Realized P&L
-$15
Unrealized P&L
+$24
Hit rate
71.4%
Resolved
445
Trades
4,047
lifetime
Volume
$20.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$157
15 positions
First seen
2026-01-07
last 10-31 00:31
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 119 days
Categories
Politics
53% 68% -$121
Other
29% 57% +$224
Crypto
15% 63% -$106
Tech
3% 80% +$6
Sports
0% 33% -$17
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
82 active days in 12wk • peak 51 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? No +40 $28 90¢ $36 +$8 10-26 12:08
russia x ukraine ceasefire by december 31 2026 No +40 $34 88¢ $35 +$1 10-26 04:18
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +25 $23 94¢ $24 +$0 10-30 05:25
russia x ukraine ceasefire by october 31 2026 No +10 $0 100¢ $10 +$10 10-15 14:05
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? No +10 $9 100¢ $10 +$1 10-14 02:23
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +10 $9 86¢ $9 $0 09-15 04:31
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +5 $5 100¢ $5 +$0 10-14 02:24
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No -5 -$6 98¢ $-5 +$1 07-10 04:40
Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? No +5 $4 86¢ $4 +$0 09-22 09:35
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? No +5 $4 86¢ $4 $0 09-22 10:03
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +5 $4 84¢ $4 +$0 10-16 20:30
Will STRC hit $100 by December 31? No +12 $1 28¢ $3 +$3 10-29 17:38
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +5 $2 55¢ $3 +$0 10-16 20:29
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2027? Yes +5 $2 52¢ $3 +$0 09-28 09:23
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026? No +6 $4 29¢ $2 -$3 10-30 08:09