Realized P&L
-$597
Unrealized P&L
-$163
Hit rate
86.9%
Resolved
83
Trades
528
lifetime
Volume
$30.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$57
Open exposure
$1.68K
11 positions
First seen
2026-05-01
last 10-30 17:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 38 days
Categories
Other
56% 79% -$5
Tech
22% 91% -$752
Sports
17% 92% +$288
Crypto
5% 62% -$128
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
21 active days in 12wk • peak 27 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December? No +700 $574 97¢ $681 +$107 10-11 20:16
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes +337 $244 88¢ $295 +$51 05-10 13:24
France defaults on debt by December 31, 2027? No +140 $133 92¢ $129 -$4 10-21 20:57
spx hit 8000 high dec 2026 Yes +470 $420 24¢ $110 -$310 08-15 17:52
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +100 $93 99¢ $99 +$6 05-10 13:04
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December? No +100 $96 97¢ $97 +$0 09-29 12:18
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at <$6,000 in December? No +100 $92 96¢ $95 +$3 10-21 22:41
Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering? Yes +63 $61 98¢ $62 +$1 10-28 12:40
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? No +56 $50 99¢ $55 +$5 05-09 06:43
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at $6,500-$7,000 in December? No +50 $46 79¢ $40 -$6 08-09 11:12
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,200 (HIGH) in December? Yes +100 $30 13¢ $13 -$17 06-06 22:07