Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,800 (HIGH) in December?
open
Total volume
$3,249
Trades
190
Unique wallets
62
Liquidity
$824
Latest YES mid
62¢
Latest NO mid
38¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-31
last 07-08 00:26
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-66.0¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $103
vs crowd: 66% YES on $2.6K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 4 | $105 | — | +$105 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 11 | $226 | $392 | $166 |
| 🐟 Fish | 11 | $232 | $19 | +$212 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 36 | $1.1K | $465 | +$673 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 2 | — | $103 | $103 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 7 | $862 | $53 | +$809 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 7 | $235 | $11 | +$224 |
| Median | 5 | $177 | $50 | +$126 |
| Below median | 6 | $29 | $84 | $55 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 6 | $29 | $278 | $249 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 4 | $27 | $30 | $4 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | $4 | — | +$4 |
| unranked | 24 | $338 | $266 | +$72 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sympathetic-Count 0x43a0…0d5c | Yes | +899 | $655 | $655 | 14 | 06-17 19:10 |
| Proud-Homework 0x9e45…3662 | No | +672 | $173 | $173 | 4 | 06-05 16:53 |
| (anonymous) 0x8cbe…083a | No | +422 | $199 | $199 | 16 | 07-06 17:04 |
| (anonymous) 0xe2dd…be11 | Yes | +269 | $200 | $200 | 1 | 07-01 22:02 |
| NoSteinNoGate 0xff7c…b233 | No | +260 | $86 | $86 | 1 | 06-05 19:36 |
| Prestigious-Gram 0xb780…aa38 | No | +234 | $66 | $66 | 4 | 07-08 00:26 |
| Fatherly-Smog 0xa6b9…b0c1 | No | +215 | $81 | $81 | 5 | 07-02 17:33 |
| Humming-Jiffy 0x4d6b…a7b4 | No | +205 | $47 | $47 | 1 | 06-15 16:36 |
| Sugary-Laughter 0xbe8a…97c0 | Yes | +142 | $74 | $74 | 1 | 07-06 17:04 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | +131 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 07-01 22:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x7bd3…1c90 | Yes | +130 | $80 | $80 | 4 | 07-05 20:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x334f…5886 | Yes | +104 | $70 | $70 | 1 | 07-08 00:26 |
| Tense-Codepage 0xd805…52c2 | Yes | +103 | $60 | $60 | 1 | 07-01 20:10 |
| Previous-Seafood 0xf9ac…806e | Yes | +100 | $78 | $78 | 1 | 06-02 18:54 |
| Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | +52 | $27 | $74 | 4 | 07-06 11:40 |
| Active-Loft 0x0a24…f55d | Yes | +50 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 07-06 11:40 |
| Worldly-Dump 0xc18b…3917 | Yes | +50 | $32 | $140 | 5 | 06-23 06:36 |
| Greedy-Neighbourhood 0x6ffd…a637 | No | +44 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 06-26 10:20 |
| Unsightly-Puma 0x978e…80bc | Yes | +40 | $23 | $23 | 6 | 06-30 15:31 |
| Experienced-Carpeting 0xbdcb…e811 | Yes | +33 | $23 | $23 | 1 | 06-11 20:44 |
| Faithful-Pattypan 0xe6d5…bd41 | No | +31 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 06-23 06:36 |
| Concerned-Wing 0x5874…05f7 | No | +30 | $13 | $13 | 3 | 07-01 20:10 |
| Big-Hearted-Shaker 0xe5c2…2b81 | Yes | +27 | $20 | $20 | 2 | 06-09 16:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x4e4e…7c90 | Yes | +26 | $12 | $23 | 6 | 07-08 00:26 |
| Separate-Daylight 0xa4e0…6392 | Yes | +25 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 06-22 19:21 |
| Elegant-Guacamole 0x7dd1…a7f6 | Yes | +20 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 06-10 03:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x60d2…effd | Yes | +20 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 06-09 16:25 |
| (anonymous) 0xb119…680b | No | +8 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 07-08 00:26 |
