Realized P&L
-$1.44K
Unrealized P&L
+$89
Hit rate
60.1%
Resolved
100
Trades
79,630
lifetime
Volume
$1.94M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$24
Open exposure
$82
14 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-20 18:46
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 16 days
Categories
Other
76% 36% $-974
Sports
11% 12% $-760
Politics
7% 62% +$295
Crypto
5%
Tech
0%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
82 active days in 12wk • peak 762 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US strike on Mexico by December 31? Yes -212 $-40 12¢ $-25 +$15 06-02 18:50
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? No +239 $-16 $18 +$33 07-19 04:13
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? Yes +8 $10 92¢ $7 $-2 07-18 01:40
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? Yes -46 $-19 16¢ $-7 +$12 07-01 15:12
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? No +103 $14 $7 $-8 07-19 22:18
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -495 $-11 $-7 +$4 06-01 18:43
Modi out by December 31, 2026? Yes +91 $2 $6 +$4 07-20 17:50
Will Nansen launch a token by September 30, 2026? Yes -72 $-7 $-4 +$3 07-01 15:09
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026? Yes +3 $0 18¢ $1 +$0 06-02 16:19
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? No +1 $-9 90¢ $1 +$9 06-18 06:18
Will Michelle Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? Yes -16 $-1 $-0 +$0 07-08 02:00
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? No +0 $-6 84¢ $0 +$7 06-30 12:36
Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -6 $-0 $-0 +$0 06-01 13:11
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? Yes +1 $-11 10¢ $0 +$11 06-17 20:15