Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026?
open
Total volume
$33,012
$21 in 24h
Trades
1,035
Unique wallets
295
Liquidity
$69,109
Latest YES mid
2¢
Latest NO mid
98¢
End date
2027-01-01
First seen
2026-05-27
last 07-10 21:28
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-0.8¢
(top1%: 3% YES on $1.8K
vs crowd: 4% YES on $20.0K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 10 | $17 | $5.8K | $5.8K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 19 | $314 | $5.1K | $4.8K |
| 🐟 Fish | 115 | $102 | $4.6K | $4.5K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 151 | $365 | $3.7K | $3.3K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 5 | $57 | $1.8K | $1.7K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 8 | $50 | $3.8K | $3.7K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 6 | $13 | $5 | +$8 |
| Median | 30 | $3 | $818 | $815 |
| Below median | 123 | $174 | $6.2K | $6.1K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 11 | $21 | $201 | $180 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 4 | — | $51 | $51 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 3 | $58 | $157 | $99 |
| unranked | 105 | $424 | $6.2K | $5.7K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophisticated-Turn 0xbe52…32c5 | Yes | +5,053 | $156 | $156 | 4 | 06-05 15:35 |
| Expensive-Manatee 0x09c0…305a | No | +3,168 | $3,040 | $3,040 | 5 | 06-01 13:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x9a3c…5089 | Yes | +2,858 | $104 | $104 | 4 | 06-12 16:55 |
| Back-Panel 0x174b…5a55 | Yes | +2,237 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 07-08 23:10 |
| Kind-Nanoparticle 0xad60…97f4 | No | +1,784 | $1,729 | $2,235 | 19 | 07-08 23:10 |
| Tinted-Consciousness 0xfea3…d227 | No | +1,556 | $1,507 | $1,507 | 12 | 06-07 08:30 |
| Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | +1,349 | $33 | $82 | 20 | 07-04 01:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x57e1…9a45 | Yes | +703 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-29 10:57 |
| Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | Yes | +622 | $17 | $17 | 3 | 06-12 00:34 |
| (anonymous) 0xfa39…977f | Yes | +480 | $16 | $65 | 9 | 06-02 01:17 |
| (anonymous) 0xb708…62fb | No | +416 | $405 | $405 | 1 | 06-13 15:15 |
| Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | +414 | $5 | $28 | 41 | 07-06 00:56 |
| Poor-Casualty 0x283d…221a | Yes | +400 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 06-29 13:09 |
| Mediocre-Paradise 0xc30c…6509 | No | +341 | $306 | $7,261 | 77 | 07-10 02:54 |
| Aggressive-Polenta 0x5e92…618a | No | +266 | $261 | $261 | 1 | 07-06 10:13 |
| (anonymous) 0xdb55…85af | Yes | +224 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-06 16:09 |
| Babyish-Latter 0x5494…85fe | Yes | +223 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 06-04 02:16 |
| Soggy-Culvert 0x43e8…5ba4 | Yes | +143 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-10 23:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | Yes | +126 | $-5 | $88 | 161 | 07-10 21:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x3c52…9eae | No | +102 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 07-08 03:39 |
| Disastrous-Equation 0xb186…a946 | Yes | +100 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-10 22:43 |
| (anonymous) 0xf51b…ca1b | Yes | +100 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-28 20:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x3bc4…2d14 | No | +98 | $96 | $96 | 3 | 06-17 00:24 |
| Quick-Witted-Passenger 0x7089…7351 | Yes | +85 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 07-01 20:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x2491…2aa6 | No | +79 | $77 | $109 | 4 | 07-01 09:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x4947…30b2 | Yes | +60 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 07-08 05:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x1445…af5a | No | +59 | $58 | $58 | 2 | 07-04 00:53 |
| (anonymous) 0x834b…1f64 | No | +53 | $52 | $52 | 2 | 06-29 13:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x9f7a…0fe4 | No | +51 | $50 | $50 | 3 | 06-03 11:03 |
| Ruddy-Soulmate 0x1517…e46c | No | +50 | $50 | $139 | 3 | 06-12 17:04 |