| Tense-Fort 0x2f26…0d8f | Yes | +8 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-07 02:38 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-05 19:14 |
| Fragrant-Aperitif 0xb92a…b183 | No | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-31 16:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x6384…00c8 | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-12 19:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x990b…aae2 | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-30 05:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x1790…6fd2 | No | +2 | $1 | $6 | 3 | 06-17 15:28 |
| Which-Exhaust-Thunderstorm 0xb649…35d5 | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-03 14:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | +1 | $-2 | $46 | 12 | 06-26 10:20 |
| (anonymous) 0xd294…dc53 | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-10 18:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x610e…b852 | Yes | +1 | $1 | $17 | 4 | 06-29 03:29 |
| Rough-Other 0x3bb7…ca49 | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-02 10:24 |
| (anonymous) 0x45b0…ceeb | No | +1 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-02 10:24 |
| (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | No | +1 | $-1 | $6 | 4 | 07-02 17:32 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-08 00:26:53 | (anonymous) 0xb119…680b | Yes | SELL | 7 | 66¢ | $4 | 0x9f5a96… |
| 07-08 00:26:53 | (anonymous) 0xb119…680b | No | BUY | 8 | 33¢ | $3 | 0x9f5a96… |
| 07-08 00:26:53 | Prestigious-Gram 0xb780…aa38 | No | BUY | 82 | 33¢ | $27 | 0x9f5a96… |
| 07-08 00:26:53 | (anonymous) 0x334f…5886 | Yes | BUY | 104 | 67¢ | $70 | 0x9f5a96… |
| 07-08 00:26:53 | (anonymous) 0x4e4e…7c90 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 71¢ | $5 | 0x9f5a96… |
| 07-06 17:04:19 | Sugary-Laughter 0xbe8a…97c0 | Yes | BUY | 142 | 52¢ | $74 | 0x3c3114… |
| 07-06 17:04:19 | (anonymous) 0x8cbe…083a | No | BUY | 142 | 48¢ | $68 | 0x3c3114… |
| 07-06 11:40:17 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | BUY | 50 | 51¢ | $26 | 0x25319c… |
| 07-06 11:40:17 | Active-Loft 0x0a24…f55d | Yes | BUY | 50 | 49¢ | $24 | 0x25319c… |
| 07-05 20:18:05 | (anonymous) 0x8cbe…083a | No | BUY | 19 | 48¢ | $9 | 0xf141b3… |
| 07-05 20:18:05 | (anonymous) 0x7bd3…1c90 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 52¢ | $10 | 0xf141b3… |
| 07-05 20:16:52 | (anonymous) 0x8cbe…083a | No | BUY | 38 | 48¢ | $18 | 0x6cf86e… |
| 07-05 20:16:52 | (anonymous) 0x7bd3…1c90 | Yes | BUY | 38 | 52¢ | $20 | 0x6cf86e… |
| 07-03 16:53:16 | (anonymous) 0x78c5…f623 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 66¢ | $13 | 0x935a60… |
| 07-03 16:53:16 | Prestigious-Gram 0xb780…aa38 | No | BUY | 18 | 33¢ | $6 | 0x935a60… |
| 07-03 16:53:16 | (anonymous) 0xb119…680b | Yes | SELL | 7 | 66¢ | $4 | 0x935a60… |
| 07-03 16:53:16 | (anonymous) 0x7bd3…1c90 | Yes | BUY | 45 | 66¢ | $30 | 0x935a60… |
| 07-03 14:34:29 | Which-Exhaust-Thunderstorm 0xb649…35d5 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 66¢ | $1 | 0x6bb557… |
| 07-03 14:34:29 | (anonymous) 0xb119…680b | Yes | SELL | 2 | 66¢ | $1 | 0x6bb557… |
| 07-02 17:33:34 | (anonymous) 0x4c9e…190b | No | SELL | 25 | 51¢ | $13 | 0x51f78a… |
| 07-02 17:33:34 | Fatherly-Smog 0xa6b9…b0c1 | No | BUY | 25 | 51¢ | $13 | 0x51f78a… |
| 07-02 17:33:22 | Fatherly-Smog 0xa6b9…b0c1 | No | BUY | 20 | 50¢ | $10 | 0xbb7d80… |
| 07-02 17:33:22 | (anonymous) 0x78c5…f623 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 50¢ | $10 | 0xbb7d80… |
| 07-02 17:32:40 | (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | No | SELL | 25 | 43¢ | $11 | 0xddf783… |
| 07-02 17:32:40 | Fatherly-Smog 0xa6b9…b0c1 | No | BUY | 25 | 43¢ | $11 | 0xddf783… |
