Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,200 (HIGH) in December?
open
Total volume
$15,922
$225 in 24h
Trades
439
Unique wallets
101
Liquidity
$2,520
Latest YES mid
24¢
Latest NO mid
76¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-28
last 08-14 13:01
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+42.8¢
(top1%: 70% YES on $371
vs crowd: 28% YES on $12.3K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 12 | $602 | $3.4K | $2.8K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 17 | $1.1K | $1.7K | $658 |
| 🐟 Fish | 30 | $694 | $3.4K | $2.7K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 42 | $1.0K | $392 | +$633 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 3 | $261 | $110 | +$151 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 8 | $529 | $3.1K | $2.5K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 7 | $124 | $71 | +$53 |
| Median | 14 | $133 | $1.8K | $1.6K |
| Below median | 8 | $10 | $454 | $443 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 8 | $63 | $1.0K | $937 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 10 | $720 | $1.5K | $756 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 6 | $318 | $124 | +$194 |
| unranked | 37 | $1.2K | $882 | +$353 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Worn-Tanker 0xc97b…47e5 | No | +3,008 | $2,286 | $3,810 | 4 | 08-04 12:15 |
| Total-Sash 0x243c…2240 | Yes | +2,338 | $422 | $1,018 | 3 | 08-14 05:09 |
| Overjoyed-Boost 0xb427…9445 | No | +1,555 | $1,309 | $1,942 | 6 | 08-14 04:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x36c2…76f4 | Yes | +1,530 | $338 | $338 | 10 | 07-30 00:17 |
| Giddy-Poppy 0xbfcc…12a6 | No | +917 | $683 | $683 | 6 | 07-30 21:40 |
| Greedy-Neighbourhood 0x6ffd…a637 | Yes | +858 | $256 | $266 | 10 | 08-07 09:06 |
| (anonymous) 0xdb9a…6876 | Yes | +805 | $193 | $193 | 6 | 07-23 18:29 |
| Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | Yes | +733 | $214 | $214 | 40 | 08-07 14:31 |
| Corrupt-Lark 0x74b4…6bea | Yes | +712 | $181 | $181 | 3 | 08-03 23:55 |
| Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | No | +680 | $468 | $468 | 39 | 08-07 09:06 |
| Proud-Homework 0x9e45…3662 | No | +654 | $510 | $510 | 3 | 07-18 04:13 |
| (anonymous) 0xe3af…c5f4 | Yes | +413 | $149 | $149 | 10 | 06-23 21:38 |
| Those-Supervision 0x074f…6abf | No | +400 | $265 | $577 | 7 | 08-07 09:06 |
| (anonymous) 0xc7fb…8eb0 | Yes | +396 | $108 | $108 | 5 | 08-02 04:19 |
| Jaded-Mail 0xa696…1d24 | No | +373 | $272 | $272 | 5 | 07-19 13:15 |
| Suburban-Ecliptic 0x476c…ce52 | Yes | +360 | $104 | $104 | 9 | 08-14 13:01 |
| Esteemed-Pumpernickel 0xb3d7…7504 | No | +277 | $200 | $200 | 2 | 07-23 08:34 |
| Worldly-Dump 0xc18b…3917 | Yes | +270 | $44 | $200 | 10 | 08-07 09:06 |
| (anonymous) 0xa56e…1c76 | No | +211 | $126 | $126 | 1 | 08-09 04:25 |
| (anonymous) 0x7e25…c7db | Yes | +200 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 08-02 08:40 |
| Outrageous-Afterlife 0x79a8…bb66 | No | +200 | $152 | $152 | 2 | 07-23 20:30 |
| Sugary-Laughter 0xbe8a…97c0 | Yes | +186 | $51 | $51 | 10 | 08-09 11:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x7bd3…1c90 | Yes | +160 | $60 | $60 | 3 | 07-03 16:53 |
| Jam-Packed-Theft 0x2d5b…5d41 | Yes | +129 | $41 | $41 | 1 | 05-28 16:48 |
| Remote-Demur 0x9a67…af26 | No | +123 | $104 | $295 | 5 | 08-07 14:31 |
