Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026?
open
Total volume
$39,557
$21 in 24h
Trades
1,464
Unique wallets
377
Liquidity
$69,109
Latest YES mid
2¢
Latest NO mid
98¢
End date
2027-01-01
First seen
2026-05-27
last 08-02 05:00
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-0.7¢
(top1%: 3% YES on $1.8K
vs crowd: 4% YES on $22.6K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 11 | $17 | $7.3K | $7.2K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 22 | $350 | $5.2K | $4.9K |
| 🐟 Fish | 129 | $111 | $5.1K | $5.0K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 215 | $387 | $4.2K | $3.8K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 5 | $57 | $1.8K | $1.7K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 8 | $51 | $5.2K | $5.2K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 7 | $16 | $5 | +$11 |
| Median | 49 | $3 | $1.0K | $1.0K |
| Below median | 150 | $181 | $6.4K | $6.2K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 10 | $20 | $201 | $181 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 4 | — | $57 | $57 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 3 | $58 | $157 | $99 |
| unranked | 141 | $480 | $6.9K | $6.4K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophisticated-Turn 0xbe52…32c5 | Yes | +5,053 | $156 | $156 | 4 | 06-05 15:35 |
| (anonymous) 0x9a3c…5089 | Yes | +2,858 | $104 | $104 | 4 | 06-12 16:55 |
| Kind-Nanoparticle 0xad60…97f4 | No | +1,727 | $1,673 | $2,291 | 21 | 07-15 14:29 |
| Expensive-Manatee 0x09c0…305a | No | +1,584 | $1,487 | $4,592 | 6 | 08-01 23:13 |
| Tinted-Consciousness 0xfea3…d227 | No | +1,556 | $1,507 | $1,507 | 12 | 06-07 08:30 |
| Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | +1,349 | $33 | $82 | 20 | 07-04 01:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x57e1…9a45 | Yes | +703 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-29 10:57 |
| Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | Yes | +622 | $17 | $17 | 3 | 06-12 00:34 |
| (anonymous) 0xfa39…977f | Yes | +480 | $16 | $65 | 9 | 06-02 01:17 |
| (anonymous) 0xb708…62fb | No | +416 | $405 | $405 | 1 | 06-13 15:15 |
| Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | +414 | $5 | $28 | 41 | 07-06 00:56 |
| (anonymous) 0x04db…c253 | Yes | +404 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 07-21 06:34 |
| Straight-Topsail 0x789d…47e6 | No | +357 | $350 | $350 | 1 | 07-15 06:59 |
| Mediocre-Paradise 0xc30c…6509 | No | +316 | $278 | $10,153 | 146 | 08-01 23:13 |
| Aggressive-Polenta 0x5e92…618a | No | +266 | $261 | $261 | 1 | 07-06 10:13 |
| (anonymous) 0xdb55…85af | Yes | +224 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-06 16:09 |
| Babyish-Latter 0x5494…85fe | Yes | +223 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 06-04 02:16 |
| Rude-Ecology 0x7ac4…4f44 | Yes | +149 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 07-13 14:49 |
| Soggy-Culvert 0x43e8…5ba4 | Yes | +143 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-10 23:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x3c52…9eae | No | +102 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 07-08 03:39 |
| (anonymous) 0x2491…2aa6 | No | +100 | $97 | $129 | 8 | 07-28 11:32 |
