Realized P&L
+$67
Unrealized P&L
+$13
Hit rate
69.8%
Resolved
333
Trades
63,594
lifetime
Volume
$80.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$250
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-12
last 07-01 05:27
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 23 days
Categories
Other
47% 22% +$31
Crypto
25% 30% $-5
Politics
23% 31% +$41
Tech
3%
Sports
1%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 444 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Zcash dip to $100 by December 31, 2026? Yes -115 $-32 18¢ $-21 +$11 06-12 05:13
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes -100 $-9 15¢ $-15 $-6 06-06 08:32
Felix Protocol FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes +100 $10 12¢ $12 +$2 06-17 17:57
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026? Yes +200 $18 $12 $-6 06-19 13:11
Metamask FDV above $2B one day after launch? Yes +121 $10 $11 +$1 06-30 03:29
Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027? Yes -100 $-12 $-9 +$3 06-07 11:24
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? Yes +100 $9 $9 +$0 06-26 12:01
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch? Yes +100 $6 $9 +$3 06-05 06:28
Will the US federal government take a stake in Lockheed Martin Corporation? Yes +40 $2 22¢ $9 +$7 06-14 20:36
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? Yes +100 $9 $8 $-0 06-30 05:37
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $8 $8 +$0 06-25 09:43
Will Chainlink dip to $4 by December 31, 2026? Yes +27 $2 30¢ $8 +$7 05-29 23:43
Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027? Yes +100 $7 $8 +$0 06-09 14:15
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes +100 $7 $8 +$1 07-01 09:51
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $8 $8 $-0 06-30 13:33
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $8 $8 $-0 06-24 13:22
Lee Jae-myung impeached before 2027? Yes +100 $8 $7 $-2 06-21 08:15
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +45 $5 15¢ $7 +$2 06-14 21:53
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? Yes -100 $-8 $-7 +$2 06-28 03:25
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $7 $7 $-0 06-27 17:09
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December? Yes +100 $9 $6 $-2 05-31 08:03
Will George Clooney announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes +100 $7 $6 $-1 06-11 21:33
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? Yes +100 $9 $6 $-2 06-18 18:10
Will the average monthly Ethereum gas price hit 25 Gwei before 2027? Yes +100 $8 $6 $-2 06-18 05:18
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027? Yes +112 $7 $6 $-1 06-19 18:58
Will Oprah Winfrey announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes +100 $9 $6 $-3 06-11 21:32
Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026? Yes -100 $-7 $-6 +$1 06-10 17:39
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? OpenAI +66 $7 $6 $-1 06-30 12:42
Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch? Yes -93 $-6 $-6 $-0 06-25 12:51
Will Fernando Haddad qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? Yes +98 $6 $6 +$0 06-22 00:24