| Unsightly-Puma 0x978e…80bc | Yes | +100 | $26 | $26 | 2 | 07-30 00:17 |
| Sympathetic-Count 0x43a0…0d5c | Yes | +100 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 06-06 22:07 |
| (anonymous) 0xdeb0…5dc6 | Yes | +100 | $45 | $45 | 1 | 08-14 05:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x9e0b…663c | Yes | +100 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 08-03 20:56 |
| Actual-Homogenate 0x98c1…3d1e | Yes | +82 | $25 | $25 | 5 | 08-10 13:56 |
| Fatherly-Smog 0xa6b9…b0c1 | No | +75 | $51 | $51 | 2 | 06-03 07:57 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +74 | $57 | $57 | 2 | 08-01 13:03 |
| Failing-Tractor 0xa0c9…a1fc | No | +64 | $56 | $144 | 3 | 08-11 05:30 |
| Active-Loft 0x0a24…f55d | Yes | +56 | $1 | $68 | 5 | 08-14 13:01 |
| Meaty-Rubric 0x9e9a…a9a8 | No | +50 | $36 | $36 | 1 | 07-21 22:41 |
| Dim-Jellyfish 0x296b…a965 | No | +50 | $34 | $34 | 1 | 08-06 18:11 |
| Concerned-Wing 0x5874…05f7 | No | +40 | $29 | $29 | 4 | 07-09 15:44 |
| Adventurous-Grant 0x3b2d…b2fc | Yes | +31 | $8 | $8 | 2 | 07-24 22:16 |
| Prestigious-Gram 0xb780…aa38 | No | +29 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 06-19 10:43 |
| Verifiable-Cheesecake 0x2c5f…f373 | No | +26 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 07-12 13:18 |
| (anonymous) 0xb81f…ace4 | Yes | +20 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 08-04 16:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x69c2…95e2 | No | +20 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 08-09 11:49 |
| Small-Pompom 0x9d73…216b | Yes | +20 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 06-17 19:27 |
| (anonymous) 0xf569…ccaa | Yes | +19 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 08-03 23:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x4cad…91c5 | No | +19 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 07-21 15:52 |
| Glass-Typewriter 0xa49b…7054 | Yes | +18 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 08-11 05:30 |
| (anonymous) 0xbd86…3266 | Yes | +17 | $6 | $6 | 2 | 06-28 09:49 |
| Trim-Human 0x1f85…a51b | No | +16 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 08-06 05:23 |
| Understated-Dessert 0xa090…a400 | Yes | +10 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 08-07 14:31 |
| (anonymous) 0x4f24…1218 | Yes | +10 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-09 23:54 |
| Content-Repository 0x24e7…1785 | Yes | +7 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-10 17:54 |
| (anonymous) 0xce18…3c84 | Yes | +7 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-09 14:35 |
| (anonymous) 0x2efd…4d9a | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-23 14:49 |
| (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | +5 | $4 | $11 | 3 | 07-31 18:38 |
| Sure-Footed-Fee 0x246c…ec93 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-27 13:09 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-14 13:01:06 | Active-Loft 0x0a24…f55d | Yes | SELL | 94 | 36¢ | $34 | 0xd309a7… |
| 08-14 13:01:06 | Suburban-Ecliptic 0x476c…ce52 | Yes | BUY | 94 | 36¢ | $34 | 0xd309a7… |
| 08-14 05:09:21 | (anonymous) 0xdeb0…5dc6 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 45¢ | $45 | 0xabdd6e… |
| 08-14 05:09:21 | Total-Sash 0x243c…2240 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 45¢ | $45 | 0xabdd6e… |
