Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,800 (HIGH) in December?
open
Total volume
$3,828
Trades
244
Unique wallets
73
Liquidity
$824
Latest YES mid
69¢
Latest NO mid
31¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-31
last 07-27 21:14
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-66.3¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $163
vs crowd: 66% YES on $3.1K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 4 | $359 | — | +$359 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 14 | $226 | $524 | $298 |
| 🐟 Fish | 15 | $321 | $35 | +$286 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 40 | $1.1K | $480 | +$658 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 2 | — | $163 | $163 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 7 | $1.1K | $53 | +$1.1K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 7 | $235 | $11 | +$224 |
| Median | 8 | $190 | $63 | +$128 |
| Below median | 9 | $29 | $102 | $73 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 7 | $29 | $330 | $301 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 5 | $23 | $50 | $27 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | $8 | — | +$8 |
| unranked | 26 | $396 | $267 | +$129 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sympathetic-Count 0x43a0…0d5c | Yes | +899 | $655 | $655 | 14 | 06-17 19:10 |
| Proud-Homework 0x9e45…3662 | No | +700 | $183 | $183 | 5 | 07-18 04:12 |
| Sugary-Laughter 0xbe8a…97c0 | Yes | +511 | $328 | $328 | 15 | 07-23 08:34 |
| NoSteinNoGate 0xff7c…b233 | No | +456 | $145 | $147 | 3 | 07-18 04:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x8cbe…083a | No | +422 | $199 | $199 | 16 | 07-06 17:04 |
| (anonymous) 0xe2dd…be11 | Yes | +269 | $200 | $200 | 1 | 07-01 22:02 |
| Prestigious-Gram 0xb780…aa38 | No | +234 | $66 | $66 | 4 | 07-08 00:26 |
| Fatherly-Smog 0xa6b9…b0c1 | No | +215 | $81 | $81 | 5 | 07-02 17:33 |
| Humming-Jiffy 0x4d6b…a7b4 | No | +205 | $47 | $47 | 1 | 06-15 16:36 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | +131 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 07-01 22:02 |
| Esteemed-Pumpernickel 0xb3d7…7504 | No | +114 | $40 | $40 | 1 | 07-23 08:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x334f…5886 | Yes | +104 | $70 | $70 | 1 | 07-08 00:26 |
| Tense-Codepage 0xd805…52c2 | Yes | +103 | $60 | $60 | 1 | 07-01 20:10 |
| Previous-Seafood 0xf9ac…806e | Yes | +100 | $78 | $78 | 1 | 06-02 18:54 |
| (anonymous) 0xc7fb…8eb0 | Yes | +100 | $70 | $70 | 4 | 07-23 08:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x7bd3…1c90 | Yes | +71 | $37 | $123 | 7 | 07-27 21:14 |
| Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | +52 | $27 | $74 | 4 | 07-06 11:40 |
| Active-Loft 0x0a24…f55d | Yes | +50 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 07-06 11:40 |
| Giddy-Poppy 0xbfcc…12a6 | No | +50 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 07-24 22:17 |
| Worldly-Dump 0xc18b…3917 | Yes | +50 | $32 | $140 | 5 | 06-23 06:36 |
| Greedy-Neighbourhood 0x6ffd…a637 | No | +44 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 06-26 10:20 |
