Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?
open
Total volume
$88,166
$608 in 24h
Trades
1,565
Unique wallets
462
Liquidity
$49,980
Latest YES mid
3¢
Latest NO mid
97¢
End date
2027-01-01
First seen
2026-05-27
last 07-28 19:05
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-1.9¢
(top1%: 1% YES on $28.7K
vs crowd: 3% YES on $62.7K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 20 | $294 | $29.5K | $29.3K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 24 | $330 | $16.5K | $16.2K |
| 🐟 Fish | 141 | $408 | $7.6K | $7.2K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 277 | $584 | $7.5K | $6.9K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 6 | $180 | $28.5K | $28.3K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 14 | $24 | $433 | $409 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 9 | $20 | $214 | $194 |
| Median | 55 | $1 | $2.1K | $2.1K |
| Below median | 167 | $52 | $15.2K | $15.1K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 10 | $16 | $285 | $268 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 9 | $55 | $241 | $186 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 4 | $375 | $284 | +$92 |
| unranked | 188 | $893 | $13.9K | $13.0K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tinted-Consciousness 0xfea3…d227 | No | +24,577 | $23,683 | $23,683 | 30 | 06-14 21:14 |
| Kindly-Species 0x6104…62f1 | Yes | +8,620 | $310 | $310 | 28 | 06-25 15:12 |
| Avaricious-Summary 0x363c…9b0e | Yes | +8,000 | $264 | $264 | 4 | 06-04 03:56 |
| Kind-Nanoparticle 0xad60…97f4 | No | +7,944 | $7,694 | $11,571 | 57 | 07-27 08:45 |
| Apprehensive-Breakdown 0xcc50…4c82 | Yes | +6,099 | $225 | $225 | 5 | 06-07 22:18 |
| Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | +2,649 | $105 | $232 | 41 | 07-26 23:46 |
| Plush-Robotics 0xe7ef…b402 | No | +2,054 | $2,000 | $2,000 | 1 | 07-01 07:22 |
| Inconsequential-Peanut 0xfa28…bf30 | No | +2,000 | $1,917 | $2,499 | 9 | 06-27 13:06 |
| Babyish-Latter 0x5494…85fe | Yes | +1,992 | $93 | $93 | 2 | 06-04 02:15 |
| Back-Panel 0x174b…5a55 | Yes | +1,804 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 07-08 23:12 |
| Expensive-Manatee 0x09c0…305a | No | +1,704 | $1,610 | $3,559 | 23 | 06-25 14:59 |
| (anonymous) 0xfa39…977f | Yes | +1,633 | $46 | $147 | 11 | 07-02 23:51 |
| Closed-Abundance 0x199f…b36a | Yes | +1,311 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 06-06 00:29 |
| Mediocre-Paradise 0xc30c…6509 | No | +1,119 | $1,074 | $7,371 | 157 | 07-27 22:13 |
| (anonymous) 0x37f4…f1d4 | No | +869 | $839 | $1,095 | 20 | 07-24 06:24 |
| (anonymous) 0x2468…4826 | Yes | +613 | $23 | $23 | 3 | 06-06 06:43 |
| Rough-Dimple 0x18ab…bae4 | No | +600 | $574 | $1,350 | 13 | 06-30 23:32 |
| Acclaimed-Teammate 0x6d71…82e5 | No | +542 | $515 | $515 | 6 | 06-29 08:55 |
| Obvious-Temperature 0x7efb…9df9 | No | +500 | $479 | $1,559 | 34 | 06-22 23:28 |
| (anonymous) 0xb708…62fb | No | +381 | $367 | $367 | 1 | 06-13 15:15 |
| (anonymous) 0x04db…c253 | Yes | +335 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 07-21 06:35 |
| Ragged-Spiral 0xd7e4…7137 | Yes | +335 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 06-04 07:51 |
