Realized P&L
+$67
Unrealized P&L
+$63
Hit rate
69.8%
Resolved
333
Trades
64,321
lifetime
Volume
$81.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$257
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-12
last 07-21 11:56
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 23 days
Categories
Other
47% 22% +$31
Crypto
25% 30% $-5
Politics
23% 31% +$41
Tech
4%
Sports
1%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 264 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
NATO article 5 before 2027? Yes +181 $14 $14 $-1 07-17 19:06
Will Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +100 $3 13¢ $13 +$10 07-06 08:10
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +45 $5 28¢ $12 +$8 06-14 21:53
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting? Yes +100 $6 12¢ $12 +$6 07-21 14:59
Will Zcash reach $1100 by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $7 11¢ $11 +$4 07-05 07:47
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026? Yes +200 $18 $11 $-7 06-19 13:11
Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027? Yes -100 $-12 11¢ $-11 +$1 06-07 11:24
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81 Yes +100 $10 10¢ $10 +$0 07-06 20:51
Hyperbeat FDV above $50M one day after launch? Yes +100 $2 10¢ $10 +$8 07-20 14:00
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? OpenAI +66 $7 15¢ $10 +$3 06-30 12:42
U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027? Yes +100 $4 10¢ $10 +$6 07-14 22:12
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? Yes +119 $5 $9 +$4 07-20 21:13
Will Zcash dip to $100 by December 31, 2026? Yes -115 $-32 $-9 +$24 06-12 05:13
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes -100 $-9 $-8 +$0 07-18 17:10
Will Andy Beshear announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes +76 $5 11¢ $8 +$4 07-08 12:24
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $8 $8 $-0 06-24 13:22
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.5m barrels per day in 2026? Yes +100 $8 $8 $-0 07-05 00:24
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch? Yes +100 $6 $8 +$2 06-05 06:28
Lee Jae-myung impeached before 2027? Yes +100 $8 $8 $-1 06-21 08:15
Will the US federal government take a stake in Lockheed Martin Corporation? Yes +40 $2 18¢ $7 +$5 06-14 20:36
Will XRP reach $3.20 by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $5 $7 +$2 07-17 04:23
2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026? Yes -100 $-0 $-7 $-7 07-03 18:34
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $8 $6 $-2 06-30 13:33
Will George Clooney announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes +100 $7 $6 $-1 06-11 21:33
Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027? Yes -100 $-6 $-6 $-0 07-21 14:21
Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026? Yes +100 $10 $6 $-4 05-29 15:05
Will Marco Rubio announce a presidential run before 2027? Yes +100 $9 $6 $-3 07-18 01:09
Will the average monthly Ethereum gas price hit 25 Gwei before 2027? Yes +100 $8 $6 $-2 06-18 05:18
Will Lighter reach $10 before 2027? Yes -100 $-6 $-6 +$0 07-09 08:17
Will Chainlink dip to $4 by December 31, 2026? Yes +27 $2 21¢ $6 +$4 05-29 23:43