Realized P&L
+$67
Unrealized P&L
+$1
Hit rate
69.8%
Resolved
333
Trades
61,903
lifetime
Volume
$75.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$174
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-12
last 06-09 18:52
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 23 days
Categories
Other
46% 22% +$31
Crypto
26% 30% $-5
Politics
24% 31% +$41
Tech
3%
Sports
1%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 702 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026? Yes +100 $10 13¢ $13 +$3 05-29 15:05
Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027? Yes -100 $-12 11¢ $-11 +$1 06-07 11:24
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? Yes +168 $11 $9 $-2 06-09 06:10
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $11 $9 $-2 06-06 08:42
Will Chainlink dip to $4 by December 31, 2026? Yes +27 $2 32¢ $9 +$7 05-29 23:43
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes -100 $-9 $-8 +$0 06-06 08:32
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $7 $8 +$1 06-09 13:28
Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027? Yes +100 $7 $8 +$0 06-09 14:15
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch? Yes +100 $6 $7 +$1 06-05 06:28
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December? Yes +100 $9 $7 $-2 05-31 08:03
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $6 $6 +$0 06-08 01:48
Will Solana reach $260 by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $5 $6 +$2 06-05 11:42
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -100 $-5 $-6 $-1 06-04 17:37
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June? Yes -87 $-3 $-6 $-3 06-03 13:56
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes +77 $5 $6 +$0 06-09 17:48
Will BNB reach $1600 by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $6 $5 $-0 06-03 09:01
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $9,300 (HIGH) in December? Yes -87 $-7 $-5 +$2 06-03 23:13
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? Yes +57 $6 $5 $-1 06-04 09:28
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.25% or lower before 2027? Yes +100 $5 $4 $-0 05-30 21:30
Will BNB reach $1500 by December 31, 2026? Yes -53 $-5 $-4 +$0 05-30 18:18
Will Arc launch a token by June 30 2026? Yes +100 $4 $4 +$1 06-04 14:52
Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -100 $-3 $-4 $-1 06-05 04:46
Will Tarcisio de Frietas qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? Yes +100 $4 $4 +$0 06-02 20:56
Will Silver (SI) settle over $95 on the final trading day of June 2026? Yes +100 $2 $3 +$1 06-09 00:59
Will Theo launch a token by June 30 2026? Yes +100 $4 $3 $-1 06-02 17:15
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of June? Yes +100 $2 $2 +$0 06-09 13:40
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30? Yes +100 $8 $2 $-5 06-04 00:40
Will Trump endorse John Cornyn for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET? Yes -100 $-2 $-2 $-1 05-29 20:41
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by June 30? Yes +85 $2 $2 +$1 06-09 11:51
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $4 $2 $-1 06-06 21:10