| Disastrous-Equation 0xb186…a946 | Yes | +100 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-10 22:43 |
| (anonymous) 0xf51b…ca1b | Yes | +100 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-28 20:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x3bc4…2d14 | No | +98 | $96 | $96 | 3 | 06-17 00:24 |
| (anonymous) 0x5e34…2c47 | Yes | +88 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 07-28 11:39 |
| Quick-Witted-Passenger 0x7089…7351 | Yes | +85 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 07-01 20:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x58d9…23f3 | No | +77 | $75 | $75 | 3 | 07-23 16:27 |
| (anonymous) 0x4947…30b2 | Yes | +60 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 07-08 05:12 |
| (anonymous) 0xf411…2a7a | No | +56 | $55 | $55 | 1 | 07-22 15:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x84b7…0254 | No | +53 | $52 | $52 | 1 | 07-23 16:27 |
| Ruddy-Soulmate 0x1517…e46c | No | +50 | $50 | $139 | 3 | 06-12 17:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x226e…4fe5 | No | +50 | $49 | $49 | 1 | 07-15 21:43 |
| Kind-Senator 0x4b91…982d | Yes | +48 | $1 | $4 | 3 | 06-12 22:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x528e…cdc6 | No | +47 | $46 | $46 | 1 | 06-20 02:27 |
| Demanding-Flipflops 0xea06…7458 | No | +46 | $45 | $45 | 1 | 06-19 15:53 |
| Thirsty-Skyline 0xe4eb…91ef | Yes | +45 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-09 10:11 |
| Courageous-Gateway 0x13a2…5e27 | Yes | +45 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-18 22:36 |
| (anonymous) 0x22e0…3adb | Yes | +45 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-21 05:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x4a13…e921 | Yes | +43 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-27 11:15 |
| Conscious-Alley 0x83ce…835c | No | +41 | $38 | $183 | 6 | 07-02 06:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x3365…972a | No | +40 | $39 | $64 | 9 | 06-30 18:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x3365…972a | Yes | +40 | $1 | $7 | 8 | 07-04 00:53 |
| (anonymous) 0x8931…a90c | No | +33 | $32 | $32 | 11 | 08-01 20:29 |
| (anonymous) 0xbd5f…c23e | Yes | +30 | $1 | $1 | 4 | 07-08 05:12 |
| Obedient-Population 0x6c37…d40f | Yes | +29 | $-1 | $8 | 6 | 07-13 14:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x0a14…cc5f | No | +27 | $27 | $27 | 1 | 06-20 10:43 |
| (anonymous) 0xe0af…532d | Yes | +27 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-04 14:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x62ab…2d17 | No | +26 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 06-20 06:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x8d4e…76e6 | No | +25 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 06-09 11:21 |
| (anonymous) 0x3983…a02c | No | +23 | $23 | $23 | 1 | 06-03 13:28 |
| Mundane-Airbag 0xa3af…b7a6 | No | +22 | $21 | $41 | 5 | 07-18 07:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x8502…147d | No | +21 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 06-08 12:22 |
| (anonymous) 0xdba9…2941 | No | +20 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 06-07 13:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x7664…7460 | No | +18 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 06-20 03:51 |
