Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026?
open
Total volume
$23,987
$21 in 24h
Trades
651
Unique wallets
198
Liquidity
$69,109
Latest YES mid
3¢
Latest NO mid
97¢
End date
2027-01-01
First seen
2026-05-27
last 06-19 10:45
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-1.8¢
(top1%: 2% YES on $1.8K
vs crowd: 4% YES on $15.0K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 8 | $17 | $4.6K | $4.6K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 15 | $249 | $1.1K | $852 |
| 🐟 Fish | 93 | $74 | $6.5K | $6.4K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 82 | $290 | $2.2K | $1.9K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 5 | $44 | $1.8K | $1.7K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 5 | $23 | $2.6K | $2.6K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | $4 | $5 | $1 |
| Median | 23 | $2 | $674 | $672 |
| Below median | 84 | $173 | $4.0K | $3.8K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 8 | $18 | $121 | $104 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | $17 | $17 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 3 | $58 | $90 | $32 |
| unranked | 65 | $309 | $5.1K | $4.8K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophisticated-Turn 0xbe52…32c5 | Yes | +5,053 | $156 | $156 | 4 | 06-05 15:35 |
| Expensive-Manatee 0x09c0…305a | No | +3,168 | $3,040 | $3,040 | 5 | 06-01 13:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x9a3c…5089 | Yes | +2,858 | $104 | $104 | 4 | 06-12 16:55 |
| Tinted-Consciousness 0xfea3…d227 | No | +1,556 | $1,507 | $1,507 | 12 | 06-07 08:30 |
| Kind-Nanoparticle 0xad60…97f4 | No | +1,036 | $999 | $1,114 | 4 | 06-15 00:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x57e1…9a45 | Yes | +703 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-29 10:57 |
| Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | +691 | $19 | $69 | 12 | 06-19 07:48 |
| Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | Yes | +622 | $17 | $17 | 3 | 06-12 00:34 |
| (anonymous) 0xfa39…977f | Yes | +480 | $16 | $65 | 9 | 06-02 01:17 |
| (anonymous) 0xb708…62fb | No | +416 | $405 | $405 | 1 | 06-13 15:15 |
| Mediocre-Paradise 0xc30c…6509 | No | +261 | $230 | $5,052 | 53 | 06-19 07:48 |
| Babyish-Latter 0x5494…85fe | Yes | +223 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 06-04 02:16 |
| Soggy-Culvert 0x43e8…5ba4 | Yes | +143 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-10 23:40 |
| Terrible-Ordinary 0x0a6d…1d0a | No | +141 | $136 | $136 | 2 | 06-12 16:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | Yes | +138 | $1 | $24 | 51 | 06-19 10:45 |
| Conscious-Alley 0x83ce…835c | No | +115 | $111 | $111 | 3 | 06-12 04:20 |
| Disastrous-Equation 0xb186…a946 | Yes | +100 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-10 22:43 |
| (anonymous) 0xf51b…ca1b | Yes | +100 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-28 20:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x3bc4…2d14 | No | +98 | $96 | $96 | 3 | 06-17 00:24 |
| Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | +65 | $-3 | $20 | 26 | 06-19 09:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x0238…208e | No | +51 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 06-16 13:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x9f7a…0fe4 | No | +51 | $50 | $50 | 3 | 06-03 11:03 |
| Ruddy-Soulmate 0x1517…e46c | No | +50 | $50 | $139 | 3 | 06-12 17:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x6105…21ee | No | +50 | $48 | $48 | 3 | 06-17 21:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x2f2d…91f2 | No | +50 | $48 | $48 | 2 | 06-18 21:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x48a3…d0c6 | No | +50 | $48 | $48 | 1 | 06-12 04:20 |
| (anonymous) 0xd0d8…4e4f | No | +50 | $48 | $48 | 2 | 06-17 16:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x3f8f…0a06 | No | +50 | $49 | $49 | 2 | 06-15 13:23 |
| Rude-Ecology 0x7ac4…4f44 | Yes | +49 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-13 02:00 |
| Kind-Senator 0x4b91…982d | Yes | +48 | $1 | $4 | 3 | 06-12 22:33 |
| Thirsty-Skyline 0xe4eb…91ef | Yes | +45 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-09 10:11 |
| Quick-Witted-Passenger 0x7089…7351 | Yes | +43 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-01 13:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x4947…30b2 | Yes | +40 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-29 00:06 |
