Realized P&L
-$732
Unrealized P&L
+$216
Hit rate
55.9%
Resolved
1,478
Trades
60,968
lifetime
Volume
$2.93M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$48
Open exposure
$23.4K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 09-17 12:56
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 145 days
Categories
Other
46% 57% -$70
Sports
24% 57% -$75
Crypto
14% 67% -$391
Politics
13% 53% -$163
Tech
2% 46% -$81
Pop-Culture
1% 100% +$49
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
2 active days in 12wk • peak 120 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -21,650 -$21,374 98¢ $-21228 +$147 09-17 12:56
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No -200 -$170 97¢ $-193 -$23 05-29 15:34
2026 Balance of Power: Other No -100 -$99 100¢ $-100 -$1 04-30 12:26
Will the Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL league championship? No -100 -$99 100¢ $-100 -$1 06-13 20:14
Will the Las Vegas Raiders win the 2027 NFL league championship? No -100 -$99 100¢ $-100 -$1 05-12 01:07
Will the Washington Commanders win the 2027 NFL league championship? No -100 -$98 100¢ $-100 -$1 06-10 09:59
Will the Cleveland Browns win the 2027 NFL league championship? No -100 -$98 99¢ $-99 -$1 05-11 07:39
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026? No -100 -$96 100¢ $-99 -$3 06-09 18:28
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026? No -99 -$97 100¢ $-99 -$2 06-12 11:13
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship? No -100 -$97 98¢ $-98 -$1 05-30 19:03
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No -100 -$90 97¢ $-97 -$7 06-11 14:55
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship? No -96 -$91 100¢ $-96 -$5 06-02 15:27
Will the Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL league championship? No -99 -$95 96¢ $-95 +$0 05-21 06:27
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? No -100 -$97 94¢ $-94 +$3 06-10 16:59
Will the Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL league championship? No -98 -$95 95¢ $-93 +$2 06-16 15:24
Ebola pandemic in 2026? No +96 $86 97¢ $93 +$7 05-31 10:54
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship? No -99 -$96 94¢ $-93 +$3 06-10 11:50
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? No -91 -$88 99¢ $-90 -$2 06-12 02:14
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship? No -100 -$94 90¢ $-90 +$5 06-01 16:31
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship? No -99 -$94 86¢ $-86 +$8 05-13 11:46
Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship? No -71 -$69 98¢ $-70 -$1 06-11 06:35
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? No -40 -$37 100¢ $-39 -$3 06-10 18:03
Will the Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL league championship? No -35 -$34 100¢ $-35 $0 07-14 20:44
Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship? No -19 -$18 100¢ $-19 -$1 05-19 04:52
Will Jensen Huang be richest person on December 31? No -16 -$16 100¢ $-16 $0 05-03 10:03
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026? No +14 $13 99¢ $13 $0 06-11 17:47
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? No +10 $9 98¢ $10 +$1 06-10 13:13
Will Alberta join the US? No +9 $6 99¢ $8 +$2 06-09 05:15
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series? No -100 -$96 3¢ $-3 +$93 05-03 09:20
Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +3 $3 100¢ $3 $0 05-28 08:47