| Rude-Ecology 0x7ac4…4f44 | Yes | +49 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-13 02:00 |
| Kind-Senator 0x4b91…982d | Yes | +48 | $1 | $4 | 3 | 06-12 22:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x528e…cdc6 | No | +47 | $46 | $46 | 1 | 06-20 02:27 |
| Demanding-Flipflops 0xea06…7458 | No | +46 | $45 | $45 | 1 | 06-19 15:53 |
| Thirsty-Skyline 0xe4eb…91ef | Yes | +45 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-09 10:11 |
| Gracious-Remark 0x32eb…a86e | Yes | +45 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 06-20 00:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x4a13…e921 | Yes | +43 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-27 11:15 |
| Conscious-Alley 0x83ce…835c | No | +41 | $38 | $183 | 6 | 07-02 06:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x3365…972a | No | +40 | $39 | $64 | 9 | 06-30 18:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x3365…972a | Yes | +40 | $1 | $7 | 8 | 07-04 00:53 |
| Mundane-Airbag 0xa3af…b7a6 | No | +32 | $31 | $31 | 3 | 07-04 18:34 |
| (anonymous) 0xbd5f…c23e | Yes | +30 | $1 | $1 | 4 | 07-08 05:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x0a14…cc5f | No | +27 | $27 | $27 | 1 | 06-20 10:43 |
| (anonymous) 0xe0af…532d | Yes | +27 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-04 14:02 |
| Mammoth-Pastry 0xc792…382e | No | +26 | $26 | $26 | 1 | 07-10 17:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x62ab…2d17 | No | +26 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 06-20 06:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x8d4e…76e6 | No | +25 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 06-09 11:21 |
| (anonymous) 0x3983…a02c | No | +23 | $23 | $23 | 1 | 06-03 13:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x8502…147d | No | +21 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 06-08 12:22 |
| (anonymous) 0xdba9…2941 | No | +20 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 06-07 13:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x7664…7460 | No | +18 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 06-20 03:51 |
| Old-Discharge 0xa217…9e87 | No | +18 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 06-20 08:12 |
| (anonymous) 0xdf17…8408 | No | +17 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 06-20 00:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x39aa…4e91 | No | +16 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 06-08 12:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x77c0…a984 | No | +15 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 06-20 07:38 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-10 21:28:08 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x01c5fb… |
| 07-10 21:28:08 | (anonymous) 0xcc5b…67d0 | No | SELL | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x01c5fb… |
| 07-10 17:29:46 | Mammoth-Pastry 0xc792…382e | No | BUY | 26 | 98¢ | $26 | 0xc54d8a… |
| 07-10 17:29:46 | (anonymous) 0x035e…086d | No | SELL | 26 | 98¢ | $26 | 0xc54d8a… |
| 07-10 13:26:19 | (anonymous) 0x035e…086d | No | SELL | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x74f60f… |
| 07-10 13:26:19 | (anonymous) 0xcc5b…67d0 | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x74f60f… |
| 07-10 13:23:52 | (anonymous) 0x035e…086d | No | SELL | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0x60ec94… |
| 07-10 13:23:52 | (anonymous) 0x8e56…0617 | No | BUY | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0x60ec94… |
| 07-10 13:18:23 | (anonymous) 0x2f4c…9829 | No | BUY | 11 | 98¢ | $11 | 0xfa472d… |
| 07-10 13:18:23 | (anonymous) 0x035e…086d | No | SELL | 11 | 98¢ | $11 | 0xfa472d… |
| 07-10 09:12:05 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x3fc10c… |
| 07-10 09:12:05 | (anonymous) 0xb43d…59f3 | No | SELL | 39 | 98¢ | $38 | 0x3fc10c… |
| 07-10 09:12:05 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x3fc10c… |
| 07-10 09:12:05 | Terrible-Ordinary 0x0a6d…1d0a | No | BUY | 4 | 98¢ | $4 | 0x3fc10c… |
| 07-10 03:09:13 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | Yes | BUY | 14 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x2f4fbc… |
| 07-10 03:09:13 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x2f4fbc… |
| 07-10 03:09:13 | (anonymous) 0xb43d…59f3 | No | BUY | 39 | 98¢ | $38 | 0x2f4fbc… |
