Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,200 (HIGH) in December?
open
Total volume
$3,093
$225 in 24h
Trades
213
Unique wallets
56
Liquidity
$2,520
Latest YES mid
25¢
Latest NO mid
75¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-28
last 07-04 06:31
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-26.0¢
(top1%: 13% YES on $127
vs crowd: 39% YES on $2.0K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 3 | $48 | $18 | +$30 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 12 | $100 | $526 | $425 |
| 🐟 Fish | 13 | $297 | $574 | $277 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 28 | $347 | $95 | +$252 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 3 | $17 | $110 | $93 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 5 | $184 | $4 | +$180 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | $52 | $39 | +$13 |
| Median | 3 | $105 | — | +$105 |
| Below median | 6 | $5 | $83 | $79 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 4 | $32 | $332 | $300 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 6 | — | $280 | $280 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | $6 | — | +$6 |
| unranked | 24 | $391 | $365 | +$26 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | Yes | +461 | $142 | $142 | 26 | 07-02 17:53 |
| (anonymous) 0xe3af…c5f4 | Yes | +413 | $149 | $149 | 10 | 06-23 21:38 |
| Proud-Homework 0x9e45…3662 | No | +346 | $270 | $270 | 1 | 07-02 17:53 |
| Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | No | +326 | $214 | $214 | 21 | 07-03 16:50 |
| Worldly-Dump 0xc18b…3917 | Yes | +178 | $36 | $142 | 7 | 06-26 15:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x7bd3…1c90 | Yes | +160 | $60 | $60 | 3 | 07-03 16:53 |
| Giddy-Poppy 0xbfcc…12a6 | No | +153 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 06-17 19:27 |
| NoSteinNoGate 0xff7c…b233 | No | +149 | $110 | $110 | 2 | 06-24 06:13 |
| Jam-Packed-Theft 0x2d5b…5d41 | Yes | +129 | $41 | $41 | 1 | 05-28 16:48 |
| Jaded-Mail 0xa696…1d24 | No | +110 | $72 | $72 | 4 | 06-28 20:30 |
| Sympathetic-Count 0x43a0…0d5c | Yes | +100 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 06-06 22:07 |
| Suburban-Ecliptic 0x476c…ce52 | Yes | +86 | $24 | $24 | 4 | 07-03 14:41 |
| Fatherly-Smog 0xa6b9…b0c1 | No | +75 | $51 | $51 | 2 | 06-03 07:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | +60 | $14 | $14 | 12 | 07-02 17:53 |
| Whirlwind-Logistics 0x21bc…4681 | Yes | +56 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 06-12 00:53 |
| Greedy-Neighbourhood 0x6ffd…a637 | Yes | +51 | $12 | $22 | 4 | 06-27 09:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x489a…fff2 | Yes | +40 | $12 | $12 | 4 | 06-23 09:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x36c2…76f4 | Yes | +30 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 07-02 18:56 |
| Prestigious-Gram 0xb780…aa38 | No | +29 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 06-19 10:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x40c7…b1e8 | Yes | +20 | $7 | $7 | 5 | 06-29 02:09 |
| Small-Pompom 0x9d73…216b | Yes | +20 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 06-17 19:27 |
| (anonymous) 0xbd86…3266 | Yes | +17 | $6 | $6 | 2 | 06-28 09:49 |
| Concerned-Wing 0x5874…05f7 | No | +15 | $11 | $11 | 2 | 06-30 05:33 |
| (anonymous) 0xb2ca…cf4d | Yes | +10 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 06-29 02:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x4f24…1218 | Yes | +10 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-09 23:54 |
| (anonymous) 0xb119…680b | No | +8 | $5 | $17 | 3 | 07-04 06:31 |