| Unsightly-Puma 0x978e…80bc | Yes | +40 | $23 | $23 | 6 | 06-30 15:31 |
| Experienced-Carpeting 0xbdcb…e811 | Yes | +33 | $23 | $23 | 1 | 06-11 20:44 |
| Faithful-Pattypan 0xe6d5…bd41 | No | +31 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 06-23 06:36 |
| Concerned-Wing 0x5874…05f7 | No | +30 | $13 | $13 | 3 | 07-01 20:10 |
| Decimal-Precipitation 0x5b71…5f5a | No | +29 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 07-17 22:29 |
| Big-Hearted-Shaker 0xe5c2…2b81 | Yes | +27 | $20 | $20 | 2 | 06-09 16:50 |
| Suburban-Ecliptic 0x476c…ce52 | Yes | +26 | $10 | $74 | 3 | 07-09 21:39 |
| Separate-Daylight 0xa4e0…6392 | Yes | +25 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 06-22 19:21 |
| Those-Supervision 0x074f…6abf | No | +21 | $7 | $20 | 4 | 07-23 08:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x60d2…effd | Yes | +20 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 06-09 16:25 |
| Elegant-Guacamole 0x7dd1…a7f6 | Yes | +20 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 06-10 03:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x4ea4…00e9 | No | +12 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 07-17 14:42 |
| Tense-Fort 0x2f26…0d8f | Yes | +8 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-07 02:38 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-05 19:14 |
| (anonymous) 0xd787…7c12 | No | +4 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-23 05:52 |
| Fragrant-Aperitif 0xb92a…b183 | No | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-31 16:14 |
| (anonymous) 0xf6a1…e373 | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-21 12:36 |
| (anonymous) 0x6384…00c8 | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-12 19:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x1790…6fd2 | No | +2 | $1 | $6 | 3 | 06-17 15:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | +1 | $-2 | $46 | 12 | 06-26 10:20 |
| (anonymous) 0xd294…dc53 | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-10 18:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x610e…b852 | Yes | +1 | $1 | $17 | 4 | 06-29 03:29 |
| Rough-Other 0x3bb7…ca49 | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-02 10:24 |
| (anonymous) 0x45b0…ceeb | No | +1 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-02 10:24 |
| (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | No | +1 | $-1 | $9 | 6 | 07-11 10:01 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-27 21:14:07 | Scholarly-Dock 0x3e6a…e86d | No | SELL | 4 | 40¢ | $2 | 0x6c19c9… |
| 07-27 21:14:07 | (anonymous) 0x7bd3…1c90 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 60¢ | $2 | 0x6c19c9… |
| 07-24 22:17:13 | Giddy-Poppy 0xbfcc…12a6 | No | BUY | 50 | 40¢ | $20 | 0x0d95e2… |
| 07-24 22:17:13 | Scholarly-Dock 0x3e6a…e86d | No | SELL | 50 | 40¢ | $20 | 0x0d95e2… |
| 07-23 08:34:30 | (anonymous) 0xc7fb…8eb0 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 65¢ | $32 | 0xd192d7… |
| 07-23 08:34:30 | Sugary-Laughter 0xbe8a…97c0 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 66¢ | $11 | 0xd192d7… |
| 07-23 08:34:30 | Scholarly-Dock 0x3e6a…e86d | No | SELL | 4 | 40¢ | $2 | 0xd192d7… |
