Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,200 (HIGH) in December?
open
Total volume
$10,098
$225 in 24h
Trades
319
Unique wallets
78
Liquidity
$2,520
Latest YES mid
24¢
Latest NO mid
76¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-28
last 07-24 22:16
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+20.9¢
(top1%: 49% YES on $215
vs crowd: 28% YES on $8.8K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 8 | $325 | $3.1K | $2.8K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 16 | $914 | $1.7K | $738 |
| 🐟 Fish | 20 | $485 | $1.3K | $848 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 34 | $731 | $218 | +$513 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 3 | $105 | $110 | $5 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 8 | $323 | $3.1K | $2.7K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | $52 | $71 | $19 |
| Median | 9 | $121 | $35 | +$87 |
| Below median | 7 | $7 | $335 | $329 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 6 | $38 | $972 | $934 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 9 | $720 | $1.2K | $431 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 4 | $237 | $36 | +$201 |
| unranked | 28 | $852 | $561 | +$291 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Worn-Tanker 0xc97b…47e5 | No | +4,010 | $3,048 | $3,048 | 3 | 07-19 05:14 |
| Total-Sash 0x243c…2240 | Yes | +3,000 | $720 | $720 | 1 | 07-15 08:26 |
| Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4 | Yes | +963 | $231 | $231 | 1 | 07-19 05:14 |
| Giddy-Poppy 0xbfcc…12a6 | No | +810 | $598 | $598 | 5 | 07-24 22:16 |
| (anonymous) 0xdb9a…6876 | Yes | +805 | $193 | $193 | 6 | 07-23 18:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x36c2…76f4 | Yes | +697 | $155 | $155 | 8 | 07-24 22:16 |
| Proud-Homework 0x9e45…3662 | No | +654 | $510 | $510 | 3 | 07-18 04:13 |
| Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | Yes | +621 | $183 | $183 | 35 | 07-23 15:07 |
| Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | No | +455 | $307 | $307 | 28 | 07-23 13:15 |
| (anonymous) 0xe3af…c5f4 | Yes | +413 | $149 | $149 | 10 | 06-23 21:38 |
| Jaded-Mail 0xa696…1d24 | No | +373 | $272 | $272 | 5 | 07-19 13:15 |
| Greedy-Neighbourhood 0x6ffd…a637 | Yes | +366 | $100 | $110 | 7 | 07-09 15:44 |
| (anonymous) 0xc7fb…8eb0 | Yes | +300 | $84 | $84 | 4 | 07-23 08:34 |
| Esteemed-Pumpernickel 0xb3d7…7504 | No | +277 | $200 | $200 | 2 | 07-23 08:34 |
| Suburban-Ecliptic 0x476c…ce52 | Yes | +264 | $69 | $69 | 7 | 07-23 20:30 |
| Remote-Demur 0x9a67…af26 | No | +261 | $200 | $200 | 3 | 07-23 15:07 |
| Worldly-Dump 0xc18b…3917 | Yes | +238 | $49 | $155 | 8 | 07-08 12:12 |
| Those-Supervision 0x074f…6abf | No | +200 | $131 | $443 | 6 | 07-23 05:59 |
| Outrageous-Afterlife 0x79a8…bb66 | No | +200 | $152 | $152 | 2 | 07-23 20:30 |
| Sugary-Laughter 0xbe8a…97c0 | Yes | +171 | $46 | $46 | 9 | 07-23 05:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x7bd3…1c90 | Yes | +160 | $60 | $60 | 3 | 07-03 16:53 |
| Active-Loft 0x0a24…f55d | Yes | +150 | $34 | $34 | 4 | 07-17 23:22 |