| Conscious-Alley 0x83ce…835c | Yes | +312 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-25 14:59 |
| Conscious-Alley 0x83ce…835c | No | +312 | $300 | $300 | 1 | 06-06 00:29 |
| Gleaming-Teacher 0xcf8a…085b | Yes | +290 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 06-05 19:41 |
| Giddy-Cod 0x72bd…2b64 | Yes | +230 | $8 | $8 | 4 | 06-12 18:15 |
| (anonymous) 0x41d6…01f9 | Yes | +215 | $4 | $52 | 24 | 06-07 22:39 |
| Useless-Hydrofoil 0xb065…60cc | No | +188 | $174 | $214 | 7 | 05-28 23:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x2617…afc5 | No | +163 | $159 | $159 | 5 | 07-10 16:43 |
| (anonymous) 0xe54b…9f08 | Yes | +162 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 06-16 17:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x37ab…cdaf | No | +154 | $150 | $150 | 1 | 07-20 10:46 |
| (anonymous) 0xfac0…fdd8 | Yes | +137 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-31 01:39 |
| Soggy-Culvert 0x43e8…5ba4 | Yes | +135 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-10 23:41 |
| Attentive-Leading 0xf256…8ff9 | Yes | +134 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-05 04:07 |
| Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | +133 | $5 | $5 | 3 | 06-02 17:02 |
| Terrible-Ordinary 0x0a6d…1d0a | No | +129 | $123 | $452 | 10 | 07-21 06:35 |
| Breakable-Gator 0xce87…2f3f | Yes | +123 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-02 20:45 |
| (anonymous) 0x3ead…d177 | No | +102 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 07-03 14:22 |
| (anonymous) 0x3d85…0569 | Yes | +100 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 07-24 07:49 |
| Disastrous-Equation 0xb186…a946 | Yes | +100 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-10 22:43 |
| Wrathful-Treat 0xdc62…1eb3 | No | +100 | $97 | $97 | 2 | 06-04 07:51 |
| Terrible-Ordinary 0x0a6d…1d0a | Yes | +79 | $2 | $2 | 6 | 07-09 14:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x5e34…2c47 | Yes | +74 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 07-28 11:39 |
| Enraged-Pinstripe 0x6a79…fba6 | No | +71 | $69 | $150 | 3 | 06-14 15:08 |
| (anonymous) 0xb4b3…8e12 | No | +66 | $64 | $64 | 3 | 07-28 00:10 |
| Trustworthy-Harmonica 0x5691…1a10 | No | +60 | $58 | $58 | 1 | 06-15 03:35 |
| (anonymous) 0x1adb…e155 | No | +55 | $53 | $53 | 1 | 06-29 08:55 |
| (anonymous) 0xdb52…7ba2 | No | +54 | $52 | $52 | 1 | 06-20 12:54 |
| Pointless-Slider 0x09e5…ebe0 | No | +54 | $52 | $52 | 1 | 06-19 16:00 |
| (anonymous) 0xf47e…4179 | No | +53 | $52 | $52 | 1 | 07-21 06:35 |
| Pungent-Leader 0x9739…159f | Yes | +52 | $-0 | $39 | 14 | 06-05 01:18 |
| (anonymous) 0xd424…1991 | No | +52 | $51 | $51 | 3 | 07-21 06:35 |
| Plush-Porthole 0x2167…5ded | No | +52 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 06-14 09:46 |
| (anonymous) 0xb0a8…4a69 | No | +52 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 07-28 00:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x6ef8…2a5f | No | +52 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 07-28 00:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x77a6…9bb8 | No | +52 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 07-28 00:10 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-28 19:05:49 | (anonymous) 0x870f…6da1 | No | SELL | 4 | 97¢ | $3 | 0x8b26d6… |
