Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?
open
Total volume
$93,980
$608 in 24h
Trades
1,943
Unique wallets
502
Liquidity
$49,980
Latest YES mid
3¢
Latest NO mid
97¢
End date
2027-01-01
First seen
2026-05-27
last 08-17 16:26
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-1.8¢
(top1%: 1% YES on $24.5K
vs crowd: 3% YES on $64.3K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 23 | $294 | $30.6K | $30.3K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 29 | $330 | $16.7K | $16.4K |
| 🐟 Fish | 146 | $422 | $7.7K | $7.3K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 304 | $584 | $7.6K | $7.0K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 5 | $180 | $24.3K | $24.1K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 18 | $34 | $5.4K | $5.3K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 10 | $20 | $214 | $194 |
| Median | 54 | $1 | $1.9K | $1.9K |
| Below median | 186 | $47 | $15.5K | $15.4K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 13 | $26 | $296 | $270 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 10 | $55 | $475 | $420 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 4 | $375 | $381 | $6 |
| unranked | 202 | $893 | $14.3K | $13.4K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tinted-Consciousness 0xfea3…d227 | No | +24,577 | $23,683 | $23,683 | 30 | 06-14 21:14 |
| Kindly-Species 0x6104…62f1 | Yes | +8,620 | $310 | $310 | 28 | 06-25 15:12 |
| Avaricious-Summary 0x363c…9b0e | Yes | +8,000 | $264 | $264 | 4 | 06-04 03:56 |
| Kind-Nanoparticle 0xad60…97f4 | No | +6,595 | $6,373 | $12,892 | 59 | 08-03 18:50 |
| Apprehensive-Breakdown 0xcc50…4c82 | Yes | +6,099 | $225 | $225 | 5 | 06-07 22:18 |
| Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | +2,649 | $105 | $232 | 41 | 07-26 23:46 |
| Plush-Robotics 0xe7ef…b402 | No | +2,054 | $2,000 | $2,000 | 1 | 07-01 07:22 |
| Babyish-Latter 0x5494…85fe | Yes | +1,992 | $93 | $93 | 2 | 06-04 02:15 |
| Expensive-Manatee 0x09c0…305a | No | +1,704 | $1,610 | $3,559 | 23 | 06-25 14:59 |
| (anonymous) 0xfa39…977f | Yes | +1,633 | $46 | $147 | 11 | 07-02 23:51 |
| Inconsequential-Peanut 0xfa28…bf30 | No | +1,630 | $1,557 | $2,859 | 10 | 08-02 19:34 |
| Closed-Abundance 0x199f…b36a | Yes | +1,311 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 06-06 00:29 |
| Mediocre-Paradise 0xc30c…6509 | No | +1,083 | $1,038 | $7,530 | 183 | 08-12 15:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x37f4…f1d4 | No | +617 | $594 | $1,340 | 21 | 07-30 21:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x2468…4826 | Yes | +613 | $23 | $23 | 3 | 06-06 06:43 |
| Rough-Dimple 0x18ab…bae4 | No | +600 | $574 | $1,350 | 13 | 06-30 23:32 |
| Fresh-Anarchist 0x8f14…1e77 | No | +586 | $571 | $571 | 1 | 08-01 07:29 |
| Acclaimed-Teammate 0x6d71…82e5 | No | +542 | $515 | $515 | 6 | 06-29 08:55 |
| Obvious-Temperature 0x7efb…9df9 | No | +500 | $479 | $1,559 | 34 | 06-22 23:28 |
| (anonymous) 0xb708…62fb | No | +381 | $367 | $367 | 1 | 06-13 15:15 |
| (anonymous) 0x04db…c253 | Yes | +335 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 07-21 06:35 |
| Ragged-Spiral 0xd7e4…7137 | Yes | +335 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 06-04 07:51 |
| Conscious-Alley 0x83ce…835c | Yes | +312 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-25 14:59 |
| Conscious-Alley 0x83ce…835c | No | +312 | $300 | $300 | 1 | 06-06 00:29 |
| Gleaming-Teacher 0xcf8a…085b | Yes | +290 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 06-05 19:41 |
| Giddy-Cod 0x72bd…2b64 | Yes | +230 | $8 | $8 | 4 | 06-12 18:15 |
| (anonymous) 0x41d6…01f9 | Yes | +215 | $4 | $52 | 24 | 06-07 22:39 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +203 | $198 | $198 | 1 | 07-31 22:12 |
| Useless-Hydrofoil 0xb065…60cc | No | +188 | $174 | $214 | 7 | 05-28 23:59 |
| Terrible-Ordinary 0x0a6d…1d0a | No | +169 | $162 | $491 | 11 | 08-07 08:07 |
| (anonymous) 0x2617…afc5 | No | +163 | $159 | $159 | 5 | 07-10 16:43 |
| (anonymous) 0xe54b…9f08 | Yes | +162 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 06-16 17:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x37ab…cdaf | No | +154 | $150 | $150 | 1 | 07-20 10:46 |
| (anonymous) 0xfac0…fdd8 | Yes | +137 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-31 01:39 |
