Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?
open
Total volume
$81,634
$608 in 24h
Trades
1,142
Unique wallets
356
Liquidity
$49,980
Latest YES mid
2¢
Latest NO mid
98¢
End date
2027-01-01
First seen
2026-05-27
last 07-08 08:55
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-1.9¢
(top1%: 1% YES on $24.4K
vs crowd: 3% YES on $58.1K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 19 | $294 | $27.2K | $26.9K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 20 | $278 | $14.3K | $14.0K |
| 🐟 Fish | 128 | $142 | $8.8K | $8.7K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 189 | $826 | $6.3K | $5.4K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 5 | $180 | $24.2K | $24.0K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 14 | $23 | $2.5K | $2.4K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 8 | $19 | $78 | $59 |
| Median | 35 | $1 | $1.8K | $1.8K |
| Below median | 141 | $52 | $14.8K | $14.7K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 12 | $14 | $339 | $325 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 7 | $55 | $145 | $91 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 4 | $375 | $192 | +$183 |
| unranked | 130 | $822 | $12.5K | $11.7K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tinted-Consciousness 0xfea3…d227 | No | +24,577 | $23,683 | $23,683 | 30 | 06-14 21:14 |
| Kindly-Species 0x6104…62f1 | Yes | +8,620 | $310 | $310 | 28 | 06-25 15:12 |
| Avaricious-Summary 0x363c…9b0e | Yes | +8,000 | $264 | $264 | 4 | 06-04 03:56 |
| Kind-Nanoparticle 0xad60…97f4 | No | +7,732 | $7,488 | $11,365 | 49 | 07-06 13:37 |
| Apprehensive-Breakdown 0xcc50…4c82 | Yes | +6,099 | $225 | $225 | 5 | 06-07 22:18 |
| Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | +2,802 | $112 | $226 | 27 | 07-01 07:22 |
| Plush-Robotics 0xe7ef…b402 | No | +2,054 | $2,000 | $2,000 | 1 | 07-01 07:22 |
| Inconsequential-Peanut 0xfa28…bf30 | No | +2,000 | $1,917 | $2,499 | 9 | 06-27 13:06 |
| Babyish-Latter 0x5494…85fe | Yes | +1,992 | $93 | $93 | 2 | 06-04 02:15 |
| Expensive-Manatee 0x09c0…305a | No | +1,704 | $1,610 | $3,559 | 23 | 06-25 14:59 |
| (anonymous) 0xfa39…977f | Yes | +1,633 | $46 | $147 | 11 | 07-02 23:51 |
| Closed-Abundance 0x199f…b36a | Yes | +1,311 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 06-06 00:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x37f4…f1d4 | No | +1,000 | $967 | $967 | 7 | 06-30 23:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x2468…4826 | Yes | +613 | $23 | $23 | 3 | 06-06 06:43 |
| Rough-Dimple 0x18ab…bae4 | No | +600 | $574 | $1,350 | 13 | 06-30 23:32 |
| Acclaimed-Teammate 0x6d71…82e5 | No | +542 | $515 | $515 | 6 | 06-29 08:55 |
| Obvious-Temperature 0x7efb…9df9 | No | +500 | $479 | $1,559 | 34 | 06-22 23:28 |
| Total-Final 0xb071…15cb | No | +478 | $450 | $950 | 3 | 06-27 02:44 |
| (anonymous) 0xb708…62fb | No | +381 | $367 | $367 | 1 | 06-13 15:15 |
| Ragged-Spiral 0xd7e4…7137 | Yes | +335 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 06-04 07:51 |
| Conscious-Alley 0x83ce…835c | Yes | +312 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-25 14:59 |
| Conscious-Alley 0x83ce…835c | No | +312 | $300 | $300 | 1 | 06-06 00:29 |
| Gleaming-Teacher 0xcf8a…085b | Yes | +290 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 06-05 19:41 |