| 07-28 19:05:49 | (anonymous) 0x5935…6ff2 | No | BUY | 4 | 97¢ | $3 | 0x8b26d6… |
| 07-28 18:59:52 | (anonymous) 0x870f…6da1 | No | BUY | 4 | 97¢ | $3 | 0x75e1ff… |
| 07-28 18:59:52 | (anonymous) 0x5533…51ba | Yes | BUY | 4 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x75e1ff… |
| 07-28 11:39:14 | (anonymous) 0x5e34…2c47 | Yes | BUY | 36 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x40e5b4… |
| 07-28 11:39:14 | (anonymous) 0x5935…6ff2 | No | BUY | 3 | 97¢ | $3 | 0x40e5b4… |
| 07-28 11:39:14 | (anonymous) 0x77ee…3142 | No | BUY | 33 | 97¢ | $32 | 0x40e5b4… |
| 07-28 11:32:53 | (anonymous) 0x77ee…3142 | No | BUY | 19 | 97¢ | $18 | 0x58e2e5… |
| 07-28 11:32:53 | (anonymous) 0x5e34…2c47 | Yes | BUY | 38 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x58e2e5… |
| 07-28 11:32:53 | (anonymous) 0x32b6…e24a | No | BUY | 20 | 97¢ | $19 | 0x58e2e5… |
| 07-28 07:55:28 | (anonymous) 0xb5b2…3293 | No | SELL | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0xc7948d… |
| 07-28 07:55:28 | (anonymous) 0x32b6…e24a | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0xc7948d… |
| 07-28 07:03:24 | (anonymous) 0x32b6…e24a | No | BUY | 8 | 97¢ | $8 | 0x822593… |
| 07-28 07:03:24 | Murky-Spray 0x046e…b2c0 | No | SELL | 8 | 97¢ | $8 | 0x822593… |
| 07-28 06:02:12 | (anonymous) 0x5533…51ba | Yes | BUY | 8 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x69b5a6… |
| 07-28 06:02:12 | Murky-Spray 0x046e…b2c0 | No | BUY | 8 | 97¢ | $8 | 0x69b5a6… |
| 07-28 04:17:04 | (anonymous) 0xa79c…523d | No | SELL | 2 | 97¢ | $2 | 0xfcdbad… |
| 07-28 04:17:04 | (anonymous) 0x32b6…e24a | No | BUY | 2 | 97¢ | $2 | 0xfcdbad… |
| 07-28 02:47:15 | (anonymous) 0xb5b2…3293 | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x786526… |
| 07-28 02:47:15 | (anonymous) 0x5533…51ba | Yes | BUY | 1 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x786526… |
| 07-28 02:18:37 | Sticky-Nonbeliever 0xfadd…6a61 | No | SELL | 7 | 97¢ | $7 | 0x23359c… |
| 07-28 02:18:37 | (anonymous) 0x32b6…e24a | No | BUY | 7 | 97¢ | $7 | 0x23359c… |
| 07-28 00:10:30 | (anonymous) 0xf6fc…3db8 | No | BUY | 52 | 97¢ | $50 | 0xf64da1… |
| 07-28 00:10:30 | Straight-Topsail 0x789d…47e6 | No | SELL | 359 | 97¢ | $348 | 0xf64da1… |
| 07-28 00:10:30 | (anonymous) 0xb0a8…4a69 | No | BUY | 52 | 97¢ | $50 | 0xf64da1… |
| 07-28 00:10:30 | (anonymous) 0x6ef8…2a5f | No | BUY | 52 | 97¢ | $50 | 0xf64da1… |
| 07-28 00:10:30 | (anonymous) 0x77a6…9bb8 | No | BUY | 52 | 97¢ | $50 | 0xf64da1… |
| 07-28 00:10:30 | (anonymous) 0x747e…7331 | No | BUY | 52 | 97¢ | $50 | 0xf64da1… |
| 07-28 00:10:30 | (anonymous) 0xb4b3…8e12 | No | BUY | 57 | 97¢ | $55 | 0xf64da1… |
| 07-28 00:10:30 | (anonymous) 0x32b6…e24a | No | BUY | 13 | 97¢ | $13 | 0xf64da1… |
| 07-28 00:10:30 | (anonymous) 0x0238…208e | No | BUY | 31 | 97¢ | $30 | 0xf64da1… |
| 07-27 23:28:24 | Wonderful-Harmony 0x204c…0aa3 | No | SELL | 6 | 97¢ | $5 | 0xe1619d… |
| 07-27 23:28:24 | (anonymous) 0x0238…208e | No | BUY | 6 | 97¢ | $5 | 0xe1619d… |
