Rude-Ecology 0x7ac423…434f44
whale bot hot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$1.66K
Unrealized P&L
+$58
Hit rate
56.5%
Resolved
8,828
Trades
80,398
lifetime
Volume
$102.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$94
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-12
last 10-27 02:40
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 234 days
Categories
Other
47% 26% +$432
Politics
27% 34% +$709
Crypto
21% 31% +$524
Tech
5% 30% -$38
Sports
1% 49% +$47
Pop-Culture
0% 14% -$12
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
77 active days in 12wk • peak 74 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Puffpaw FDV above $400M one day after launch? Yes -100 -$9 6¢ $-6 +$3 08-01 18:43
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +100 $4 6¢ $6 +$2 05-09 15:52
KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31? Yes +100 $9 5¢ $5 -$4 05-09 23:22
Vanta IPO before 2027? Yes +100 $0 5¢ $5 +$5 09-29 18:48
U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027? Yes +100 $4 4¢ $4 +$0 07-14 22:12
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026? Yes -73 -$2 6¢ $-4 -$3 05-07 17:37
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be at least $2.5T? Yes +100 $0 4¢ $4 +$4 10-20 02:11
Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch? Yes -93 -$6 4¢ $-4 +$2 06-25 12:51
Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch? Yes -100 -$4 4¢ $-4 $0 08-22 22:55
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -100 $1 4¢ $-4 -$4 07-22 08:36
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -100 -$1 4¢ $-4 -$3 07-11 07:44
Will the Republican Party win the WV-02 House seat? No +100 $6 3¢ $3 -$3 05-05 13:52
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027? Yes +130 $1 2¢ $3 +$2 10-05 17:45
Iran nuclear test before 2027? Yes -78 -$5 4¢ $-3 +$2 07-25 01:40
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US before 2027? Yes -100 -$2 3¢ $-3 -$1 09-22 18:20
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? No +3 -$10 88¢ $3 +$13 06-30 12:29
Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch? Yes -42 -$3 6¢ $-3 +$0 06-08 06:17
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -100 -$2 2¢ $-2 $0 08-25 21:22
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -136 -$2 2¢ $-2 -$1 10-04 00:57
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes +117 $9 2¢ $2 -$6 07-24 15:08
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027? Yes +119 $0 2¢ $2 +$2 08-29 21:27
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? Yes -100 -$46 2¢ $-2 +$43 07-24 14:37
Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +100 $0 2¢ $2 +$2 05-02 11:06
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE before 2027? Yes +120 $1 2¢ $2 +$1 10-21 20:31
Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +63 $0 3¢ $2 +$2 05-07 06:14
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +59 $3 3¢ $2 -$1 06-15 05:34
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027? Yes +50 $0 3¢ $2 +$1 10-23 21:42
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -100 -$1 2¢ $-2 -$1 07-23 03:58
Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027? Yes +100 $7 1¢ $1 -$6 06-09 14:15
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey before 2027? Yes -187 -$6 1¢ $-1 +$4 10-25 19:59