| 07-02 17:32:28 | Fatherly-Smog 0xa6b9…b0c1 | No | BUY | 24 | 38¢ | $9 | 0xa90912… |
| 07-02 17:32:28 | (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | No | SELL | 9 | 38¢ | $3 | 0xa90912… |
| 07-02 17:32:28 | (anonymous) 0xb119…680b | Yes | BUY | 15 | 62¢ | $9 | 0xa90912… |
| 07-01 22:02:47 | (anonymous) 0xe2dd…be11 | Yes | BUY | 269 | 74¢ | $200 | 0x40f54c… |
| 07-01 22:02:47 | Prestigious-Gram 0xb780…aa38 | No | BUY | 100 | 23¢ | $23 | 0x40f54c… |
| 07-01 22:02:47 | (anonymous) 0x8cbe…083a | No | BUY | 35 | 42¢ | $15 | 0x40f54c… |
| 07-01 22:02:47 | (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | No | BUY | 2 | 24¢ | $1 | 0x40f54c… |
| 07-01 22:02:47 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 131 | 23¢ | $30 | 0x40f54c… |
| 07-01 20:10:59 | (anonymous) 0xb2ca…cf4d | Yes | SELL | 5 | 65¢ | $3 | 0xb79dcf… |
| 07-01 20:10:59 | Concerned-Wing 0x5874…05f7 | No | BUY | 20 | 42¢ | $8 | 0xb79dcf… |
| 07-01 20:10:59 | (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | No | BUY | 3 | 24¢ | $1 | 0xb79dcf… |
| 07-01 20:10:59 | Tense-Codepage 0xd805…52c2 | Yes | BUY | 103 | 58¢ | $60 | 0xb79dcf… |
| 07-01 20:10:59 | (anonymous) 0x8cbe…083a | No | BUY | 30 | 47¢ | $14 | 0xb79dcf… |
| 07-01 20:10:59 | (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | No | BUY | 5 | 28¢ | $1 | 0xb79dcf… |
| 07-01 20:10:59 | (anonymous) 0x40c7…b1e8 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 70¢ | $4 | 0xb79dcf… |
| 07-01 00:04:28 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 54¢ | $3 | 0x77e898… |
| 07-01 00:04:28 | (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | No | BUY | 5 | 46¢ | $2 | 0x77e898… |
| 07-01 00:04:10 | (anonymous) 0x8cbe…083a | No | BUY | 50 | 47¢ | $24 | 0xa3ffea… |
| 07-01 00:04:10 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | SELL | 50 | 47¢ | $24 | 0xa3ffea… |
| 06-30 19:52:20 | (anonymous) 0x4e4e…7c90 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 52¢ | $3 | 0xe4d5c3… |
| 06-30 19:52:20 | (anonymous) 0x8cbe…083a | No | BUY | 6 | 48¢ | $3 | 0xe4d5c3… |
| 06-30 18:59:49 | (anonymous) 0x4e4e…7c90 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 52¢ | $3 | 0x93ecbb… |
| 06-30 18:59:49 | (anonymous) 0x8cbe…083a | No | BUY | 13 | 48¢ | $6 | 0x93ecbb… |
| 06-30 17:51:28 | (anonymous) 0x4e4e…7c90 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 53¢ | $4 | 0x3be2aa… |
| 06-30 17:51:28 | (anonymous) 0x8cbe…083a | No | BUY | 15 | 47¢ | $7 | 0x3be2aa… |
| 06-30 16:44:46 | Used-Commitment-Undertaker 0xfab6…e94c | No | SELL | 25 | 48¢ | $12 | 0x411778… |
| 06-30 16:44:46 | (anonymous) 0x8cbe…083a | No | BUY | 25 | 48¢ | $12 | 0x411778… |
| 06-30 15:31:28 | Unsightly-Puma 0x978e…80bc | Yes | BUY | 1 | 52¢ | $0 | 0x62ba34… |
| 06-30 15:31:28 | (anonymous) 0x8cbe…083a | No | BUY | 1 | 48¢ | $0 | 0x62ba34… |
| 06-30 15:16:59 | (anonymous) 0x8cbe…083a | No | BUY | 12 | 48¢ | $6 | 0x9d812a… |
| 06-30 15:16:59 | (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | No | SELL | 3 | 48¢ | $1 | 0x9d812a… |
| 06-30 15:16:59 | Unsightly-Puma 0x978e…80bc | Yes | BUY | 9 | 52¢ | $5 | 0x9d812a… |
| 06-30 15:16:11 | (anonymous) 0x8cbe…083a | No | BUY | 5 | 47¢ | $2 | 0x1825e8… |
| 06-30 15:16:11 | Unsightly-Puma 0x978e…80bc | Yes | BUY | 5 | 53¢ | $3 | 0x1825e8… |
| 06-30 13:52:52 | (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | No | BUY | 5 | 47¢ | $2 | 0xa30d99… |
| 06-30 13:52:52 | Unsightly-Puma 0x978e…80bc | Yes | BUY | 5 | 53¢ | $3 | 0xa30d99… |
| 06-30 05:33:20 | (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | No | SELL | 2 | 48¢ | $1 | 0xe879e4… |
| 06-30 05:33:20 | (anonymous) 0x990b…aae2 | No | BUY | 2 | 48¢ | $1 | 0xe879e4… |
| 06-30 05:33:11 | Concerned-Wing 0x5874…05f7 | No | BUY | 9 | 45¢ | $4 | 0x9374c8… |