| Content-Repository 0x24e7…1785 | Yes | +7 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-10 17:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x2efd…4d9a | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-23 14:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-30 05:32 |
| Elegant-Guacamole 0x7dd1…a7f6 | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-10 12:03 |
| Agreeable-Birth 0x84c3…35d4 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-11 02:42 |
| (anonymous) 0x4e4e…7c90 | Yes | +2 | $-1 | $6 | 5 | 06-15 12:47 |
| Sure-Footed-Fee 0x246c…ec93 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-27 13:09 |
| (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | +1 | $1 | $14 | 8 | 06-11 08:40 |
| Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | +1 | $1 | $13 | 7 | 06-11 08:40 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-04 06:31:16 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 23¢ | $2 | 0x1e8b87… |
| 07-04 06:31:16 | (anonymous) 0xb119…680b | No | SELL | 7 | 77¢ | $6 | 0x1e8b87… |
| 07-04 06:31:16 | Blond-Boss 0x859d…fccb | Yes | SELL | 18 | 23¢ | $4 | 0x1e8b87… |
| 07-03 16:53:47 | (anonymous) 0x7bd3…1c90 | Yes | BUY | 36 | 28¢ | $10 | 0x78d80f… |
| 07-03 16:53:47 | Those-Supervision 0x074f…6abf | No | BUY | 36 | 72¢ | $26 | 0x78d80f… |
| 07-03 16:50:23 | Those-Supervision 0x074f…6abf | No | BUY | 38 | 72¢ | $27 | 0x7a6ccd… |
| 07-03 16:50:23 | Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | No | BUY | 20 | 72¢ | $14 | 0x7a6ccd… |
| 07-03 16:50:23 | Writhing-Talk 0xd32f…8387 | No | SELL | 58 | 72¢ | $42 | 0x7a6ccd… |
| 07-03 16:48:43 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 25 | 27¢ | $7 | 0x05a942… |
| 07-03 16:48:43 | Writhing-Talk 0xd32f…8387 | No | SELL | 25 | 73¢ | $18 | 0x05a942… |
| 07-03 16:30:01 | (anonymous) 0x222f…a9d5 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 24¢ | $6 | 0xe47f5b… |
| 07-03 16:30:01 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 25 | 24¢ | $6 | 0xe47f5b… |
| 07-03 14:41:16 | (anonymous) 0xb119…680b | No | BUY | 15 | 73¢ | $11 | 0xb0210f… |
| 07-03 14:41:16 | Suburban-Ecliptic 0x476c…ce52 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 27¢ | $4 | 0xb0210f… |
| 07-03 14:09:59 | (anonymous) 0x222f…a9d5 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 27¢ | $3 | 0xabfc52… |
| 07-03 14:09:59 | (anonymous) 0xb119…680b | No | BUY | 0 | 73¢ | $0 | 0xabfc52… |
| 07-03 14:09:59 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 27¢ | $3 | 0xabfc52… |
| 07-03 13:08:11 | (anonymous) 0x222f…a9d5 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 27¢ | $3 | 0xfb19ca… |
| 07-03 13:08:11 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 13 | 27¢ | $3 | 0xfb19ca… |
| 07-02 18:56:17 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 30 | 26¢ | $8 | 0x05cd70… |
| 07-02 18:56:17 | (anonymous) 0x36c2…76f4 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 26¢ | $8 | 0x05cd70… |
| 07-02 17:53:10 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 23¢ | $6 | 0xdd7118… |
| 07-02 17:53:10 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 23¢ | $7 | 0xdd7118… |
| 07-02 17:53:10 | (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 20¢ | $1 | 0xdd7118… |
| 07-02 17:53:10 | Proud-Homework 0x9e45…3662 | No | BUY | 346 | 78¢ | $270 | 0xdd7118… |
| 07-02 17:53:10 | Those-Supervision 0x074f…6abf | No | SELL | 200 | 78¢ | $156 | 0xdd7118… |
| 07-02 17:53:10 | Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | Yes | BUY | 1 | 19¢ | $0 | 0xdd7118… |
| 06-30 05:33:23 | Concerned-Wing 0x5874…05f7 | No | BUY | 10 | 74¢ | $7 | 0xb9e824… |
| 06-30 05:33:23 | Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | Yes | BUY | 10 | 26¢ | $3 | 0xb9e824… |
