Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,200 (HIGH) in December?
open
Total volume
$852
$225 in 24h
Trades
60
Unique wallets
29
Liquidity
$2,520
Latest YES mid
38¢
Latest NO mid
62¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-28
last 06-12 13:55
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-47.2¢
(top1%: 4% YES on $89
vs crowd: 51% YES on $576)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 2 | $10 | — | +$10 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 5 | $13 | $101 | $88 |
| 🐟 Fish | 9 | $176 | $109 | +$68 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 13 | $94 | $74 | +$20 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 3 | $3 | $86 | $83 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 5 | $180 | $4 | +$176 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | $11 | $15 | $4 |
| Median | 2 | $28 | — | +$28 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | $10 | $51 | $41 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | — | $98 | $98 |
| unranked | 10 | $60 | $29 | +$31 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Worldly-Dump 0xc18b…3917 | Yes | +305 | $87 | $90 | 3 | 06-12 13:55 |
| Agreeable-Courthouse 0x5678…e468 | No | +133 | $98 | $98 | 1 | 06-09 23:54 |
| Jam-Packed-Theft 0x2d5b…5d41 | Yes | +129 | $41 | $41 | 1 | 05-28 16:48 |
| NoSteinNoGate 0xff7c…b233 | No | +115 | $86 | $86 | 1 | 06-11 00:56 |
| Sympathetic-Count 0x43a0…0d5c | Yes | +100 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 06-06 22:07 |
| Fatherly-Smog 0xa6b9…b0c1 | No | +75 | $51 | $51 | 2 | 06-03 07:57 |
| Suburban-Ecliptic 0x476c…ce52 | Yes | +71 | $20 | $20 | 3 | 06-10 11:45 |
| Whirlwind-Logistics 0x21bc…4681 | Yes | +56 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 06-12 00:53 |
| (anonymous) 0xe3af…c5f4 | Yes | +53 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 06-12 13:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | +36 | $10 | $10 | 3 | 06-11 00:56 |
| (anonymous) 0x126e…c360 | No | +19 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 06-12 00:53 |
| (anonymous) 0x78c5…f623 | No | +18 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 06-12 00:53 |
| Greedy-Neighbourhood 0x6ffd…a637 | Yes | +15 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 06-11 08:40 |
| Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | No | +15 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-12 00:53 |
| (anonymous) 0x4f24…1218 | Yes | +10 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-09 23:54 |
| Tired-Acoustics 0x61f2…e77a | No | +10 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 06-12 13:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x4e4e…7c90 | Yes | +8 | $1 | $4 | 4 | 06-11 08:40 |
| (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | +8 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-12 13:55 |
| Content-Repository 0x24e7…1785 | Yes | +7 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-10 17:54 |
| Elegant-Guacamole 0x7dd1…a7f6 | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-10 12:03 |
| Agreeable-Birth 0x84c3…35d4 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-11 02:42 |
| (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | +1 | $1 | $14 | 8 | 06-11 08:40 |
| Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | +1 | $1 | $13 | 7 | 06-11 08:40 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-12 13:55:43 | (anonymous) 0xe3af…c5f4 | Yes | BUY | 53 | 38¢ | $20 | 0x58cc2e… |
| 06-12 13:55:43 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 30 | 38¢ | $11 | 0x58cc2e… |
| 06-12 13:55:43 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | BUY | 8 | 63¢ | $5 | 0x58cc2e… |
| 06-12 13:55:43 | Tired-Acoustics 0x61f2…e77a | No | BUY | 10 | 62¢ | $6 | 0x58cc2e… |
| 06-12 13:55:43 | Worldly-Dump 0xc18b…3917 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 39¢ | $2 | 0x58cc2e… |
| 06-12 00:53:09 | Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | No | BUY | 15 | 65¢ | $10 | 0x766b24… |
| 06-12 00:53:09 | Defenseless-Eyebrow 0xe50c…d88c | Yes | SELL | 5 | 29¢ | $1 | 0x766b24… |
| 06-12 00:53:09 | Whirlwind-Logistics 0x21bc…4681 | Yes | BUY | 56 | 35¢ | $20 | 0x766b24… |
| 06-12 00:53:09 | (anonymous) 0x78c5…f623 | No | BUY | 18 | 63¢ | $11 | 0x766b24… |
| 06-12 00:53:09 | (anonymous) 0x126e…c360 | No | BUY | 19 | 64¢ | $12 | 0x766b24… |
| 06-11 08:40:34 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 23¢ | $1 | 0x77fdf0… |
| 06-11 08:40:34 | (anonymous) 0x4e4e…7c90 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 23¢ | $1 | 0x77fdf0… |
| 06-11 08:40:34 | Greedy-Neighbourhood 0x6ffd…a637 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 23¢ | $2 | 0x77fdf0… |