| 07-10 03:07:41 | Useful-Dolor 0xfe49…f3be | No | SELL | 61 | 98¢ | $59 | 0x516022… |
| 07-10 03:07:41 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | Yes | SELL | 61 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x516022… |
| 07-10 02:54:29 | (anonymous) 0xa58c…6fa1 | No | SELL | 69 | 98¢ | $68 | 0x36c58b… |
| 07-10 02:54:29 | Mediocre-Paradise 0xc30c…6509 | No | BUY | 37 | 98¢ | $36 | 0x36c58b… |
| 07-10 02:54:29 | (anonymous) 0x5533…51ba | Yes | SELL | 15 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x36c58b… |
| 07-10 02:54:29 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x36c58b… |
| 07-10 02:54:29 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x36c58b… |
| 07-10 00:38:16 | (anonymous) 0xbfd7…f91d | No | BUY | 9 | 98¢ | $9 | 0x87bda9… |
| 07-10 00:38:16 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | Yes | SELL | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x87bda9… |
| 07-10 00:38:16 | (anonymous) 0x5e2c…0b31 | No | SELL | 36 | 98¢ | $36 | 0x87bda9… |
| 07-10 00:38:16 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 18 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x87bda9… |
| 07-09 22:07:26 | Useful-Dolor 0xfe49…f3be | No | BUY | 61 | 98¢ | $60 | 0x8d7a5b… |
| 07-09 22:07:26 | Terrible-Ordinary 0x0a6d…1d0a | No | SELL | 12 | 98¢ | $12 | 0x8d7a5b… |
| 07-09 22:07:26 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | Yes | BUY | 0 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x8d7a5b… |
| 07-09 21:51:38 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | Yes | BUY | 44 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x2df5ee… |
| 07-09 21:51:38 | (anonymous) 0xa58c…6fa1 | No | BUY | 69 | 98¢ | $68 | 0x2df5ee… |
| 07-09 21:51:38 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x2df5ee… |
| 07-09 21:46:34 | Terrible-Ordinary 0x0a6d…1d0a | No | SELL | 8 | 98¢ | $8 | 0xcd70e3… |
| 07-09 21:46:34 | (anonymous) 0x3142…bf6a | Yes | SELL | 228 | 2¢ | $5 | 0xcd70e3… |
| 07-09 21:46:34 | (anonymous) 0x6105…21ee | No | SELL | 46 | 98¢ | $45 | 0xcd70e3… |
| 07-09 21:46:34 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 29 | 98¢ | $28 | 0xcd70e3… |
| 07-09 21:46:34 | (anonymous) 0xbfd7…f91d | No | SELL | 9 | 98¢ | $9 | 0xcd70e3… |
| 07-09 21:46:34 | (anonymous) 0x5533…51ba | Yes | BUY | 15 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xcd70e3… |
| 07-09 21:46:34 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | Yes | BUY | 89 | 2¢ | $2 | 0xcd70e3… |
| 07-09 20:37:29 | (anonymous) 0x5e2c…0b31 | No | BUY | 36 | 98¢ | $36 | 0x3fc7b2… |
| 07-09 20:37:29 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 20 | 98¢ | $20 | 0x3fc7b2… |
| 07-09 20:37:29 | (anonymous) 0x6105…21ee | No | SELL | 4 | 98¢ | $4 | 0x3fc7b2… |
| 07-09 20:37:29 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | Yes | BUY | 13 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x3fc7b2… |
| 07-09 16:32:41 | (anonymous) 0xa278…3369 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x08d5d8… |
| 07-09 16:32:41 | Identical-Inverse 0x5c98…a58b | No | SELL | 25 | 97¢ | $25 | 0x08d5d8… |
| 07-09 01:05:56 | Delicious-Leader 0x79d2…61ce | No | SELL | 6 | 97¢ | $6 | 0x04d26e… |
| 07-09 01:05:56 | (anonymous) 0xa278…3369 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x04d26e… |
| 07-08 23:10:52 | Back-Panel 0x174b…5a55 | Yes | BUY | 2,237 | 2¢ | $50 | 0x6d585d… |
| 07-08 23:10:52 | Intent-Ship 0x517b…fe53 | Yes | SELL | 1,318 | 2¢ | $28 | 0x6d585d… |
| 07-08 23:10:52 | Kind-Nanoparticle 0xad60…97f4 | No | BUY | 395 | 97¢ | $385 | 0x6d585d… |
| 07-08 23:10:52 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | Yes | SELL | 148 | 2¢ | $3 | 0x6d585d… |
| 07-08 23:10:52 | (anonymous) 0xa278…3369 | Yes | SELL | 306 | 3¢ | $8 | 0x6d585d… |
| 07-08 23:10:52 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 69 | 98¢ | $67 | 0x6d585d… |
| 07-08 19:18:02 | (anonymous) 0xf29b…ec44 | No | SELL | 43 | 98¢ | $43 | 0x89408b… |
| 07-08 19:18:02 | (anonymous) 0x0cdc…9056 | Yes | SELL | 43 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x89408b… |
| 07-08 14:42:05 | Impressionable-Set 0xd6c2…a53d | No | SELL | 21 | 98¢ | $21 | 0xb96360… |
