Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,800 (HIGH) in December?
open
Total volume
$1,686
Trades
87
Unique wallets
38
Liquidity
$824
Latest YES mid
78¢
Latest NO mid
22¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-31
last 06-15 16:36
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-66.9¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $86
vs crowd: 67% YES on $1.4K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 3 | $31 | — | +$31 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 7 | $138 | $285 | $147 |
| 🐟 Fish | 8 | $161 | $31 | +$130 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 20 | $578 | $132 | +$446 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | $86 | $86 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 5 | $581 | $53 | +$528 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 5 | $152 | $11 | +$141 |
| Median | 4 | $78 | $25 | +$53 |
| Below median | 4 | $29 | $5 | +$24 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 4 | $1 | $226 | $225 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $23 | $0 | +$23 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | $8 | — | +$8 |
| unranked | 11 | $37 | $42 | $6 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sympathetic-Count 0x43a0…0d5c | Yes | +699 | $508 | $508 | 12 | 06-15 16:36 |
| Proud-Homework 0x9e45…3662 | No | +672 | $173 | $173 | 4 | 06-05 16:53 |
| NoSteinNoGate 0xff7c…b233 | No | +260 | $86 | $86 | 1 | 06-05 19:36 |
| Humming-Jiffy 0x4d6b…a7b4 | No | +205 | $47 | $47 | 1 | 06-15 16:36 |
| Fatherly-Smog 0xa6b9…b0c1 | No | +121 | $38 | $38 | 1 | 06-05 19:21 |
| Previous-Seafood 0xf9ac…806e | Yes | +100 | $78 | $78 | 1 | 06-02 18:54 |
| Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | +52 | $25 | $25 | 2 | 06-07 09:40 |
| Experienced-Carpeting 0xbdcb…e811 | Yes | +33 | $23 | $23 | 1 | 06-11 20:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | +30 | $7 | $22 | 7 | 06-14 21:46 |
| (anonymous) 0x7bd3…1c90 | Yes | +27 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 06-14 21:46 |
| Big-Hearted-Shaker 0xe5c2…2b81 | Yes | +27 | $20 | $20 | 2 | 06-09 16:50 |
| (anonymous) 0xe3af…c5f4 | Yes | +27 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 06-12 13:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x60d2…effd | Yes | +20 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 06-09 16:25 |
| Elegant-Guacamole 0x7dd1…a7f6 | Yes | +20 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 06-10 03:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x6160…7f02 | No | +20 | $11 | $15 | 3 | 06-09 22:25 |
| Used-Commitment-Undertaker 0xfab6…e94c | No | +20 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-15 16:34 |
| Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | No | +20 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 06-11 20:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x4c9e…190b | No | +15 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-31 17:34 |
| Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | No | +13 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-12 13:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x1790…6fd2 | No | +12 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 06-14 21:46 |
