Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?
open
Total volume
$48,336
$608 in 24h
Trades
598
Unique wallets
212
Liquidity
$49,980
Latest YES mid
4¢
Latest NO mid
96¢
End date
2027-01-01
First seen
2026-05-27
last 06-15 22:07
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-2.8¢
(top1%: 1% YES on $24.1K
vs crowd: 3% YES on $39.5K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 13 | $230 | $26.0K | $25.8K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 13 | $204 | $685 | $481 |
| 🐟 Fish | 75 | $121 | $7.0K | $6.8K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 111 | $766 | $4.5K | $3.7K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 4 | $126 | $24.0K | $23.9K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 10 | $18 | $1.8K | $1.7K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 6 | $19 | $5 | +$14 |
| Median | 30 | $1 | $1.6K | $1.6K |
| Below median | 78 | $45 | $3.4K | $3.3K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 7 | $14 | $111 | $98 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 4 | $55 | $3 | +$52 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | $301 | — | +$301 |
| unranked | 71 | $742 | $7.3K | $6.5K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tinted-Consciousness 0xfea3…d227 | No | +24,577 | $23,683 | $23,683 | 30 | 06-14 21:14 |
| Avaricious-Summary 0x363c…9b0e | Yes | +8,000 | $264 | $264 | 4 | 06-04 03:56 |
| Kindly-Species 0x6104…62f1 | Yes | +7,290 | $268 | $268 | 21 | 06-14 15:08 |
| Apprehensive-Breakdown 0xcc50…4c82 | Yes | +6,099 | $225 | $225 | 5 | 06-07 22:18 |
| Expensive-Manatee 0x09c0…305a | No | +2,572 | $2,451 | $2,451 | 8 | 06-15 21:03 |
| Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | +2,526 | $115 | $137 | 11 | 06-04 09:26 |
| Inconsequential-Peanut 0xfa28…bf30 | No | +2,300 | $2,208 | $2,208 | 1 | 06-02 00:15 |
| Babyish-Latter 0x5494…85fe | Yes | +1,992 | $93 | $93 | 2 | 06-04 02:15 |
| Closed-Abundance 0x199f…b36a | Yes | +1,311 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 06-06 00:29 |
| Total-Final 0xb071…15cb | No | +737 | $700 | $700 | 1 | 05-28 20:36 |
| (anonymous) 0xfa39…977f | Yes | +633 | $25 | $126 | 8 | 06-04 02:15 |
| (anonymous) 0x2468…4826 | Yes | +613 | $23 | $23 | 3 | 06-06 06:43 |
| Obvious-Temperature 0x7efb…9df9 | No | +500 | $481 | $481 | 6 | 06-11 21:01 |
| (anonymous) 0xb708…62fb | No | +381 | $367 | $367 | 1 | 06-13 15:15 |
| Acclaimed-Teammate 0x6d71…82e5 | No | +346 | $326 | $326 | 4 | 06-01 22:13 |
| Ragged-Spiral 0xd7e4…7137 | Yes | +335 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 06-04 07:51 |
| Conscious-Alley 0x83ce…835c | No | +312 | $300 | $300 | 1 | 06-06 00:29 |
| Gleaming-Teacher 0xcf8a…085b | Yes | +290 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 06-05 19:41 |
| Giddy-Cod 0x72bd…2b64 | Yes | +230 | $8 | $8 | 4 | 06-12 18:15 |
| (anonymous) 0x41d6…01f9 | Yes | +215 | $4 | $52 | 24 | 06-07 22:39 |
| (anonymous) 0xccc9…c59e | Yes | +200 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 06-04 06:51 |
| Useless-Hydrofoil 0xb065…60cc | No | +188 | $174 | $214 | 7 | 05-28 23:59 |