| Soggy-Culvert 0x43e8…5ba4 | Yes | +135 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-10 23:41 |
| Attentive-Leading 0xf256…8ff9 | Yes | +134 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-05 04:07 |
| Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | +133 | $5 | $5 | 3 | 06-02 17:02 |
| Breakable-Gator 0xce87…2f3f | Yes | +123 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-02 20:45 |
| (anonymous) 0x3ead…d177 | No | +102 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 07-03 14:22 |
| (anonymous) 0x3d85…0569 | Yes | +100 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 07-24 07:49 |
| Disastrous-Equation 0xb186…a946 | Yes | +100 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-10 22:43 |
| Wrathful-Treat 0xdc62…1eb3 | No | +100 | $97 | $97 | 2 | 06-04 07:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x6916…2fd4 | No | +92 | $89 | $89 | 4 | 08-16 15:18 |
| Terrible-Ordinary 0x0a6d…1d0a | Yes | +79 | $2 | $2 | 6 | 07-09 14:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x5e34…2c47 | Yes | +74 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 07-28 11:39 |
| Enraged-Pinstripe 0x6a79…fba6 | No | +71 | $69 | $150 | 3 | 06-14 15:08 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | +71 | $67 | $646 | 21 | 08-17 04:38 |
| Trustworthy-Harmonica 0x5691…1a10 | No | +60 | $58 | $58 | 1 | 06-15 03:35 |
| (anonymous) 0x1adb…e155 | No | +55 | $53 | $53 | 1 | 06-29 08:55 |
| (anonymous) 0xdb52…7ba2 | No | +54 | $52 | $52 | 1 | 06-20 12:54 |
| Pointless-Slider 0x09e5…ebe0 | No | +54 | $52 | $52 | 1 | 06-19 16:00 |
| Pungent-Leader 0x9739…159f | Yes | +52 | $-0 | $39 | 14 | 06-05 01:18 |
| (anonymous) 0xb0a8…4a69 | No | +52 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 07-28 00:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x77a6…9bb8 | No | +52 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 07-28 00:10 |
| (anonymous) 0xf6fc…3db8 | No | +52 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 07-28 00:10 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-17 16:26:30 | (anonymous) 0x82a0…33a1 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xd84de9… |
| 08-17 16:26:30 | Minty-Crust 0x2c38…a15a | No | SELL | 7 | 97¢ | $7 | 0xd84de9… |
| 08-17 16:23:24 | (anonymous) 0x2f5a…5005 | No | SELL | 7 | 97¢ | $7 | 0x8eda95… |
| 08-17 16:23:24 | Minty-Crust 0x2c38…a15a | No | BUY | 7 | 97¢ | $7 | 0x8eda95… |
| 08-17 04:38:22 | Puzzled-Latency-Espalier 0x1b80…92af | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x77944a… |
| 08-17 04:38:22 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x77944a… |
| 08-16 15:18:42 | (anonymous) 0x6916…2fd4 | No | BUY | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0xd5431f… |
| 08-16 15:18:42 | Minty-Crust 0x2c38…a15a | No | SELL | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0xd5431f… |
| 08-16 15:11:36 | Minty-Crust 0x2c38…a15a | No | BUY | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0x984241… |
| 08-16 15:11:36 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0x984241… |
| 08-16 13:35:46 | (anonymous) 0x2765…2775 | No | SELL | 40 | 97¢ | $39 | 0x2fbdc6… |
| 08-16 13:35:46 | (anonymous) 0x6916…2fd4 | No | BUY | 40 | 97¢ | $39 | 0x2fbdc6… |
| 08-16 11:33:57 | (anonymous) 0x6916…2fd4 | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0xf42cf3… |
| 08-16 11:33:57 | Minty-Crust 0x2c38…a15a | No | SELL | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0xf42cf3… |
| 08-16 10:18:36 | Minty-Crust 0x2c38…a15a | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0xa6df03… |
| 08-16 10:18:36 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0xa6df03… |
| 08-16 06:09:28 | (anonymous) 0xeaba…a214 | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0xe4b5d3… |
| 08-16 06:09:28 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | SELL | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xe4b5d3… |
| 08-16 06:09:28 | (anonymous) 0x6916…2fd4 | No | BUY | 37 | 97¢ | $36 | 0xe4b5d3… |
| 08-16 06:09:28 | Plush-Porthole 0x2167…5ded | No | SELL | 52 | 97¢ | $51 | 0xe4b5d3… |
| 08-15 17:00:30 | Minty-Crust 0x2c38…a15a | No | SELL | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0xe345fd… |
