Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?
open
Total volume
$174,423
$100 in 24h
Trades
1,530
Unique wallets
413
Liquidity
$36,633
Latest YES mid
4¢
Latest NO mid
96¢
End date
2027-01-01
First seen
2026-05-27
last 07-22 11:47
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-6.6¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $5.5K
vs crowd: 7% YES on $109.8K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 28 | $340 | $32.7K | $32.4K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 28 | $744 | $29.3K | $28.6K |
| 🐟 Fish | 187 | $2.1K | $31.4K | $29.3K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 170 | $4.2K | $9.0K | $4.8K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 7 | $6 | $5.5K | $5.5K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 23 | $499 | $28.1K | $27.6K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 13 | $618 | $573 | +$45 |
| Median | 46 | $40 | $3.8K | $3.7K |
| Below median | 120 | $352 | $4.9K | $4.5K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 22 | — | $4.2K | $4.2K |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 23 | $14 | $7.6K | $7.5K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 7 | $378 | $11.6K | $11.2K |
| unranked | 152 | $5.5K | $36.3K | $30.8K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pleasant-Councilor 0x42fa…1fc7 | No | +12,870 | $12,226 | $12,226 | 16 | 07-22 11:47 |
| (anonymous) 0x0366…a001 | Yes | +10,379 | $593 | $593 | 2 | 07-21 03:39 |
| Apprehensive-Breakdown 0xcc50…4c82 | No | +9,296 | $8,445 | $8,445 | 4 | 06-01 02:57 |
| Polished-Macaroon 0x3362…0303 | Yes | +8,434 | $848 | $848 | 10 | 06-26 05:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x27b3…01bb | No | +8,000 | $7,430 | $7,430 | 15 | 07-09 23:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x98fa…e7ed | Yes | +7,783 | $701 | $701 | 7 | 06-03 11:45 |
| Talkative-Typhoon-Feature 0x4fdb…69fa | Yes | +6,850 | $631 | $631 | 6 | 06-04 05:08 |
| Worn-Tanker 0xc97b…47e5 | No | +6,606 | $6,176 | $12,624 | 20 | 07-20 07:09 |
| Flaky-Lift 0xd0f1…6712 | No | +5,740 | $5,215 | $5,215 | 31 | 06-20 08:16 |
| Serene-Decision 0x8b4b…541b | No | +5,015 | $4,563 | $4,563 | 19 | 07-01 11:45 |
| Capital-Endoderm 0xf27d…e6d3 | Yes | +4,756 | $455 | $455 | 13 | 06-13 13:56 |
| Distorted-Dude 0xe36f…cd91 | No | +3,798 | $3,418 | $3,418 | 14 | 06-04 03:59 |
| Jittery-Crayfish 0x56ff…96ba | Yes | +3,420 | $60 | $1,418 | 25 | 07-20 09:42 |
| Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | Yes | +2,947 | $246 | $246 | 52 | 07-20 09:20 |
| Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | No | +2,360 | $2,143 | $2,143 | 51 | 07-20 07:09 |
| Snoopy-Lanai 0x362f…f6b9 | No | +2,317 | $2,189 | $2,189 | 21 | 07-04 04:44 |
| Unsteady-Enjoyment 0x4b2d…f0d4 | No | +2,247 | $2,000 | $2,000 | 1 | 06-05 23:56 |
| Beneficial-Employ 0x07d4…f94f | No | +2,143 | $2,036 | $2,036 | 1 | 07-02 16:16 |
| (anonymous) 0x5927…4d98 | Yes | +2,000 | $100 | $100 | 6 | 07-20 09:20 |
| (anonymous) 0xe120…283e | No | +2,000 | $1,880 | $1,880 | 1 | 07-20 07:09 |