| NoSteinNoGate 0xff7c…b233 | No | +149 | $110 | $110 | 2 | 06-24 06:13 |
| Jam-Packed-Theft 0x2d5b…5d41 | Yes | +129 | $41 | $41 | 1 | 05-28 16:48 |
| Failing-Tractor 0xa0c9…a1fc | No | +128 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 07-23 19:51 |
| Sympathetic-Count 0x43a0…0d5c | Yes | +100 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 06-06 22:07 |
| Fatherly-Smog 0xa6b9…b0c1 | No | +75 | $51 | $51 | 2 | 06-03 07:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | +60 | $14 | $14 | 12 | 07-02 17:53 |
| Meaty-Rubric 0x9e9a…a9a8 | No | +50 | $36 | $36 | 1 | 07-21 22:41 |
| Concerned-Wing 0x5874…05f7 | No | +40 | $29 | $29 | 4 | 07-09 15:44 |
| Adventurous-Grant 0x3b2d…b2fc | Yes | +31 | $8 | $8 | 2 | 07-24 22:16 |
| Prestigious-Gram 0xb780…aa38 | No | +29 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 06-19 10:43 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +27 | $21 | $21 | 1 | 07-15 23:22 |
| Verifiable-Cheesecake 0x2c5f…f373 | No | +26 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 07-12 13:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x40c7…b1e8 | Yes | +20 | $7 | $7 | 5 | 06-29 02:09 |
| Small-Pompom 0x9d73…216b | Yes | +20 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 06-17 19:27 |
| (anonymous) 0x4cad…91c5 | No | +19 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 07-21 15:52 |
| (anonymous) 0xbd86…3266 | Yes | +17 | $6 | $6 | 2 | 06-28 09:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x4f24…1218 | Yes | +10 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-09 23:54 |
| Content-Repository 0x24e7…1785 | Yes | +7 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-10 17:54 |
| (anonymous) 0xce18…3c84 | Yes | +7 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-09 14:35 |
| (anonymous) 0x2efd…4d9a | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-23 14:49 |
| (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | Yes | +5 | $1 | $4 | 3 | 07-24 22:16 |
| Elegant-Guacamole 0x7dd1…a7f6 | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-10 12:03 |
| Agreeable-Birth 0x84c3…35d4 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-11 02:42 |
| (anonymous) 0x4e4e…7c90 | Yes | +2 | $-1 | $6 | 5 | 06-15 12:47 |
| Sure-Footed-Fee 0x246c…ec93 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-27 13:09 |
| (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | +1 | $1 | $14 | 8 | 06-11 08:40 |
| Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | +1 | $1 | $13 | 7 | 06-11 08:40 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-24 22:16:55 | Adventurous-Grant 0x3b2d…b2fc | Yes | BUY | 23 | 26¢ | $6 | 0xd8dea4… |
| 07-24 22:16:55 | (anonymous) 0x36c2…76f4 | Yes | BUY | 178 | 22¢ | $39 | 0xd8dea4… |
| 07-24 22:16:55 | Giddy-Poppy 0xbfcc…12a6 | No | BUY | 206 | 78¢ | $160 | 0xd8dea4… |
| 07-24 22:16:55 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | Yes | BUY | 5 | 23¢ | $1 | 0xd8dea4… |
| 07-24 04:55:54 | Thorny-Carpeting 0xb3b2…da22 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 26¢ | $2 | 0xa1eebf… |
| 07-24 04:55:54 | Adventurous-Grant 0x3b2d…b2fc | Yes | BUY | 8 | 26¢ | $2 | 0xa1eebf… |