| 07-27 22:43:48 | (anonymous) 0x0238…208e | No | BUY | 7 | 97¢ | $7 | 0x1ee2ff… |
| 07-27 22:43:48 | (anonymous) 0xfefb…1ae1 | No | SELL | 7 | 97¢ | $7 | 0x1ee2ff… |
| 07-27 22:13:22 | Mediocre-Paradise 0xc30c…6509 | No | SELL | 7 | 97¢ | $7 | 0xcf3f13… |
| 07-27 22:13:22 | Sticky-Nonbeliever 0xfadd…6a61 | No | BUY | 7 | 97¢ | $7 | 0xcf3f13… |
| 07-27 22:00:52 | Mediocre-Paradise 0xc30c…6509 | No | SELL | 2 | 97¢ | $2 | 0xbc81c6… |
| 07-27 22:00:52 | (anonymous) 0xa79c…523d | No | BUY | 2 | 97¢ | $2 | 0xbc81c6… |
| 07-27 21:20:27 | (anonymous) 0xf4a8…38eb | No | SELL | 4 | 97¢ | $4 | 0xfa81e2… |
| 07-27 21:20:27 | (anonymous) 0x0238…208e | No | BUY | 4 | 97¢ | $4 | 0xfa81e2… |
| 07-27 19:26:03 | Wonderful-Harmony 0x204c…0aa3 | No | BUY | 6 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x2e96f2… |
| 07-27 19:26:03 | Mediocre-Paradise 0xc30c…6509 | No | SELL | 6 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x2e96f2… |
| 07-27 17:36:25 | (anonymous) 0xfefb…1ae1 | No | BUY | 7 | 97¢ | $7 | 0x1e03c4… |
| 07-27 17:36:25 | Mediocre-Paradise 0xc30c…6509 | No | SELL | 7 | 97¢ | $7 | 0x1e03c4… |
| 07-27 16:14:55 | (anonymous) 0xf4a8…38eb | No | BUY | 4 | 97¢ | $4 | 0xf981ac… |
| 07-27 16:14:55 | Mediocre-Paradise 0xc30c…6509 | No | SELL | 4 | 97¢ | $4 | 0xf981ac… |
| 07-27 14:10:30 | (anonymous) 0x0f16…0a10 | No | SELL | 3 | 97¢ | $3 | 0xa3ad9b… |
| 07-27 14:10:30 | (anonymous) 0x0238…208e | No | BUY | 3 | 97¢ | $3 | 0xa3ad9b… |
| 07-27 12:14:00 | (anonymous) 0x2336…58d1 | No | SELL | 4 | 97¢ | $4 | 0x235d23… |
| 07-27 12:14:00 | (anonymous) 0xb4b3…8e12 | No | BUY | 4 | 97¢ | $4 | 0x235d23… |
| 07-27 10:04:51 | (anonymous) 0x0f16…0a10 | No | BUY | 3 | 97¢ | $3 | 0x0ceb24… |
| 07-27 10:04:51 | (anonymous) 0x58d9…23f3 | No | SELL | 3 | 97¢ | $3 | 0x0ceb24… |
| 07-27 09:39:27 | (anonymous) 0x9f24…f5de | No | SELL | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0xe2c692… |
| 07-27 09:39:27 | (anonymous) 0xb4b3…8e12 | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0xe2c692… |
| 07-27 08:45:37 | (anonymous) 0xda8a…8409 | No | SELL | 6 | 96¢ | $6 | 0x286da8… |
| 07-27 08:45:37 | Kind-Nanoparticle 0xad60…97f4 | No | BUY | 6 | 96¢ | $6 | 0x286da8… |
| 07-27 08:06:48 | (anonymous) 0x2336…58d1 | No | BUY | 4 | 97¢ | $4 | 0xcbaad5… |
| 07-27 08:06:48 | (anonymous) 0x9a9e…c6e9 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xcbaad5… |
| 07-27 06:42:01 | (anonymous) 0x3fef…f203 | No | SELL | 7 | 96¢ | $6 | 0xc280e3… |
| 07-27 06:42:01 | Kind-Nanoparticle 0xad60…97f4 | No | BUY | 7 | 96¢ | $6 | 0xc280e3… |
| 07-27 05:00:07 | Equatorial-Medium 0x04be…fe8c | No | SELL | 8 | 96¢ | $8 | 0x2bd00f… |
| 07-27 05:00:07 | Kind-Nanoparticle 0xad60…97f4 | No | BUY | 8 | 96¢ | $8 | 0x2bd00f… |
| 07-27 03:44:37 | (anonymous) 0x9a9e…c6e9 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x94366f… |
| 07-27 03:44:37 | (anonymous) 0xda8a…8409 | No | BUY | 6 | 97¢ | $6 | 0x94366f… |
| 07-27 02:55:54 | (anonymous) 0x721d…3bc3 | No | SELL | 6 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x1e374f… |
| 07-27 02:55:54 | Kind-Nanoparticle 0xad60…97f4 | No | BUY | 6 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x1e374f… |
