Realized P&L
+$136
Unrealized P&L
-$5
Hit rate
61.3%
Resolved
6
Trades
554
lifetime
Volume
$4.80K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$48
10 positions
First seen
2026-02-09
last 07-03 06:07
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Politics
51% 50% +$129
Other
35% 100% +$3
Crypto
10%
Sports
2% 100% +$3
Tech
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
48 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.6% before 2027? No -20 $-17 88¢ $-18 $-0 06-30 17:10
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? Yes -8 $-7 100¢ $-8 $-1 06-16 19:01
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? Yes +11 $3 55¢ $6 +$3 06-09 20:17
Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? Yes +23 $6 22¢ $5 $-1 07-03 06:05
Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? Yes +60 $3 $3 +$0 07-03 03:57
Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? Yes +13 $3 20¢ $3 $-0 06-09 20:17
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes +31 $5 $2 $-3 06-03 22:52
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? Yes +7 $3 25¢ $2 $-1 05-31 23:23
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes -25 $-1 $-1 +$1 06-10 09:53
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +25 $2 $0 $-2 06-19 14:27