| Genuine-Vintage 0x0e5c…3036 | Yes | +247 | $5 | $5 | 2 | 07-05 16:41 |
| Giddy-Cod 0x72bd…2b64 | Yes | +230 | $8 | $8 | 4 | 06-12 18:15 |
| (anonymous) 0x41d6…01f9 | Yes | +215 | $4 | $52 | 24 | 06-07 22:39 |
| (anonymous) 0xccc9…c59e | Yes | +200 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 06-04 06:51 |
| Useless-Hydrofoil 0xb065…60cc | No | +188 | $174 | $214 | 7 | 05-28 23:59 |
| (anonymous) 0xe54b…9f08 | Yes | +162 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 06-16 17:11 |
| (anonymous) 0xfac0…fdd8 | Yes | +137 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-31 01:39 |
| Soggy-Culvert 0x43e8…5ba4 | Yes | +135 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-10 23:41 |
| Attentive-Leading 0xf256…8ff9 | Yes | +134 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-05 04:07 |
| Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | +133 | $5 | $5 | 3 | 06-02 17:02 |
| Breakable-Gator 0xce87…2f3f | Yes | +123 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-02 20:45 |
| (anonymous) 0x3ead…d177 | No | +102 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 07-03 14:22 |
| Disastrous-Equation 0xb186…a946 | Yes | +100 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-10 22:43 |
| Wrathful-Treat 0xdc62…1eb3 | No | +100 | $97 | $97 | 2 | 06-04 07:51 |
| Terrible-Ordinary 0x0a6d…1d0a | No | +72 | $68 | $397 | 9 | 07-03 01:57 |
| Enraged-Pinstripe 0x6a79…fba6 | No | +71 | $69 | $150 | 3 | 06-14 15:08 |
| Turbulent-Matchmaker 0x7d23…37ce | No | +65 | $63 | $63 | 1 | 06-22 00:17 |
| Trustworthy-Harmonica 0x5691…1a10 | No | +60 | $58 | $58 | 1 | 06-15 03:35 |
| Terrible-Ordinary 0x0a6d…1d0a | Yes | +57 | $1 | $1 | 5 | 07-05 09:39 |
| (anonymous) 0x1adb…e155 | No | +55 | $53 | $53 | 1 | 06-29 08:55 |
| (anonymous) 0xdb52…7ba2 | No | +54 | $52 | $52 | 1 | 06-20 12:54 |
| Pointless-Slider 0x09e5…ebe0 | No | +54 | $52 | $52 | 1 | 06-19 16:00 |
| Pungent-Leader 0x9739…159f | Yes | +52 | $-0 | $39 | 14 | 06-05 01:18 |
| Plush-Porthole 0x2167…5ded | No | +52 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 06-14 09:46 |
| (anonymous) 0x8ba3…9a44 | No | +51 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 07-03 01:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x5246…84d9 | No | +51 | $49 | $49 | 2 | 06-29 08:55 |
| Verifiable-Macaw 0x1e1a…7690 | No | +50 | $49 | $49 | 1 | 07-02 19:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x3365…972a | Yes | +47 | $1 | $4 | 3 | 07-01 16:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x3365…972a | No | +47 | $45 | $109 | 5 | 07-01 07:34 |
| Muddy-Sherbet 0x969c…c479 | No | +46 | $45 | $45 | 1 | 06-12 16:54 |
| Sophisticated-Turn 0xbe52…32c5 | Yes | +42 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-05 11:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x1863…712c | No | +42 | $40 | $40 | 1 | 06-30 23:32 |
| (anonymous) 0xf6ee…f159 | No | +41 | $40 | $40 | 1 | 06-20 10:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x596d…6cbc | Yes | +41 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-07 10:41 |
| (anonymous) 0x0cdc…9056 | Yes | +38 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-07 15:50 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-08 08:55:05 | (anonymous) 0xbfd7…f91d | No | BUY | 9 | 98¢ | $9 | 0x764c56… |
