Genuine-Vintage — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$198

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

28,144

lifetime

Volume

$181.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-31

last 07-16 18:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

57% — —

Other

21% — —

Sports

16% 50% +$182

Politics

5% 100% +$16

Tech

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

50 active days in 12wk • peak 250 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes		+5	$0	1¢	$0	+$0	07-16 18:00

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will ethereum reach 2800 in february 2026	171	$5.5K	45,400	45,500	-100	open	—	02-19 12:55
will bitcoin reach 90k in february 2026	134	$5.1K	33,100	33,100	+0	open	—	02-12 11:03
will bitcoin reach 80000 in february 298	55	$4.5K	9,450	10,350	-900	open	—	02-11 16:13
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	199	$4.2K	245,999	245,999	+0	open	—	03-07 05:46
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	645	$4.2K	167,043	162,591	+4,452	open	—	04-22 15:58
will bitcoin reach 105k in february 2026	537	$3.9K	160,875	161,000	-125	open	—	02-15 13:52
will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	338	$3.9K	260,000	260,000	+0	open	—	03-07 03:24
will bitcoin reach 85k in february 2026	48	$3.9K	17,200	17,115	+84	open	—	02-11 14:23
bitcoin above 62k on july 5 2026	19	$3.5K	3,700	104	+3,596	open	—	07-05 09:01
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	143	$3.4K	70,300	65,300	+5,000	open	—	03-05 21:12
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	316	$3.1K	60,536	60,535	+0	open	—	04-14 09:34
will bitcoin reach 100k in february 2026	314	$3.1K	62,800	61,170	+1,630	open	—	02-11 21:26
will bitcoin reach 95k in february 2026	51	$3.0K	39,850	39,850	+0	open	—	02-11 18:53
will solana reach 120 in february 2026	98	$2.7K	11,190	11,190	+0	open	—	02-20 18:48
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	515	$2.4K	83,934	78,073	+5,861	open	—	04-09 12:42
will ethereum reach 3200 in february 2026	66	$2.4K	37,700	37,700	+0	open	—	02-19 13:05
will ethereum reach 3000 in february 2026	77	$2.3K	24,000	24,000	+0	open	—	02-17 16:46
Will Inter win the 2025–26 Champions League?	572	$2.3K	48,088	42,355	+5,733	open	—	02-24 20:30
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	65	$2.2K	9,190	9,190	+0	open	—	04-13 22:18
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?	722	$2.2K	28,100	27,342	+758	open	—	03-06 23:43
will ethereum reach 3400 in february 2026	97	$2.1K	49,996	37,206	+12,791	open	—	02-11 16:08
Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	839	$2.1K	146,299	135,745	+10,554	open	—	03-06 21:26
will solana reach 140 in february 2026	80	$2.0K	30,000	28,988	+1,012	open	—	02-23 19:47
will ethereum reach 5000 in february 2026	825	$1.9K	381,788	380,494	+1,295	open	—	02-12 11:57
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	73	$1.8K	4,330	3,601	+729	open	—	04-14 01:44
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	53	$1.8K	5,826	5,880	-54	open	—	04-13 17:27
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?	80	$1.7K	6,300	6,300	+0	open	—	04-09 10:04
will bitcoin reach 125k in february 2026	464	$1.7K	194,983	194,999	-16	open	—	02-18 07:29
Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	557	$1.7K	113,204	92,533	+20,671	open	—	03-04 19:38
will ethereum reach 4000 in february 2026	350	$1.6K	117,630	102,125	+15,505	open	—	02-25 17:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-16 18:00:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xccecfa…
07-09 05:19:22	Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	3¢	$0	0x46bcdd…
07-09 01:06:13	Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	3¢	$0	0xe9b69f…
07-08 23:12:28	Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	232	3¢	$7	0xa4f37d…
07-05 16:41:07	Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	3¢	$0	0x20b929…
07-05 09:01:13	bitcoin above 62k on july 5 2026	Yes	SELL	104	96¢	$100	0xf3f4b5…
07-05 01:23:08	bitcoin above 62k on july 5 2026	Yes	BUY	2,276	93¢	$2,117	0x8f8325…
07-05 01:22:53	bitcoin above 62k on july 5 2026	Yes	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x186003…
07-05 01:22:49	bitcoin above 62k on july 5 2026	Yes	BUY	15	93¢	$14	0x53ddba…
07-05 01:22:23	bitcoin above 62k on july 5 2026	Yes	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x4d8fdd…
07-05 01:22:13	bitcoin above 62k on july 5 2026	Yes	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x816c73…
07-05 01:21:13	bitcoin above 62k on july 5 2026	Yes	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x57a632…
07-05 01:19:52	bitcoin above 62k on july 5 2026	Yes	BUY	7	93¢	$7	0x5149e6…
07-05 01:19:50	bitcoin above 62k on july 5 2026	Yes	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xe5c2cd…
07-05 01:19:50	bitcoin above 62k on july 5 2026	Yes	BUY	14	93¢	$13	0x870e61…
07-05 01:19:16	bitcoin above 62k on july 5 2026	Yes	BUY	9	93¢	$8	0x26df27…
07-05 01:19:16	bitcoin above 62k on july 5 2026	Yes	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x145c00…
07-05 01:18:34	bitcoin above 62k on july 5 2026	Yes	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x546632…
07-05 01:18:32	bitcoin above 62k on july 5 2026	Yes	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x555fdd…
07-05 01:18:32	bitcoin above 62k on july 5 2026	Yes	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x2cc13f…
07-05 01:05:32	bitcoin above 62k on july 5 2026	Yes	BUY	71	93¢	$66	0x9e3a8d…
07-05 01:05:16	bitcoin above 62k on july 5 2026	Yes	BUY	15	93¢	$14	0xe28489…
07-04 23:15:31	bitcoin above 62k on july 5 2026	Yes	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x98dc6d…
07-04 18:50:47	bitcoin above 62k on july 5 2026	Yes	BUY	1,244	93¢	$1,157	0xd65de9…
07-04 12:25:43	Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	251	2¢	$5	0xbdbf16…
07-01 05:05:13	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	SELL	15	0¢	$0	0x80c0dd…
07-01 03:07:08	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	SELL	86	0¢	$0	0x5a83a0…