| 07-23 20:30:55 | Suburban-Ecliptic 0x476c…ce52 | Yes | BUY | 83 | 24¢ | $20 | 0xce69a4… |
| 07-23 20:30:55 | Outrageous-Afterlife 0x79a8…bb66 | No | BUY | 83 | 76¢ | $63 | 0xce69a4… |
| 07-23 19:51:09 | (anonymous) 0x36c2…76f4 | Yes | BUY | 128 | 22¢ | $28 | 0x683cb2… |
| 07-23 19:51:09 | Failing-Tractor 0xa0c9…a1fc | No | BUY | 128 | 78¢ | $100 | 0x683cb2… |
| 07-23 18:29:10 | Outrageous-Afterlife 0x79a8…bb66 | No | BUY | 117 | 76¢ | $89 | 0x8b7ba1… |
| 07-23 18:29:10 | (anonymous) 0xdb9a…6876 | Yes | BUY | 117 | 24¢ | $28 | 0x8b7ba1… |
| 07-23 17:15:13 | Giddy-Poppy 0xbfcc…12a6 | No | BUY | 131 | 76¢ | $99 | 0x746ad8… |
| 07-23 17:15:13 | (anonymous) 0xdb9a…6876 | Yes | BUY | 131 | 24¢ | $31 | 0x746ad8… |
| 07-23 15:07:30 | Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | Yes | BUY | 20 | 24¢ | $5 | 0xb6ff90… |
| 07-23 15:07:30 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | SELL | 5 | 75¢ | $4 | 0xb6ff90… |
| 07-23 15:07:30 | (anonymous) 0xdb9a…6876 | Yes | BUY | 76 | 24¢ | $18 | 0xb6ff90… |
| 07-23 15:07:30 | Remote-Demur 0x9a67…af26 | No | BUY | 132 | 76¢ | $100 | 0xb6ff90… |
| 07-23 15:07:30 | Thorny-Carpeting 0xb3b2…da22 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 26¢ | $2 | 0xb6ff90… |
| 07-23 14:45:16 | Giddy-Poppy 0xbfcc…12a6 | No | BUY | 191 | 73¢ | $139 | 0xb92673… |
| 07-23 14:45:16 | Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | Yes | BUY | 16 | 26¢ | $4 | 0xb92673… |
| 07-23 14:45:16 | Tired-Acoustics 0x61f2…e77a | No | SELL | 7 | 74¢ | $5 | 0xb92673… |
| 07-23 14:45:16 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 85 | 73¢ | $62 | 0xb92673… |
| 07-23 14:45:16 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 26 | 72¢ | $19 | 0xb92673… |
| 07-23 13:15:33 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 20 | 72¢ | $14 | 0x564e06… |
| 07-23 13:15:33 | Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | No | BUY | 20 | 72¢ | $14 | 0x564e06… |
| 07-23 11:27:09 | Suburban-Ecliptic 0x476c…ce52 | Yes | BUY | 45 | 29¢ | $13 | 0x8d46a6… |
| 07-23 11:27:09 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 30 | 71¢ | $21 | 0x8d46a6… |
| 07-23 08:34:40 | Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | Yes | BUY | 20 | 27¢ | $5 | 0xafd065… |
| 07-23 08:34:40 | (anonymous) 0xc7fb…8eb0 | Yes | BUY | 41 | 28¢ | $12 | 0xafd065… |
| 07-23 08:34:40 | Esteemed-Pumpernickel 0xb3d7…7504 | No | BUY | 138 | 73¢ | $100 | 0xafd065… |
| 07-23 08:34:40 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 61 | 73¢ | $44 | 0xafd065… |
| 07-23 08:34:18 | Esteemed-Pumpernickel 0xb3d7…7504 | No | BUY | 139 | 72¢ | $100 | 0x612e1f… |
| 07-23 08:34:18 | (anonymous) 0xc7fb…8eb0 | Yes | BUY | 139 | 28¢ | $39 | 0x612e1f… |
| 07-23 05:59:55 | Sugary-Laughter 0xbe8a…97c0 | Yes | BUY | 70 | 29¢ | $20 | 0xe1a7d6… |
| 07-23 05:59:55 | Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | No | BUY | 20 | 71¢ | $14 | 0xe1a7d6… |
| 07-23 05:59:55 | Those-Supervision 0x074f…6abf | No | BUY | 50 | 71¢ | $36 | 0xe1a7d6… |
| 07-21 22:50:39 | Those-Supervision 0x074f…6abf | No | BUY | 50 | 71¢ | $36 | 0x965c5d… |