| Dependable-Teacher 0x3d8e…58f0 | No | +27 | $26 | $26 | 1 | 06-19 09:09 |
| (anonymous) 0xe0af…532d | Yes | +27 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-04 14:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x8d4e…76e6 | No | +25 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 06-09 11:21 |
| (anonymous) 0x3983…a02c | No | +23 | $23 | $23 | 1 | 06-03 13:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x8502…147d | No | +21 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 06-08 12:22 |
| (anonymous) 0xdba9…2941 | No | +20 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 06-07 13:43 |
| Unlucky-Comparison 0xd883…4fd7 | No | +18 | $17 | $17 | 4 | 06-18 07:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x2491…2aa6 | No | +16 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 06-19 10:45 |
| (anonymous) 0x39aa…4e91 | No | +16 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 06-08 12:30 |
| Mundane-Airbag 0xa3af…b7a6 | No | +16 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 06-01 13:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x1485…1649 | No | +15 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 06-12 08:45 |
| (anonymous) 0xa31d…5b0c | No | +12 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 06-11 12:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x851a…bbaf | No | +12 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 06-12 09:38 |
| (anonymous) 0x0239…3f8a | No | +11 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 06-12 09:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x8174…4d70 | No | +11 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 06-17 13:20 |
| Internal-Hospitality 0x535f…9667 | Yes | +5 | $-3 | $21 | 11 | 06-15 00:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x659c…d142 | Yes | +5 | $-2 | $15 | 6 | 06-15 00:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x3365…972a | Yes | +4 | $-0 | $1 | 3 | 06-12 12:53 |
| (anonymous) 0xee67…67a6 | Yes | +2 | $-5 | $22 | 6 | 06-04 02:16 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-19 10:45:05 | (anonymous) 0xa236…0a77 | No | SELL | 64 | 96¢ | $61 | 0x1fa2fb… |
| 06-19 10:45:05 | (anonymous) 0x2491…2aa6 | No | BUY | 16 | 96¢ | $16 | 0x1fa2fb… |
| 06-19 10:45:05 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | Yes | SELL | 47 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x1fa2fb… |
| 06-19 09:09:05 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | Yes | BUY | 7 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xb9bd9d… |
| 06-19 09:09:05 | Dependable-Teacher 0x3d8e…58f0 | No | BUY | 27 | 97¢ | $26 | 0xb9bd9d… |
| 06-19 09:09:05 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xb9bd9d… |
| 06-19 07:48:11 | (anonymous) 0x7920…74bd | No | SELL | 53 | 97¢ | $52 | 0x88b4d6… |
| 06-19 07:48:11 | (anonymous) 0x8ab7…f4dd | No | SELL | 52 | 98¢ | $51 | 0x88b4d6… |
| 06-19 07:48:11 | (anonymous) 0xaf39…4e13 | No | SELL | 54 | 98¢ | $53 | 0x88b4d6… |
| 06-19 07:48:11 | Mediocre-Paradise 0xc30c…6509 | No | SELL | 772 | 98¢ | $752 | 0x88b4d6… |
| 06-19 07:48:11 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 56 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x88b4d6… |
| 06-19 07:48:11 | (anonymous) 0xa3d7…dde2 | Yes | SELL | 1,283 | 3¢ | $32 | 0x88b4d6… |
| 06-19 07:48:11 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | Yes | BUY | 32 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x88b4d6… |
| 06-19 07:27:13 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | Yes | SELL | 0 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xbbb144… |
| 06-19 07:27:13 | Elated-Seaweed 0x0396…c028 | No | SELL | 27 | 96¢ | $26 | 0xbbb144… |
| 06-19 07:25:49 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | Yes | SELL | 13 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x8fa77e… |
| 06-19 07:25:49 | Radiant-Acrylic 0xa168…9fa5 | No | SELL | 13 | 96¢ | $13 | 0x8fa77e… |
| 06-19 04:43:59 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | Yes | BUY | 64 | 3¢ | $2 | 0x4a4b3f… |
| 06-19 04:43:59 | (anonymous) 0xa236…0a77 | No | BUY | 64 | 97¢ | $62 | 0x4a4b3f… |
| 06-19 02:30:08 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | Yes | SELL | 41 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x4dee1e… |
| 06-19 02:30:08 | Courteous-Shock 0xe565…391e | No | SELL | 41 | 96¢ | $40 | 0x4dee1e… |
