Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.5% before 2027?
open
Total volume
$36,064
$269 in 24h
Trades
875
Unique wallets
170
Liquidity
$1,783
Latest YES mid
100¢
Latest NO mid
0¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-01-05
last 05-15 19:23
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+18.0¢
(top1%: 99% YES on $4.0K
vs crowd: 81% YES on $24.2K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 22 | $4.3K | $456 | +$3.9K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 38 | $10.9K | $2.2K | +$8.8K |
| 🐟 Fish | 49 | $3.7K | $1.4K | +$2.3K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 61 | $531 | $619 | $88 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 8 | $3.9K | $46 | +$3.9K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 20 | $1.1K | $324 | +$740 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 17 | $133 | $155 | $23 |
| Median | 26 | $329 | $122 | +$207 |
| Below median | 41 | $6.6K | $690 | +$5.9K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 7 | $269 | $124 | +$145 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 16 | $1.3K | $1.8K | $485 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 5 | $5.6K | $3 | +$5.6K |
| unranked | 30 | $305 | $1.3K | $1.0K |
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Agile-Overview 0x82ba…0a52 | Yes | +5,179 | $4,671 | $4,671 | 19 | 04-08 14:02 |
| Compassionate-Kneejerk 0x9507…7b04 | Yes | +3,465 | $3,462 | $3,462 | 2 | 05-15 19:23 |
| Cloudy-Orchard 0x4e39…8cbf | No | +3,333 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-15 18:49 |
| Wise-Kindness 0xfa8f…d61b | No | +1,778 | $1,252 | $1,252 | 11 | 03-06 16:56 |
| Honest-Stench 0xcbc0…c9e8 | No | +1,500 | $-40 | $440 | 2 | 04-08 12:40 |
| Afraid-Pentagon 0x70a9…6a74 | Yes | +1,392 | $1,224 | $1,224 | 2 | 05-15 15:27 |
| (anonymous) 0xb9d1…7274 | No | +943 | $123 | $123 | 1 | 04-06 14:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x92cc…779d | Yes | +600 | $498 | $498 | 1 | 03-29 22:44 |
| Serpentine-Illusion 0xc412…592d | No | +513 | $7 | $7 | 4 | 05-15 15:27 |
| Rusty-Tactile 0x2478…2e62 | Yes | +438 | $426 | $426 | 4 | 05-15 13:39 |
| Cheap-Range 0x04b9…79e0 | Yes | +411 | $202 | $202 | 1 | 02-16 04:04 |
| Deadheadbucky 0x68d9…00ed | No | +390 | $77 | $77 | 3 | 04-07 00:21 |
| Terrific-Subprime 0x06af…3741 | No | +383 | $-5 | $170 | 22 | 05-13 12:37 |
| Unequaled-Application 0xea1c…1f8f | No | +364 | $250 | $250 | 2 | 02-28 14:39 |
| (anonymous) 0x6f08…54d3 | No | +357 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 05-12 19:18 |
| (anonymous) 0xab49…34e6 | No | +357 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-15 13:39 |
| Rotating-Fault 0x405b…755c | Yes | +340 | $335 | $335 | 2 | 05-15 08:47 |
| (anonymous) 0x92cc…779d | No | +300 | $66 | $174 | 8 | 04-01 05:02 |
| Faint-Brass 0xd035…f165 | No | +260 | $50 | $495 | 14 | 05-13 09:37 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | +243 | $3 | $3 | 3 | 05-15 08:48 |
| Overdue-Sideboard 0x94b0…9d34 | Yes | +236 | $215 | $506 | 8 | 05-15 07:59 |
| 0xfbfd14dd4bb607373119de95f1d4b21c3b6c0029 0xfbfd…0029 | No | +228 | $101 | $101 | 4 | 05-10 05:46 |
| Warm-Pupa 0x2a66…a177 | No | +204 | $0 | $2 | 7 | 05-15 16:47 |
| Thunderous-Acid 0xa0dd…1b9b | Yes | +200 | $167 | $167 | 2 | 05-07 12:46 |
| Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | No | +196 | $1 | $2 | 3 | 05-15 15:39 |
| Terrible-Ordinary 0x0a6d…1d0a | No | +179 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 03-30 15:50 |
