…79e0 | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 07-10 13:45 |
| (anonymous) 0x8c70…daef | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 07-27 10:45 |
| (anonymous) 0x4808…1285 | No | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-28 05:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x805d…9a6e | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-27 08:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | Yes | +2 | $0 | $3 | 5 | 06-26 14:58 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +1 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 07-10 19:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x34b4…3f37 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-10 19:17 |
| Dim-Pillbox-Tolerance 0x9614…d217 | No | +1 | $1 | $19 | 8 | 07-30 16:10 |
| Complex-Poison 0x3848…8f61 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-10 15:09 |
| Exemplary-Hypothermia 0xa594…95f6 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-07 05:16 |
| Soupy-Dozen 0x6527…38e5 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-31 11:27 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-30 16:10:17 | Few-Prevention 0xa58d…b9b8 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x67c9e3… |
| 07-30 16:10:17 | Dim-Pillbox-Tolerance 0x9614…d217 | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x67c9e3… |
| 07-30 03:36:12 | (anonymous) 0xfd0e…ea79 | Yes | SELL | 26 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x6f91d7… |
| 07-30 03:36:12 | (anonymous) 0x578f…f112 | No | SELL | 26 | 96¢ | $25 | 0x6f91d7… |
| 07-29 19:29:12 | (anonymous) 0x578f…f112 | No | SELL | 45 | 96¢ | $43 | 0xa9e4c3… |
| 07-29 19:29:12 | Purple-Yarn 0x7c9e…db3d | Yes | SELL | 52 | 4¢ | $2 | 0xa9e4c3… |
| 07-29 19:29:12 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 7 | 96¢ | $7 | 0xa9e4c3… |
| 07-29 12:41:48 | Purple-Yarn 0x7c9e…db3d | Yes | SELL | 375 | 4¢ | $15 | 0xb27c4d… |
| 07-29 12:41:48 | (anonymous) 0xae38…6247 | Yes | BUY | 375 | 4¢ | $15 | 0xb27c4d… |
| 07-28 10:55:11 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 5 | 97¢ | $4 | 0xa605c5… |
| 07-28 10:55:11 | Fickle-Likeness 0x6791…50f0 | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $4 | 0xa605c5… |
| 07-28 05:59:37 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 3 | 97¢ | $2 | 0xebdb70… |
| 07-28 05:59:37 | (anonymous) 0x4808…1285 | No | BUY | 3 | 97¢ | $2 | 0xebdb70… |
| 07-28 03:15:52 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 7 | 97¢ | $7 | 0x20c5fe… |
| 07-28 03:15:52 | (anonymous) 0x913c…6566 | No | BUY | 7 | 97¢ | $7 | 0x20c5fe… |
| 07-27 10:45:52 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 3 | 96¢ | $3 | 0x2f4b66… |
| 07-27 10:45:52 | (anonymous) 0x8c70…daef | No | BUY | 3 | 96¢ | $3 | 0x2f4b66… |
| 07-27 08:26:34 | (anonymous) 0x805d…9a6e | No | BUY | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0xa514e8… |
| 07-27 08:26:34 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0xa514e8… |
| 07-27 07:18:46 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 4 | 96¢ | $4 | 0x5a37bd… |
| 07-27 07:18:46 | (anonymous) 0xd11e…9543 | No | BUY | 4 | 96¢ | $4 | 0x5a37bd… |
| 07-26 19:40:39 | Purple-Yarn 0x7c9e…db3d | Yes | SELL | 150 | 4¢ | $6 | 0x806875… |
| 07-26 19:40:39 | (anonymous) 0x1b64…91e9 | Yes | BUY | 150 | 4¢ | $6 | 0x806875… |
| 07-24 08:12:40 | (anonymous) 0x0b10…ad72 | Yes | BUY | 27 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xf55a8e… |
| 07-24 08:12:40 | Few-Prevention 0xa58d…b9b8 | Yes | SELL | 27 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xf55a8e… |
| 07-23 22:48:39 | Few-Prevention 0xa58d…b9b8 | Yes | SELL | 458 | 4¢ | $20 | 0xa905b1… |
| 07-23 22:48:39 | (anonymous) 0x578f…f112 | No | BUY | 200 | 96¢ | $191 | 0xa905b1… |
| 07-23 22:48:39 | (anonymous) 0x1b64…91e9 | Yes | BUY | 688 | 4¢ | $30 | 0xa905b1… |
| 07-23 22:48:39 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 30 | 96¢ | $29 | 0xa905b1… |