| 06-19 02:23:50 | Elated-Seaweed 0x0396…c028 | No | BUY | 27 | 97¢ | $26 | 0x4e3838… |
| 06-19 02:23:50 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | Yes | BUY | 27 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x4e3838… |
| 06-18 23:21:55 | Radiant-Acrylic 0xa168…9fa5 | No | BUY | 13 | 97¢ | $13 | 0xcc1796… |
| 06-18 23:21:55 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | Yes | BUY | 13 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xcc1796… |
| 06-18 21:03:05 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | Yes | SELL | 43 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x2f8227… |
| 06-18 21:03:05 | Apt-Rediscovery 0xd371…57c1 | No | SELL | 57 | 96¢ | $55 | 0x2f8227… |
| 06-18 21:03:05 | (anonymous) 0x2f2d…91f2 | No | BUY | 7 | 96¢ | $7 | 0x2f8227… |
| 06-18 19:37:10 | (anonymous) 0xd262…2199 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xbc73d1… |
| 06-18 19:37:10 | Informal-Chaise 0xd60f…7d25 | No | SELL | 59 | 96¢ | $57 | 0xbc73d1… |
| 06-18 19:37:10 | (anonymous) 0x2f2d…91f2 | No | BUY | 43 | 96¢ | $42 | 0xbc73d1… |
| 06-18 19:37:10 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | Yes | SELL | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xbc73d1… |
| 06-18 19:37:10 | Courteous-Shock 0xe565…391e | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0xbc73d1… |
| 06-18 19:27:50 | Courteous-Shock 0xe565…391e | No | BUY | 14 | 97¢ | $13 | 0x39cd7b… |
| 06-18 19:27:50 | Plump-Fright 0x27de…a5c9 | No | SELL | 14 | 97¢ | $13 | 0x39cd7b… |
| 06-18 19:22:55 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | Yes | BUY | 9 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x401642… |
| 06-18 19:22:55 | Courteous-Shock 0xe565…391e | No | BUY | 27 | 97¢ | $26 | 0x401642… |
| 06-18 14:01:22 | Apt-Rediscovery 0xd371…57c1 | No | BUY | 57 | 97¢ | $56 | 0x06a96e… |
| 06-18 14:01:22 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | Yes | BUY | 57 | 3¢ | $2 | 0x06a96e… |
| 06-18 13:46:58 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | Yes | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x4d80e6… |
| 06-18 13:46:58 | Paltry-Dwell 0x7ba9…a592 | No | SELL | 15 | 97¢ | $14 | 0x4d80e6… |
| 06-18 13:46:58 | (anonymous) 0x9116…740b | No | BUY | 0 | 97¢ | $0 | 0x4d80e6… |
| 06-18 13:46:58 | (anonymous) 0xd262…2199 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x4d80e6… |
| 06-18 12:32:52 | Informal-Chaise 0xd60f…7d25 | No | BUY | 59 | 97¢ | $57 | 0x64fd2d… |
| 06-18 12:32:52 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | Yes | BUY | 1 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x64fd2d… |
| 06-18 12:32:52 | (anonymous) 0xb7a5…8f3d | No | SELL | 50 | 97¢ | $49 | 0x64fd2d… |
| 06-18 11:31:14 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | Yes | SELL | 19 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xed2ec3… |
| 06-18 11:31:14 | (anonymous) 0xd262…2199 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xed2ec3… |
| 06-18 11:26:29 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | Yes | BUY | 14 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x9954c8… |
| 06-18 11:26:29 | Plump-Fright 0x27de…a5c9 | No | BUY | 14 | 97¢ | $13 | 0x9954c8… |
| 06-18 10:38:10 | Biodegradable-Ore 0x4f87…40fb | No | SELL | 14 | 96¢ | $13 | 0x5950fa… |
| 06-18 10:38:10 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | Yes | SELL | 14 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x5950fa… |
| 06-18 09:55:16 | Clueless-Consignment 0x4465…bb8e | No | SELL | 14 | 97¢ | $13 | 0xc3403d… |
| 06-18 09:55:16 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | Yes | SELL | 13 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xc3403d… |
| 06-18 09:55:16 | Paltry-Dwell 0x7ba9…a592 | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0xc3403d… |
| 06-18 09:40:35 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | Yes | BUY | 14 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x651d64… |
| 06-18 09:40:35 | Paltry-Dwell 0x7ba9…a592 | No | BUY | 14 | 97¢ | $13 | 0x651d64… |
| 06-18 07:14:14 | Unlucky-Comparison 0xd883…4fd7 | No | BUY | 6 | 96¢ | $6 | 0x7c09e4… |
| 06-18 07:14:14 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | Yes | SELL | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x7c09e4… |