| (anonymous) 0xdbc6…464c | Yes | +171 | $169 | $169 | 1 | 05-15 14:15 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +117 | $88 | $88 | 8 | 04-17 12:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x75d1…90da | No | +105 | $16 | $16 | 6 | 03-28 15:13 |
| (anonymous) 0xc092…5428 | Yes | +104 | $49 | $49 | 12 | 04-22 20:48 |
| CompulsiveGambler 0xe0f1…c4bd | No | +100 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 03-23 06:48 |
| Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | No | +100 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-15 18:49 |
| (anonymous) 0xc092…5428 | No | +83 | $39 | $39 | 15 | 04-23 18:01 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +79 | $19 | $19 | 7 | 04-21 04:35 |
| Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | No | +67 | $16 | $43 | 13 | 04-27 05:27 |
| (anonymous) 0xfa1e…2e37 | No | +63 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 04-07 22:35 |
| Greedy-Neighbourhood 0x6ffd…a637 | No | +60 | $16 | $42 | 4 | 03-23 15:32 |
| Minor-Oregano 0x70fc…88c1 | No | +57 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-15 15:36 |
| (anonymous) 0xd6b4…9a46 | Yes | +55 | $54 | $54 | 1 | 05-14 08:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x4c9e…190b | No | +53 | $8 | $20 | 7 | 05-04 19:54 |
| Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | No | +50 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 05-15 18:49 |
| (anonymous) 0xbd84…1292 | Yes | +47 | $24 | $46 | 5 | 04-15 19:13 |
| Ironclad-Diamond 0x2869…527d | No | +45 | $11 | $11 | 2 | 04-18 14:56 |
| Squiggly-Waiting 0x23ed…aebc | No | +44 | $2 | $2 | 5 | 05-15 05:39 |
| Worn-Control 0xfe04…9a42 | Yes | +44 | $30 | $30 | 4 | 02-19 21:22 |
| Medium-Rainbow 0x6020…e249 | Yes | +40 | $33 | $33 | 1 | 03-29 22:44 |
| (anonymous) 0xd9fa…6ee7 | Yes | +37 | $35 | $35 | 1 | 05-15 05:36 |
| Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | Yes | +27 | $26 | $690 | 5 | 03-30 14:25 |
| Fluid-Deadline 0xdc4f…4652 | Yes | +27 | $23 | $23 | 1 | 05-13 08:24 |
| Sour-Drizzle 0x488c…8c1c | Yes | +23 | $22 | $22 | 1 | 05-15 05:31 |
| Gracious-Hatbox 0x8b63…7904 | Yes | +22 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 03-29 12:21 |
| (anonymous) 0xc6b2…3caa | Yes | +15 | $10 | $10 | 3 | 03-22 11:38 |
| Ironclad-Diamond 0x2869…527d | Yes | +15 | $11 | $11 | 2 | 04-18 12:11 |
| Whirlwind-Logistics 0x21bc…4681 | Yes | +13 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 05-15 08:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x2d3a…3658 | Yes | +10 | $-8 | $35 | 8 | 05-06 12:34 |
| Happy-Go-Lucky-Manicure 0xfe61…e9c2 | Yes | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-15 18:49 |
| (anonymous) 0xab23…b836 | Yes | +10 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 04-01 12:35 |
| Fuzzy-Draft 0xfe93…8d0e | Yes | +7 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 02-16 16:53 |
| Calculating-Plugin 0xe71d…7359 | Yes | +7 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 04-03 06:55 |
| Crisp-Iron 0x165c…d943 | Yes | +6 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 03-06 16:56 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-15 19:23:14 | Compassionate-Kneejerk 0x9507…7b04 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0x5a3466… |
| 05-15 19:23:14 | (anonymous) 0x3d99…70d0 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0x5a3466… |
| 05-15 18:49:27 | Back-Wingtip 0x6247…a97b | No | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x620708… |
| 05-15 18:49:27 | Happy-Go-Lucky-Manicure 0xfe61…e9c2 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x620708… |
| 05-15 18:49:05 | Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | No | BUY | 30 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x03f741… |