07-01 00:09:56	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	SELL	5,402	0¢	$5	0x7a15cd…
06-30 23:25:26	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	SELL	428	0¢	$0	0x97c0f1…
06-30 21:20:34	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x12ff02…
06-30 21:00:41	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	SELL	29	0¢	$0	0xc76b76…
06-30 20:58:04	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	SELL	183	0¢	$0	0xe4386b…
06-30 20:13:38	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	SELL	30	0¢	$0	0x8939ed…
06-30 18:52:11	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	SELL	52	0¢	$0	0xc2ceb8…
06-30 17:31:25	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x4bde6f…
06-30 12:23:26	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0xf2d923…
06-30 12:16:13	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x8b817d…
06-30 12:05:59	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x439001…
06-30 11:53:31	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x1ab82c…
06-30 11:53:02	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1,067	0¢	$1	0x6e60fd…
06-30 11:52:04	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x9dd4b0…
06-30 11:49:10	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x285f14…
06-30 11:47:55	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0xca1d88…
06-30 10:58:56	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	SELL	20,000	0¢	$20	0x4b38ec…
06-30 10:53:01	Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x2694bd…
06-30 09:07:31	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x49ac5c…
06-30 07:55:35	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x8e7139…
06-30 07:39:41	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	SELL	18	0¢	$0	0xcb7c23…
06-30 05:23:59	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0xff0f91…
06-30 03:16:56	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	SELL	3	0¢	$0	0x579acf…
06-30 03:15:50	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x886472…
06-30 02:27:05	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1,011	0¢	$1	0x178283…
06-30 00:23:16	ethereum above 1500 on june 30 2026	No	SELL	41	2¢	$1	0xed4b42…
06-30 00:02:58	ethereum above 1500 on june 30 2026	No	SELL	56	2¢	$1	0x387704…
06-29 23:37:56	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0xddc4dc…
06-29 23:27:16	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x1ef294…
06-29 23:18:08	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x3768a9…
06-29 23:15:35	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x3a6007…
06-29 23:15:04	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x480b28…
06-29 23:06:11	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0xfa70f3…
06-29 22:54:41	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0xd98307…
06-29 22:53:32	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x1276ab…
06-29 22:52:08	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x8edc49…
06-29 22:46:10	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0xcbc22b…
06-29 22:43:50	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x7d2883…
06-29 22:41:08	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0xa4b8f3…
06-29 22:31:28	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	SELL	3	0¢	$0	0x8b234f…
06-29 22:20:44	ethereum above 1500 on june 30 2026	No	BUY	97	1¢	$1	0xf48ff7…
06-29 19:10:08	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	SELL	4,760	0¢	$5	0x5c3a33…
06-29 17:15:49	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xf20718…
06-29 16:52:08	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xaae060…
06-29 13:21:13	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	SELL	12	0¢	$0	0x9373be…
06-29 12:55:16	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	SELL	21	0¢	$0	0x11923f…
06-29 07:16:05	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	SELL	140	0¢	$0	0x32512e…
06-29 07:13:50	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0xbcb63c…
06-29 06:14:31	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	SELL	120	0¢	$0	0xc6e6a7…
06-29 05:49:44	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x12d090…
06-29 05:07:40	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xe50842…
06-29 04:14:01	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1,500	0¢	$2	0xaf9847…
06-29 03:12:28	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	SELL	7,010	0¢	$7	0x092d5f…
06-29 02:57:56	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1,029	0¢	$1	0xe16c35…
06-29 02:07:19	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x39e8cd…
06-29 01:23:20	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	SELL	2,000	0¢	$2	0x0976bd…
06-28 20:30:37	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x3608a6…
06-28 19:37:50	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x249122…
06-28 19:22:01	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x02850c…
06-28 19:10:47	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	SELL	250	0¢	$0	0xa64524…
06-28 16:56:56	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x1f27f0…
06-28 15:35:34	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	SELL	183	0¢	$0	0x9d28e5…
06-28 15:31:59	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x182a50…
06-28 14:57:31	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	SELL	17	0¢	$0	0x36439c…
06-28 14:26:35	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x36ed9b…
06-28 14:14:55	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0x93f1e0…
06-28 14:06:38	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x8cef36…
06-28 13:57:22	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x0bd729…
06-28 13:51:20	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x30e0a6…
06-28 13:42:10	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	SELL	15,734	0¢	$16	0xe7853c…
06-28 12:09:29	Will Russia enter Kherson by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x5c78f3…
06-28 11:59:08	Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x0dbe01…
06-28 11:51:10	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x59e89e…