Realized P&L (7d)
+$466
Unrealized P&L
+$638
Hit rate
78.2%
Resolved (7d)
95
Trades (7d)
2,297
117,898 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$68.0K
$2.86M lifetime
Avg / trade
$24
Open exposure
$1.95K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-01 15:39
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 275 days
Categories
Other
74% 38% -$15,803
Politics
13% 46% +$1,356
Sports
9% 40% -$5,349
Crypto
4% 32% -$1,731
Tech
0% 26% -$133
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$186
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 556 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Republicans win the Minnesota governor race in 2026? No +253 $248 98¢ $248 +$0 10-29 15:14
US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027? Yes +300 $174 64¢ $190 +$17 10-26 21:33
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? No +324 $39 58¢ $187 +$148 11-01 12:22
Modi out by December 31, 2026? No +163 $148 97¢ $158 +$10 10-30 00:23
US imports Russian diesel by December 31? No +419 $186 38¢ $157 -$28 11-01 15:10
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes +299 $118 42¢ $127 +$8 11-01 08:23
ilhan omar federally charged by december 31 2026 Yes +300 $64 38¢ $114 +$50 10-30 16:59
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? No +931 $128 12¢ $107 -$21 10-29 01:58
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota governor race in 2026? Yes +94 $89 98¢ $92 +$2 10-31 23:18
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? Yes +300 $38 26¢ $79 +$41 11-01 08:24
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? No +81 $71 88¢ $71 +$0 10-31 04:26
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%? No -53 -$44 98¢ $-52 -$8 05-04 08:02
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? Yes +300 $55 15¢ $43 -$11 10-29 15:34
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2028? Yes +157 $42 26¢ $40 -$2 10-31 07:30
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31? Yes +300 -$15 12¢ $38 +$53 10-20 05:50
Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026? Yes +117 $13 32¢ $37 +$23 10-27 00:36
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? Yes +300 $85 11¢ $31 -$53 09-04 21:03
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? No +31 $1 74¢ $23 +$22 11-01 06:14
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026? No +22 $20 96¢ $21 +$1 11-01 13:44
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -499 -$65 3¢ $-17 +$48 05-18 06:00
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +29 $8 56¢ $17 +$8 10-31 01:53
US imports Russian diesel by November 30? No +38 $32 43¢ $16 -$16 10-28 20:38
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +29 $24 44¢ $13 -$12 11-01 12:35
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -457 -$50 3¢ $-12 +$38 05-08 10:35
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No -27 -$165 44¢ $-12 +$153 10-30 18:20
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026? Yes +299 $10 4¢ $10 +$0 11-01 10:05
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? No -253 -$68 4¢ $-10 +$58 07-14 12:50
US strike on Mexico by December 31? Yes -286 -$48 3¢ $-9 +$39 09-18 20:11
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -499 -$35 2¢ $-8 +$27 04-28 15:21
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -499 -$50 2¢ $-8 +$42 05-05 03:27