| 05-15 18:49:05 | Cloudy-Orchard 0x4e39…8cbf | No | BUY | 3,333 | 0¢ | $3 | 0x03f741… |
| 05-15 18:49:05 | Compassionate-Kneejerk 0x9507…7b04 | Yes | BUY | 3,463 | 100¢ | $3,460 | 0x03f741… |
| 05-15 18:49:05 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | No | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x03f741… |
| 05-15 17:17:28 | Broken-Opposite 0x26cb…3e56 | No | SELL | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x11d835… |
| 05-15 17:17:28 | Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | No | BUY | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x11d835… |
| 05-15 16:47:04 | Warm-Pupa 0x2a66…a177 | No | BUY | 127 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1d17a0… |
| 05-15 16:47:04 | Frivolous-Countryside 0x35e1…f41d | No | SELL | 127 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1d17a0… |
| 05-15 15:39:03 | Frivolous-Countryside 0x35e1…f41d | No | SELL | 247 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe8b773… |
| 05-15 15:39:03 | Warm-Pupa 0x2a66…a177 | No | BUY | 83 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe8b773… |
| 05-15 15:39:03 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | No | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe8b773… |
| 05-15 15:36:47 | Warm-Pupa 0x2a66…a177 | No | SELL | 23 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x0508b0… |
| 05-15 15:36:47 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | No | SELL | 4 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x0508b0… |
| 05-15 15:36:47 | Nice-Underwear 0xdbb8…f7de | No | SELL | 30 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x0508b0… |
| 05-15 15:36:47 | Minor-Oregano 0x70fc…88c1 | No | BUY | 57 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x0508b0… |
| 05-15 15:27:25 | Afraid-Pentagon 0x70a9…6a74 | Yes | BUY | 319 | 99¢ | $316 | 0x638766… |
| 05-15 15:27:25 | Serpentine-Illusion 0xc412…592d | No | BUY | 319 | 1¢ | $3 | 0x638766… |
| 05-15 14:15:38 | (anonymous) 0xdbc6…464c | Yes | BUY | 171 | 99¢ | $169 | 0x069483… |
| 05-15 14:15:38 | Serpentine-Illusion 0xc412…592d | No | BUY | 171 | 1¢ | $2 | 0x069483… |
| 05-15 13:39:27 | Gullible-Angel 0xe1a9…339e | No | SELL | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x1214c2… |
| 05-15 13:39:27 | Serpentine-Illusion 0xc412…592d | No | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x1214c2… |
| 05-15 13:39:16 | Rusty-Tactile 0x2478…2e62 | Yes | BUY | 367 | 99¢ | $362 | 0x320b0c… |
| 05-15 13:39:16 | (anonymous) 0xab49…34e6 | No | BUY | 357 | 1¢ | $5 | 0x320b0c… |
| 05-15 13:39:16 | Broken-Opposite 0x26cb…3e56 | No | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x320b0c… |
| 05-15 08:48:55 | Remote-Demur 0x9a67…af26 | No | SELL | 149 | 1¢ | $2 | 0xa39930… |
| 05-15 08:48:55 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 89 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xa39930… |
| 05-15 08:48:55 | Nice-Underwear 0xdbb8…f7de | No | BUY | 60 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xa39930… |
| 05-15 08:47:12 | Rotating-Fault 0x405b…755c | Yes | BUY | 260 | 99¢ | $257 | 0x06a82e… |
| 05-15 08:47:12 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 150 | 1¢ | $2 | 0x06a82e… |
| 05-15 08:47:12 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | No | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x06a82e… |
| 05-15 08:47:12 | Warm-Pupa 0x2a66…a177 | No | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x06a82e… |
| 05-15 08:45:07 | (anonymous) 0xb57b…6783 | Yes | SELL | 80 | 98¢ | $78 | 0x9c323e… |