| 08-15 17:00:30 | (anonymous) 0xeaba…a214 | No | BUY | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0xe345fd… |
| 08-15 16:39:54 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | BUY | 10 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x35fb74… |
| 08-15 16:39:54 | Minty-Crust 0x2c38…a15a | No | BUY | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0x35fb74… |
| 08-15 15:32:51 | (anonymous) 0xeaba…a214 | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x314437… |
| 08-15 15:32:51 | Minty-Crust 0x2c38…a15a | No | SELL | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x314437… |
| 08-15 15:15:28 | Minty-Crust 0x2c38…a15a | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0xd17a43… |
| 08-15 15:15:28 | (anonymous) 0xbfd7…f91d | No | SELL | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0xd17a43… |
| 08-12 15:59:01 | Mediocre-Paradise 0xc30c…6509 | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x7d871d… |
| 08-12 15:59:01 | (anonymous) 0x578f…f112 | No | SELL | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x7d871d… |
| 08-12 06:54:25 | Unwitting-Woman 0x38b8…c67e | No | SELL | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x495166… |
| 08-12 06:54:25 | Mediocre-Paradise 0xc30c…6509 | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x495166… |
| 08-12 06:46:51 | Mundane-Airbag 0xa3af…b7a6 | No | SELL | 32 | 97¢ | $31 | 0x672e11… |
| 08-12 06:46:51 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x672e11… |
| 08-12 06:46:51 | (anonymous) 0xbfd7…f91d | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x672e11… |
| 08-12 06:46:51 | Mediocre-Paradise 0xc30c…6509 | No | BUY | 23 | 97¢ | $22 | 0x672e11… |
| 08-12 05:40:13 | Impressionable-Set 0xd6c2…a53d | No | SELL | 4 | 97¢ | $4 | 0xfd57a7… |
| 08-12 05:40:13 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | SELL | 4 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xfd57a7… |
| 08-12 01:50:00 | Unwitting-Woman 0x38b8…c67e | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x83a065… |
| 08-12 01:50:00 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | BUY | 3 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x83a065… |
| 08-12 00:11:19 | (anonymous) 0xbfd7…f91d | No | BUY | 3 | 97¢ | $3 | 0xe75895… |
| 08-12 00:11:19 | (anonymous) 0x5454…39ec | No | SELL | 3 | 97¢ | $3 | 0xe75895… |
| 08-12 00:11:19 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | SELL | 0 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xe75895… |
| 08-11 19:10:36 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | BUY | 3 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x185fcf… |
| 08-11 19:10:36 | (anonymous) 0x5454…39ec | No | BUY | 3 | 97¢ | $3 | 0x185fcf… |
| 08-11 16:31:09 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | SELL | 6 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xf82a7a… |
| 08-11 16:31:09 | (anonymous) 0x60d9…c132 | No | SELL | 6 | 97¢ | $5 | 0xf82a7a… |
| 08-11 08:30:03 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | BUY | 6 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x5f6032… |
| 08-11 08:30:03 | (anonymous) 0x60d9…c132 | No | BUY | 6 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x5f6032… |
| 08-11 06:14:39 | Positive-Endothelium 0xbbd6…3f22 | No | SELL | 8 | 97¢ | $8 | 0xec60e9… |
| 08-11 06:14:39 | Mediocre-Paradise 0xc30c…6509 | No | BUY | 8 | 97¢ | $8 | 0xec60e9… |
| 08-11 04:49:15 | (anonymous) 0x3bb5…7ad9 | No | SELL | 62 | 97¢ | $60 | 0x03b736… |
| 08-11 04:49:15 | Mediocre-Paradise 0xc30c…6509 | No | BUY | 15 | 97¢ | $14 | 0x03b736… |
| 08-11 04:49:15 | (anonymous) 0xeaba…a214 | No | BUY | 20 | 97¢ | $19 | 0x03b736… |
| 08-11 04:49:15 | (anonymous) 0x2f5a…5005 | No | BUY | 25 | 97¢ | $24 | 0x03b736… |
| 08-11 04:49:15 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | SELL | 3 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x03b736… |
| 08-10 22:13:40 | Positive-Endothelium 0xbbd6…3f22 | No | BUY | 8 | 97¢ | $8 | 0xc878b5… |
| 08-10 22:13:40 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 8 | 97¢ | $8 | 0xc878b5… |
| 08-10 18:52:54 | Stunning-Rush 0xbc7f…c71b | No | SELL | 8 | 97¢ | $8 | 0x0a1bad… |
| 08-10 18:52:54 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | SELL | 8 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x0a1bad… |
