Rude-Ecology — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$67

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

69.8%

Resolved

333

Trades

64,522

lifetime

Volume

$82.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-12

last 08-10 11:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 23 days

Categories

Other

47% 22% +$31

Crypto

25% 30% $-5

Politics

23% 31% +$41

Tech

4% — —

Sports

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

81 active days in 12wk • peak 248 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	188	$747	8,660	8,909	-249	open	—	05-29 20:40
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	395	$728	15,779	15,618	+161	open	—	03-04 18:33
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	196	$560	8,196	8,236	-40	open	—	03-29 05:04
netanyahu out by march 31 854	239	$554	8,960	8,960	+0	open	—	03-30 10:47
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	328	$524	4,439	4,617	-177	open	—	07-24 15:08
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	202	$500	7,351	7,329	+22	open	—	03-04 18:34
will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	208	$497	6,234	6,249	-15	open	—	03-31 01:23
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	111	$444	4,620	4,620	+0	open	—	06-28 22:58
will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	150	$379	5,990	6,017	-27	open	—	03-30 11:59
will bitcoin dip to 50k in february 2026 273 489 988	123	$330	4,395	4,411	-16	open	—	02-28 06:33
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	156	$324	6,216	6,141	+75	open	—	04-27 01:11
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	231	$322	9,320	9,155	+165	open	—	04-28 10:34
will bitcoin dip to 55k in february 2026 644 513 935	73	$319	3,013	2,777	+236	open	—	02-28 06:24
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	191	$316	7,814	7,730	+85	open	—	03-30 06:13
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	171	$307	7,583	7,483	+100	open	—	03-29 23:18
GTA VI released before June 2026?	259	$288	8,689	8,558	+131	open	—	05-31 07:49
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	75	$278	3,269	3,201	+68	open	—	07-23 11:20
will crude oil cl hit high 180 by end of march 692	123	$275	5,445	5,345	+100	open	—	03-30 19:39
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	113	$258	4,640	4,640	+0	open	—	05-14 13:32
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	44	$253	1,991	1,991	+0	open	—	07-22 01:05
will bitcoin reach 90k in march 2026	169	$252	5,645	5,643	+2	open	—	03-30 12:07
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	139	$245	5,020	5,005	+15	open	—	04-27 03:03
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	61	$240	2,498	2,498	+0	Yes	+$7	05-07 20:25
trump out as president by march 31	151	$239	6,798	6,898	-100	open	—	03-29 08:47
will bitcoin reach 85k in march 2026	96	$223	4,000	4,000	+0	open	—	03-31 07:22
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	162	$220	6,034	6,034	+0	open	—	04-27 19:53
will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	155	$212	6,530	6,270	+260	open	—	04-01 00:08
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	209	$211	8,785	8,634	+151	open	—	03-29 20:51
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	76	$208	2,134	2,134	+0	Yes	+$4	04-27 19:58
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	121	$195	4,625	4,707	-82	open	—	04-27 00:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 11:57:03	Will BNB reach $1600 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	32	6¢	$2	0x3792b9…
08-09 08:18:10	Will BNB reach $1600 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	6¢	$1	0x1ef200…
08-09 04:43:45	Will BNB reach $1600 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	46	6¢	$3	0x25f137…
08-08 18:15:16	spacex ipo officially added to sp 500 in 2026 20260608202834697	Yes	SELL	35	4¢	$1	0x6684a5…
08-07 18:10:21	Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.25% or lower before 2027?	Yes	SELL	74	5¢	$4	0x603035…
08-07 03:54:00	Will Trump meet with Jair Bolsonaro in 2026?	Yes	SELL	51	6¢	$3	0x6406b0…
08-06 00:38:12	Will Andy Beshear announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Yes	SELL	76	10¢	$8	0x83d59e…
08-04 14:29:44	Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?	No	SELL	100	3¢	$3	0x01dbe2…
08-01 18:43:45	Puffpaw FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	100	9¢	$9	0x03fcec…
07-31 20:05:05	Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?	Yes	SELL	160	2¢	$4	0x305556…
07-31 13:58:53	netanyahu out by july 31	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x125bcb…
07-31 13:06:57	Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?	Yes	SELL	100	2¢	$2	0x5ede28…
07-30 01:03:03	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	3	0¢	$0	0xf6c6c0…
07-30 00:55:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x1c089e…
07-30 00:54:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	92	0¢	$0	0xa43485…
07-29 21:54:26	putin out as president of russia by september 30 2026	Yes	SELL	100	4¢	$4	0xdb4332…
07-29 20:16:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xd9bc71…
07-29 15:39:48	Will Russia enter Orikhiv by July 31?	Yes	BUY	24	1¢	$0	0x58cb59…
07-29 15:29:17	Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	7¢	$7	0xf17e70…
07-29 12:08:51	putin out as president of russia by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0xce2f59…
