Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?
open
Total volume
$209,112
$100 in 24h
Trades
2,466
Unique wallets
579
Liquidity
$36,633
Latest YES mid
4¢
Latest NO mid
96¢
End date
2027-01-01
First seen
2026-05-27
last 08-11 18:33
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-7.9¢
(top1%: 1% YES on $5.6K
vs crowd: 9% YES on $125.8K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 36 | $1.2K | $37.4K | $36.2K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 39 | $2.0K | $29.5K | $27.4K |
| 🐟 Fish | 225 | $3.2K | $39.6K | $36.3K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 279 | $4.6K | $8.2K | $3.6K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 10 | $54 | $5.6K | $5.5K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 26 | $1.7K | $29.4K | $27.7K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 14 | $1.3K | $568 | +$690 |
| Median | 89 | $44 | $4.8K | $4.8K |
| Below median | 163 | $326 | $5.6K | $5.3K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 22 | $26 | $4.7K | $4.6K |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 33 | $51 | $10.1K | $10.1K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 12 | $1.3K | $11.8K | $10.4K |
| unranked | 210 | $6.4K | $42.1K | $35.8K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Genuine-Vintage 0x0e5c…3036 | Yes | +31,655 | $62 | $2,300 | 85 | 08-06 12:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x0366…a001 | Yes | +24,962 | $1,202 | $1,202 | 13 | 07-29 22:16 |
| Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4 | Yes | +14,237 | $568 | $568 | 83 | 07-31 08:29 |
| Pleasant-Councilor 0x42fa…1fc7 | No | +12,941 | $12,294 | $12,294 | 19 | 07-23 17:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x5927…4d98 | Yes | +11,610 | $450 | $450 | 10 | 07-31 08:29 |
| Zealous-Dogwood 0x1e5a…935f | Yes | +9,805 | $385 | $385 | 4 | 08-04 16:53 |
| Apprehensive-Breakdown 0xcc50…4c82 | No | +9,296 | $8,445 | $8,445 | 4 | 06-01 02:57 |
| Apprehensive-Breakdown 0xcc50…4c82 | Yes | +9,078 | $348 | $348 | 11 | 08-11 18:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x27b3…01bb | No | +8,000 | $7,430 | $7,430 | 15 | 07-09 23:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x98fa…e7ed | Yes | +7,783 | $701 | $701 | 7 | 06-03 11:45 |
| Talkative-Typhoon-Feature 0x4fdb…69fa | Yes | +6,850 | $631 | $631 | 6 | 06-04 05:08 |
| Worn-Tanker 0xc97b…47e5 | No | +6,606 | $6,176 | $12,624 | 20 | 07-20 07:09 |
| Flaky-Lift 0xd0f1…6712 | No | +5,740 | $5,215 | $5,215 | 31 | 06-20 08:16 |
| Serene-Decision 0x8b4b…541b | No | +5,073 | $4,619 | $4,619 | 22 | 08-06 16:24 |
| Distorted-Dude 0xe36f…cd91 | No | +3,798 | $3,418 | $3,418 | 14 | 06-04 03:59 |
| Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | Yes | +3,547 | $267 | $267 | 70 | 08-09 08:14 |
| Jittery-Crayfish 0x56ff…96ba | Yes | +3,420 | $60 | $1,418 | 25 | 07-20 09:42 |
| Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | No | +2,595 | $2,368 | $2,368 | 52 | 08-04 16:53 |
| Unsteady-Enjoyment 0x4b2d…f0d4 | No | +2,247 | $2,000 | $2,000 | 1 | 06-05 23:56 |