| 07-27 02:38:55 | (anonymous) 0x9f24…f5de | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0xc6aea1… |
| 07-27 02:38:55 | (anonymous) 0x9a9e…c6e9 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xc6aea1… |
| 07-27 02:29:33 | (anonymous) 0x3fef…f203 | No | BUY | 7 | 97¢ | $6 | 0x3d5d7c… |
| 07-27 02:29:33 | (anonymous) 0x9a9e…c6e9 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x3d5d7c… |
| 07-26 23:53:10 | Equatorial-Medium 0x04be…fe8c | No | BUY | 8 | 97¢ | $8 | 0x52f551… |
| 07-26 23:53:10 | (anonymous) 0x9a9e…c6e9 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x52f551… |
| 07-26 23:46:01 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 6 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x788cc8… |
| 07-26 23:46:01 | (anonymous) 0xdab2…5636 | No | SELL | 6 | 96¢ | $6 | 0x788cc8… |
| 07-26 23:26:57 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 7 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xa028be… |
| 07-26 23:26:57 | (anonymous) 0xa0f9…bd1a | No | SELL | 7 | 96¢ | $7 | 0xa028be… |
| 07-26 21:40:24 | Apprehensive-Breakdown 0xcc50…4c82 | No | BUY | 3 | 96¢ | $3 | 0x825647… |
| 07-26 21:40:24 | (anonymous) 0x32f4…a40c | No | SELL | 3 | 96¢ | $3 | 0x825647… |
| 07-26 20:44:36 | (anonymous) 0x721d…3bc3 | No | BUY | 6 | 97¢ | $6 | 0x5f9a60… |
| 07-26 20:44:36 | Mediocre-Paradise 0xc30c…6509 | No | SELL | 6 | 97¢ | $6 | 0x5f9a60… |
| 07-26 19:35:10 | Mediocre-Paradise 0xc30c…6509 | No | SELL | 6 | 97¢ | $6 | 0xab03fe… |
| 07-26 19:35:10 | (anonymous) 0xdab2…5636 | No | BUY | 6 | 97¢ | $6 | 0xab03fe… |
| 07-26 19:34:22 | (anonymous) 0xd892…d3b0 | No | SELL | 6 | 96¢ | $6 | 0xe7c881… |
| 07-26 19:34:22 | Apprehensive-Breakdown 0xcc50…4c82 | No | BUY | 6 | 96¢ | $6 | 0xe7c881… |
| 07-26 19:03:48 | Apprehensive-Breakdown 0xcc50…4c82 | No | BUY | 4 | 96¢ | $4 | 0xd53119… |
| 07-26 19:03:48 | (anonymous) 0xa903…75fa | No | SELL | 4 | 96¢ | $4 | 0xd53119… |
| 07-26 17:59:18 | Apprehensive-Breakdown 0xcc50…4c82 | No | BUY | 7 | 96¢ | $7 | 0xfbe116… |
| 07-26 17:59:18 | (anonymous) 0xecc6…f2b2 | No | SELL | 7 | 96¢ | $7 | 0xfbe116… |
| 07-26 17:15:33 | Apprehensive-Breakdown 0xcc50…4c82 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x41431d… |
| 07-26 17:15:33 | (anonymous) 0x22cd…ec08 | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x41431d… |
| 07-26 15:22:22 | Mediocre-Paradise 0xc30c…6509 | No | SELL | 3 | 97¢ | $3 | 0x1a3155… |
| 07-26 15:22:22 | (anonymous) 0x32f4…a40c | No | BUY | 3 | 97¢ | $3 | 0x1a3155… |
| 07-26 15:21:45 | (anonymous) 0xc8ba…39bf | No | SELL | 6 | 96¢ | $6 | 0xc7b00d… |
| 07-26 15:21:45 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 6 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xc7b00d… |
| 07-26 15:14:36 | (anonymous) 0xa0f9…bd1a | No | BUY | 7 | 97¢ | $7 | 0x3dc9a2… |
| 07-26 15:14:36 | Mediocre-Paradise 0xc30c…6509 | No | SELL | 7 | 97¢ | $7 | 0x3dc9a2… |
| 07-26 14:24:43 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 4 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x496043… |
| 07-26 14:24:43 | (anonymous) 0xdc58…d087 | No | SELL | 4 | 96¢ | $4 | 0x496043… |
| 07-26 14:23:40 | (anonymous) 0xd892…d3b0 | No | BUY | 6 | 97¢ | $6 | 0x1a6b8c… |