| 07-23 08:34:30 | Esteemed-Pumpernickel 0xb3d7…7504 | No | BUY | 114 | 35¢ | $40 | 0xd192d7… |
| 07-23 08:34:30 | Those-Supervision 0x074f…6abf | No | SELL | 14 | 40¢ | $6 | 0xd192d7… |
| 07-23 07:36:25 | (anonymous) 0x126e…c360 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 67¢ | $1 | 0x34581a… |
| 07-23 07:36:25 | Sugary-Laughter 0xbe8a…97c0 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 67¢ | $1 | 0x34581a… |
| 07-23 07:32:48 | (anonymous) 0x78c5…f623 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 67¢ | $1 | 0x1fb66f… |
| 07-23 07:32:48 | (anonymous) 0x126e…c360 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 67¢ | $1 | 0x1fb66f… |
| 07-23 05:52:13 | Sugary-Laughter 0xbe8a…97c0 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 75¢ | $2 | 0xbc4ccf… |
| 07-23 05:52:13 | (anonymous) 0xd787…7c12 | No | BUY | 4 | 27¢ | $1 | 0xbc4ccf… |
| 07-23 05:52:13 | (anonymous) 0x78c5…f623 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 67¢ | $1 | 0xbc4ccf… |
| 07-22 19:25:52 | (anonymous) 0xc7fb…8eb0 | Yes | BUY | 28 | 75¢ | $21 | 0x9718b0… |
| 07-22 19:25:52 | Sugary-Laughter 0xbe8a…97c0 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 75¢ | $13 | 0x9718b0… |
| 07-22 19:25:52 | (anonymous) 0x7bd3…1c90 | Yes | SELL | 45 | 75¢ | $34 | 0x9718b0… |
| 07-22 19:23:58 | (anonymous) 0x7bd3…1c90 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 76¢ | $7 | 0x410417… |
| 07-22 19:23:58 | (anonymous) 0xc7fb…8eb0 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 75¢ | $3 | 0x410417… |
| 07-22 19:23:58 | Defenseless-Eyebrow 0xe50c…d88c | No | SELL | 5 | 24¢ | $1 | 0x410417… |
| 07-22 17:06:10 | Sugary-Laughter 0xbe8a…97c0 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 78¢ | $4 | 0xa7f9e0… |
| 07-22 17:06:10 | Defenseless-Eyebrow 0xe50c…d88c | No | BUY | 5 | 22¢ | $1 | 0xa7f9e0… |
| 07-21 20:46:43 | (anonymous) 0xc7fb…8eb0 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 75¢ | $13 | 0x7defc4… |
| 07-21 20:46:43 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | Yes | SELL | 18 | 75¢ | $13 | 0x7defc4… |
| 07-21 12:36:24 | (anonymous) 0xf6a1…e373 | No | BUY | 2 | 40¢ | $1 | 0x09f9b7… |
| 07-21 12:36:24 | Those-Supervision 0x074f…6abf | No | SELL | 2 | 40¢ | $1 | 0x09f9b7… |
| 07-18 04:12:55 | NoSteinNoGate 0xff7c…b233 | No | SELL | 3 | 40¢ | $1 | 0x39924e… |
| 07-18 04:12:55 | Sugary-Laughter 0xbe8a…97c0 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 65¢ | $16 | 0x39924e… |
| 07-18 04:12:55 | Proud-Homework 0x9e45…3662 | No | BUY | 28 | 36¢ | $10 | 0x39924e… |
| 07-17 22:29:37 | Sugary-Laughter 0xbe8a…97c0 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 65¢ | $3 | 0xc0966e… |
| 07-17 22:29:37 | Decimal-Precipitation 0x5b71…5f5a | No | BUY | 29 | 34¢ | $10 | 0xc0966e… |
| 07-17 22:29:37 | (anonymous) 0xb119…680b | No | SELL | 4 | 34¢ | $1 | 0xc0966e… |
| 07-17 14:42:25 | (anonymous) 0xb119…680b | No | SELL | 2 | 34¢ | $1 | 0x52ba65… |
| 07-17 14:42:25 | Sugary-Laughter 0xbe8a…97c0 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 66¢ | $7 | 0x52ba65… |