| Beneficial-Employ 0x07d4…f94f | No | +2,143 | $2,036 | $2,036 | 1 | 07-02 16:16 |
| (anonymous) 0x31b8…f929 | No | +2,064 | $1,986 | $1,986 | 34 | 08-04 16:53 |
| (anonymous) 0x31b8…f929 | Yes | +2,064 | $85 | $85 | 57 | 08-06 12:50 |
| Motionless-Commonsense 0x122c…821f | Yes | +1,984 | $217 | $217 | 10 | 06-12 09:44 |
| Knowledgeable-Twist 0xb811…5434 | Yes | +1,904 | $175 | $175 | 2 | 07-04 08:22 |
| Terrible-Ordinary 0x0a6d…1d0a | Yes | +1,603 | $39 | $42 | 5 | 08-04 02:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x1876…1ad5 | Yes | +1,577 | $142 | $142 | 1 | 06-18 15:58 |
| (anonymous) 0xf705…3ca7 | Yes | +1,172 | $48 | $48 | 1 | 07-31 09:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x5d45…71a1 | No | +1,143 | $1,035 | $1,035 | 4 | 06-08 21:10 |
| Palatable-Opposite 0x7458…fecf | No | +1,066 | $1,000 | $1,000 | 1 | 06-30 03:42 |
| Red-Abnormality 0x3c10…f367 | Yes | +1,047 | $94 | $94 | 5 | 06-04 09:00 |
| Warm-Habitat 0x0049…6034 | No | +1,000 | $950 | $950 | 1 | 07-19 03:20 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +800 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 07-31 08:29 |
| Tidy-Epithelium 0xc9a7…e76c | Yes | +756 | $31 | $31 | 11 | 07-23 17:30 |
| Pastel-Method 0x606d…1aaf | No | +720 | $662 | $662 | 1 | 06-25 09:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x4035…91aa | No | +700 | $619 | $619 | 1 | 06-07 00:27 |
| Genuine-Vintage 0x0e5c…3036 | No | +700 | $671 | $671 | 5 | 07-28 13:42 |
| Experienced-Carpeting 0xbdcb…e811 | No | +663 | $603 | $603 | 1 | 06-04 05:08 |
| Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | Yes | +586 | $16 | $16 | 12 | 07-31 08:29 |
| Smart-Average 0x161a…b515 | No | +558 | $500 | $500 | 3 | 06-10 14:23 |
| Harmonious-Mozzarella 0xeda7…e3d5 | No | +550 | $500 | $500 | 1 | 06-13 11:32 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +498 | $469 | $519 | 5 | 07-30 22:46 |
| Dimpled-Foal 0x3764…c5eb | Yes | +429 | $16 | $16 | 4 | 08-04 15:33 |
| Snoopy-Lanai 0x362f…f6b9 | No | +340 | $295 | $4,082 | 23 | 08-05 04:03 |
| Glistening-Peertopeer 0x26e0…36f1 | Yes | +333 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 06-25 20:06 |
| (anonymous) 0x92c1…0586 | No | +321 | $289 | $289 | 1 | 06-12 09:44 |
| (anonymous) 0xb299…d48c | Yes | +306 | $18 | $18 | 3 | 08-09 08:13 |
| Corrupt-Lark 0x74b4…6bea | No | +258 | $216 | $5,317 | 2 | 07-03 07:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x7463…3bfa | Yes | +222 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 07-01 06:13 |
| Internal-Hospitality 0x535f…9667 | Yes | +205 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 06-13 13:56 |
| (anonymous) 0x659c…d142 | Yes | +200 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 06-13 13:56 |
| Hearty-Sprat 0xc2db…6865 | No | +166 | $160 | $160 | 1 | 08-11 11:51 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-11 18:33:54 | Apprehensive-Breakdown 0xcc50…4c82 | Yes | BUY | 39 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xa2d3e3… |
| 08-11 18:33:54 | (anonymous) 0xeaba…a214 | No | BUY | 20 | 97¢ | $19 | 0xa2d3e3… |
| 08-11 18:33:54 | (anonymous) 0x2f5a…5005 | No | BUY | 19 | 97¢ | $18 | 0xa2d3e3… |
