Realized P&L
-$21.6K
Unrealized P&L
+$101
Hit rate
59.2%
Resolved
5,942
Trades
115,700
lifetime
Volume
$2.79M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$24
Open exposure
$1.37K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-27 04:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 270 days
Categories
Other
74% 38% -$16,093
Politics
12% 45% +$1,413
Sports
9% 40% -$4,897
Crypto
4% 32% -$1,731
Tech
0% 29% -$70
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$186
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 531 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Modi out by December 31, 2026? No +236 $219 97¢ $228 +$9 10-18 21:10
US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027? Yes +300 $174 60¢ $178 +$5 10-26 21:33
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes +300 $128 36¢ $109 -$18 10-26 21:04
US imports Russian diesel by October 31? No +105 -$11 95¢ $99 +$110 10-26 22:25
US imports Russian diesel by November 30? No +771 $184 12¢ $93 -$91 10-26 18:29
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 29? No +662 $203 14¢ $89 -$114 10-25 19:34
ilhan omar federally charged by december 31 2026 Yes +299 $51 30¢ $88 +$38 10-14 05:01
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? Yes +300 $69 24¢ $70 +$1 10-21 15:05
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31? Yes +300 -$15 18¢ $56 +$71 10-20 05:50
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%? No -53 -$44 98¢ $-52 -$8 05-04 08:02
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +94 $88 46¢ $43 -$45 10-20 06:22
russia x ukraine ceasefire by december 31 2026 Yes +300 $85 14¢ $40 -$44 09-04 21:03
Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026? Yes +117 $13 26¢ $31 +$18 10-27 00:36
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? No -214 -$21 14¢ $-29 -$8 05-07 09:01
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -499 -$65 4¢ $-18 +$47 05-18 06:00
US imports Russian diesel by October 31? Yes +299 $116 5¢ $16 -$100 10-27 03:39
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +30 -$4 54¢ $16 +$20 10-20 21:22
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No -26 -$187 55¢ $-14 +$173 08-10 12:09
Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026? Yes +299 $43 4¢ $13 -$29 10-24 18:25
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -457 -$50 3¢ $-12 +$38 05-08 10:35
us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632 Yes +300 $143 4¢ $10 -$132 10-01 09:38
US strike on Mexico by December 31? Yes -286 -$48 4¢ $-10 +$38 09-18 20:11
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? No -253 -$68 4¢ $-9 +$59 07-14 12:50
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -499 -$50 2¢ $-9 +$41 05-05 03:27
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -499 -$35 2¢ $-8 +$27 04-28 15:21
US imports Russian diesel by November 30? Yes +8 -$6 88¢ $7 +$14 10-23 06:26
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 30? No +41 $5 16¢ $7 +$2 10-26 22:23
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -500 -$32 1¢ $-6 +$27 05-05 07:41
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -236 -$17 1¢ $-2 +$14 04-28 14:56
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? Yes +249 $62 1¢ $2 -$60 10-20 22:51