| Tense-Fort 0x2f26…0d8f | Yes | +8 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-07 02:38 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-05 19:14 |
| Fragrant-Aperitif 0xb92a…b183 | No | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-31 16:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x6384…00c8 | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-12 19:57 |
| (anonymous) 0xd294…dc53 | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-10 18:30 |
| Rough-Other 0x3bb7…ca49 | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-02 10:24 |
| (anonymous) 0x45b0…ceeb | No | +1 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-02 10:24 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-15 16:36:34 | Sympathetic-Count 0x43a0…0d5c | Yes | BUY | 205 | 77¢ | $158 | 0x82e675… |
| 06-15 16:36:34 | Humming-Jiffy 0x4d6b…a7b4 | No | BUY | 205 | 23¢ | $47 | 0x82e675… |
| 06-15 16:36:27 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 45 | 76¢ | $34 | 0x33fb57… |
| 06-15 16:36:27 | Sympathetic-Count 0x43a0…0d5c | Yes | BUY | 45 | 76¢ | $34 | 0x33fb57… |
| 06-15 16:34:37 | Used-Commitment-Undertaker 0xfab6…e94c | No | BUY | 20 | 25¢ | $5 | 0xcae7ff… |
| 06-15 16:34:37 | Sympathetic-Count 0x43a0…0d5c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 75¢ | $15 | 0xcae7ff… |
| 06-15 15:32:54 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | Yes | BUY | 72 | 75¢ | $54 | 0xb16e9b… |
| 06-15 15:32:54 | Worldly-Dump 0xc18b…3917 | Yes | SELL | 72 | 75¢ | $54 | 0xb16e9b… |
| 06-14 21:46:52 | (anonymous) 0x1790…6fd2 | No | BUY | 2 | 26¢ | $1 | 0x6e2dad… |
| 06-14 21:46:52 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | BUY | 25 | 26¢ | $6 | 0x6e2dad… |
| 06-14 21:46:52 | (anonymous) 0x7bd3…1c90 | Yes | BUY | 27 | 74¢ | $20 | 0x6e2dad… |
| 06-12 19:57:36 | (anonymous) 0x6384…00c8 | No | BUY | 2 | 41¢ | $1 | 0x272746… |
| 06-12 19:57:36 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | SELL | 2 | 41¢ | $1 | 0x272746… |
| 06-12 13:55:51 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | BUY | 4 | 25¢ | $1 | 0x0f09fd… |
| 06-12 13:55:51 | Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | No | BUY | 13 | 25¢ | $3 | 0x0f09fd… |
| 06-12 13:55:51 | (anonymous) 0x1790…6fd2 | No | BUY | 10 | 25¢ | $2 | 0x0f09fd… |
| 06-12 13:55:51 | (anonymous) 0xe3af…c5f4 | Yes | BUY | 27 | 75¢ | $20 | 0x0f09fd… |
| 06-11 20:44:42 | Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | Yes | SELL | 6 | 72¢ | $5 | 0xc0f939… |
| 06-11 20:44:42 | Experienced-Carpeting 0xbdcb…e811 | Yes | BUY | 33 | 70¢ | $23 | 0xc0f939… |
| 06-11 20:44:42 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | No | BUY | 20 | 30¢ | $6 | 0xc0f939… |
| 06-10 18:30:43 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | BUY | 1 | 29¢ | $0 | 0x99da10… |
| 06-10 18:30:43 | (anonymous) 0xd294…dc53 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 71¢ | $1 | 0x99da10… |
| 06-10 04:34:42 | Substantial-Loading 0x6f8b…56ed | Yes | SELL | 2 | 48¢ | $1 | 0x14ad0e… |
