Realized P&L
-$184
Unrealized P&L
+$4
Hit rate
7.7%
Resolved
8
Trades
1,935
lifetime
Volume
$11.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$135
14 positions
First seen
2026-01-07
last 06-30 20:06
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Politics
59% 50% $-188
Crypto
22% 50% +$3
Other
16% 50% +$1
Tech
2%
Sports
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
83 active days in 12wk • peak 63 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No +25 $24 100¢ $25 +$1 06-16 06:38
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026? No +24 $23 100¢ $24 +$2 06-18 19:02
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +20 $17 86¢ $17 +$1 06-30 07:27
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? No +25 $16 68¢ $17 +$1 06-05 15:31
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No +11 $7 100¢ $11 +$4 06-30 10:28
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No -10 $-10 99¢ $-10 +$0 06-19 07:06
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No -7 $-7 100¢ $-7 $-0 06-15 05:12
Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026? Yes +95 $7 $6 $-2 06-24 18:12
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by June 30? No +5 $5 100¢ $5 +$0 06-08 20:28
Will USD/JPY hit 165 (High) in 2026? Yes +8 $3 50¢ $4 +$1 06-07 14:05
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No -5 $1 70¢ $-3 $-4 06-16 09:47
Will USD/JPY hit 170 (High) in 2026? Yes +10 $2 32¢ $3 +$1 06-24 16:13
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81 Yes +15 $3 13¢ $2 $-1 06-29 20:05
Will USD/JPY hit 175 (High) in 2026? Yes +1 $0 14¢ $0 +$0 06-07 12:11