| 07-08 08:55:05 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 22 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x764c56… |
| 07-08 08:55:05 | (anonymous) 0xb110…e0b5 | No | SELL | 31 | 97¢ | $30 | 0x764c56… |
| 07-08 01:54:02 | (anonymous) 0xbfd7…f91d | No | SELL | 6 | 98¢ | $6 | 0x035496… |
| 07-08 01:54:02 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x035496… |
| 07-08 01:54:02 | (anonymous) 0xb110…e0b5 | No | BUY | 31 | 98¢ | $30 | 0x035496… |
| 07-07 15:50:44 | Mediocre-Paradise 0xc30c…6509 | No | BUY | 38 | 97¢ | $37 | 0x96a7c6… |
| 07-07 15:50:44 | (anonymous) 0x0cdc…9056 | Yes | BUY | 38 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x96a7c6… |
| 07-07 10:41:44 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xcd0adc… |
| 07-07 10:41:44 | (anonymous) 0x596d…6cbc | Yes | BUY | 41 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xcd0adc… |
| 07-07 10:41:44 | Mediocre-Paradise 0xc30c…6509 | No | BUY | 16 | 98¢ | $16 | 0xcd0adc… |
| 07-06 13:37:44 | Phony-Suggestion 0xeb81…0753 | No | BUY | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0xef514e… |
| 07-06 13:37:44 | Kind-Nanoparticle 0xad60…97f4 | No | SELL | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0xef514e… |
| 07-06 13:31:41 | Mundane-Airbag 0xa3af…b7a6 | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0xf95e83… |
| 07-06 13:31:41 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xf95e83… |
| 07-06 13:06:05 | (anonymous) 0xc4cd…8dfc | No | BUY | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0x47ef0c… |
| 07-06 13:06:05 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x47ef0c… |
| 07-06 12:45:22 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xe8cfeb… |
| 07-06 12:45:22 | (anonymous) 0x9e5e…0c01 | No | BUY | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0xe8cfeb… |
| 07-05 16:41:07 | (anonymous) 0x73d5…db6b | No | SELL | 39 | 97¢ | $38 | 0x20b929… |
| 07-05 16:41:07 | (anonymous) 0xbfd7…f91d | No | BUY | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0x20b929… |
| 07-05 16:41:07 | Genuine-Vintage 0x0e5c…3036 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x20b929… |
| 07-05 16:41:07 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x20b929… |
| 07-05 09:39:08 | (anonymous) 0xbfd7…f91d | Yes | BUY | 4 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x85d5ea… |
| 07-05 09:39:08 | Terrible-Ordinary 0x0a6d…1d0a | Yes | BUY | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x85d5ea… |
| 07-05 09:39:08 | (anonymous) 0x73d5…db6b | No | BUY | 39 | 98¢ | $39 | 0x85d5ea… |
| 07-05 09:39:08 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x85d5ea… |
| 07-04 17:15:41 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 13 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xd4df58… |
| 07-04 17:15:41 | Frightened-Meteorology 0xf59e…2f8c | No | SELL | 39 | 97¢ | $38 | 0xd4df58… |
| 07-04 17:15:41 | Kind-Nanoparticle 0xad60…97f4 | No | BUY | 14 | 97¢ | $14 | 0xd4df58… |
| 07-04 12:25:43 | Genuine-Vintage 0x0e5c…3036 | Yes | BUY | 251 | 2¢ | $5 | 0xbdbf16… |
| 07-04 12:25:43 | Rewarding-Venison 0x9534…c6d0 | No | SELL | 49 | 98¢ | $48 | 0xbdbf16… |
