Realized P&L
+$136
Unrealized P&L
-$6
Hit rate
61.3%
Resolved
6
Trades
562
lifetime
Volume
$4.84K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$34
5 positions
First seen
2026-02-09
last 07-13 23:19
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Politics
51% 50% +$129
Other
35% 100% +$3
Crypto
10%
Sports
3% 100% +$3
Tech
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
40 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.6% before 2027? No -20 $-17 90¢ $-18 $-1 06-30 17:10
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? Yes -8 $-7 100¢ $-8 $-1 06-16 19:01
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? Yes +23 $7 22¢ $5 $-2 07-08 13:43
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes +31 $5 $2 $-3 06-03 22:52
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes -25 $-1 $-1 +$0 06-10 09:53