| Motionless-Commonsense 0x122c…821f | Yes | +1,984 | $217 | $217 | 10 | 06-12 09:44 |
| Knowledgeable-Twist 0xb811…5434 | Yes | +1,904 | $175 | $175 | 2 | 07-04 08:22 |
| Apprehensive-Breakdown 0xcc50…4c82 | Yes | +1,601 | $118 | $118 | 6 | 06-28 19:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x1876…1ad5 | Yes | +1,577 | $142 | $142 | 1 | 06-18 15:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x5d45…71a1 | No | +1,143 | $1,035 | $1,035 | 4 | 06-08 21:10 |
| (anonymous) 0xfa39…977f | Yes | +1,086 | $43 | $43 | 7 | 07-22 05:26 |
| Palatable-Opposite 0x7458…fecf | No | +1,066 | $1,000 | $1,000 | 1 | 06-30 03:42 |
| Red-Abnormality 0x3c10…f367 | Yes | +1,047 | $94 | $94 | 5 | 06-04 09:00 |
| Warm-Habitat 0x0049…6034 | No | +1,000 | $950 | $950 | 1 | 07-19 03:20 |
| Pastel-Method 0x606d…1aaf | No | +720 | $662 | $662 | 1 | 06-25 09:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x4035…91aa | No | +700 | $619 | $619 | 1 | 06-07 00:27 |
| Experienced-Carpeting 0xbdcb…e811 | No | +663 | $603 | $603 | 1 | 06-04 05:08 |
| Smart-Average 0x161a…b515 | No | +558 | $500 | $500 | 3 | 06-10 14:23 |
| Harmonious-Mozzarella 0xeda7…e3d5 | No | +550 | $500 | $500 | 1 | 06-13 11:32 |
| Tedious-Preface 0x5630…708e | Yes | +338 | $27 | $27 | 6 | 06-27 10:52 |
| Glistening-Peertopeer 0x26e0…36f1 | Yes | +333 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 06-25 20:06 |
| (anonymous) 0x92c1…0586 | No | +321 | $289 | $289 | 1 | 06-12 09:44 |
| Corrupt-Lark 0x74b4…6bea | No | +258 | $216 | $5,317 | 2 | 07-03 07:26 |
| Tidy-Epithelium 0xc9a7…e76c | Yes | +256 | $14 | $14 | 9 | 07-03 19:25 |
| (anonymous) 0x7463…3bfa | Yes | +222 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 07-01 06:13 |
| Jealous-Copywriter 0x226a…6411 | No | +217 | $198 | $611 | 11 | 07-18 18:53 |
| Internal-Hospitality 0x535f…9667 | Yes | +205 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 06-13 13:56 |
| (anonymous) 0xe969…c813 | No | +202 | $186 | $186 | 1 | 07-01 11:15 |
| Teeming-Min 0x198a…3ca3 | No | +200 | $190 | $190 | 2 | 07-10 18:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x659c…d142 | Yes | +200 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 06-13 13:56 |
| (anonymous) 0xec6d…a0b7 | No | +198 | $178 | $178 | 7 | 06-17 18:06 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +190 | $174 | $223 | 4 | 06-11 22:20 |
| Definitive-Quart 0x689a…92f1 | Yes | +166 | $13 | $13 | 5 | 06-24 12:20 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-22 11:47:04 | Pleasant-Councilor 0x42fa…1fc7 | No | BUY | 2 | 95¢ | $2 | 0x47945b… |
| 07-22 11:47:04 | Homely-Highrise-Keystone 0xd2d6…e0c8 | No | SELL | 2 | 95¢ | $2 | 0x47945b… |
| 07-22 09:14:34 | Pleasant-Councilor 0x42fa…1fc7 | No | BUY | 8 | 95¢ | $7 | 0xdc20a7… |
| 07-22 09:14:34 | Unwritten-Socks 0x7e0b…23f2 | No | SELL | 8 | 95¢ | $7 | 0xdc20a7… |
| 07-22 08:56:33 | Pleasant-Councilor 0x42fa…1fc7 | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0xc6054f… |
| 07-22 08:56:33 | Helpful-Leaker 0xb2c9…29d1 | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0xc6054f… |