| 08-14 04:40:42 | Total-Sash 0x243c…2240 | Yes | SELL | 562 | 45¢ | $253 | 0x93a2da… |
| 08-14 04:40:42 | Overjoyed-Boost 0xb427…9445 | No | SELL | 575 | 55¢ | $316 | 0x93a2da… |
| 08-14 04:40:42 | Venerated-Dawn 0xfdd1…1829 | Yes | SELL | 13 | 44¢ | $6 | 0x93a2da… |
| 08-12 14:52:51 | (anonymous) 0x4e4e…7c90 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 35¢ | $1 | 0x6e77f5… |
| 08-12 14:52:51 | Suburban-Ecliptic 0x476c…ce52 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 35¢ | $1 | 0x6e77f5… |
| 08-11 05:30:54 | Venerated-Dawn 0xfdd1…1829 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 33¢ | $2 | 0x3ebbd4… |
| 08-11 05:30:54 | Failing-Tractor 0xa0c9…a1fc | No | SELL | 39 | 68¢ | $27 | 0x3ebbd4… |
| 08-11 05:30:54 | Glass-Typewriter 0xa49b…7054 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 33¢ | $6 | 0x3ebbd4… |
| 08-11 05:30:54 | Agreeable-Courthouse 0x5678…e468 | No | BUY | 63 | 68¢ | $43 | 0x3ebbd4… |
| 08-11 03:09:22 | Flaky-Shadow 0xd1ee…a8ae | Yes | BUY | 3 | 35¢ | $1 | 0xd49afe… |
| 08-11 03:09:22 | (anonymous) 0x4e4e…7c90 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 35¢ | $1 | 0xd49afe… |
| 08-10 13:56:24 | Actual-Homogenate 0x98c1…3d1e | Yes | BUY | 2 | 44¢ | $1 | 0x92fd0c… |
| 08-10 13:56:24 | Big-Hearted-Shaker 0xe5c2…2b81 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 44¢ | $1 | 0x92fd0c… |
| 08-09 11:49:10 | Venerated-Dawn 0xfdd1…1829 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 35¢ | $2 | 0x4c1605… |
| 08-09 11:49:10 | (anonymous) 0x69c2…95e2 | No | BUY | 20 | 65¢ | $13 | 0x4c1605… |
| 08-09 11:49:10 | Sugary-Laughter 0xbe8a…97c0 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 35¢ | $5 | 0x4c1605… |
| 08-09 04:25:12 | Personal-Pinecone 0x1914…36f9 | No | SELL | 239 | 60¢ | $144 | 0x487cab… |
| 08-09 04:25:12 | Venerated-Dawn 0xfdd1…1829 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 39¢ | $5 | 0x487cab… |
| 08-09 04:25:12 | (anonymous) 0xa56e…1c76 | No | BUY | 211 | 60¢ | $126 | 0x487cab… |
| 08-09 04:25:12 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 16 | 39¢ | $6 | 0x487cab… |
| 08-08 10:17:04 | (anonymous) 0x245a…1b40 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 43¢ | $1 | 0x707b57… |
| 08-08 10:17:04 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 2 | 43¢ | $1 | 0x707b57… |
| 08-08 01:51:49 | Failing-Tractor 0xa0c9…a1fc | No | SELL | 25 | 68¢ | $17 | 0x75e154… |
| 08-08 01:51:49 | (anonymous) 0x698e…2b12 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 32¢ | $8 | 0x75e154… |
| 08-07 16:14:48 | (anonymous) 0x4e4e…7c90 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 30¢ | $2 | 0x5e0f47… |
| 08-07 16:14:48 | (anonymous) 0x698e…2b12 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 41¢ | $10 | 0x5e0f47… |
| 08-07 16:14:48 | Big-Hearted-Shaker 0xe5c2…2b81 | Yes | SELL | 19 | 44¢ | $8 | 0x5e0f47… |
| 08-07 15:52:16 | (anonymous) 0x698e…2b12 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 23¢ | $3 | 0xf8a463… |
| 08-07 15:52:16 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 12 | 77¢ | $9 | 0xf8a463… |
| 08-07 14:33:03 | (anonymous) 0x698e…2b12 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 43¢ | $5 | 0x8ef418… |
| 08-07 14:33:03 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 12 | 43¢ | $5 | 0x8ef418… |