| 07-08 14:42:05 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | Yes | SELL | 21 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xb96360… |
| 07-08 06:13:01 | (anonymous) 0x33af…675e | Yes | SELL | 4 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x14078b… |
| 07-08 06:13:01 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x14078b… |
| 07-08 06:13:01 | Total-Zampone 0x7659…9284 | No | SELL | 31 | 98¢ | $31 | 0x14078b… |
| 07-08 06:13:01 | (anonymous) 0xbfd7…f91d | No | BUY | 9 | 98¢ | $9 | 0x14078b… |
| 07-08 06:13:01 | Kind-Nanoparticle 0xad60…97f4 | No | BUY | 13 | 98¢ | $13 | 0x14078b… |
| 07-08 05:12:04 | (anonymous) 0x5287…09bd | No | SELL | 53 | 98¢ | $52 | 0xafb6d0… |
| 07-08 05:12:04 | Terrible-Ordinary 0x0a6d…1d0a | No | SELL | 250 | 98¢ | $246 | 0xafb6d0… |
| 07-08 05:12:04 | Well-Informed-Genetics 0x2aa0…e82f | Yes | SELL | 2,500 | 2¢ | $42 | 0xafb6d0… |
| 07-08 05:12:04 | Distant-Software 0x22e6…409f | No | SELL | 3 | 98¢ | $3 | 0xafb6d0… |
| 07-08 05:12:04 | (anonymous) 0x1362…89e4 | No | SELL | 51 | 98¢ | $50 | 0xafb6d0… |
| 07-08 05:12:04 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | Yes | BUY | 38 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xafb6d0… |
| 07-08 05:12:04 | (anonymous) 0xbfd7…f91d | No | SELL | 9 | 98¢ | $9 | 0xafb6d0… |
| 07-08 05:12:04 | Mediocre-Paradise 0xc30c…6509 | No | SELL | 478 | 98¢ | $467 | 0xafb6d0… |
| 07-08 05:12:04 | (anonymous) 0xbd5f…c23e | Yes | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xafb6d0… |
| 07-08 05:12:04 | Intent-Ship 0x517b…fe53 | Yes | BUY | 1,318 | 1¢ | $18 | 0xafb6d0… |
| 07-08 05:12:04 | (anonymous) 0xc6e5…a13e | No | SELL | 66 | 98¢ | $65 | 0xafb6d0… |
| 07-08 05:12:04 | (anonymous) 0x4947…30b2 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xafb6d0… |
| 07-08 04:31:46 | Powerful-Greenhouse 0x3565…ac36 | No | SELL | 60 | 98¢ | $58 | 0xab4a2b… |
| 07-08 04:31:46 | (anonymous) 0x33af…675e | Yes | SELL | 60 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xab4a2b… |
| 07-08 03:39:22 | Mediocre-Paradise 0xc30c…6509 | No | SELL | 102 | 98¢ | $100 | 0x06a0d4… |
| 07-08 03:39:22 | (anonymous) 0x3c52…9eae | No | BUY | 102 | 98¢ | $100 | 0x06a0d4… |
| 07-08 01:07:55 | Total-Zampone 0x7659…9284 | No | BUY | 31 | 98¢ | $31 | 0x814084… |
| 07-08 01:07:55 | Mediocre-Paradise 0xc30c…6509 | No | SELL | 31 | 98¢ | $31 | 0x814084… |
| 07-07 20:31:40 | Mediocre-Paradise 0xc30c…6509 | No | SELL | 60 | 98¢ | $58 | 0xe108a2… |
| 07-07 20:31:40 | Powerful-Greenhouse 0x3565…ac36 | No | BUY | 60 | 98¢ | $58 | 0xe108a2… |
| 07-07 15:50:35 | Mediocre-Paradise 0xc30c…6509 | No | BUY | 43 | 98¢ | $42 | 0x1eda7e… |
| 07-07 15:50:35 | (anonymous) 0x0cdc…9056 | Yes | BUY | 43 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x1eda7e… |
| 07-06 23:04:34 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | Yes | SELL | 38 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xdae4d6… |
| 07-06 23:04:34 | Mediocre-Paradise 0xc30c…6509 | No | BUY | 4 | 98¢ | $4 | 0xdae4d6… |
| 07-06 23:04:34 | (anonymous) 0x4aa1…4da6 | No | SELL | 42 | 98¢ | $41 | 0xdae4d6… |
| 07-06 20:53:38 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | Yes | SELL | 6 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x26c9e3… |
| 07-06 20:53:38 | (anonymous) 0x33af…675e | Yes | BUY | 6 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x26c9e3… |
| 07-06 20:52:25 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | Yes | SELL | 64 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x5e2f9e… |
| 07-06 20:52:25 | (anonymous) 0x33af…675e | Yes | BUY | 64 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x5e2f9e… |
| 07-06 18:02:32 | Mediocre-Paradise 0xc30c…6509 | No | SELL | 42 | 98¢ | $41 | 0x9af948… |
| 07-06 18:02:32 | (anonymous) 0x4aa1…4da6 | No | BUY | 42 | 98¢ | $41 | 0x9af948… |
| 07-06 16:09:41 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | Yes | SELL | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x9e9398… |
| 07-06 16:09:41 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x9e9398… |
| 07-06 16:09:41 | (anonymous) 0xdb55…85af | Yes | BUY | 224 | 2¢ | $5 | 0x9e9398… |
| 07-06 16:09:41 | Mediocre-Paradise 0xc30c…6509 | No | BUY | 87 | 98¢ | $85 | 0x9e9398… |
| 07-06 10:13:23 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xe16aa0… |