| 07-22 08:36:51 | Pleasant-Councilor 0x42fa…1fc7 | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x592ab1… |
| 07-22 08:36:51 | (anonymous) 0x1333…865d | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x592ab1… |
| 07-22 06:13:19 | Euphoric-Caffeine 0xfd3b…55dc | No | SELL | 6 | 95¢ | $6 | 0xb5ca54… |
| 07-22 06:13:19 | Pleasant-Councilor 0x42fa…1fc7 | No | BUY | 6 | 95¢ | $6 | 0xb5ca54… |
| 07-22 05:27:06 | Pleasant-Councilor 0x42fa…1fc7 | No | BUY | 3,229 | 95¢ | $3,068 | 0xc9b67d… |
| 07-22 05:27:06 | (anonymous) 0x9b7f…75b8 | No | SELL | 3,229 | 95¢ | $3,068 | 0xc9b67d… |
| 07-22 05:26:58 | (anonymous) 0x9fb8…68f8 | No | SELL | 200 | 96¢ | $192 | 0x03f598… |
| 07-22 05:26:58 | (anonymous) 0xa38a…3b2f | No | SELL | 300 | 96¢ | $288 | 0x03f598… |
| 07-22 05:26:58 | (anonymous) 0x23b0…a7c8 | No | SELL | 200 | 96¢ | $192 | 0x03f598… |
| 07-22 05:26:58 | (anonymous) 0xd268…755f | No | SELL | 200 | 96¢ | $192 | 0x03f598… |
| 07-22 05:26:58 | (anonymous) 0x1bcb…ec5d | No | SELL | 300 | 96¢ | $288 | 0x03f598… |
| 07-22 05:26:58 | (anonymous) 0x7ea8…060b | No | SELL | 200 | 96¢ | $192 | 0x03f598… |
| 07-22 05:26:58 | (anonymous) 0x9b7f…75b8 | No | BUY | 3,229 | 96¢ | $3,100 | 0x03f598… |
| 07-22 05:26:58 | (anonymous) 0x8685…7ad9 | No | SELL | 300 | 96¢ | $288 | 0x03f598… |
| 07-22 05:26:58 | (anonymous) 0xe9dc…4e23 | No | SELL | 123 | 96¢ | $118 | 0x03f598… |
| 07-22 05:26:58 | Infatuated-Bafflement 0x8f25…0341 | No | SELL | 350 | 96¢ | $336 | 0x03f598… |
| 07-22 05:26:58 | (anonymous) 0xfa39…977f | Yes | BUY | 1,052 | 4¢ | $42 | 0x03f598… |
| 07-22 05:26:58 | Juvenile-Ballet 0xf8b0…ac2a | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x03f598… |
| 07-22 04:05:58 | (anonymous) 0xfa39…977f | Yes | BUY | 8 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x613b2e… |
| 07-22 04:05:58 | Unwritten-Socks 0x7e0b…23f2 | No | BUY | 8 | 96¢ | $7 | 0x613b2e… |
| 07-22 02:30:01 | Suburban-Mussel 0x1950…81a3 | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $4 | 0x84de20… |
| 07-22 02:30:01 | Pleasant-Councilor 0x42fa…1fc7 | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $4 | 0x84de20… |
| 07-22 02:10:24 | (anonymous) 0xfa39…977f | Yes | BUY | 6 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xfb5265… |
| 07-22 02:10:24 | Euphoric-Caffeine 0xfd3b…55dc | No | BUY | 6 | 96¢ | $6 | 0xfb5265… |
| 07-22 00:53:34 | (anonymous) 0xfa39…977f | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x7c2db8… |
| 07-22 00:53:34 | Helpful-Leaker 0xb2c9…29d1 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x7c2db8… |
| 07-22 00:41:52 | Pleasant-Councilor 0x42fa…1fc7 | No | BUY | 8 | 95¢ | $8 | 0x6a14ce… |
| 07-22 00:41:52 | Dishonest-Pinworm 0x2372…6ab0 | No | SELL | 8 | 95¢ | $8 | 0x6a14ce… |
| 07-21 22:24:24 | (anonymous) 0xfa39…977f | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x8ba77b… |
| 07-21 22:24:24 | Suburban-Mussel 0x1950…81a3 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $4 | 0x8ba77b… |
| 07-21 05:05:10 | Pleasant-Councilor 0x42fa…1fc7 | No | BUY | 20 | 95¢ | $19 | 0x688bac… |