| 07-17 14:42:25 | (anonymous) 0x4ea4…00e9 | No | BUY | 12 | 34¢ | $4 | 0x52ba65… |
| 07-16 22:36:25 | (anonymous) 0x990b…aae2 | No | SELL | 2 | 20¢ | $0 | 0xb78519… |
| 07-16 22:36:25 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 80¢ | $2 | 0xb78519… |
| 07-12 00:26:44 | (anonymous) 0xb119…680b | No | SELL | 2 | 39¢ | $1 | 0x2025d6… |
| 07-12 00:26:44 | Which-Exhaust-Thunderstorm 0xb649…35d5 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 61¢ | $1 | 0x2025d6… |
| 07-11 10:01:14 | Those-Supervision 0x074f…6abf | No | BUY | 32 | 36¢ | $12 | 0x30dc51… |
| 07-11 10:01:14 | (anonymous) 0xb119…680b | No | SELL | 8 | 35¢ | $3 | 0x30dc51… |
| 07-11 10:01:14 | (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | No | SELL | 5 | 35¢ | $2 | 0x30dc51… |
| 07-11 10:01:14 | Sugary-Laughter 0xbe8a…97c0 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 64¢ | $13 | 0x30dc51… |
| 07-10 17:57:50 | (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | No | BUY | 5 | 24¢ | $1 | 0xbab1cf… |
| 07-10 17:57:50 | Sugary-Laughter 0xbe8a…97c0 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 76¢ | $4 | 0xbab1cf… |
| 07-09 21:39:34 | (anonymous) 0x4e4e…7c90 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 71¢ | $4 | 0x4d2b0f… |
| 07-09 21:39:34 | Suburban-Ecliptic 0x476c…ce52 | Yes | BUY | 26 | 71¢ | $19 | 0x4d2b0f… |
| 07-09 18:47:59 | Sugary-Laughter 0xbe8a…97c0 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 70¢ | $4 | 0x208a4c… |
| 07-09 18:47:59 | Those-Supervision 0x074f…6abf | No | BUY | 5 | 30¢ | $2 | 0x208a4c… |
| 07-09 16:37:05 | NoSteinNoGate 0xff7c…b233 | No | BUY | 200 | 30¢ | $60 | 0x529437… |
| 07-09 16:37:05 | (anonymous) 0xb119…680b | No | BUY | 7 | 31¢ | $2 | 0x529437… |
| 07-09 16:37:05 | Sugary-Laughter 0xbe8a…97c0 | Yes | BUY | 207 | 70¢ | $145 | 0x529437… |
| 07-08 00:26:53 | Prestigious-Gram 0xb780…aa38 | No | BUY | 82 | 33¢ | $27 | 0x9f5a96… |
| 07-08 00:26:53 | (anonymous) 0x334f…5886 | Yes | BUY | 104 | 67¢ | $70 | 0x9f5a96… |
| 07-08 00:26:53 | (anonymous) 0x4e4e…7c90 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 71¢ | $5 | 0x9f5a96… |
| 07-08 00:26:53 | (anonymous) 0xb119…680b | Yes | SELL | 7 | 66¢ | $4 | 0x9f5a96… |
| 07-08 00:26:53 | (anonymous) 0xb119…680b | No | BUY | 8 | 33¢ | $3 | 0x9f5a96… |
| 07-06 17:04:19 | Sugary-Laughter 0xbe8a…97c0 | Yes | BUY | 142 | 52¢ | $74 | 0x3c3114… |
| 07-06 17:04:19 | (anonymous) 0x8cbe…083a | No | BUY | 142 | 48¢ | $68 | 0x3c3114… |
| 07-06 11:40:17 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | BUY | 50 | 51¢ | $26 | 0x25319c… |
| 07-06 11:40:17 | Active-Loft 0x0a24…f55d | Yes | BUY | 50 | 49¢ | $24 | 0x25319c… |
| 07-05 20:18:05 | (anonymous) 0x8cbe…083a | No | BUY | 19 | 48¢ | $9 | 0xf141b3… |
| 07-05 20:18:05 | (anonymous) 0x7bd3…1c90 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 52¢ | $10 | 0xf141b3… |
| 07-05 20:16:52 | (anonymous) 0x8cbe…083a | No | BUY | 38 | 48¢ | $18 | 0x6cf86e… |
| 07-05 20:16:52 | (anonymous) 0x7bd3…1c90 | Yes | BUY | 38 | 52¢ | $20 | 0x6cf86e… |
| 07-03 16:53:16 | (anonymous) 0x7bd3…1c90 | Yes | BUY | 45 | 66¢ | $30 | 0x935a60… |