| 06-30 05:33:11 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | No | SELL | 9 | 45¢ | $4 | 0x9374c8… |
| 06-29 05:39:40 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | No | SELL | 5 | 45¢ | $2 | 0xad09f0… |
| 06-29 05:39:40 | (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | No | BUY | 5 | 45¢ | $2 | 0xad09f0… |
| 06-29 03:29:55 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | No | SELL | 6 | 45¢ | $3 | 0xf69cc5… |
| 06-29 03:29:55 | (anonymous) 0x610e…b852 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 55¢ | $3 | 0xf69cc5… |
| 06-28 18:50:07 | (anonymous) 0xb2ca…cf4d | Yes | BUY | 5 | 60¢ | $3 | 0xdfe4b9… |
| 06-28 18:50:07 | (anonymous) 0x40c7…b1e8 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 60¢ | $3 | 0xdfe4b9… |
| 06-28 18:50:07 | (anonymous) 0x8cbe…083a | No | BUY | 10 | 40¢ | $4 | 0xdfe4b9… |
| 06-26 10:20:53 | Unsightly-Puma 0x978e…80bc | Yes | BUY | 20 | 61¢ | $12 | 0x378751… |
| 06-26 10:20:53 | Greedy-Neighbourhood 0x6ffd…a637 | No | BUY | 44 | 38¢ | $17 | 0x378751… |
| 06-26 10:20:53 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | SELL | 24 | 38¢ | $9 | 0x378751… |
| 06-24 00:02:59 | (anonymous) 0x610e…b852 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 59¢ | $4 | 0xedbf81… |
| 06-24 00:02:59 | (anonymous) 0x31d9…bb17 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 59¢ | $5 | 0xedbf81… |
| 06-24 00:02:59 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | SELL | 1 | 42¢ | $0 | 0xedbf81… |
| 06-23 21:07:11 | (anonymous) 0x31d9…bb17 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 71¢ | $6 | 0x57359b… |
| 06-23 21:07:11 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | BUY | 5 | 29¢ | $1 | 0x57359b… |
| 06-23 21:07:11 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 72¢ | $2 | 0x57359b… |
| 06-23 17:43:35 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | BUY | 20 | 29¢ | $6 | 0x5e374c… |
| 06-23 17:43:35 | (anonymous) 0x6160…7f02 | No | SELL | 20 | 29¢ | $6 | 0x5e374c… |
| 06-23 06:36:38 | Worldly-Dump 0xc18b…3917 | Yes | BUY | 23 | 71¢ | $17 | 0xa4321e… |
| 06-23 06:36:38 | Faithful-Pattypan 0xe6d5…bd41 | No | BUY | 31 | 29¢ | $9 | 0xa4321e… |
| 06-23 06:36:38 | Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | No | SELL | 8 | 29¢ | $2 | 0xa4321e… |
| 06-22 20:33:34 | Worldly-Dump 0xc18b…3917 | Yes | BUY | 27 | 71¢ | $19 | 0x0a6165… |
| 06-22 20:33:34 | (anonymous) 0xe3af…c5f4 | Yes | SELL | 27 | 71¢ | $19 | 0x0a6165… |
| 06-22 19:21:44 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | Yes | SELL | 19 | 76¢ | $14 | 0x430471… |
| 06-22 19:21:44 | Separate-Daylight 0xa4e0…6392 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 76¢ | $19 | 0x430471… |
| 06-22 19:21:44 | (anonymous) 0x610e…b852 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 75¢ | $5 | 0x430471… |
| 06-19 00:06:37 | Prestigious-Gram 0xb780…aa38 | No | BUY | 34 | 30¢ | $10 | 0x895f23… |
| 06-19 00:06:37 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | Yes | BUY | 26 | 70¢ | $18 | 0x895f23… |
| 06-19 00:06:37 | Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | No | SELL | 7 | 29¢ | $2 | 0x895f23… |
| 06-17 19:10:13 | Sympathetic-Count 0x43a0…0d5c | Yes | BUY | 100 | 73¢ | $73 | 0xc9014f… |
| 06-17 19:10:13 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 73¢ | $73 | 0xc9014f… |
| 06-17 19:09:52 | Sympathetic-Count 0x43a0…0d5c | Yes | BUY | 100 | 74¢ | $74 | 0x1e694b… |
| 06-17 19:09:52 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 74¢ | $74 | 0x1e694b… |
| 06-17 15:28:38 | (anonymous) 0x1790…6fd2 | No | SELL | 10 | 25¢ | $2 | 0xd87e38… |
| 06-17 15:28:38 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | Yes | SELL | 17 | 75¢ | $12 | 0xd87e38… |