| 06-30 05:32:02 | Concerned-Wing 0x5874…05f7 | No | BUY | 5 | 71¢ | $4 | 0x3c33ee… |
| 06-30 05:32:02 | (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 29¢ | $1 | 0x3c33ee… |
| 06-29 02:09:17 | (anonymous) 0x5d62…e937 | No | SELL | 100 | 70¢ | $70 | 0xdb49ad… |
| 06-29 02:09:17 | Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | Yes | BUY | 20 | 30¢ | $6 | 0xdb49ad… |
| 06-29 02:09:17 | (anonymous) 0xb2ca…cf4d | Yes | BUY | 5 | 30¢ | $2 | 0xdb49ad… |
| 06-29 02:09:17 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | Yes | SELL | 150 | 30¢ | $45 | 0xdb49ad… |
| 06-29 02:09:17 | (anonymous) 0x40c7…b1e8 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 30¢ | $2 | 0xdb49ad… |
| 06-29 02:08:52 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | Yes | SELL | 28 | 33¢ | $9 | 0x85888f… |
| 06-29 02:08:52 | (anonymous) 0xb2ca…cf4d | Yes | BUY | 5 | 33¢ | $2 | 0x85888f… |
| 06-29 02:08:52 | (anonymous) 0x40c7…b1e8 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 33¢ | $1 | 0x85888f… |
| 06-29 02:08:52 | Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | Yes | BUY | 20 | 33¢ | $7 | 0x85888f… |
| 06-28 20:30:44 | Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | Yes | BUY | 20 | 34¢ | $7 | 0x1087e7… |
| 06-28 20:30:44 | Jaded-Mail 0xa696…1d24 | No | BUY | 50 | 66¢ | $33 | 0x1087e7… |
| 06-28 20:30:44 | (anonymous) 0x40c7…b1e8 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 34¢ | $2 | 0x1087e7… |
| 06-28 09:49:41 | (anonymous) 0xbd86…3266 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 36¢ | $5 | 0x1c33b5… |
| 06-28 09:49:41 | Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | No | BUY | 14 | 64¢ | $9 | 0x1c33b5… |
| 06-27 13:09:53 | Sure-Footed-Fee 0x246c…ec93 | No | BUY | 1 | 67¢ | $1 | 0x538867… |
| 06-27 13:09:53 | (anonymous) 0x40c7…b1e8 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 33¢ | $0 | 0x538867… |
| 06-27 12:05:55 | Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | No | BUY | 1 | 64¢ | $0 | 0x77a58e… |
| 06-27 12:05:55 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | No | SELL | 1 | 64¢ | $0 | 0x77a58e… |
| 06-27 09:10:59 | Greedy-Neighbourhood 0x6ffd…a637 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 34¢ | $5 | 0xe3fef5… |
| 06-27 09:10:59 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | No | SELL | 15 | 66¢ | $10 | 0xe3fef5… |
| 06-26 15:50:16 | Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | Yes | SELL | 15 | 32¢ | $5 | 0x7b40b5… |
| 06-26 15:50:16 | Worldly-Dump 0xc18b…3917 | Yes | SELL | 49 | 37¢ | $18 | 0x7b40b5… |
| 06-26 15:50:16 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | No | BUY | 16 | 64¢ | $10 | 0x7b40b5… |
| 06-26 15:50:16 | (anonymous) 0x7e2b…cfc0 | No | SELL | 154 | 66¢ | $102 | 0x7b40b5… |
| 06-26 15:50:16 | Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | No | BUY | 20 | 65¢ | $13 | 0x7b40b5… |
| 06-26 10:20:59 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 21 | 27¢ | $6 | 0x9eeee5… |
| 06-26 10:20:59 | Greedy-Neighbourhood 0x6ffd…a637 | Yes | BUY | 51 | 27¢ | $14 | 0x9eeee5… |
| 06-26 10:20:59 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 30 | 27¢ | $8 | 0x9eeee5… |
| 06-25 10:01:34 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 28¢ | $1 | 0x2b29fc… |
| 06-25 10:01:34 | (anonymous) 0xbd86…3266 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 28¢ | $1 | 0x2b29fc… |
| 06-24 08:03:50 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 28¢ | $8 | 0x4faa07… |
| 06-24 08:03:50 | Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | Yes | BUY | 16 | 28¢ | $4 | 0x4faa07… |
| 06-24 08:03:50 | (anonymous) 0x7e2b…cfc0 | No | BUY | 95 | 73¢ | $69 | 0x4faa07… |