| 05-15 08:45:07 | Rotating-Fault 0x405b…755c | Yes | BUY | 80 | 98¢ | $78 | 0x9c323e… |
| 05-15 08:44:46 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | No | BUY | 1 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xdc589a… |
| 05-15 08:44:46 | Whirlwind-Logistics 0x21bc…4681 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 98¢ | $13 | 0xdc589a… |
| 05-15 08:44:46 | Warm-Pupa 0x2a66…a177 | No | BUY | 12 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xdc589a… |
| 05-15 07:59:53 | Broken-Opposite 0x26cb…3e56 | No | BUY | 10 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xed5e2d… |
| 05-15 07:59:53 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | No | BUY | 21 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xed5e2d… |
| 05-15 07:59:53 | Overdue-Sideboard 0x94b0…9d34 | Yes | BUY | 31 | 97¢ | $30 | 0xed5e2d… |
| 05-15 05:39:46 | (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | No | BUY | 1 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x4e8778… |
| 05-15 05:39:46 | (anonymous) 0x1078…9ca9 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x4e8778… |
| 05-15 05:39:46 | Squiggly-Waiting 0x23ed…aebc | No | BUY | 4 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x4e8778… |
| 05-15 05:36:42 | (anonymous) 0xd9fa…6ee7 | Yes | BUY | 37 | 96¢ | $35 | 0xa38174… |
| 05-15 05:36:42 | Squiggly-Waiting 0x23ed…aebc | No | BUY | 37 | 4¢ | $2 | 0xa38174… |
| 05-15 05:31:50 | Squiggly-Waiting 0x23ed…aebc | No | BUY | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x1ccb79… |
| 05-15 05:31:50 | Harmless-Team 0x706c…189d | Yes | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x1ccb79… |
| 05-15 05:31:47 | Squiggly-Waiting 0x23ed…aebc | No | BUY | 2 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x38ec62… |
| 05-15 05:31:47 | Fabulous-Lark-Hippopotamus 0x1044…8ceb | Yes | BUY | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0x38ec62… |
| 05-15 05:31:27 | Sour-Drizzle 0x488c…8c1c | Yes | BUY | 23 | 96¢ | $22 | 0x8e41a4… |
| 05-15 05:31:27 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | No | BUY | 23 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x8e41a4… |
| 05-14 20:25:54 | Squiggly-Waiting 0x23ed…aebc | No | BUY | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xee1fbe… |
| 05-14 20:25:54 | Real-Expression 0x7395…534b | Yes | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xee1fbe… |
| 05-14 12:10:21 | (anonymous) 0x7438…b741 | No | SELL | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0xc97e3b… |
| 05-14 12:10:21 | Frivolous-Countryside 0x35e1…f41d | No | BUY | 17 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xc97e3b… |
| 05-14 12:10:21 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | No | SELL | 12 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xc97e3b… |
| 05-14 12:10:11 | Frivolous-Countryside 0x35e1…f41d | No | BUY | 50 | 8¢ | $4 | 0xf026a5… |
| 05-14 12:10:11 | Thorny-Carpeting 0xb3b2…da22 | No | SELL | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xf026a5… |
| 05-14 12:10:11 | (anonymous) 0x7438…b741 | No | SELL | 49 | 8¢ | $4 | 0xf026a5… |
| 05-14 08:32:08 | Joyful-Monsoon 0x0b34…ffc3 | No | SELL | 8 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x4c02d2… |
| 05-14 08:32:08 | Overdue-Sideboard 0x94b0…9d34 | Yes | SELL | 63 | 98¢ | $62 | 0x4c02d2… |
| 05-14 08:32:08 | (anonymous) 0xd6b4…9a46 | Yes | BUY | 55 | 98¢ | $54 | 0x4c02d2… |
| 05-14 07:35:36 | (anonymous) 0x9b3f…0fa5 | No | SELL | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xd554df… |
| 05-14 07:35:36 | (anonymous) 0xb57b…6783 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0xd554df… |
