Realized P&L
-$1.44K
Unrealized P&L
+$153
Hit rate
60.1%
Resolved
100
Trades
77,732
lifetime
Volume
$1.85M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$24
Open exposure
$794
20 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-30 03:48
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 16 days
Categories
Other
75% 36% $-974
Sports
12% 12% $-760
Politics
7% 62% +$295
Crypto
6%
Tech
0%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 823 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30? No -259 $-250 100¢ $-259 $-9 06-09 19:11
Iran coup attempt by June 30? No +256 $238 100¢ $255 +$18 06-13 23:40
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30? No -197 $-212 99¢ $-196 +$16 06-19 06:52
US strike on Mexico by December 31? Yes -212 $-40 19¢ $-40 $-0 06-02 18:50
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? No +108 $15 10¢ $10 $-5 06-16 11:05
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -495 $-11 $-7 +$4 06-01 18:43
Iran coup attempt by June 30? Yes -1,416 $-65 $-6 +$59 06-24 07:30
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? No -57 $-49 11¢ $-6 +$43 06-01 17:01
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? No +5 $-2 82¢ $4 +$7 06-29 11:48
Modi out by December 31, 2026? Yes +65 $3 $4 +$1 06-24 08:38
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30? Yes +459 $29 $3 $-26 06-21 06:37
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026? Yes +3 $0 20¢ $1 +$1 06-02 16:19
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? No +1 $-9 90¢ $1 +$9 06-18 06:18
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? Yes +3 $-9 18¢ $0 +$9 06-30 03:48
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30? Yes -296 $-14 $-0 +$14 06-14 15:55
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30? No +0 $-0 97¢ $0 +$1 06-19 07:27
Another Elon baby by June 30? Yes -18 $-1 $-0 +$0 06-08 03:30
Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -6 $-0 $-0 +$0 06-01 13:11
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? Yes +1 $-11 10¢ $0 +$11 06-17 20:15
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30? Yes -0 $0 $-0 $-0 06-30 02:08