| 07-21 22:50:39 | (anonymous) 0xc7fb…8eb0 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 29¢ | $14 | 0x965c5d… |
| 07-21 22:41:27 | (anonymous) 0xc7fb…8eb0 | Yes | BUY | 70 | 28¢ | $20 | 0xd2507b… |
| 07-21 22:41:27 | Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | No | BUY | 20 | 72¢ | $14 | 0xd2507b… |
| 07-21 22:41:27 | Meaty-Rubric 0x9e9a…a9a8 | No | BUY | 50 | 72¢ | $36 | 0xd2507b… |
| 07-21 15:52:21 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 16 | 74¢ | $12 | 0xe322fb… |
| 07-21 15:52:21 | (anonymous) 0x4cad…91c5 | No | BUY | 19 | 74¢ | $14 | 0xe322fb… |
| 07-21 15:52:21 | Tired-Acoustics 0x61f2…e77a | No | SELL | 3 | 74¢ | $2 | 0xe322fb… |
| 07-20 07:18:12 | (anonymous) 0xdb9a…6876 | Yes | BUY | 202 | 24¢ | $49 | 0xef7f89… |
| 07-20 07:18:12 | Whirlwind-Logistics 0x21bc…4681 | Yes | SELL | 202 | 24¢ | $49 | 0xef7f89… |
| 07-19 13:15:43 | (anonymous) 0xdb9a…6876 | Yes | BUY | 263 | 24¢ | $63 | 0x25e63e… |
| 07-19 13:15:43 | Jaded-Mail 0xa696…1d24 | No | BUY | 263 | 76¢ | $200 | 0x25e63e… |
| 07-19 06:57:10 | (anonymous) 0xdb9a…6876 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 24¢ | $4 | 0x1498d3… |
| 07-19 06:57:10 | Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | No | BUY | 16 | 76¢ | $12 | 0x1498d3… |
| 07-19 05:14:28 | Worn-Tanker 0xc97b…47e5 | No | BUY | 950 | 76¢ | $722 | 0x63dbe9… |
| 07-19 05:14:28 | Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4 | Yes | BUY | 963 | 24¢ | $231 | 0x63dbe9… |
| 07-19 05:14:28 | Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | No | BUY | 13 | 76¢ | $10 | 0x63dbe9… |
| 07-18 04:13:13 | (anonymous) 0x36c2…76f4 | Yes | BUY | 51 | 22¢ | $11 | 0xfd6578… |
| 07-18 04:13:13 | Proud-Homework 0x9e45…3662 | No | BUY | 51 | 78¢ | $40 | 0xfd6578… |
| 07-18 04:13:07 | (anonymous) 0x36c2…76f4 | Yes | BUY | 256 | 22¢ | $56 | 0x82cb0e… |
| 07-18 04:13:07 | Proud-Homework 0x9e45…3662 | No | BUY | 256 | 78¢ | $200 | 0x82cb0e… |
| 07-17 23:26:12 | Remote-Demur 0x9a67…af26 | No | BUY | 3 | 78¢ | $2 | 0xe76b5e… |
| 07-17 23:26:12 | (anonymous) 0x36c2…76f4 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 22¢ | $1 | 0xe76b5e… |
| 07-17 23:22:31 | Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | Yes | BUY | 20 | 23¢ | $5 | 0x61c9b2… |
| 07-17 23:22:31 | Sugary-Laughter 0xbe8a…97c0 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 23¢ | $3 | 0x61c9b2… |
| 07-17 23:22:31 | Active-Loft 0x0a24…f55d | Yes | BUY | 63 | 23¢ | $15 | 0x61c9b2… |
| 07-17 23:22:31 | (anonymous) 0x36c2…76f4 | Yes | BUY | 28 | 22¢ | $6 | 0x61c9b2… |
| 07-17 23:22:31 | Remote-Demur 0x9a67…af26 | No | BUY | 126 | 77¢ | $98 | 0x61c9b2… |
| 07-17 09:49:03 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | Yes | SELL | 53 | 23¢ | $12 | 0x5c9404… |
| 07-17 09:49:03 | Active-Loft 0x0a24…f55d | Yes | BUY | 53 | 23¢ | $12 | 0x5c9404… |
| 07-15 23:22:25 | Active-Loft 0x0a24…f55d | Yes | BUY | 27 | 23¢ | $6 | 0x9df20f… |
| 07-15 23:22:25 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 27 | 77¢ | $21 | 0x9df20f… |
| 07-15 09:55:58 | Suburban-Ecliptic 0x476c…ce52 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 24¢ | $12 | 0x2e80a0… |