| 05-14 00:49:36 | Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | No | BUY | 17 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x996c7f… |
| 05-14 00:49:36 | Stale-Suit 0xa399…bb47 | No | SELL | 17 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x996c7f… |
| 05-13 22:49:09 | Joyful-Monsoon 0x0b34…ffc3 | No | SELL | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x98ae26… |
| 05-13 22:49:09 | Thorny-Carpeting 0xb3b2…da22 | No | SELL | 7 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x98ae26… |
| 05-13 22:49:09 | Warm-Pupa 0x2a66…a177 | No | SELL | 8 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x98ae26… |
| 05-13 22:49:09 | Remote-Demur 0x9a67…af26 | No | BUY | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x98ae26… |
| 05-13 22:15:13 | Overdue-Sideboard 0x94b0…9d34 | Yes | BUY | 106 | 94¢ | $100 | 0x568b63… |
| 05-13 22:15:13 | Warm-Pupa 0x2a66…a177 | No | BUY | 8 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x568b63… |
| 05-13 22:15:13 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | No | BUY | 12 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x568b63… |
| 05-13 22:15:13 | Joyful-Monsoon 0x0b34…ffc3 | No | BUY | 8 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x568b63… |
| 05-13 22:15:13 | (anonymous) 0x7438…b741 | No | BUY | 54 | 6¢ | $3 | 0x568b63… |
| 05-13 22:15:13 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 4 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x568b63… |
| 05-13 22:15:13 | Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | No | BUY | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x568b63… |
| 05-13 13:24:36 | (anonymous) 0xc825…0803 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 90¢ | $27 | 0x28541d… |
| 05-13 13:24:36 | Rusty-Tactile 0x2478…2e62 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 90¢ | $27 | 0x28541d… |
| 05-13 12:37:08 | Rusty-Tactile 0x2478…2e62 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 90¢ | $10 | 0x5e5669… |
| 05-13 12:37:08 | Terrific-Subprime 0x06af…3741 | No | BUY | 11 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x5e5669… |
| 05-13 12:35:53 | Thorny-Carpeting 0xb3b2…da22 | No | BUY | 2 | 13¢ | $0 | 0x5db41a… |
| 05-13 12:35:53 | Rusty-Tactile 0x2478…2e62 | Yes | BUY | 31 | 88¢ | $27 | 0x5db41a… |
| 05-13 12:35:53 | Exhausted-Supervision 0x4eb3…2624 | Yes | SELL | 28 | 88¢ | $25 | 0x5db41a… |
| 05-13 10:44:26 | Thorny-Carpeting 0xb3b2…da22 | No | BUY | 6 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x027a5c… |
| 05-13 10:44:26 | (anonymous) 0x84c6…66a2 | No | SELL | 6 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x027a5c… |
| 05-13 09:37:02 | Faint-Brass 0xd035…f165 | No | SELL | 6 | 18¢ | $1 | 0x18c385… |
| 05-13 09:37:02 | Stale-Suit 0xa399…bb47 | No | BUY | 6 | 18¢ | $1 | 0x18c385… |
| 05-13 09:36:34 | Faint-Brass 0xd035…f165 | No | SELL | 6 | 18¢ | $1 | 0x489932… |
| 05-13 09:36:34 | Stale-Suit 0xa399…bb47 | No | BUY | 6 | 18¢ | $1 | 0x489932… |
| 05-13 09:35:07 | Faint-Brass 0xd035…f165 | No | SELL | 6 | 18¢ | $1 | 0x240de8… |
| 05-13 09:35:07 | Stale-Suit 0xa399…bb47 | No | BUY | 6 | 18¢ | $1 | 0x240de8… |
| 05-13 08:24:56 | Long-Term-Wastebasket 0xe6d6…58f0 | No | BUY | 32 | 15¢ | $5 | 0xd88e3f… |
| 05-13 08:24:56 | Fluid-Deadline 0xdc4f…4652 | Yes | BUY | 27 | 85¢ | $23 | 0xd88e3f… |
| 05-13 08:24:56 | Terrible-Ordinary 0x0a6d…1d0a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 82¢ | $4 | 0xd88e3f… |
| 05-12 19:18:41 | (anonymous) 0x6f08…54d3 | No | BUY | 357 | 14¢ | $50 | 0x2fd046… |
| 05-12 19:18:41 | Healthy-Kill 0x2c55…dbb9 | Yes | SELL | 716 | 84¢ | $601 | 0x2fd046… |