| 08-11 18:33:51 | (anonymous) 0x1a46…34cf | No | BUY | 400 | 97¢ | $387 | 0x77817a… |
| 08-11 18:33:51 | (anonymous) 0xa38a…3b2f | No | BUY | 200 | 97¢ | $193 | 0x77817a… |
| 08-11 18:33:51 | (anonymous) 0x23b0…a7c8 | No | BUY | 200 | 97¢ | $193 | 0x77817a… |
| 08-11 18:33:51 | (anonymous) 0x38e6…e649 | No | BUY | 183 | 97¢ | $177 | 0x77817a… |
| 08-11 18:33:51 | Well-To-Do-Bankruptcy 0x9398…427c | No | BUY | 150 | 97¢ | $145 | 0x77817a… |
| 08-11 18:33:51 | (anonymous) 0x7ea8…060b | No | BUY | 150 | 97¢ | $145 | 0x77817a… |
| 08-11 18:33:51 | Dual-Ashram 0xaafb…fc37 | No | BUY | 306 | 97¢ | $296 | 0x77817a… |
| 08-11 18:33:51 | (anonymous) 0xf798…f56d | No | BUY | 116 | 97¢ | $112 | 0x77817a… |
| 08-11 18:33:51 | (anonymous) 0x1bcb…ec5d | No | BUY | 176 | 97¢ | $170 | 0x77817a… |
| 08-11 18:33:51 | (anonymous) 0x9fb8…68f8 | No | BUY | 100 | 97¢ | $97 | 0x77817a… |
| 08-11 18:33:51 | Infatuated-Bafflement 0x8f25…0341 | No | BUY | 209 | 97¢ | $202 | 0x77817a… |
| 08-11 18:33:51 | Humongous-Organ 0x494e…565e | No | BUY | 155 | 97¢ | $150 | 0x77817a… |
| 08-11 18:33:51 | (anonymous) 0x97d0…17eb | No | BUY | 350 | 97¢ | $338 | 0x77817a… |
| 08-11 18:33:51 | (anonymous) 0x8685…7ad9 | No | BUY | 200 | 97¢ | $193 | 0x77817a… |
| 08-11 18:33:51 | Visible-Zephyr 0xc8c6…299c | No | BUY | 100 | 97¢ | $97 | 0x77817a… |
| 08-11 18:33:51 | Apprehensive-Breakdown 0xcc50…4c82 | Yes | BUY | 3,832 | 3¢ | $126 | 0x77817a… |
| 08-11 18:33:51 | (anonymous) 0xd268…755f | No | BUY | 140 | 97¢ | $135 | 0x77817a… |
| 08-11 18:33:51 | (anonymous) 0x488f…16f7 | No | BUY | 77 | 97¢ | $74 | 0x77817a… |
| 08-11 18:33:51 | (anonymous) 0xe7b9…6be2 | No | BUY | 200 | 97¢ | $193 | 0x77817a… |
| 08-11 18:33:51 | (anonymous) 0x5197…6e04 | No | BUY | 30 | 97¢ | $29 | 0x77817a… |
| 08-11 18:33:51 | (anonymous) 0xcc0e…6d8b | No | BUY | 200 | 97¢ | $193 | 0x77817a… |
| 08-11 18:33:51 | (anonymous) 0xfd34…de18 | No | BUY | 190 | 97¢ | $184 | 0x77817a… |
| 08-11 17:10:25 | (anonymous) 0x5cd8…da4e | No | SELL | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x3270b2… |
| 08-11 17:10:25 | (anonymous) 0x281a…f9fb | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x3270b2… |
| 08-11 16:52:55 | Ill-Variant 0xb9ad…4400 | No | SELL | 6 | 96¢ | $6 | 0xc04e53… |
| 08-11 16:52:55 | (anonymous) 0x2f5a…5005 | No | BUY | 6 | 96¢ | $6 | 0xc04e53… |
| 08-11 16:31:13 | Apprehensive-Breakdown 0xcc50…4c82 | Yes | BUY | 161 | 3¢ | $5 | 0x470ebe… |
| 08-11 16:31:13 | Hot-Cardboard 0x36e2…e49e | No | BUY | 50 | 97¢ | $48 | 0x470ebe… |
| 08-11 16:31:13 | (anonymous) 0x5cd8…da4e | No | BUY | 26 | 97¢ | $25 | 0x470ebe… |
| 08-11 16:31:13 | Easy-Going-Kiwi 0x4a6b…fd00 | No | BUY | 39 | 97¢ | $38 | 0x470ebe… |
| 08-11 16:31:13 | (anonymous) 0xc735…f301 | No | BUY | 46 | 97¢ | $44 | 0x470ebe… |
| 08-11 15:25:25 | (anonymous) 0x5cd8…da4e | No | BUY | 7 | 97¢ | $7 | 0x8ba512… |
| 08-11 15:25:25 | (anonymous) 0x552d…2873 | No | SELL | 7 | 97¢ | $7 | 0x8ba512… |
| 08-11 11:53:43 | Curly-Violin 0x8b06…86e6 | No | SELL | 98 | 97¢ | $95 | 0x2a2c5f… |