| 08-07 14:31:24 | Understated-Dessert 0xa090…a400 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 34¢ | $3 | 0x7d011a… |
| 08-07 14:31:24 | Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | Yes | BUY | 53 | 32¢ | $17 | 0x7d011a… |
| 08-07 14:31:24 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | SELL | 5 | 69¢ | $3 | 0x7d011a… |
| 08-07 14:31:24 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | SELL | 5 | 70¢ | $4 | 0x7d011a… |
| 08-07 14:31:24 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 34¢ | $10 | 0x7d011a… |
| 08-07 14:31:24 | Personal-Pinecone 0x1914…36f9 | No | BUY | 239 | 68¢ | $162 | 0x7d011a… |
| 08-07 14:31:24 | Remote-Demur 0x9a67…af26 | No | SELL | 123 | 68¢ | $83 | 0x7d011a… |
| 08-07 14:31:24 | Venerated-Dawn 0xfdd1…1829 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 33¢ | $2 | 0x7d011a… |
| 08-07 09:06:46 | Greedy-Neighbourhood 0x6ffd…a637 | Yes | BUY | 167 | 36¢ | $60 | 0x615a35… |
| 08-07 09:06:46 | (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | SELL | 60 | 35¢ | $21 | 0x615a35… |
| 08-07 09:06:46 | Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | No | BUY | 20 | 64¢ | $13 | 0x615a35… |
| 08-07 09:06:46 | Worldly-Dump 0xc18b…3917 | Yes | SELL | 67 | 37¢ | $25 | 0x615a35… |
| 08-07 09:06:30 | Greedy-Neighbourhood 0x6ffd…a637 | Yes | BUY | 200 | 33¢ | $66 | 0x9dfa2f… |
| 08-07 09:06:30 | Those-Supervision 0x074f…6abf | No | BUY | 200 | 67¢ | $134 | 0x9dfa2f… |
| 08-06 18:11:47 | Actual-Homogenate 0x98c1…3d1e | Yes | BUY | 50 | 32¢ | $16 | 0x73613a… |
| 08-06 18:11:47 | Dim-Jellyfish 0x296b…a965 | No | BUY | 50 | 68¢ | $34 | 0x73613a… |
| 08-06 15:55:08 | Actual-Homogenate 0x98c1…3d1e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 32¢ | $2 | 0x2293a0… |
| 08-06 15:55:08 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | BUY | 5 | 68¢ | $3 | 0x2293a0… |
| 08-06 15:54:47 | Actual-Homogenate 0x98c1…3d1e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 31¢ | $2 | 0x4a3681… |
| 08-06 15:54:47 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | BUY | 5 | 69¢ | $3 | 0x4a3681… |
| 08-06 15:45:15 | Actual-Homogenate 0x98c1…3d1e | Yes | BUY | 20 | 26¢ | $5 | 0xded426… |
| 08-06 15:45:15 | (anonymous) 0x40c7…b1e8 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 26¢ | $5 | 0xded426… |
| 08-06 05:23:23 | Agreeable-Birth 0x84c3…35d4 | No | SELL | 5 | 68¢ | $3 | 0xfd8007… |
| 08-06 05:23:23 | Trim-Human 0x1f85…a51b | No | BUY | 16 | 68¢ | $11 | 0xfd8007… |
| 08-06 05:23:23 | (anonymous) 0x4e4e…7c90 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 31¢ | $2 | 0xfd8007… |
| 08-04 16:17:15 | (anonymous) 0xb81f…ace4 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 25¢ | $5 | 0xed81da… |
| 08-04 16:17:15 | Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | No | BUY | 20 | 75¢ | $15 | 0xed81da… |
| 08-04 12:15:23 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | SELL | 5 | 77¢ | $4 | 0xc2377e… |
| 08-04 12:15:23 | Worn-Tanker 0xc97b…47e5 | No | SELL | 1,002 | 76¢ | $762 | 0xc2377e… |
| 08-04 12:15:23 | NoSteinNoGate 0xff7c…b233 | No | SELL | 149 | 76¢ | $113 | 0xc2377e… |
| 08-04 12:15:23 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 16 | 76¢ | $12 | 0xc2377e… |
| 08-04 12:15:23 | Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4 | Yes | SELL | 1,276 | 24¢ | $305 | 0xc2377e… |