| 06-10 04:34:42 | Worldly-Dump 0xc18b…3917 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 48¢ | $1 | 0x14ad0e… |
| 06-10 03:57:51 | Elegant-Guacamole 0x7dd1…a7f6 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 70¢ | $14 | 0xf013f3… |
| 06-10 03:57:51 | Basic-Stitcher 0x52fd…2ab7 | Yes | SELL | 18 | 70¢ | $13 | 0xf013f3… |
| 06-10 03:57:51 | Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | Yes | SELL | 2 | 70¢ | $1 | 0xf013f3… |
| 06-09 22:25:52 | Substantial-Loading 0x6f8b…56ed | Yes | BUY | 2 | 50¢ | $1 | 0xb6682e… |
| 06-09 22:25:52 | (anonymous) 0x6160…7f02 | No | BUY | 20 | 50¢ | $10 | 0xb6682e… |
| 06-09 22:25:52 | Basic-Stitcher 0x52fd…2ab7 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 50¢ | $9 | 0xb6682e… |
| 06-09 16:50:27 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | SELL | 29 | 41¢ | $12 | 0x4b89bf… |
| 06-09 16:50:27 | Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | Yes | BUY | 9 | 59¢ | $5 | 0x4b89bf… |
| 06-09 16:50:27 | Swift-Toast 0xfa10…8f6b | Yes | SELL | 39 | 59¢ | $23 | 0x4b89bf… |
| 06-09 16:50:27 | Big-Hearted-Shaker 0xe5c2…2b81 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 58¢ | $1 | 0x4b89bf… |
| 06-09 16:25:10 | Suburban-Ecliptic 0x476c…ce52 | Yes | SELL | 44 | 73¢ | $32 | 0x96f9af… |
| 06-09 16:25:10 | (anonymous) 0x60d2…effd | Yes | BUY | 20 | 73¢ | $15 | 0x96f9af… |
| 06-09 16:25:10 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | SELL | 24 | 27¢ | $6 | 0x96f9af… |
| 06-09 13:51:00 | Thick-Star 0x4508…8195 | No | SELL | 54 | 27¢ | $15 | 0x710650… |
| 06-09 13:51:00 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | BUY | 29 | 27¢ | $8 | 0x710650… |
| 06-09 13:51:00 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | BUY | 19 | 27¢ | $5 | 0x710650… |
| 06-09 13:51:00 | Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | Yes | SELL | 6 | 73¢ | $5 | 0x710650… |
| 06-08 20:50:52 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | BUY | 7 | 25¢ | $2 | 0x4448e0… |
| 06-08 20:50:52 | (anonymous) 0x6160…7f02 | No | SELL | 7 | 25¢ | $2 | 0x4448e0… |
| 06-08 20:50:48 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | No | SELL | 7 | 41¢ | $3 | 0x8e95e8… |
| 06-08 20:50:48 | (anonymous) 0x6160…7f02 | No | BUY | 7 | 41¢ | $3 | 0x8e95e8… |
| 06-07 12:44:49 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 52¢ | $4 | 0x893799… |
| 06-07 12:44:49 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | No | BUY | 8 | 48¢ | $4 | 0x893799… |
| 06-07 09:40:49 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | BUY | 44 | 48¢ | $21 | 0xbe9040… |
| 06-07 09:40:49 | Suburban-Ecliptic 0x476c…ce52 | Yes | BUY | 44 | 52¢ | $23 | 0xbe9040… |
| 06-07 02:38:30 | Tense-Fort 0x2f26…0d8f | Yes | BUY | 8 | 52¢ | $4 | 0xee0ec6… |
| 06-07 02:38:30 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | BUY | 8 | 48¢ | $4 | 0xee0ec6… |
| 06-05 19:36:03 | Sympathetic-Count 0x43a0…0d5c | Yes | BUY | 100 | 66¢ | $66 | 0xaf89e6… |
| 06-05 19:36:03 | NoSteinNoGate 0xff7c…b233 | No | BUY | 260 | 33¢ | $86 | 0xaf89e6… |
| 06-05 19:21:27 | Fatherly-Smog 0xa6b9…b0c1 | No | BUY | 121 | 31¢ | $38 | 0x13bab9… |