| 06-18 07:14:14 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 36 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x7c09e4… |
| 06-18 07:14:14 | Aching-Equinox 0xe0c1…b911 | No | SELL | 49 | 96¢ | $47 | 0x7c09e4… |
| 06-18 03:34:50 | Biodegradable-Ore 0x4f87…40fb | No | BUY | 14 | 97¢ | $13 | 0xe07ba6… |
| 06-18 03:34:50 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | Yes | BUY | 14 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xe07ba6… |
| 06-18 03:08:16 | (anonymous) 0x3b89…e0ea | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x825c7a… |
| 06-18 03:08:16 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | Yes | BUY | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x825c7a… |
| 06-18 01:53:16 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | Yes | BUY | 14 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x4aaee5… |
| 06-18 01:53:16 | Clueless-Consignment 0x4465…bb8e | No | BUY | 14 | 97¢ | $13 | 0x4aaee5… |
| 06-18 01:12:23 | Aching-Equinox 0xe0c1…b911 | No | BUY | 49 | 98¢ | $48 | 0x53de51… |
| 06-18 01:12:23 | Mediocre-Paradise 0xc30c…6509 | No | SELL | 49 | 98¢ | $48 | 0x53de51… |
| 06-17 21:18:35 | Plush-Folklore 0xef7c…a5c6 | No | SELL | 38 | 96¢ | $37 | 0x467de1… |
| 06-17 21:18:35 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | Yes | SELL | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x467de1… |
| 06-17 21:18:35 | Unlucky-Comparison 0xd883…4fd7 | No | BUY | 4 | 96¢ | $4 | 0x467de1… |
| 06-17 21:18:35 | (anonymous) 0x6105…21ee | No | BUY | 13 | 97¢ | $12 | 0x467de1… |
| 06-17 19:31:58 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | Yes | SELL | 12 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x819249… |
| 06-17 19:31:58 | (anonymous) 0x6105…21ee | No | BUY | 19 | 96¢ | $19 | 0x819249… |
| 06-17 19:31:58 | Better-Persimmon 0x722d…cacc | No | SELL | 32 | 97¢ | $31 | 0x819249… |
| 06-17 16:32:32 | (anonymous) 0xd0d8…4e4f | No | BUY | 14 | 97¢ | $14 | 0x2c0cf0… |
| 06-17 16:32:32 | Golden-Enterprise 0x6377…466d | No | SELL | 49 | 97¢ | $47 | 0x2c0cf0… |
| 06-17 16:32:32 | (anonymous) 0x6105…21ee | No | BUY | 18 | 97¢ | $17 | 0x2c0cf0… |
| 06-17 16:32:32 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | Yes | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x2c0cf0… |
| 06-17 16:32:32 | Pungent-Leader 0x9739…159f | Yes | SELL | 6 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x2c0cf0… |
| 06-17 15:03:23 | Unwitting-Almanac 0x1d22…a0d4 | No | SELL | 55 | 97¢ | $53 | 0x8c7d84… |
| 06-17 15:03:23 | (anonymous) 0xd0d8…4e4f | No | BUY | 36 | 97¢ | $35 | 0x8c7d84… |
| 06-17 15:03:23 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | Yes | SELL | 10 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x8c7d84… |
| 06-17 14:31:38 | Mediocre-Paradise 0xc30c…6509 | No | SELL | 32 | 98¢ | $31 | 0x08ca30… |
| 06-17 14:31:38 | Better-Persimmon 0x722d…cacc | No | BUY | 32 | 98¢ | $31 | 0x08ca30… |
| 06-17 13:20:58 | (anonymous) 0x8174…4d70 | No | BUY | 11 | 97¢ | $11 | 0xa98376… |
| 06-17 13:20:58 | Mediocre-Paradise 0xc30c…6509 | No | SELL | 11 | 97¢ | $11 | 0xa98376… |
| 06-17 13:15:31 | Plush-Folklore 0xef7c…a5c6 | No | BUY | 38 | 97¢ | $37 | 0x53f70d… |
| 06-17 13:15:31 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | Yes | BUY | 14 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x53f70d… |
| 06-17 12:18:38 | Evil-Advertisement 0x335e…6bdf | No | SELL | 9 | 97¢ | $9 | 0xe5d93c… |
| 06-17 12:18:38 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | Yes | SELL | 4 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xe5d93c… |
| 06-17 12:05:31 | (anonymous) 0x1659…f6bd | No | SELL | 14 | 97¢ | $13 | 0x417fb5… |
| 06-17 12:05:31 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | Yes | SELL | 14 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x417fb5… |
| 06-17 11:02:22 | Unwitting-Almanac 0x1d22…a0d4 | No | BUY | 55 | 98¢ | $54 | 0x65ebc3… |
| 06-17 11:02:22 | Mediocre-Paradise 0xc30c…6509 | No | SELL | 55 | 98¢ | $54 | 0x65ebc3… |
| 06-17 09:26:55 | Golden-Enterprise 0x6377…466d | No | BUY | 49 | 98¢ | $48 | 0xac0bfb… |
| 06-17 09:26:55 | Mediocre-Paradise 0xc30c…6509 | No | SELL | 49 | 98¢ | $48 | 0xac0bfb… |
| 06-17 07:13:37 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | Yes | BUY | 9 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x254c59… |
| 06-17 07:13:37 | Evil-Advertisement 0x335e…6bdf | No | BUY | 9 | 97¢ | $9 | 0x254c59… |