| Old-Discharge 0xa217…9e87 | No | +18 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 06-20 08:12 |
| (anonymous) 0xdf17…8408 | No | +17 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 06-20 00:57 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 05:00:06 | Acclaimed-Teammate 0x6d71…82e5 | No | SELL | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0xad65c5… |
| 08-02 05:00:06 | (anonymous) 0x206b…80c2 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xad65c5… |
| 08-01 23:13:42 | (anonymous) 0xc504…7a4c | No | SELL | 410 | 98¢ | $400 | 0xf2bfa9… |
| 08-01 23:13:42 | Back-Panel 0x174b…5a55 | Yes | SELL | 3,784 | 2¢ | $80 | 0xf2bfa9… |
| 08-01 23:13:42 | (anonymous) 0x47a0…3b2d | No | SELL | 41 | 98¢ | $40 | 0xf2bfa9… |
| 08-01 23:13:42 | (anonymous) 0x834b…1f64 | No | SELL | 53 | 98¢ | $52 | 0xf2bfa9… |
| 08-01 23:13:42 | Acclaimed-Teammate 0x6d71…82e5 | No | SELL | 490 | 98¢ | $480 | 0xf2bfa9… |
| 08-01 23:13:42 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | Yes | BUY | 12 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xf2bfa9… |
| 08-01 23:13:42 | Mediocre-Paradise 0xc30c…6509 | No | SELL | 1,135 | 98¢ | $1,110 | 0xf2bfa9… |
| 08-01 23:13:42 | Expensive-Manatee 0x09c0…305a | No | SELL | 1,584 | 98¢ | $1,552 | 0xf2bfa9… |
| 08-01 23:13:42 | (anonymous) 0x1445…af5a | No | SELL | 15 | 98¢ | $14 | 0xf2bfa9… |
| 08-01 20:29:48 | (anonymous) 0x870f…6da1 | No | SELL | 5 | 97¢ | $4 | 0x71fc96… |
| 08-01 20:29:48 | (anonymous) 0x8931…a90c | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $4 | 0x71fc96… |
| 08-01 20:15:00 | (anonymous) 0x870f…6da1 | No | SELL | 3 | 97¢ | $3 | 0x10fd1a… |
| 08-01 20:15:00 | (anonymous) 0x8931…a90c | No | BUY | 3 | 97¢ | $3 | 0x10fd1a… |
| 08-01 19:54:17 | (anonymous) 0x8931…a90c | No | BUY | 3 | 97¢ | $3 | 0x0362d8… |
| 08-01 19:54:17 | (anonymous) 0x870f…6da1 | No | SELL | 3 | 97¢ | $3 | 0x0362d8… |
| 08-01 19:48:50 | (anonymous) 0x870f…6da1 | No | SELL | 3 | 97¢ | $2 | 0xf906d0… |
| 08-01 19:48:50 | (anonymous) 0x8931…a90c | No | BUY | 3 | 97¢ | $2 | 0xf906d0… |
| 08-01 19:47:47 | (anonymous) 0x8931…a90c | No | BUY | 3 | 97¢ | $2 | 0xfb5df5… |
| 08-01 19:47:47 | (anonymous) 0x870f…6da1 | No | SELL | 3 | 97¢ | $2 | 0xfb5df5… |
| 08-01 19:46:53 | (anonymous) 0x870f…6da1 | No | SELL | 3 | 97¢ | $2 | 0x978730… |
| 08-01 19:46:53 | (anonymous) 0x8931…a90c | No | BUY | 3 | 97¢ | $2 | 0x978730… |
| 08-01 19:46:11 | (anonymous) 0x8931…a90c | No | BUY | 3 | 97¢ | $2 | 0x35d305… |
| 08-01 19:46:11 | (anonymous) 0x870f…6da1 | No | SELL | 3 | 97¢ | $2 | 0x35d305… |
| 08-01 19:45:29 | (anonymous) 0x8931…a90c | No | BUY | 3 | 97¢ | $2 | 0x78af6e… |
| 08-01 19:45:29 | (anonymous) 0x870f…6da1 | No | SELL | 3 | 97¢ | $2 | 0x78af6e… |
| 08-01 19:33:57 | (anonymous) 0x8931…a90c | No | BUY | 3 | 97¢ | $3 | 0x189b30… |
| 08-01 19:33:57 | (anonymous) 0x870f…6da1 | No | SELL | 3 | 97¢ | $3 | 0x189b30… |
| 08-01 19:20:57 | (anonymous) 0x870f…6da1 | No | SELL | 3 | 97¢ | $3 | 0xd6dce7… |
| 08-01 19:20:57 | (anonymous) 0x8931…a90c | No | BUY | 3 | 97¢ | $3 | 0xd6dce7… |
| 08-01 18:56:30 | (anonymous) 0x8931…a90c | No | BUY | 3 | 97¢ | $3 | 0x43910d… |
| 08-01 18:56:30 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | Yes | SELL | 1 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x43910d… |