| (anonymous) 0xfac0…fdd8 | Yes | +137 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-31 01:39 |
| Soggy-Culvert 0x43e8…5ba4 | Yes | +135 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-10 23:41 |
| Attentive-Leading 0xf256…8ff9 | Yes | +134 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-05 04:07 |
| Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | +133 | $5 | $5 | 3 | 06-02 17:02 |
| Breakable-Gator 0xce87…2f3f | Yes | +123 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-02 20:45 |
| Disastrous-Equation 0xb186…a946 | Yes | +100 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-10 22:43 |
| Rough-Dimple 0x18ab…bae4 | No | +100 | $92 | $868 | 3 | 06-05 04:07 |
| Pleased-Chaplain 0xc2ff…ce1c | No | +100 | $96 | $96 | 1 | 06-06 00:29 |
| Rewarding-Subset 0x7399…46d6 | No | +100 | $96 | $96 | 3 | 06-09 12:19 |
| Wrathful-Treat 0xdc62…1eb3 | No | +100 | $97 | $97 | 2 | 06-04 07:51 |
| Nonstop-Erosion 0xf1a2…f1b6 | No | +99 | $95 | $95 | 2 | 06-09 22:18 |
| Enraged-Pinstripe 0x6a79…fba6 | No | +71 | $69 | $150 | 3 | 06-14 15:08 |
| Trustworthy-Harmonica 0x5691…1a10 | No | +60 | $58 | $58 | 1 | 06-15 03:35 |
| Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | +59 | $2 | $4 | 4 | 06-02 01:33 |
| Charming-Blog 0x3c45…0b91 | No | +56 | $54 | $54 | 1 | 06-09 08:06 |
| Bright-Set 0xdb01…c4ff | No | +54 | $52 | $52 | 1 | 06-15 16:43 |
| Wry-Tactics 0x24f9…53a7 | Yes | +54 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 06-07 22:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x67dd…71c1 | No | +53 | $51 | $51 | 1 | 06-10 08:49 |
| Pungent-Leader 0x9739…159f | Yes | +52 | $-0 | $39 | 14 | 06-05 01:18 |
| (anonymous) 0xfe3f…450e | No | +52 | $50 | $68 | 4 | 06-15 22:07 |
| Plush-Porthole 0x2167…5ded | No | +52 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 06-14 09:46 |
| (anonymous) 0xfccf…12e0 | No | +51 | $49 | $49 | 2 | 06-08 15:42 |
| (anonymous) 0xd0ef…4179 | No | +50 | $48 | $48 | 1 | 06-11 21:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x718d…0e02 | No | +50 | $48 | $48 | 1 | 06-11 21:01 |
| Hideous-Register 0x458c…c504 | No | +49 | $47 | $145 | 5 | 06-05 23:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x3d3c…7892 | No | +47 | $45 | $45 | 1 | 06-08 15:42 |
| Muddy-Sherbet 0x969c…c479 | No | +46 | $45 | $45 | 1 | 06-12 16:54 |
| Sophisticated-Turn 0xbe52…32c5 | Yes | +42 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-05 11:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x75a7…fb06 | No | +30 | $29 | $29 | 1 | 06-07 13:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x4172…2706 | Yes | +26 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-06 13:41 |
| Internal-Hospitality 0x535f…9667 | Yes | +24 | $0 | $8 | 6 | 06-07 09:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | +23 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-02 08:20 |
| Downright-Mountain 0x7c86…01b8 | No | +22 | $21 | $21 | 1 | 06-12 02:25 |
| (anonymous) 0xbcd1…ee93 | No | +22 | $21 | $64 | 6 | 06-14 21:28 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-15 22:07:01 | (anonymous) 0xfe3f…450e | No | SELL | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x69d0d0… |