| 07-15 09:55:58 | Worn-Tanker 0xc97b…47e5 | No | BUY | 50 | 76¢ | $38 | 0x2e80a0… |
| 07-15 08:26:07 | Sugary-Laughter 0xbe8a…97c0 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 24¢ | $2 | 0xf6207c… |
| 07-15 08:26:07 | Total-Sash 0x243c…2240 | Yes | BUY | 3,000 | 24¢ | $720 | 0xf6207c… |
| 07-15 08:26:07 | Worn-Tanker 0xc97b…47e5 | No | BUY | 3,010 | 76¢ | $2,288 | 0xf6207c… |
| 07-12 13:18:13 | Verifiable-Cheesecake 0x2c5f…f373 | No | BUY | 26 | 76¢ | $20 | 0xe46fab… |
| 07-12 13:18:13 | Active-Loft 0x0a24…f55d | Yes | BUY | 6 | 23¢ | $1 | 0xe46fab… |
| 07-12 13:18:13 | Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | Yes | BUY | 20 | 24¢ | $5 | 0xe46fab… |
| 07-12 08:31:35 | Sugary-Laughter 0xbe8a…97c0 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 26¢ | $3 | 0x0911ef… |
| 07-12 08:31:35 | (anonymous) 0xb2ca…cf4d | Yes | SELL | 10 | 26¢ | $3 | 0x0911ef… |
| 07-12 08:31:16 | Sugary-Laughter 0xbe8a…97c0 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 26¢ | $1 | 0xeeb68e… |
| 07-12 08:31:16 | (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 26¢ | $1 | 0xeeb68e… |
| 07-12 08:30:50 | (anonymous) 0x489a…fff2 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 26¢ | $10 | 0xe666e9… |
| 07-12 08:30:50 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | SELL | 5 | 74¢ | $4 | 0xe666e9… |
| 07-12 08:30:50 | Sugary-Laughter 0xbe8a…97c0 | Yes | BUY | 35 | 26¢ | $9 | 0xe666e9… |
| 07-11 06:10:08 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | BUY | 5 | 72¢ | $4 | 0x453ff0… |
| 07-11 06:10:08 | Sugary-Laughter 0xbe8a…97c0 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 28¢ | $1 | 0x453ff0… |
| 07-09 15:44:20 | Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | No | BUY | 20 | 71¢ | $14 | 0x7c97d5… |
| 07-09 15:44:20 | Concerned-Wing 0x5874…05f7 | No | BUY | 18 | 71¢ | $13 | 0x7c97d5… |
| 07-09 15:44:20 | Greedy-Neighbourhood 0x6ffd…a637 | Yes | BUY | 38 | 29¢ | $11 | 0x7c97d5… |
| 07-09 14:35:13 | (anonymous) 0xce18…3c84 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 29¢ | $2 | 0xcca9ce… |
| 07-09 14:35:13 | Concerned-Wing 0x5874…05f7 | No | BUY | 7 | 71¢ | $5 | 0xcca9ce… |
| 07-09 14:35:11 | Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | No | BUY | 20 | 72¢ | $14 | 0xac07a0… |
| 07-09 14:35:11 | Greedy-Neighbourhood 0x6ffd…a637 | Yes | BUY | 252 | 28¢ | $70 | 0xac07a0… |
| 07-09 14:35:11 | Those-Supervision 0x074f…6abf | No | BUY | 227 | 72¢ | $163 | 0xac07a0… |
| 07-09 14:35:11 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | Yes | SELL | 5 | 27¢ | $1 | 0xac07a0… |
| 07-09 14:34:46 | Greedy-Neighbourhood 0x6ffd…a637 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 26¢ | $6 | 0xd1ac05… |
| 07-09 14:34:46 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 26¢ | $6 | 0xd1ac05… |
| 07-08 12:12:44 | Worldly-Dump 0xc18b…3917 | Yes | BUY | 60 | 23¢ | $14 | 0xc4e509… |
| 07-08 12:12:44 | (anonymous) 0xb119…680b | No | SELL | 8 | 77¢ | $6 | 0xc4e509… |
| 07-08 12:12:44 | (anonymous) 0x36c2…76f4 | Yes | BUY | 22 | 22¢ | $5 | 0xc4e509… |