| 06-11 08:40:04 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 18¢ | $1 | 0x47a408… |
| 06-11 08:40:04 | Greedy-Neighbourhood 0x6ffd…a637 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 18¢ | $1 | 0x47a408… |
| 06-11 03:11:04 | (anonymous) 0x4e4e…7c90 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 17¢ | $1 | 0xb2d0a2… |
| 06-11 03:11:04 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 17¢ | $1 | 0xb2d0a2… |
| 06-11 03:10:58 | (anonymous) 0x4e4e…7c90 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 17¢ | $1 | 0xd8de7e… |
| 06-11 03:10:58 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 17¢ | $1 | 0xd8de7e… |
| 06-11 02:42:27 | Agreeable-Birth 0x84c3…35d4 | No | BUY | 5 | 82¢ | $4 | 0xb4ef04… |
| 06-11 02:42:27 | Defenseless-Eyebrow 0xe50c…d88c | Yes | BUY | 5 | 18¢ | $1 | 0xb4ef04… |
| 06-11 02:35:34 | (anonymous) 0x4e4e…7c90 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 20¢ | $1 | 0xa30dff… |
| 06-11 02:35:34 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 20¢ | $1 | 0xa30dff… |
| 06-11 00:56:37 | NoSteinNoGate 0xff7c…b233 | No | BUY | 115 | 75¢ | $86 | 0xe2050f… |
| 06-11 00:56:37 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 26¢ | $5 | 0xe2050f… |
| 06-11 00:56:37 | Scholarly-Dock 0x3e6a…e86d | No | SELL | 97 | 75¢ | $73 | 0xe2050f… |
| 06-10 17:54:52 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 27¢ | $3 | 0x7440cc… |
| 06-10 17:54:52 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 26¢ | $2 | 0x7440cc… |
| 06-10 17:54:52 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | Yes | SELL | 27 | 26¢ | $7 | 0x7440cc… |
| 06-10 17:54:52 | Content-Repository 0x24e7…1785 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 26¢ | $2 | 0x7440cc… |
| 06-10 12:03:54 | Elegant-Guacamole 0x7dd1…a7f6 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 31¢ | $2 | 0x80dfb9… |
| 06-10 12:03:54 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 31¢ | $2 | 0x80dfb9… |
| 06-10 11:45:22 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | Yes | SELL | 70 | 28¢ | $20 | 0xba2b5d… |
| 06-10 11:45:22 | Suburban-Ecliptic 0x476c…ce52 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 28¢ | $14 | 0xba2b5d… |
| 06-10 11:45:22 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 29¢ | $3 | 0xba2b5d… |
| 06-10 11:45:22 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 29¢ | $3 | 0xba2b5d… |
| 06-10 06:42:27 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 30¢ | $2 | 0xee1c43… |
| 06-10 06:42:27 | Suburban-Ecliptic 0x476c…ce52 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 30¢ | $2 | 0xee1c43… |
| 06-09 23:54:03 | Worldly-Dump 0xc18b…3917 | Yes | BUY | 110 | 26¢ | $29 | 0x2a0b25… |
| 06-09 23:54:03 | Agreeable-Courthouse 0x5678…e468 | No | BUY | 133 | 74¢ | $98 | 0x2a0b25… |
| 06-09 23:54:03 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 26¢ | $2 | 0x2a0b25… |
| 06-09 23:54:03 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 26¢ | $2 | 0x2a0b25… |
| 06-09 23:54:03 | (anonymous) 0x4f24…1218 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 28¢ | $3 | 0x2a0b25… |
| 06-07 09:40:30 | Suburban-Ecliptic 0x476c…ce52 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 30¢ | $5 | 0xfb7641… |
| 06-07 09:40:30 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 30¢ | $2 | 0xfb7641… |
| 06-07 09:40:30 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 30¢ | $2 | 0xfb7641… |
| 06-06 22:07:37 | Sympathetic-Count 0x43a0…0d5c | Yes | BUY | 100 | 30¢ | $30 | 0x6f8172… |
| 06-06 22:07:37 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | Yes | SELL | 300 | 30¢ | $90 | 0x6f8172… |
| 06-06 22:07:37 | Worldly-Dump 0xc18b…3917 | Yes | BUY | 200 | 30¢ | $60 | 0x6f8172… |
| 06-05 21:37:42 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | Yes | SELL | 17 | 31¢ | $5 | 0x5da25f… |
| 06-05 21:37:42 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 31¢ | $3 | 0x5da25f… |
| 06-05 21:37:42 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 31¢ | $3 | 0x5da25f… |
| 06-03 07:57:21 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | Yes | BUY | 45 | 32¢ | $14 | 0xc2c840… |
| 06-03 07:57:21 | Fatherly-Smog 0xa6b9…b0c1 | No | BUY | 45 | 68¢ | $31 | 0xc2c840… |
| 06-03 04:44:16 | Fatherly-Smog 0xa6b9…b0c1 | No | BUY | 30 | 68¢ | $20 | 0xa1d762… |
| 06-03 04:44:16 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 32¢ | $10 | 0xa1d762… |
| 06-01 13:19:49 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | Yes | BUY | 34 | 34¢ | $12 | 0x3b0f5d… |
| 06-01 13:19:49 | Ordinary-Confectionery 0xa5e3…4d7e | Yes | SELL | 34 | 34¢ | $12 | 0x3b0f5d… |
| 05-28 16:48:28 | Blond-Boss 0x859d…fccb | Yes | SELL | 129 | 32¢ | $41 | 0xc2e3c4… |
| 05-28 16:48:28 | Jam-Packed-Theft 0x2d5b…5d41 | Yes | BUY | 129 | 32¢ | $41 | 0xc2e3c4… |