| 06-15 22:07:01 | (anonymous) 0xac00…b58d | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x69d0d0… |
| 06-15 21:03:52 | Ripe-Pod 0xd038…3142 | No | SELL | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0x67640e… |
| 06-15 21:03:52 | Expensive-Manatee 0x09c0…305a | No | BUY | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0x67640e… |
| 06-15 16:43:30 | (anonymous) 0xfe3f…450e | No | SELL | 8 | 97¢ | $7 | 0x5a2e87… |
| 06-15 16:43:30 | (anonymous) 0x2dde…c2fc | No | SELL | 46 | 97¢ | $45 | 0x5a2e87… |
| 06-15 16:43:30 | Bright-Set 0xdb01…c4ff | No | BUY | 54 | 97¢ | $52 | 0x5a2e87… |
| 06-15 13:15:10 | Expensive-Manatee 0x09c0…305a | No | BUY | 19 | 96¢ | $18 | 0x17dfa6… |
| 06-15 13:15:10 | Determined-Alder 0x34e9…2cad | No | SELL | 19 | 96¢ | $18 | 0x17dfa6… |
| 06-15 11:03:28 | Hateful-Railway 0xa31a…7ddd | No | SELL | 61 | 96¢ | $59 | 0xa7d891… |
| 06-15 11:03:28 | Expensive-Manatee 0x09c0…305a | No | BUY | 61 | 96¢ | $59 | 0xa7d891… |
| 06-15 05:43:10 | Expensive-Manatee 0x09c0…305a | No | BUY | 49 | 96¢ | $47 | 0x56609b… |
| 06-15 05:43:10 | Cultivated-Ravioli 0xa493…7349 | No | SELL | 49 | 96¢ | $47 | 0x56609b… |
| 06-15 04:00:28 | Empty-Debtor 0xaedd…150c | No | SELL | 44 | 97¢ | $42 | 0xdba767… |
| 06-15 04:00:28 | Hateful-Railway 0xa31a…7ddd | No | BUY | 61 | 97¢ | $59 | 0xdba767… |
| 06-15 03:35:34 | Empty-Debtor 0xaedd…150c | No | SELL | 26 | 97¢ | $25 | 0x4c173d… |
| 06-15 03:35:34 | Crafty-Cloakroom 0x16c8…cb07 | No | SELL | 34 | 97¢ | $32 | 0x4c173d… |
| 06-15 03:35:34 | Trustworthy-Harmonica 0x5691…1a10 | No | BUY | 60 | 97¢ | $58 | 0x4c173d… |
| 06-15 01:40:30 | Crafty-Cloakroom 0x16c8…cb07 | No | SELL | 49 | 97¢ | $48 | 0x5d4109… |
| 06-15 01:40:30 | Cultivated-Ravioli 0xa493…7349 | No | BUY | 49 | 97¢ | $48 | 0x5d4109… |
| 06-15 00:08:31 | (anonymous) 0xd394…587e | No | SELL | 163 | 96¢ | $157 | 0xda49eb… |
| 06-15 00:08:31 | Expensive-Manatee 0x09c0…305a | No | BUY | 163 | 96¢ | $157 | 0xda49eb… |
| 06-14 21:28:10 | (anonymous) 0xf49c…c583 | No | SELL | 53 | 97¢ | $51 | 0x3c3bda… |
| 06-14 21:28:10 | (anonymous) 0xbcd1…ee93 | No | SELL | 11 | 97¢ | $11 | 0x3c3bda… |
| 06-14 21:28:10 | (anonymous) 0x61e9…d676 | No | SELL | 52 | 97¢ | $50 | 0x3c3bda… |
| 06-14 21:28:10 | Expensive-Manatee 0x09c0…305a | No | BUY | 266 | 97¢ | $257 | 0x3c3bda… |
| 06-14 21:28:10 | Trustworthy-Kingdom 0xe5ce…7f3f | No | SELL | 100 | 97¢ | $97 | 0x3c3bda… |
| 06-14 21:28:10 | (anonymous) 0x9532…a1bf | No | SELL | 50 | 97¢ | $48 | 0x3c3bda… |
| 06-14 21:14:07 | Weak-Decongestant 0xfdb4…6e6a | No | SELL | 44 | 96¢ | $43 | 0xfe3e14… |
| 06-14 21:14:07 | Tinted-Consciousness 0xfea3…d227 | No | BUY | 44 | 96¢ | $43 | 0xfe3e14… |
| 06-14 18:33:58 | Runny-Musicmaking 0x7e5c…f217 | No | SELL | 56 | 96¢ | $54 | 0xa795b2… |
| 06-14 18:33:58 | Tinted-Consciousness 0xfea3…d227 | No | BUY | 56 | 96¢ | $54 | 0xa795b2… |
| 06-14 15:50:30 | Tinted-Consciousness 0xfea3…d227 | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x412de2… |
| 06-14 15:50:30 | (anonymous) 0xf146…8a4c | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x412de2… |
| 06-14 15:08:27 | Kindly-Species 0x6104…62f1 | Yes | BUY | 71 | 4¢ | $3 | 0xff303f… |