| 08-10 11:52:33 | Stunning-Rush 0xbc7f…c71b | No | BUY | 8 | 97¢ | $8 | 0xb82aae… |
| 08-10 11:52:33 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | BUY | 8 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xb82aae… |
| 08-10 00:55:52 | (anonymous) 0xae22…a477 | No | SELL | 2 | 97¢ | $2 | 0x22ad7c… |
| 08-10 00:55:52 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | SELL | 2 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x22ad7c… |
| 08-09 20:54:15 | (anonymous) 0xae22…a477 | No | BUY | 2 | 97¢ | $2 | 0x1d586a… |
| 08-09 20:54:15 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | BUY | 2 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x1d586a… |
| 08-09 12:24:06 | (anonymous) 0xe465…e8ec | No | SELL | 7 | 97¢ | $7 | 0xfacd38… |
| 08-09 12:24:06 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | SELL | 4 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xfacd38… |
| 08-09 07:19:33 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | BUY | 7 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x4ee980… |
| 08-09 07:19:33 | (anonymous) 0xe465…e8ec | No | BUY | 7 | 97¢ | $7 | 0x4ee980… |
| 08-09 06:11:48 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | SELL | 4 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x233026… |
| 08-09 06:11:48 | (anonymous) 0x1588…99d7 | No | SELL | 4 | 97¢ | $4 | 0x233026… |
| 08-09 01:10:57 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | BUY | 4 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x5dfb78… |
| 08-09 01:10:57 | (anonymous) 0x1588…99d7 | No | BUY | 4 | 97¢ | $4 | 0x5dfb78… |
| 08-08 12:25:37 | Organic-Lifetime 0x461c…431b | No | SELL | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x3bf443… |
| 08-08 12:25:37 | (anonymous) 0x578f…f112 | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x3bf443… |
| 08-08 06:22:51 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x3b566a… |
| 08-08 06:22:51 | Organic-Lifetime 0x461c…431b | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x3b566a… |
| 08-07 19:11:10 | Mediocre-Paradise 0xc30c…6509 | No | BUY | 0 | 97¢ | $0 | 0x9315e6… |
| 08-07 19:11:10 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | SELL | 3 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x9315e6… |
| 08-07 19:11:10 | (anonymous) 0x870f…6da1 | No | SELL | 3 | 97¢ | $3 | 0x9315e6… |
| 08-07 18:13:28 | (anonymous) 0x870f…6da1 | No | SELL | 3 | 97¢ | $3 | 0x312aaf… |
| 08-07 18:13:28 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | SELL | 3 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x312aaf… |
| 08-07 18:12:25 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | BUY | 3 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x33d3bc… |
| 08-07 18:12:25 | (anonymous) 0x870f…6da1 | No | BUY | 3 | 97¢ | $3 | 0x33d3bc… |
| 08-07 17:50:43 | (anonymous) 0x870f…6da1 | No | BUY | 3 | 97¢ | $3 | 0x8e15da… |
| 08-07 17:50:43 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | BUY | 3 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x8e15da… |
| 08-07 08:07:54 | (anonymous) 0x9a9e…c6e9 | Yes | SELL | 21 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x2daf65… |
| 08-07 08:07:54 | Mediocre-Paradise 0xc30c…6509 | No | BUY | 6 | 97¢ | $6 | 0x2daf65… |
| 08-07 08:07:54 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 100 | 97¢ | $97 | 0x2daf65… |
| 08-07 08:07:54 | Feminine-Taco 0x58e0…b8bb | No | SELL | 277 | 97¢ | $269 | 0x2daf65… |
| 08-07 08:07:54 | Intent-Ship 0x517b…fe53 | Yes | SELL | 109 | 3¢ | $3 | 0x2daf65… |
| 08-07 08:07:54 | Terrible-Ordinary 0x0a6d…1d0a | No | BUY | 40 | 97¢ | $39 | 0x2daf65… |
| 08-07 07:40:58 | Intent-Ship 0x517b…fe53 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xbcb960… |
| 08-07 07:40:58 | (anonymous) 0x870f…6da1 | No | SELL | 3 | 97¢ | $3 | 0xbcb960… |
| 08-07 07:40:06 | (anonymous) 0x870f…6da1 | No | BUY | 3 | 98¢ | $3 | 0xfdd6af… |
| 08-07 07:40:06 | (anonymous) 0x9927…21f6 | No | SELL | 3 | 98¢ | $3 | 0xfdd6af… |
| 08-06 20:23:44 | Intent-Ship 0x517b…fe53 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x05ac8d… |
| 08-06 20:23:44 | (anonymous) 0x870f…6da1 | No | SELL | 3 | 97¢ | $3 | 0x05ac8d… |
| 08-06 20:22:50 | (anonymous) 0x870f…6da1 | No | BUY | 3 | 98¢ | $3 | 0xb27395… |