| 07-22 13:49:57 | Few-Prevention 0xa58d…b9b8 | Yes | SELL | 170 | 4¢ | $7 | 0xf744f0… |
| 07-22 13:49:57 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 170 | 96¢ | $163 | 0xf744f0… |
| 07-22 05:51:57 | Few-Prevention 0xa58d…b9b8 | Yes | SELL | 45 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x20117f… |
| 07-22 05:51:57 | Subdued-Supernatural 0xe899…a588 | Yes | BUY | 45 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x20117f… |
| 07-21 14:30:21 | Few-Prevention 0xa58d…b9b8 | Yes | SELL | 23 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xb2d8b0… |
| 07-21 14:30:21 | (anonymous) 0x4ecb…bf12 | Yes | BUY | 23 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xb2d8b0… |
| 07-20 18:42:03 | Purple-Yarn 0x7c9e…db3d | Yes | SELL | 26 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xe979aa… |
| 07-20 18:42:03 | (anonymous) 0xfd0e…ea79 | Yes | BUY | 26 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xe979aa… |
| 07-20 11:10:42 | Purple-Yarn 0x7c9e…db3d | Yes | BUY | 251 | 4¢ | $10 | 0x33a5da… |
| 07-20 11:10:42 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | BUY | 251 | 96¢ | $241 | 0x33a5da… |
| 07-19 19:06:49 | Flimsy-Lute 0x5849…a99e | Yes | BUY | 4 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xf623c4… |
| 07-19 19:06:49 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | SELL | 4 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xf623c4… |
| 07-19 19:06:48 | Utilized-Discovery 0x4618…f25e | Yes | BUY | 40 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x0582c4… |
| 07-19 19:06:48 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | SELL | 40 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x0582c4… |
| 07-19 19:06:30 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 9 | 97¢ | $9 | 0xe7ddaa… |
| 07-19 19:06:30 | (anonymous) 0x308c…b824 | Yes | SELL | 53 | 3¢ | $2 | 0xe7ddaa… |
| 07-19 19:06:30 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | BUY | 44 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xe7ddaa… |
| 07-18 00:21:24 | (anonymous) 0xcc5e…94f9 | Yes | BUY | 250 | 4¢ | $10 | 0xbdc646… |
| 07-18 00:21:24 | Purple-Yarn 0x7c9e…db3d | Yes | SELL | 250 | 4¢ | $10 | 0xbdc646… |
| 07-15 09:16:32 | (anonymous) 0x21d7…f6e2 | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xb528c1… |
| 07-15 09:16:32 | Purple-Yarn 0x7c9e…db3d | Yes | SELL | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xb528c1… |
| 07-15 06:45:01 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0xeac78a… |
| 07-15 06:45:01 | (anonymous) 0x21d7…f6e2 | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0xeac78a… |
| 07-14 18:49:01 | Dim-Pillbox-Tolerance 0x9614…d217 | No | BUY | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0x6ce11b… |
| 07-14 18:49:01 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0x6ce11b… |
| 07-14 17:50:14 | Dim-Pillbox-Tolerance 0x9614…d217 | No | BUY | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0xea2ced… |
| 07-14 17:50:14 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0xea2ced… |
| 07-14 17:21:55 | Dim-Pillbox-Tolerance 0x9614…d217 | No | BUY | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0x89a7e2… |
| 07-14 17:21:55 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0x89a7e2… |
| 07-14 12:43:49 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 10 | 96¢ | $9 | 0xca05be… |
| 07-14 12:43:49 | (anonymous) 0x2732…dc84 | No | BUY | 10 | 96¢ | $9 | 0xca05be… |
| 07-14 10:31:37 | Purple-Yarn 0x7c9e…db3d | Yes | SELL | 50 | 4¢ | $2 | 0xe98b4a… |
| 07-14 10:31:37 | Subdued-Supernatural 0xe899…a588 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 4¢ | $2 | 0xe98b4a… |
| 07-13 08:00:02 | Purple-Yarn 0x7c9e…db3d | Yes | SELL | 21 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xf3932c… |
| 07-13 08:00:02 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 30 | 96¢ | $29 | 0xf3932c… |
| 07-13 08:00:02 | Subdued-Supernatural 0xe899…a588 | Yes | BUY | 51 | 4¢ | $2 | 0xf3932c… |
