Realized P&L
+$198
Unrealized P&L
-$0
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
5
Trades
28,109
lifetime
Volume
$178.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$192
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-31
last 06-30 12:23
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Crypto
56%
Other
21%
Sports
16% 50% +$182
Politics
5% 100% +$16
Tech
1%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
65 active days in 12wk • peak 1230 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? Yes +191,764 $192 $192 +$0 06-30 12:23
Iran coup attempt by June 30? Yes +10 $0 $0 $-0 06-19 05:42
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +5 $0 $0 $-0 06-28 06:19
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? Yes +13 $0 $0 +$0 06-28 14:26
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026? Yes +5 $0 $0 +$0 06-30 10:53
Lai Ching-te impeached by June 30? Yes +10 $0 $0 +$0 06-25 18:12
Bill Clinton divorce by June 30? Yes +6 $0 $0 +$0 06-25 11:47
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? Yes +5 $0 $0 $-0 06-18 15:56
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30? Yes +5 $0 $0 $-0 06-27 20:07
Jimmy Lai released by June 30? Yes +5 $0 $0 +$0 06-26 17:52
Netanyahu out by June 30? Yes +5 $0 $0 $-0 06-15 01:08
Will Russia enter Kherson by June 30? Yes +5 $0 $0 +$0 06-28 12:09
Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30? Yes +5 $0 $0 +$0 06-27 12:37
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? Yes +10 $0 $0 $-0 06-27 09:05
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026? Yes +10 $0 $0 $-0 06-17 08:12
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? Yes +10 $0 $0 $-0 06-27 16:00
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026? Yes +5 $0 $0 +$0 06-26 00:16
Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026? Yes +10 $0 $0 +$0 06-24 21:51
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? Yes +10 $0 $0 $-0 06-17 17:05
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30? Yes +6 $0 $0 +$0 06-29 05:07
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026? Yes +5 $0 $0 +$0 06-26 17:46
Hantavirus outbreak by June 30? Yes +5 $0 $0 $-0 06-13 07:51
Iran leadership change by June 30? Yes +5 $0 $0 $-0 06-14 21:18
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June? Yes +5 $0 $0 $-0 06-08 15:46
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30? Yes +5 $0 $0 +$0 06-27 05:55
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026? Yes +5 $0 $0 +$0 06-28 11:59
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June? Yes +5 $0 $0 +$0 06-26 02:55
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? Yes +5 $0 $0 +$0 06-27 09:03
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June? Yes +5 $0 $0 $-0 06-12 01:57
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? Yes +5 $0 $0 $-0 06-06 16:57