| 07-04 12:25:43 | (anonymous) 0x1f32…efb8 | Yes | SELL | 300 | 2¢ | $6 | 0xbdbf16… |
| 07-04 12:15:07 | (anonymous) 0xbc2b…9c41 | No | SELL | 51 | 98¢ | $50 | 0x3fe972… |
| 07-04 12:15:07 | Rewarding-Venison 0x9534…c6d0 | No | SELL | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x3fe972… |
| 07-04 12:15:07 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x3fe972… |
| 07-04 12:15:07 | (anonymous) 0xc409…4d2a | Yes | SELL | 300 | 2¢ | $6 | 0x3fe972… |
| 07-04 12:15:07 | Kind-Nanoparticle 0xad60…97f4 | No | SELL | 235 | 98¢ | $230 | 0x3fe972… |
| 07-04 10:12:13 | Frightened-Meteorology 0xf59e…2f8c | No | BUY | 39 | 98¢ | $38 | 0xf76a69… |
| 07-04 10:12:13 | Terrible-Ordinary 0x0a6d…1d0a | Yes | BUY | 27 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xf76a69… |
| 07-04 10:12:13 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xf76a69… |
| 07-04 09:06:38 | (anonymous) 0x2617…afc5 | No | BUY | 2 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x84f108… |
| 07-04 09:06:38 | Terrible-Ordinary 0x0a6d…1d0a | Yes | BUY | 2 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x84f108… |
| 07-04 08:38:47 | Minty-Crust 0x2c38…a15a | No | SELL | 8 | 97¢ | $8 | 0xc6f745… |
| 07-04 08:38:47 | Kind-Nanoparticle 0xad60…97f4 | No | BUY | 8 | 97¢ | $8 | 0xc6f745… |
| 07-03 21:56:31 | Sturdy-Grin 0x717f…8cad | No | SELL | 40 | 97¢ | $38 | 0x6ee1b9… |
| 07-03 21:56:31 | Kind-Nanoparticle 0xad60…97f4 | No | BUY | 40 | 97¢ | $38 | 0x6ee1b9… |
| 07-03 15:30:25 | Kind-Nanoparticle 0xad60…97f4 | No | BUY | 48 | 97¢ | $46 | 0x89faf5… |
| 07-03 15:30:25 | Humongous-Settlement 0x17b7…1ecc | No | SELL | 73 | 97¢ | $70 | 0x89faf5… |
| 07-03 15:30:25 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x89faf5… |
| 07-03 14:51:37 | Kind-Nanoparticle 0xad60…97f4 | No | SELL | 40 | 98¢ | $39 | 0x8469e2… |
| 07-03 14:51:37 | Sturdy-Grin 0x717f…8cad | No | BUY | 40 | 98¢ | $39 | 0x8469e2… |
| 07-03 14:22:07 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xead8e4… |
| 07-03 14:22:07 | (anonymous) 0x7e08…d210 | No | SELL | 61 | 98¢ | $60 | 0xead8e4… |
| 07-03 14:22:07 | (anonymous) 0x3ead…d177 | No | BUY | 102 | 98¢ | $100 | 0xead8e4… |
| 07-03 14:22:07 | Kind-Nanoparticle 0xad60…97f4 | No | SELL | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0xead8e4… |
| 07-03 14:22:07 | Terrible-Ordinary 0x0a6d…1d0a | Yes | BUY | 6 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xead8e4… |
| 07-03 12:50:41 | (anonymous) 0x5533…51ba | Yes | SELL | 0 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x480de7… |
| 07-03 12:50:41 | (anonymous) 0x9c0c…d6ed | No | SELL | 700 | 97¢ | $678 | 0x480de7… |
| 07-03 12:50:41 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x480de7… |
| 07-03 12:50:41 | Kind-Nanoparticle 0xad60…97f4 | No | BUY | 175 | 97¢ | $169 | 0x480de7… |
| 07-03 01:57:16 | (anonymous) 0x8ba3…9a44 | No | BUY | 51 | 98¢ | $50 | 0x9e6823… |
| 07-03 01:57:16 | Terrible-Ordinary 0x0a6d…1d0a | No | SELL | 39 | 98¢ | $38 | 0x9e6823… |
| 07-03 01:57:16 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x9e6823… |
| 07-03 00:36:22 | Putrid-Vaulting 0xc2bb…1ed0 | No | SELL | 12 | 97¢ | $12 | 0xf7d666… |
| 07-03 00:36:22 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xf7d666… |