| 08-01 18:56:30 | (anonymous) 0x870f…6da1 | No | SELL | 4 | 97¢ | $3 | 0x43910d… |
| 08-01 17:14:39 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | Yes | SELL | 6 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x93034c… |
| 08-01 17:14:39 | (anonymous) 0x7a1b…aef4 | No | SELL | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0x93034c… |
| 08-01 15:47:54 | (anonymous) 0x1445…af5a | No | SELL | 3 | 98¢ | $2 | 0x905e8e… |
| 08-01 15:47:54 | (anonymous) 0x870f…6da1 | No | BUY | 3 | 98¢ | $2 | 0x905e8e… |
| 08-01 15:47:47 | (anonymous) 0x870f…6da1 | No | BUY | 3 | 98¢ | $2 | 0x11d8ef… |
| 08-01 15:47:47 | (anonymous) 0x1445…af5a | No | SELL | 3 | 98¢ | $2 | 0x11d8ef… |
| 08-01 15:47:30 | (anonymous) 0x870f…6da1 | No | BUY | 3 | 98¢ | $2 | 0x476443… |
| 08-01 15:47:30 | (anonymous) 0x1445…af5a | No | SELL | 3 | 98¢ | $2 | 0x476443… |
| 08-01 15:47:14 | (anonymous) 0x1445…af5a | No | SELL | 3 | 98¢ | $2 | 0xdb1d94… |
| 08-01 15:47:14 | (anonymous) 0x870f…6da1 | No | BUY | 3 | 98¢ | $2 | 0xdb1d94… |
| 08-01 15:47:06 | (anonymous) 0x1445…af5a | No | SELL | 3 | 98¢ | $2 | 0x60d894… |
| 08-01 15:47:06 | (anonymous) 0x870f…6da1 | No | BUY | 3 | 98¢ | $2 | 0x60d894… |
| 07-31 00:08:21 | (anonymous) 0x1445…af5a | No | SELL | 3 | 98¢ | $3 | 0xc13964… |
| 07-31 00:08:21 | (anonymous) 0x870f…6da1 | No | BUY | 3 | 98¢ | $3 | 0xc13964… |
| 07-30 23:01:02 | (anonymous) 0x1445…af5a | No | SELL | 4 | 98¢ | $3 | 0x041e34… |
| 07-30 23:01:02 | (anonymous) 0x870f…6da1 | No | BUY | 4 | 98¢ | $3 | 0x041e34… |
| 07-30 22:21:05 | (anonymous) 0x870f…6da1 | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $4 | 0xaebe70… |
| 07-30 22:21:05 | (anonymous) 0x1445…af5a | No | SELL | 5 | 98¢ | $4 | 0xaebe70… |
| 07-30 22:14:06 | (anonymous) 0x1445…af5a | No | SELL | 3 | 98¢ | $3 | 0xc5bfb3… |
| 07-30 22:14:06 | (anonymous) 0x870f…6da1 | No | BUY | 3 | 98¢ | $3 | 0xc5bfb3… |
| 07-30 19:47:57 | (anonymous) 0x870f…6da1 | No | BUY | 3 | 98¢ | $3 | 0x8137bb… |
| 07-30 19:47:57 | (anonymous) 0x1445…af5a | No | SELL | 3 | 98¢ | $3 | 0x8137bb… |
| 07-30 19:26:45 | (anonymous) 0x1445…af5a | No | SELL | 3 | 98¢ | $3 | 0xdf89d7… |
| 07-30 19:26:45 | (anonymous) 0x870f…6da1 | No | BUY | 3 | 98¢ | $3 | 0xdf89d7… |
| 07-30 16:26:20 | (anonymous) 0x870f…6da1 | No | SELL | 3 | 97¢ | $3 | 0x1ddfda… |
| 07-30 16:26:20 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | Yes | SELL | 2 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x1ddfda… |
| 07-30 16:23:30 | (anonymous) 0x870f…6da1 | No | BUY | 3 | 98¢ | $3 | 0x330ea3… |
| 07-30 16:23:30 | (anonymous) 0x1445…af5a | No | SELL | 3 | 98¢ | $3 | 0x330ea3… |
| 07-30 16:16:51 | (anonymous) 0x870f…6da1 | No | SELL | 3 | 97¢ | $3 | 0xafdcbf… |
| 07-30 16:16:51 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | Yes | SELL | 3 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xafdcbf… |
| 07-30 16:12:23 | (anonymous) 0x1445…af5a | No | SELL | 3 | 98¢ | $3 | 0xe2753c… |
| 07-30 16:12:23 | (anonymous) 0x870f…6da1 | No | BUY | 3 | 98¢ | $3 | 0xe2753c… |
| 07-30 15:50:36 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | Yes | SELL | 2 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xd36a25… |
| 07-30 15:50:36 | (anonymous) 0x870f…6da1 | No | SELL | 3 | 97¢ | $3 | 0xd36a25… |