| 08-11 11:53:43 | Tedious-Preface 0x5630…708e | Yes | SELL | 108 | 3¢ | $3 | 0x2a2c5f… |
| 08-11 11:53:43 | (anonymous) 0xeaba…a214 | No | SELL | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0x2a2c5f… |
| 08-11 11:51:40 | Hearty-Sprat 0xc2db…6865 | No | BUY | 166 | 96¢ | $160 | 0xed597c… |
| 08-11 11:51:40 | Glass-Typewriter 0xa49b…7054 | No | SELL | 92 | 96¢ | $89 | 0xed597c… |
| 08-11 11:51:40 | Empty-Debtor 0xaedd…150c | No | SELL | 74 | 96¢ | $71 | 0xed597c… |
| 08-11 09:22:45 | Empty-Debtor 0xaedd…150c | No | SELL | 7 | 96¢ | $7 | 0x8ff182… |
| 08-11 09:22:45 | (anonymous) 0x552d…2873 | No | BUY | 7 | 96¢ | $7 | 0x8ff182… |
| 08-10 22:30:49 | Ambitious-Doubter 0x1f17…a918 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xa1be98… |
| 08-10 22:30:49 | Empty-Debtor 0xaedd…150c | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xa1be98… |
| 08-10 20:51:28 | (anonymous) 0x5cd8…da4e | No | BUY | 8 | 96¢ | $8 | 0x4b4786… |
| 08-10 20:51:28 | Joint-Ore 0x4928…da06 | No | SELL | 8 | 96¢ | $8 | 0x4b4786… |
| 08-10 13:49:10 | Joint-Ore 0x4928…da06 | No | BUY | 8 | 96¢ | $8 | 0xd4ee26… |
| 08-10 13:49:10 | Empty-Debtor 0xaedd…150c | No | SELL | 8 | 96¢ | $8 | 0xd4ee26… |
| 08-10 03:12:10 | (anonymous) 0xeaba…a214 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x277907… |
| 08-10 03:12:10 | Knotty-Sage 0x4ba3…6859 | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x277907… |
| 08-09 20:10:04 | Empty-Debtor 0xaedd…150c | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x72d723… |
| 08-09 20:10:04 | Knotty-Sage 0x4ba3…6859 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x72d723… |
| 08-09 08:25:55 | (anonymous) 0xe85e…fd9f | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xa11ece… |
| 08-09 08:25:55 | (anonymous) 0xeaba…a214 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xa11ece… |
| 08-09 08:14:15 | Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | Yes | BUY | 60 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x4dd18d… |
| 08-09 08:14:15 | Hideous-Register 0x458c…c504 | No | SELL | 50 | 96¢ | $48 | 0x4dd18d… |
| 08-09 08:14:15 | Tedious-Preface 0x5630…708e | Yes | SELL | 110 | 4¢ | $4 | 0x4dd18d… |
| 08-09 08:13:16 | Tedious-Preface 0x5630…708e | Yes | SELL | 120 | 4¢ | $5 | 0xbf3181… |
| 08-09 08:13:16 | (anonymous) 0xb299…d48c | Yes | BUY | 120 | 4¢ | $5 | 0xbf3181… |
| 08-08 11:01:43 | (anonymous) 0xb299…d48c | Yes | BUY | 80 | 4¢ | $3 | 0xa43665… |
| 08-08 11:01:43 | Glass-Typewriter 0xa49b…7054 | No | BUY | 31 | 96¢ | $30 | 0xa43665… |
| 08-08 11:01:43 | Wild-Hospital 0x2d88…d5e8 | No | BUY | 49 | 96¢ | $47 | 0xa43665… |
| 08-07 18:31:18 | Wild-Hospital 0x2d88…d5e8 | No | BUY | 3 | 96¢ | $3 | 0xafdc3b… |
| 08-07 18:31:18 | (anonymous) 0x870f…6da1 | No | SELL | 3 | 96¢ | $3 | 0xafdc3b… |
| 08-07 18:30:15 | (anonymous) 0x870f…6da1 | No | BUY | 3 | 96¢ | $3 | 0xf87c58… |
| 08-07 18:30:15 | Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | Yes | BUY | 3 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xf87c58… |
| 08-07 18:25:22 | (anonymous) 0x870f…6da1 | No | SELL | 3 | 96¢ | $3 | 0x850964… |