| 06-14 15:08:27 | Enraged-Pinstripe 0x6a79…fba6 | No | BUY | 71 | 96¢ | $69 | 0xff303f… |
| 06-14 15:06:39 | Weak-Decongestant 0xfdb4…6e6a | No | BUY | 44 | 96¢ | $43 | 0x3681a2… |
| 06-14 15:06:39 | Kindly-Species 0x6104…62f1 | Yes | BUY | 44 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x3681a2… |
| 06-14 12:36:49 | Precious-Haven 0xb8db…d130 | No | SELL | 49 | 96¢ | $47 | 0x32139f… |
| 06-14 12:36:49 | Tinted-Consciousness 0xfea3…d227 | No | BUY | 49 | 96¢ | $47 | 0x32139f… |
| 06-14 12:27:27 | Kindly-Species 0x6104…62f1 | Yes | BUY | 56 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x1c60dd… |
| 06-14 12:27:27 | Runny-Musicmaking 0x7e5c…f217 | No | BUY | 56 | 96¢ | $54 | 0x1c60dd… |
| 06-14 12:19:13 | Weekly-Sinuosity 0xdf45…4490 | No | SELL | 42 | 96¢ | $41 | 0xffc47d… |
| 06-14 12:19:13 | Tinted-Consciousness 0xfea3…d227 | No | BUY | 42 | 96¢ | $41 | 0xffc47d… |
| 06-14 10:16:33 | Truthful-Box 0xb0af…d41c | No | SELL | 28 | 96¢ | $27 | 0x5521d9… |
| 06-14 10:16:33 | Tinted-Consciousness 0xfea3…d227 | No | BUY | 28 | 96¢ | $27 | 0x5521d9… |
| 06-14 09:46:52 | Plush-Porthole 0x2167…5ded | No | BUY | 52 | 96¢ | $50 | 0x60e782… |
| 06-14 09:46:52 | Kindly-Species 0x6104…62f1 | Yes | BUY | 52 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x60e782… |
| 06-14 09:46:49 | Tinted-Consciousness 0xfea3…d227 | No | BUY | 40 | 96¢ | $38 | 0xe0cc21… |
| 06-14 09:46:49 | Pungent-Crab 0x7f41…c4f9 | No | SELL | 40 | 96¢ | $38 | 0xe0cc21… |
| 06-14 08:00:54 | French-Fuel 0x161e…af7f | No | SELL | 41 | 96¢ | $40 | 0x870cfb… |
| 06-14 08:00:54 | Tinted-Consciousness 0xfea3…d227 | No | BUY | 41 | 96¢ | $40 | 0x870cfb… |
| 06-14 06:14:30 | Truthful-Box 0xb0af…d41c | No | BUY | 28 | 96¢ | $27 | 0x43cc20… |
| 06-14 06:14:30 | Kindly-Species 0x6104…62f1 | Yes | BUY | 28 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x43cc20… |
| 06-14 05:31:06 | Precious-Haven 0xb8db…d130 | No | BUY | 49 | 96¢ | $47 | 0x735a56… |
| 06-14 05:31:06 | Kindly-Species 0x6104…62f1 | Yes | BUY | 49 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x735a56… |
| 06-14 04:19:06 | Kindly-Species 0x6104…62f1 | Yes | BUY | 42 | 4¢ | $2 | 0xfb0e23… |
| 06-14 04:19:06 | Weekly-Sinuosity 0xdf45…4490 | No | BUY | 42 | 96¢ | $41 | 0xfb0e23… |
| 06-14 04:00:43 | Kindly-Species 0x6104…62f1 | Yes | BUY | 41 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x00afcc… |
| 06-14 04:00:43 | French-Fuel 0x161e…af7f | No | BUY | 41 | 96¢ | $40 | 0x00afcc… |
| 06-14 01:44:24 | Kindly-Species 0x6104…62f1 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x7318c5… |
| 06-14 01:44:24 | Pungent-Crab 0x7f41…c4f9 | No | BUY | 40 | 96¢ | $38 | 0x7318c5… |
| 06-13 22:46:13 | (anonymous) 0x1cb7…1d85 | Yes | SELL | 13 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xfaa3d6… |
| 06-13 22:46:13 | Kindly-Species 0x6104…62f1 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xfaa3d6… |
| 06-13 19:33:37 | Tinted-Consciousness 0xfea3…d227 | No | BUY | 36 | 96¢ | $35 | 0xbd24fa… |
| 06-13 19:33:37 | Far-Off-Crop 0xebba…ab44 | No | SELL | 36 | 96¢ | $35 | 0xbd24fa… |
| 06-13 15:15:43 | (anonymous) 0xb708…62fb | No | BUY | 381 | 96¢ | $367 | 0x31a8a1… |