| 06-24 08:03:50 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 27¢ | $7 | 0x4faa07… |
| 06-24 08:03:50 | Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | Yes | BUY | 10 | 25¢ | $2 | 0x4faa07… |
| 06-24 06:13:02 | Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | Yes | BUY | 14 | 29¢ | $4 | 0x85d7fb… |
| 06-24 06:13:02 | NoSteinNoGate 0xff7c…b233 | No | BUY | 34 | 71¢ | $24 | 0x85d7fb… |
| 06-24 06:13:02 | Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | Yes | BUY | 20 | 29¢ | $6 | 0x85d7fb… |
| 06-23 21:38:02 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 1 | 64¢ | $0 | 0xfad5b6… |
| 06-23 21:38:02 | Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | No | BUY | 20 | 64¢ | $13 | 0xfad5b6… |
| 06-23 21:38:02 | (anonymous) 0xe3af…c5f4 | Yes | BUY | 21 | 36¢ | $8 | 0xfad5b6… |
| 06-23 21:38:02 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 0 | 36¢ | $0 | 0xfad5b6… |
| 06-23 21:35:19 | Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | No | BUY | 4 | 66¢ | $3 | 0x1073b5… |
| 06-23 21:35:19 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 2 | 36¢ | $1 | 0x1073b5… |
| 06-23 21:35:19 | (anonymous) 0xe3af…c5f4 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 35¢ | $2 | 0x1073b5… |
| 06-23 21:34:56 | Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | No | BUY | 16 | 66¢ | $11 | 0xe23a7c… |
| 06-23 21:34:56 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 32¢ | $8 | 0xe23a7c… |
| 06-23 21:34:56 | (anonymous) 0xe3af…c5f4 | Yes | BUY | 94 | 32¢ | $30 | 0xe23a7c… |
| 06-23 17:43:35 | Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | No | BUY | 14 | 69¢ | $10 | 0xba7fba… |
| 06-23 17:43:35 | (anonymous) 0x6160…7f02 | No | SELL | 14 | 69¢ | $10 | 0xba7fba… |
| 06-23 14:49:13 | (anonymous) 0x2efd…4d9a | No | BUY | 5 | 73¢ | $4 | 0x961eb1… |
| 06-23 14:49:13 | Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | Yes | BUY | 5 | 27¢ | $1 | 0x961eb1… |
| 06-23 09:00:46 | Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | Yes | BUY | 20 | 28¢ | $6 | 0xbc61ad… |
| 06-23 09:00:46 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 28¢ | $14 | 0xbc61ad… |
| 06-23 09:00:46 | (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 28¢ | $1 | 0xbc61ad… |
| 06-23 09:00:32 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 29¢ | $1 | 0x8c51bb… |
| 06-23 09:00:32 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 29¢ | $1 | 0x8c51bb… |
| 06-23 09:00:22 | Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | Yes | BUY | 20 | 29¢ | $6 | 0xd7f836… |
| 06-23 09:00:22 | (anonymous) 0x489a…fff2 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 29¢ | $3 | 0xd7f836… |
| 06-23 09:00:22 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | Yes | SELL | 60 | 29¢ | $17 | 0xd7f836… |
| 06-23 09:00:22 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 29¢ | $6 | 0xd7f836… |
| 06-23 08:49:31 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 30¢ | $6 | 0x619f2d… |
| 06-23 08:49:31 | Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | Yes | BUY | 20 | 30¢ | $6 | 0x619f2d… |
| 06-23 08:44:40 | Agreeable-Courthouse 0x5678…e468 | No | SELL | 42 | 68¢ | $28 | 0x3cccd3… |
| 06-23 08:44:40 | Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | Yes | BUY | 20 | 32¢ | $6 | 0x3cccd3… |
| 06-23 08:44:40 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | Yes | SELL | 288 | 33¢ | $95 | 0x3cccd3… |
| 06-23 08:44:40 | (anonymous) 0x489a…fff2 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 33¢ | $3 | 0x3cccd3… |
| 06-22 20:33:56 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 28 | 36¢ | $10 | 0x07a382… |
| 06-22 20:33:56 | (anonymous) 0xe3af…c5f4 | Yes | BUY | 28 | 36¢ | $10 | 0x07a382… |