Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$669
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
782
lifetime
Volume
$246.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$315
Open exposure
$7.18K
11 positions
First seen
2026-01-10
last 06-10 00:54
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
99%
Other
1%
Crypto
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
36 active days in 12wk • peak 90 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +10,854 $1,960 18¢ $1.9K $-60 06-09 18:03
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +1,900 $1,462 84¢ $1.6K +$124 06-09 17:21
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? No +1,950 $1,137 62¢ $1.2K +$62 06-09 22:35
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? No +2,584 $749 32¢ $840 +$90 06-03 17:30
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? Yes +6,533 $494 12¢ $774 +$280 06-09 21:38
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes +2,614 $547 29¢ $745 +$197 06-08 05:27
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +2,451 $50 $55 +$5 06-07 22:49
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? Yes +123 $64 24¢ $30 $-34 06-08 02:28
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? Yes +103 $30 29¢ $30 +$0 06-04 23:03
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +537 $9 $11 +$2 06-06 02:23
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? No +17 $10 64¢ $11 +$1 06-05 20:25