| 07-12 11:14:56 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 6 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x0937fa… |
| 07-12 11:14:56 | (anonymous) 0x489a…fff2 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x0937fa… |
| 07-12 07:57:47 | Purple-Yarn 0x7c9e…db3d | Yes | SELL | 28 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x8e7724… |
| 07-12 07:57:47 | Subdued-Supernatural 0xe899…a588 | Yes | BUY | 51 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x8e7724… |
| 07-12 07:57:47 | Flimsy-Lute 0x5849…a99e | Yes | SELL | 22 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x8e7724… |
| 07-11 12:19:47 | (anonymous) 0x308c…b824 | Yes | BUY | 53 | 4¢ | $2 | 0xd3ec75… |
| 07-11 12:19:47 | Flimsy-Lute 0x5849…a99e | Yes | SELL | 28 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xd3ec75… |
| 07-11 12:19:47 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xd3ec75… |
| 07-10 19:17:34 | (anonymous) 0x34b4…3f37 | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x76fdd8… |
| 07-10 19:17:34 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x76fdd8… |
| 07-10 19:09:08 | Frizzy-Tabernacle 0xc66c…36ac | Yes | SELL | 401 | 2¢ | $8 | 0x8850f9… |
| 07-10 19:09:08 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x8850f9… |
| 07-10 19:09:08 | Flimsy-Lute 0x5849…a99e | Yes | BUY | 50 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x8850f9… |
| 07-10 19:09:08 | Purple-Yarn 0x7c9e…db3d | Yes | BUY | 286 | 2¢ | $6 | 0x8850f9… |
| 07-10 19:09:08 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 40 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x8850f9… |
| 07-10 15:09:28 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x2d9061… |
| 07-10 15:09:28 | Complex-Poison 0x3848…8f61 | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x2d9061… |
| 07-10 13:45:37 | Gaseous-Soybean 0xb2a3…79e0 | No | BUY | 3 | 98¢ | $3 | 0x536c26… |
| 07-10 13:45:37 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 3 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x536c26… |
| 07-10 07:41:46 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | SELL | 255 | 2¢ | $5 | 0x7308ca… |
| 07-10 07:41:46 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 50 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x7308ca… |
| 07-10 07:41:46 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | SELL | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x7308ca… |
| 07-10 07:41:46 | Frizzy-Tabernacle 0xc66c…36ac | Yes | BUY | 200 | 2¢ | $4 | 0x7308ca… |
| 07-10 07:41:43 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 40 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xf32e39… |
| 07-10 07:41:43 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | SELL | 40 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x6d3a18… |
| 07-10 07:41:43 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 40 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x6d3a18… |
| 07-10 07:41:43 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | SELL | 40 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xf32e39… |
| 07-10 07:41:19 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | BUY | 335 | 4¢ | $13 | 0x65a3e6… |
| 07-10 07:41:19 | (anonymous) 0x9de6…e7f0 | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x65a3e6… |
| 07-10 07:41:19 | Frizzy-Tabernacle 0xc66c…36ac | Yes | SELL | 340 | 4¢ | $14 | 0x65a3e6… |
| 07-09 21:17:52 | (anonymous) 0x9de6…e7f0 | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0xcb6898… |
| 07-09 21:17:52 | Frizzy-Tabernacle 0xc66c…36ac | Yes | SELL | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xcb6898… |
| 07-09 21:17:52 | (anonymous) 0x5f25…3e2c | No | SELL | 6 | 95¢ | $6 | 0xcb6898… |
| 07-09 18:20:11 | Frizzy-Tabernacle 0xc66c…36ac | Yes | BUY | 92 | 4¢ | $4 | 0x7a187e… |
| 07-09 18:20:11 | Purple-Yarn 0x7c9e…db3d | Yes | BUY | 210 | 4¢ | $8 | 0x7a187e… |