| 07-03 16:53:16 | Prestigious-Gram 0xb780…aa38 | No | BUY | 18 | 33¢ | $6 | 0x935a60… |
| 07-03 16:53:16 | (anonymous) 0x78c5…f623 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 66¢ | $13 | 0x935a60… |
| 07-03 16:53:16 | (anonymous) 0xb119…680b | Yes | SELL | 7 | 66¢ | $4 | 0x935a60… |
| 07-03 14:34:29 | (anonymous) 0xb119…680b | Yes | SELL | 2 | 66¢ | $1 | 0x6bb557… |
| 07-03 14:34:29 | Which-Exhaust-Thunderstorm 0xb649…35d5 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 66¢ | $1 | 0x6bb557… |
| 07-02 17:33:34 | Fatherly-Smog 0xa6b9…b0c1 | No | BUY | 25 | 51¢ | $13 | 0x51f78a… |
| 07-02 17:33:34 | (anonymous) 0x4c9e…190b | No | SELL | 25 | 51¢ | $13 | 0x51f78a… |
| 07-02 17:33:22 | (anonymous) 0x78c5…f623 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 50¢ | $10 | 0xbb7d80… |
| 07-02 17:33:22 | Fatherly-Smog 0xa6b9…b0c1 | No | BUY | 20 | 50¢ | $10 | 0xbb7d80… |
| 07-02 17:32:40 | (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | No | SELL | 25 | 43¢ | $11 | 0xddf783… |
| 07-02 17:32:40 | Fatherly-Smog 0xa6b9…b0c1 | No | BUY | 25 | 43¢ | $11 | 0xddf783… |
| 07-02 17:32:28 | Fatherly-Smog 0xa6b9…b0c1 | No | BUY | 24 | 38¢ | $9 | 0xa90912… |
| 07-02 17:32:28 | (anonymous) 0xb119…680b | Yes | BUY | 15 | 62¢ | $9 | 0xa90912… |
| 07-02 17:32:28 | (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | No | SELL | 9 | 38¢ | $3 | 0xa90912… |
| 07-01 22:02:47 | (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | No | BUY | 2 | 24¢ | $1 | 0x40f54c… |
| 07-01 22:02:47 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 131 | 23¢ | $30 | 0x40f54c… |
| 07-01 22:02:47 | Prestigious-Gram 0xb780…aa38 | No | BUY | 100 | 23¢ | $23 | 0x40f54c… |
| 07-01 22:02:47 | (anonymous) 0x8cbe…083a | No | BUY | 35 | 42¢ | $15 | 0x40f54c… |
| 07-01 22:02:47 | (anonymous) 0xe2dd…be11 | Yes | BUY | 269 | 74¢ | $200 | 0x40f54c… |
| 07-01 20:10:59 | Tense-Codepage 0xd805…52c2 | Yes | BUY | 103 | 58¢ | $60 | 0xb79dcf… |
| 07-01 20:10:59 | (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | No | BUY | 3 | 24¢ | $1 | 0xb79dcf… |
| 07-01 20:10:59 | (anonymous) 0x40c7…b1e8 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 70¢ | $4 | 0xb79dcf… |
| 07-01 20:10:59 | Concerned-Wing 0x5874…05f7 | No | BUY | 20 | 42¢ | $8 | 0xb79dcf… |
| 07-01 20:10:59 | (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | No | BUY | 5 | 28¢ | $1 | 0xb79dcf… |
| 07-01 20:10:59 | (anonymous) 0xb2ca…cf4d | Yes | SELL | 5 | 65¢ | $3 | 0xb79dcf… |
| 07-01 20:10:59 | (anonymous) 0x8cbe…083a | No | BUY | 30 | 47¢ | $14 | 0xb79dcf… |
| 07-01 00:04:28 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 54¢ | $3 | 0x77e898… |
| 07-01 00:04:28 | (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | No | BUY | 5 | 46¢ | $2 | 0x77e898… |
| 07-01 00:04:10 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | SELL | 50 | 47¢ | $24 | 0xa3ffea… |
| 07-01 00:04:10 | (anonymous) 0x8cbe…083a | No | BUY | 50 | 47¢ | $24 | 0xa3ffea… |
| 06-30 19:52:20 | (anonymous) 0x4e4e…7c90 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 52¢ | $3 | 0xe4d5c3… |
| 06-30 19:52:20 | (anonymous) 0x8cbe…083a | No | BUY | 6 | 48¢ | $3 | 0xe4d5c3… |