| 07-30 15:47:26 | (anonymous) 0x1445…af5a | No | SELL | 3 | 98¢ | $3 | 0xba62d7… |
| 07-30 15:47:26 | (anonymous) 0x870f…6da1 | No | BUY | 3 | 98¢ | $3 | 0xba62d7… |
| 07-29 22:49:29 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | Yes | SELL | 3 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x259a20… |
| 07-29 22:49:29 | (anonymous) 0x870f…6da1 | No | SELL | 3 | 97¢ | $3 | 0x259a20… |
| 07-29 22:46:24 | Mediocre-Paradise 0xc30c…6509 | No | SELL | 3 | 98¢ | $3 | 0x07e9e4… |
| 07-29 22:46:24 | (anonymous) 0x870f…6da1 | No | BUY | 3 | 98¢ | $3 | 0x07e9e4… |
| 07-29 22:19:54 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | Yes | SELL | 2 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x83d01b… |
| 07-29 22:19:54 | (anonymous) 0x870f…6da1 | No | SELL | 3 | 97¢ | $3 | 0x83d01b… |
| 07-29 22:13:38 | Mediocre-Paradise 0xc30c…6509 | No | SELL | 3 | 98¢ | $3 | 0x94e8f8… |
| 07-29 22:13:38 | (anonymous) 0x870f…6da1 | No | BUY | 3 | 98¢ | $3 | 0x94e8f8… |
| 07-29 21:38:23 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | Yes | SELL | 3 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xcd0986… |
| 07-29 21:38:23 | (anonymous) 0x870f…6da1 | No | SELL | 3 | 97¢ | $3 | 0xcd0986… |
| 07-29 21:33:23 | Mediocre-Paradise 0xc30c…6509 | No | SELL | 3 | 98¢ | $3 | 0x2c07b3… |
| 07-29 21:33:23 | (anonymous) 0x870f…6da1 | No | BUY | 3 | 98¢ | $3 | 0x2c07b3… |
| 07-29 18:34:56 | (anonymous) 0x870f…6da1 | No | SELL | 3 | 97¢ | $3 | 0x3f4b62… |
| 07-29 18:34:56 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | Yes | SELL | 3 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x3f4b62… |
| 07-29 18:30:18 | (anonymous) 0x870f…6da1 | No | BUY | 3 | 98¢ | $3 | 0x95be8e… |
| 07-29 18:30:18 | Mediocre-Paradise 0xc30c…6509 | No | SELL | 3 | 98¢ | $3 | 0x95be8e… |
| 07-29 17:36:44 | (anonymous) 0x870f…6da1 | No | SELL | 3 | 97¢ | $3 | 0xfbe596… |
| 07-29 17:36:44 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | Yes | SELL | 3 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xfbe596… |
| 07-29 17:32:38 | (anonymous) 0x870f…6da1 | No | BUY | 3 | 98¢ | $3 | 0x5d8ded… |
| 07-29 17:32:38 | Mediocre-Paradise 0xc30c…6509 | No | SELL | 3 | 98¢ | $3 | 0x5d8ded… |
| 07-29 17:30:41 | (anonymous) 0x870f…6da1 | No | SELL | 4 | 97¢ | $4 | 0xc0fcc4… |
| 07-29 17:30:41 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | Yes | SELL | 4 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xc0fcc4… |
| 07-29 17:27:24 | (anonymous) 0x870f…6da1 | No | BUY | 4 | 98¢ | $4 | 0x3a77c3… |
| 07-29 17:27:24 | Mediocre-Paradise 0xc30c…6509 | No | SELL | 4 | 98¢ | $4 | 0x3a77c3… |
| 07-28 11:39:59 | (anonymous) 0x2a26…4784 | No | SELL | 6 | 97¢ | $6 | 0xa91aeb… |
| 07-28 11:39:59 | Mediocre-Paradise 0xc30c…6509 | No | BUY | 6 | 97¢ | $6 | 0xa91aeb… |
| 07-28 11:39:11 | (anonymous) 0x5e34…2c47 | Yes | BUY | 42 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x7175a1… |
| 07-28 11:39:11 | Mediocre-Paradise 0xc30c…6509 | No | BUY | 42 | 97¢ | $41 | 0x7175a1… |
| 07-28 11:32:50 | Unlucky-Comparison 0xd883…4fd7 | No | BUY | 6 | 97¢ | $6 | 0x5e2f41… |
| 07-28 11:32:50 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | Yes | SELL | 6 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x5e2f41… |