| 08-04 12:15:23 | Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | Yes | BUY | 18 | 23¢ | $4 | 0xc2377e… |
| 08-04 12:15:23 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | SELL | 50 | 77¢ | $38 | 0xc2377e… |
| 08-04 12:15:23 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | SELL | 10 | 77¢ | $8 | 0xc2377e… |
| 08-04 12:15:23 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | SELL | 5 | 77¢ | $4 | 0xc2377e… |
| 08-03 23:55:26 | Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | No | BUY | 28 | 71¢ | $20 | 0x72820e… |
| 08-03 23:55:26 | Corrupt-Lark 0x74b4…6bea | Yes | BUY | 56 | 28¢ | $16 | 0x72820e… |
| 08-03 23:55:21 | Corrupt-Lark 0x74b4…6bea | Yes | BUY | 35 | 27¢ | $9 | 0xf7039a… |
| 08-03 23:55:21 | Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | No | BUY | 8 | 73¢ | $6 | 0xf7039a… |
| 08-03 23:55:06 | (anonymous) 0xf569…ccaa | Yes | BUY | 19 | 26¢ | $5 | 0x309275… |
| 08-03 23:55:06 | Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | No | BUY | 19 | 74¢ | $14 | 0x309275… |
| 08-03 23:55:03 | Overjoyed-Boost 0xb427…9445 | No | BUY | 594 | 75¢ | $446 | 0xc104c6… |
| 08-03 23:55:03 | Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | No | BUY | 26 | 75¢ | $20 | 0xc104c6… |
| 08-03 23:55:03 | Corrupt-Lark 0x74b4…6bea | Yes | BUY | 621 | 25¢ | $155 | 0xc104c6… |
| 08-03 20:56:35 | (anonymous) 0x9e0b…663c | Yes | BUY | 100 | 25¢ | $25 | 0x86bbfc… |
| 08-03 20:56:35 | Overjoyed-Boost 0xb427…9445 | No | BUY | 100 | 75¢ | $75 | 0x86bbfc… |
| 08-02 08:40:39 | Overjoyed-Boost 0xb427…9445 | No | BUY | 200 | 75¢ | $150 | 0x4eb4ae… |
| 08-02 08:40:39 | (anonymous) 0x7e25…c7db | Yes | BUY | 200 | 25¢ | $50 | 0x4eb4ae… |
| 08-02 04:19:26 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 50 | 76¢ | $38 | 0x992609… |
| 08-02 04:19:26 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | BUY | 5 | 76¢ | $4 | 0x992609… |
| 08-02 04:19:26 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | BUY | 5 | 76¢ | $4 | 0x992609… |
| 08-02 04:19:26 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | BUY | 26 | 76¢ | $20 | 0x992609… |
| 08-02 04:19:26 | (anonymous) 0xc7fb…8eb0 | Yes | BUY | 96 | 24¢ | $23 | 0x992609… |
| 08-02 04:19:26 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | BUY | 10 | 76¢ | $8 | 0x992609… |
| 08-01 13:03:56 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | SELL | 10 | 77¢ | $8 | 0x8e992e… |
| 08-01 13:03:56 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 46 | 77¢ | $36 | 0x8e992e… |
| 08-01 13:03:56 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | SELL | 5 | 77¢ | $4 | 0x8e992e… |
| 08-01 13:03:56 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | SELL | 5 | 77¢ | $4 | 0x8e992e… |
| 08-01 13:03:56 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | SELL | 26 | 77¢ | $20 | 0x8e992e… |
| 07-31 18:38:36 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 50 | 77¢ | $39 | 0xb02620… |
| 07-31 18:38:36 | Greedy-Neighbourhood 0x6ffd…a637 | Yes | BUY | 125 | 24¢ | $30 | 0xb02620… |
| 07-31 18:38:36 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | BUY | 5 | 76¢ | $4 | 0xb02620… |
| 07-31 18:38:36 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | BUY | 5 | 76¢ | $4 | 0xb02620… |
| 07-31 18:38:36 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | BUY | 10 | 76¢ | $8 | 0xb02620… |