| 08-07 18:25:22 | Wild-Hospital 0x2d88…d5e8 | No | BUY | 3 | 96¢ | $3 | 0x850964… |
| 08-07 18:24:18 | (anonymous) 0x870f…6da1 | No | BUY | 3 | 96¢ | $3 | 0x3e0e0c… |
| 08-07 18:24:18 | Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | Yes | BUY | 3 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x3e0e0c… |
| 08-07 09:18:46 | Feminine-Taco 0x58e0…b8bb | No | SELL | 14 | 96¢ | $13 | 0x4493c4… |
| 08-07 09:18:46 | Wild-Hospital 0x2d88…d5e8 | No | BUY | 14 | 96¢ | $13 | 0x4493c4… |
| 08-07 07:32:42 | (anonymous) 0x870f…6da1 | No | SELL | 3 | 96¢ | $3 | 0x94dd82… |
| 08-07 07:32:42 | Wild-Hospital 0x2d88…d5e8 | No | BUY | 3 | 96¢ | $3 | 0x94dd82… |
| 08-07 07:31:52 | (anonymous) 0x870f…6da1 | No | BUY | 3 | 96¢ | $3 | 0x2e7aee… |
| 08-07 07:31:52 | Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | Yes | BUY | 3 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x2e7aee… |
| 08-07 07:24:34 | Wild-Hospital 0x2d88…d5e8 | No | BUY | 3 | 96¢ | $3 | 0x19b178… |
| 08-07 07:24:34 | (anonymous) 0x870f…6da1 | No | SELL | 3 | 96¢ | $3 | 0x19b178… |
| 08-07 07:23:43 | (anonymous) 0x870f…6da1 | No | BUY | 3 | 96¢ | $3 | 0x4dfdd9… |
| 08-07 07:23:43 | Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | Yes | BUY | 3 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x4dfdd9… |
| 08-07 06:43:54 | Wild-Hospital 0x2d88…d5e8 | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x78b443… |
| 08-07 06:43:54 | (anonymous) 0xa6f5…98be | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x78b443… |
| 08-06 20:26:36 | Wild-Hospital 0x2d88…d5e8 | No | BUY | 3 | 96¢ | $3 | 0x727eeb… |
| 08-06 20:26:36 | (anonymous) 0x870f…6da1 | No | SELL | 3 | 96¢ | $3 | 0x727eeb… |
| 08-06 20:25:38 | Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | Yes | BUY | 3 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x13425a… |
| 08-06 20:25:38 | (anonymous) 0x870f…6da1 | No | BUY | 3 | 96¢ | $3 | 0x13425a… |
| 08-06 20:12:12 | Wild-Hospital 0x2d88…d5e8 | No | BUY | 4 | 96¢ | $4 | 0x4e2ab9… |
| 08-06 20:12:12 | (anonymous) 0x870f…6da1 | No | SELL | 4 | 96¢ | $4 | 0x4e2ab9… |
| 08-06 20:11:18 | Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | Yes | BUY | 4 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x7db612… |
| 08-06 20:11:18 | (anonymous) 0x870f…6da1 | No | BUY | 4 | 96¢ | $4 | 0x7db612… |
| 08-06 19:44:14 | (anonymous) 0x870f…6da1 | No | SELL | 3 | 96¢ | $3 | 0xc4d3eb… |
| 08-06 19:44:14 | Wild-Hospital 0x2d88…d5e8 | No | BUY | 3 | 96¢ | $3 | 0xc4d3eb… |
| 08-06 19:43:23 | (anonymous) 0x870f…6da1 | No | BUY | 3 | 96¢ | $3 | 0xcbe2e7… |
| 08-06 19:43:23 | Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | Yes | BUY | 3 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xcbe2e7… |
| 08-06 19:24:50 | Wild-Hospital 0x2d88…d5e8 | No | BUY | 3 | 96¢ | $3 | 0x954a35… |
| 08-06 19:24:50 | (anonymous) 0x870f…6da1 | No | SELL | 3 | 96¢ | $3 | 0x954a35… |
| 08-06 19:23:59 | (anonymous) 0x870f…6da1 | No | BUY | 3 | 96¢ | $3 | 0xdc2c29… |
| 08-06 19:23:59 | Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | Yes | BUY | 3 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xdc2c29… |