| 07-21 05:05:10 | (anonymous) 0x22e0…3adb | Yes | BUY | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x688bac… |
| 07-21 03:39:39 | (anonymous) 0x0366…a001 | Yes | BUY | 3,000 | 5¢ | $150 | 0x6fa044… |
| 07-21 03:39:39 | Pleasant-Councilor 0x42fa…1fc7 | No | BUY | 3,000 | 95¢ | $2,850 | 0x6fa044… |
| 07-21 00:04:12 | Pleasant-Councilor 0x42fa…1fc7 | No | BUY | 40 | 95¢ | $38 | 0x3e7c60… |
| 07-21 00:04:12 | Violent-Signature 0xe9fb…dbd0 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x3e7c60… |
| 07-20 19:16:39 | Ill-Variant 0xb9ad…4400 | No | SELL | 6 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x5b39e7… |
| 07-20 19:16:39 | Pleasant-Councilor 0x42fa…1fc7 | No | BUY | 6 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x5b39e7… |
| 07-20 18:34:22 | Pleasant-Councilor 0x42fa…1fc7 | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x6a140d… |
| 07-20 18:34:22 | Enormous-Fluke 0x23cc…4f5a | No | SELL | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x6a140d… |
| 07-20 17:44:54 | Alienated-Horst 0xf887…6b54 | No | SELL | 1,300 | 95¢ | $1,235 | 0x3a1108… |
| 07-20 17:44:54 | Pleasant-Councilor 0x42fa…1fc7 | No | BUY | 1,300 | 95¢ | $1,235 | 0x3a1108… |
| 07-20 15:19:27 | (anonymous) 0xfa39…977f | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x9b04ba… |
| 07-20 15:19:27 | (anonymous) 0xfa39…977f | Yes | BUY | 6 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x9a0a96… |
| 07-20 15:19:27 | (anonymous) 0x1333…865d | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x9b04ba… |
| 07-20 15:19:27 | Ill-Variant 0xb9ad…4400 | No | BUY | 6 | 96¢ | $6 | 0x9a0a96… |
| 07-20 09:42:58 | Pleasant-Councilor 0x42fa…1fc7 | No | BUY | 4,046 | 95¢ | $3,843 | 0xa9b156… |
| 07-20 09:42:58 | Jittery-Crayfish 0x56ff…96ba | Yes | BUY | 4,046 | 5¢ | $202 | 0xa9b156… |
| 07-20 09:20:37 | Empty-Debtor 0xaedd…150c | No | SELL | 100 | 95¢ | $95 | 0x496549… |
| 07-20 09:20:37 | Pleasant-Councilor 0x42fa…1fc7 | No | BUY | 1,189 | 95¢ | $1,130 | 0x496549… |
| 07-20 09:20:37 | Improbable-Egghead 0xd7dd…c7f8 | No | SELL | 21 | 95¢ | $20 | 0x496549… |
| 07-20 09:20:37 | (anonymous) 0x5927…4d98 | Yes | BUY | 878 | 5¢ | $44 | 0x496549… |
| 07-20 09:20:37 | (anonymous) 0xd1ef…f23c | No | SELL | 90 | 95¢ | $86 | 0x496549… |
| 07-20 09:20:37 | Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | Yes | BUY | 100 | 5¢ | $5 | 0x496549… |
| 07-20 07:09:34 | (anonymous) 0xff73…3b7f | No | BUY | 50 | 94¢ | $47 | 0x4b78c8… |
| 07-20 07:09:34 | (anonymous) 0x0366…a001 | Yes | BUY | 7,379 | 6¢ | $443 | 0x4b78c8… |
| 07-20 07:09:34 | Empty-Debtor 0xaedd…150c | No | BUY | 100 | 94¢ | $94 | 0x4b78c8… |
| 07-20 07:09:34 | International-Freezer 0x7580…853d | Yes | SELL | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x4b78c8… |
| 07-20 07:09:34 | (anonymous) 0x58d9…23f3 | No | BUY | 27 | 94¢ | $25 | 0x4b78c8… |
| 07-20 07:09:34 | (anonymous) 0xc2ef…543c | No | BUY | 49 | 94¢ | $46 | 0x4b78c8… |
| 07-20 07:09:34 | Improbable-Egghead 0xd7dd…c7f8 | No | BUY | 21 | 94¢ | $20 | 0x4b78c8… |