| 06-05 19:21:27 | Sympathetic-Count 0x43a0…0d5c | Yes | BUY | 40 | 68¢ | $28 | 0x13bab9… |
| 06-05 19:18:30 | Thick-Star 0x4508…8195 | No | BUY | 15 | 31¢ | $4 | 0xa641a0… |
| 06-05 19:18:30 | Sympathetic-Count 0x43a0…0d5c | Yes | BUY | 15 | 69¢ | $10 | 0xa641a0… |
| 06-05 19:14:01 | Sympathetic-Count 0x43a0…0d5c | Yes | BUY | 5 | 69¢ | $3 | 0xbd8c58… |
| 06-05 19:14:01 | Thick-Star 0x4508…8195 | No | BUY | 40 | 30¢ | $12 | 0xbd8c58… |
| 06-05 19:14:01 | Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 70¢ | $4 | 0xbd8c58… |
| 06-05 16:53:52 | Proud-Homework 0x9e45…3662 | No | BUY | 70 | 30¢ | $21 | 0x3c5295… |
| 06-05 16:53:52 | Sympathetic-Count 0x43a0…0d5c | Yes | BUY | 70 | 70¢ | $49 | 0x3c5295… |
| 06-05 14:30:01 | Proud-Homework 0x9e45…3662 | No | BUY | 7 | 29¢ | $2 | 0xf89400… |
| 06-05 14:30:01 | Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | Yes | BUY | 7 | 71¢ | $5 | 0xf89400… |
| 06-05 14:29:52 | Proud-Homework 0x9e45…3662 | No | BUY | 172 | 29¢ | $50 | 0x389550… |
| 06-05 14:29:52 | Sympathetic-Count 0x43a0…0d5c | Yes | BUY | 97 | 71¢ | $69 | 0x389550… |
| 06-05 14:29:52 | Worldly-Dump 0xc18b…3917 | Yes | BUY | 70 | 71¢ | $50 | 0x389550… |
| 06-05 14:29:52 | Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | Yes | BUY | 6 | 71¢ | $4 | 0x389550… |
| 06-03 15:57:16 | Sympathetic-Count 0x43a0…0d5c | Yes | BUY | 77 | 74¢ | $57 | 0x0460bb… |
| 06-03 15:57:16 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | Yes | SELL | 77 | 74¢ | $57 | 0x0460bb… |
| 06-03 15:56:52 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | Yes | SELL | 35 | 75¢ | $26 | 0xa6f1ac… |
| 06-03 15:56:52 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 75¢ | $15 | 0xa6f1ac… |
| 06-02 19:07:25 | Writhing-Talk 0xd32f…8387 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 75¢ | $4 | 0xb24775… |
| 06-02 19:07:25 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 75¢ | $4 | 0xb24775… |
| 06-02 18:54:44 | Sympathetic-Count 0x43a0…0d5c | Yes | BUY | 23 | 74¢ | $17 | 0x7846e9… |
| 06-02 18:54:44 | Previous-Seafood 0xf9ac…806e | Yes | BUY | 100 | 78¢ | $78 | 0x7846e9… |
| 06-02 18:54:44 | Proud-Homework 0x9e45…3662 | No | BUY | 423 | 24¢ | $100 | 0x7846e9… |
| 06-02 10:24:33 | (anonymous) 0x45b0…ceeb | No | BUY | 1 | 20¢ | $0 | 0x42540f… |
| 06-02 10:24:33 | Rough-Other 0x3bb7…ca49 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 80¢ | $1 | 0x42540f… |
| 06-01 21:29:39 | Unfortunate-Tangerine 0x300d…ab3d | Yes | SELL | 25 | 75¢ | $19 | 0x4544e2… |
| 06-01 21:29:39 | Big-Hearted-Shaker 0xe5c2…2b81 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 75¢ | $19 | 0x4544e2… |
| 05-31 17:34:22 | (anonymous) 0x4c9e…190b | No | BUY | 15 | 27¢ | $4 | 0x88a9c9… |
| 05-31 17:34:22 | Swift-Toast 0xfa10…8f6b | Yes | BUY | 15 | 73¢ | $11 | 0x88a9c9… |
| 05-31 16:14:55 | Fragrant-Aperitif 0xb92a…b183 | No | BUY | 3 | 29¢ | $1 | 0x48a688… |
| 05-31 16:14:55 | Sympathetic-Count 0x43a0…0d5c | Yes | BUY | 3 | 71¢ | $2 | 0x48a688… |
| 05-31 08:59:17 | Swift-Toast 0xfa10…8f6b | Yes | BUY | 24 | 65¢ | $16 | 0x5e0e0e… |
| 05-31 08:59:17 | Ancient-Particular 0x9b4c…8980 | Yes | SELL | 24 | 65¢ | $16 | 0x5e0e0e… |