| 07-02 23:51:46 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xc1f17f… |
| 07-02 23:51:46 | Mediocre-Paradise 0xc30c…6509 | No | SELL | 457 | 97¢ | $444 | 0xc1f17f… |
| 07-02 23:51:46 | Kind-Nanoparticle 0xad60…97f4 | No | SELL | 715 | 98¢ | $700 | 0xc1f17f… |
| 07-02 23:51:46 | (anonymous) 0xfa39…977f | Yes | BUY | 163 | 2¢ | $3 | 0xc1f17f… |
| 07-02 23:51:46 | All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6 | Yes | SELL | 1,343 | 2¢ | $31 | 0xc1f17f… |
| 07-02 19:59:55 | Verifiable-Macaw 0x1e1a…7690 | No | BUY | 50 | 97¢ | $49 | 0x2cf2e5… |
| 07-02 19:59:55 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x2cf2e5… |
| 07-02 19:59:55 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 33 | 97¢ | $32 | 0x2cf2e5… |
| 07-02 18:35:43 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 12 | 97¢ | $12 | 0xe081be… |
| 07-02 18:35:43 | Putrid-Vaulting 0xc2bb…1ed0 | No | BUY | 12 | 97¢ | $12 | 0xe081be… |
| 07-02 17:27:10 | Trim-Pumpkinseed-Profit 0x8b33…b817 | No | SELL | 15 | 97¢ | $14 | 0x104aea… |
| 07-02 17:27:10 | (anonymous) 0x5533…51ba | Yes | SELL | 15 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x104aea… |
| 07-02 13:26:29 | Trim-Pumpkinseed-Profit 0x8b33…b817 | No | BUY | 15 | 97¢ | $14 | 0x925a3e… |
| 07-02 13:26:29 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 15 | 97¢ | $14 | 0x925a3e… |
| 07-02 12:43:55 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 12 | 97¢ | $12 | 0x573305… |
| 07-02 12:43:55 | (anonymous) 0x08f2…99ac | No | BUY | 12 | 97¢ | $12 | 0x573305… |
| 07-02 12:34:58 | (anonymous) 0xb4d9…91d5 | No | BUY | 12 | 97¢ | $12 | 0xea9f4b… |
| 07-02 12:34:58 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 3 | 97¢ | $3 | 0xea9f4b… |
| 07-02 12:34:58 | Terrible-Ordinary 0x0a6d…1d0a | No | SELL | 9 | 97¢ | $9 | 0xea9f4b… |
| 07-02 11:56:26 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 6 | 97¢ | $6 | 0xdc472b… |
| 07-02 11:56:26 | (anonymous) 0xa3ea…99a3 | No | BUY | 6 | 97¢ | $6 | 0xdc472b… |
| 07-02 11:07:14 | (anonymous) 0xfe89…573d | No | BUY | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0x015bb5… |
| 07-02 11:07:14 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0x015bb5… |
| 07-02 05:50:56 | (anonymous) 0x3392…2abe | No | BUY | 9 | 97¢ | $9 | 0xcd6229… |
| 07-02 05:50:56 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 9 | 97¢ | $9 | 0xcd6229… |
| 07-01 16:19:38 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 100 | 97¢ | $97 | 0xd84464… |
| 07-01 16:19:38 | (anonymous) 0x624b…56f8 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xd84464… |
| 07-01 16:19:38 | (anonymous) 0x3365…972a | Yes | SELL | 38 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xd84464… |
| 07-01 16:19:38 | (anonymous) 0xfd7c…a8f0 | No | SELL | 600 | 97¢ | $580 | 0xd84464… |
| 07-01 16:19:38 | Mediocre-Paradise 0xc30c…6509 | No | BUY | 457 | 97¢ | $442 | 0xd84464… |
| 07-01 15:27:28 | (anonymous) 0x9c0c…d6ed | No | SELL | 150 | 97¢ | $146 | 0x180850… |
| 07-01 15:27:28 | (anonymous) 0x5533…51ba | Yes | SELL | 46 | 3¢ | $2 | 0x180850… |
| 07-01 15:27:28 | (anonymous) 0x3365…972a | Yes | SELL | 15 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x180850… |
| 07-01 15:27:28 | (anonymous) 0x624b…56f8 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x180850… |