| 07-20 07:09:34 | (anonymous) 0xab3b…59da | Yes | SELL | 91 | 6¢ | $5 | 0x4b78c8… |
| 07-20 07:09:34 | (anonymous) 0xe120…283e | No | BUY | 2,000 | 94¢ | $1,880 | 0x4b78c8… |
| 07-20 07:09:34 | (anonymous) 0x9516…d3e9 | No | BUY | 57 | 94¢ | $54 | 0x4b78c8… |
| 07-20 07:09:34 | Sugary-Trapezoid 0x52e7…e373 | Yes | SELL | 750 | 6¢ | $45 | 0x4b78c8… |
| 07-20 07:09:34 | (anonymous) 0x393d…8fae | Yes | SELL | 182 | 6¢ | $11 | 0x4b78c8… |
| 07-20 07:09:34 | (anonymous) 0x5945…98b0 | No | BUY | 43 | 94¢ | $40 | 0x4b78c8… |
| 07-20 07:09:34 | (anonymous) 0x3074…e225 | No | BUY | 43 | 94¢ | $40 | 0x4b78c8… |
| 07-20 07:09:34 | Worn-Tanker 0xc97b…47e5 | No | BUY | 3,848 | 94¢ | $3,618 | 0x4b78c8… |
| 07-20 07:09:34 | Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | No | BUY | 113 | 94¢ | $106 | 0x4b78c8… |
| 07-20 06:50:27 | Worn-Tanker 0xc97b…47e5 | No | BUY | 34 | 94¢ | $32 | 0x2df0d3… |
| 07-20 06:50:27 | (anonymous) 0xe89e…2db6 | No | SELL | 34 | 94¢ | $32 | 0x2df0d3… |
| 07-20 06:45:19 | Worn-Tanker 0xc97b…47e5 | No | BUY | 9 | 94¢ | $8 | 0xe8bb52… |
| 07-20 06:45:19 | Noteworthy-Crepe 0x579b…d85b | No | SELL | 9 | 94¢ | $8 | 0xe8bb52… |
| 07-20 06:35:52 | Dramatic-Slipper 0xabb0…5e59 | No | SELL | 6 | 94¢ | $6 | 0x5aa527… |
| 07-20 06:35:52 | Worn-Tanker 0xc97b…47e5 | No | BUY | 6 | 94¢ | $6 | 0x5aa527… |
| 07-20 02:41:25 | (anonymous) 0x5927…4d98 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xd1331c… |
| 07-20 02:41:25 | Noteworthy-Crepe 0x579b…d85b | No | BUY | 9 | 95¢ | $8 | 0xd1331c… |
| 07-20 01:33:45 | (anonymous) 0x5927…4d98 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x9900fe… |
| 07-20 01:33:45 | Dramatic-Slipper 0xabb0…5e59 | No | BUY | 6 | 95¢ | $6 | 0x9900fe… |
| 07-19 17:16:16 | (anonymous) 0x2139…9df0 | No | SELL | 20 | 94¢ | $19 | 0x2abf3e… |
| 07-19 17:16:16 | Worn-Tanker 0xc97b…47e5 | No | BUY | 20 | 94¢ | $19 | 0x2abf3e… |
| 07-19 08:59:55 | Worn-Tanker 0xc97b…47e5 | No | BUY | 2,654 | 94¢ | $2,494 | 0x5f7727… |
| 07-19 08:59:55 | Motherly-Clone 0xe8d6…d5db | No | SELL | 2,654 | 94¢ | $2,494 | 0x5f7727… |
| 07-19 05:14:15 | (anonymous) 0x814b…a7b6 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 5¢ | $5 | 0x052428… |
| 07-19 05:14:15 | (anonymous) 0x5927…4d98 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 5¢ | $5 | 0x052428… |
| 07-19 03:20:27 | (anonymous) 0x5927…4d98 | Yes | BUY | 1,000 | 5¢ | $50 | 0x0346eb… |
| 07-19 03:20:27 | Warm-Habitat 0x0049…6034 | No | BUY | 1,000 | 95¢ | $950 | 0x0346eb… |
| 07-18 20:28:43 | (anonymous) 0x5927…4d98 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x8ba9f1… |
| 07-18 20:28:43 | (anonymous) 0x8491…0089 | Yes | SELL | 997 | 5¢ | $50 | 0x8ba9f1… |
| 07-18 20:28:43 | Worn-Tanker 0xc97b…47e5 | No | SELL | 990 | 95¢ | $940 | 0x8ba9f1… |
| 07-18 19:05:33 | Sugary-Trapezoid 0x52e7…e373 | Yes | SELL | 750 | 5¢ | $38 | 0x7453fd… |
| 07-18 19:05:33 | Worn-Tanker 0xc97b…47e5 | No | SELL | 750 | 95¢ | $712 | 0x7453fd… |
| 07-18 19:04:45 | Sugary-Trapezoid 0x52e7…e373 | Yes | SELL | 1,500 | 5¢ | $75 | 0xeb52d9… |