| 06-13 15:15:43 | Mediocre-Paradise 0xc30c…6509 | No | SELL | 381 | 96¢ | $367 | 0x31a8a1… |
| 06-13 11:32:39 | Far-Off-Crop 0xebba…ab44 | No | BUY | 36 | 97¢ | $35 | 0x07dd1f… |
| 06-13 11:32:39 | Mediocre-Paradise 0xc30c…6509 | No | SELL | 36 | 97¢ | $35 | 0x07dd1f… |
| 06-13 01:20:51 | Multicolored-Billing 0x69af…0a19 | No | SELL | 99 | 96¢ | $95 | 0x7bd261… |
| 06-13 01:20:51 | Mediocre-Paradise 0xc30c…6509 | No | BUY | 99 | 96¢ | $95 | 0x7bd261… |
| 06-12 20:47:49 | Mediocre-Paradise 0xc30c…6509 | No | BUY | 39 | 96¢ | $38 | 0x4add57… |
| 06-12 20:47:49 | Oblong-Friction 0x936e…bbc2 | No | SELL | 39 | 96¢ | $38 | 0x4add57… |
| 06-12 18:59:09 | Appropriate-Spoon 0xce74…a364 | No | SELL | 23 | 96¢ | $22 | 0x36155a… |
| 06-12 18:59:09 | Mediocre-Paradise 0xc30c…6509 | No | BUY | 23 | 96¢ | $22 | 0x36155a… |
| 06-12 18:15:51 | Giddy-Cod 0x72bd…2b64 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x8a846a… |
| 06-12 18:15:51 | Prize-Shear 0x9821…31ff | No | BUY | 18 | 97¢ | $17 | 0x8a846a… |
| 06-12 16:54:40 | Giddy-Cod 0x72bd…2b64 | Yes | BUY | 46 | 3¢ | $2 | 0x3d1bb7… |
| 06-12 16:54:40 | Muddy-Sherbet 0x969c…c479 | No | BUY | 46 | 96¢ | $45 | 0x3d1bb7… |
| 06-12 16:43:03 | Giddy-Cod 0x72bd…2b64 | Yes | BUY | 39 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x0618af… |
| 06-12 16:43:03 | Oblong-Friction 0x936e…bbc2 | No | BUY | 39 | 96¢ | $38 | 0x0618af… |
| 06-12 15:39:07 | (anonymous) 0xaca6…a7ce | Yes | SELL | 27 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xd74496… |
| 06-12 15:39:07 | Kindly-Species 0x6104…62f1 | Yes | BUY | 27 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xd74496… |
| 06-12 11:55:55 | Kindly-Species 0x6104…62f1 | Yes | BUY | 23 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x0639f5… |
| 06-12 11:55:55 | Appropriate-Spoon 0xce74…a364 | No | BUY | 23 | 96¢ | $22 | 0x0639f5… |
| 06-12 09:49:31 | Kindly-Species 0x6104…62f1 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xf1763f… |
| 06-12 09:49:31 | (anonymous) 0xfe24…6230 | No | BUY | 16 | 96¢ | $15 | 0xf1763f… |
| 06-12 09:12:55 | Mediocre-Paradise 0xc30c…6509 | No | BUY | 69 | 96¢ | $67 | 0x2f3238… |
| 06-12 09:12:55 | Broken-Athletics 0xffcb…2ae1 | No | SELL | 69 | 96¢ | $67 | 0x2f3238… |
| 06-12 05:47:40 | Mediocre-Paradise 0xc30c…6509 | No | BUY | 37 | 96¢ | $35 | 0x939ac5… |
| 06-12 05:47:40 | Trim-Spatula 0x2a77…9ca4 | No | SELL | 37 | 96¢ | $35 | 0x939ac5… |
| 06-12 04:24:15 | Concerned-Wing 0x5874…05f7 | No | SELL | 12 | 96¢ | $11 | 0xf525de… |
| 06-12 04:24:15 | Mediocre-Paradise 0xc30c…6509 | No | BUY | 12 | 96¢ | $11 | 0xf525de… |
| 06-12 02:25:45 | Mediocre-Paradise 0xc30c…6509 | No | SELL | 22 | 97¢ | $21 | 0x5ce680… |
| 06-12 02:25:45 | Downright-Mountain 0x7c86…01b8 | No | BUY | 22 | 97¢ | $21 | 0x5ce680… |
| 06-12 01:11:34 | Mediocre-Paradise 0xc30c…6509 | No | SELL | 69 | 97¢ | $67 | 0xdb797f… |
| 06-12 01:11:34 | Broken-Athletics 0xffcb…2ae1 | No | BUY | 69 | 97¢ | $67 | 0xdb797f… |
| 06-11 21:42:51 | Trim-Spatula 0x2a77…9ca4 | No | BUY | 37 | 97¢ | $35 | 0x0bf3fb… |
| 06-11 21:42:51 | Mediocre-Paradise 0xc30c…6509 | No | SELL | 37 | 97¢ | $35 | 0x0bf3fb… |