07-29 10:46:32	will ethereum dip to 700 by december 31 2026 from june 8	Yes	SELL	100	6¢	$6	0x3eb2d5…
07-28 21:53:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x83028e…
07-28 16:35:22	Will XRP reach $4.20 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xe228dd…
07-28 16:27:14	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	Yes	SELL	22	11¢	$2	0xf171a8…
07-28 15:57:17	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	11¢	$11	0x200aa3…
07-28 15:35:07	putin out as president of russia by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x5afc85…
07-28 15:30:26	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 7 2026	Yes	SELL	100	2¢	$2	0xe1dd1f…
07-28 14:53:41	netanyahu out by july 31	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x6f0338…
07-28 12:59:31	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 7 2026	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x3e7d50…
07-28 10:57:19	will the iphone 18 pro cost at least 1100 20260623232159229	No	BUY	43	0¢	$0	0xb34398…
07-28 08:21:52	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	9¢	$0	0x2d9fb0…
07-28 08:10:36	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	15	9¢	$1	0xad5432…
07-28 08:06:15	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	80	9¢	$7	0xb91ef5…
07-28 07:06:45	gemini 4pt0 released by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0xf61191…
07-28 07:04:30	will anthropic ipo by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xf8998f…
07-28 06:53:28	Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026?	Yes	SELL	44	4¢	$2	0x4f410b…
07-28 05:38:54	Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026?	Yes	SELL	56	4¢	$2	0x8d61d6…
07-28 03:37:39	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x7a6cac…
07-27 18:13:34	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	Yes	SELL	10	6¢	$1	0x9db139…
07-27 16:21:06	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0xa82fa5…
07-27 05:10:22	Ethereum all time high by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x515cd9…
07-27 03:48:48	Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0xca66b9…
07-26 23:27:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0xb66aeb…
07-26 23:27:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x2f37b1…
07-26 23:27:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	9	1¢	$0	0x0f46f3…
07-26 23:27:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	51	1¢	$0	0x8eae73…
07-26 22:24:49	Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x3b07c3…
07-26 20:56:25	Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	2¢	$2	0xd3f31f…
07-26 19:37:36	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xa9c8de…
07-26 13:29:01	Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	6¢	$6	0x95a32d…
07-26 11:05:51	Will Katie Britt announce a presidential run before 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x1e99f5…
07-26 08:51:39	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	200	1¢	$1	0x506720…
07-26 06:57:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xf7c910…
07-26 06:40:16	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	Yes	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0x1656bf…
07-26 06:26:04	Metamask FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	21	6¢	$1	0xb20a41…
07-26 06:24:09	Metamask FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	30	6¢	$2	0xf4d414…
07-26 06:21:57	Metamask FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	40	6¢	$2	0xa672f9…
07-26 06:21:21	Metamask FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	30	6¢	$2	0xf97927…
07-26 05:49:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	16	1¢	$0	0x9ab1a1…
07-26 05:46:42	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x184cd8…
07-26 05:36:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xc01d34…
07-26 05:35:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	76	1¢	$1	0x3c0d37…
07-26 05:21:51	meloni out as prime minister of italy by july 31 20260626161642636	Yes	BUY	24	0¢	$0	0x3b1d45…
07-26 04:00:27	meloni out as prime minister of italy by july 31 20260626161642636	Yes	BUY	29	0¢	$0	0xd8c94a…
07-25 23:35:51	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0xbb5dcb…
07-25 21:49:39	netanyahu out by july 31	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0xdea679…
07-25 19:19:07	Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xb843cf…
07-25 19:04:27	Will any FaZe member come out as a furry by July 31?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x9f9a6a…
07-25 18:39:57	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xf593c5…
07-25 18:23:16	spacex ipo officially added to sp 500 in 2026 20260608202834697	Yes	BUY	35	3¢	$1	0x2829e1…
07-25 06:33:57	Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xa3cf29…
07-25 05:51:03	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0x3196a9…
07-25 04:39:42	will spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy pop	No	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0xb5de79…
07-25 04:12:09	will spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy pop	No	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x6e4712…
07-25 03:06:43	will spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy pop	No	SELL	100	2¢	$2	0x919d73…
07-25 03:01:30	will spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy pop	No	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x73d2e4…
07-25 02:54:01	Will the DFM Real Estate Index hit 18,000 in 2026?	Yes	BUY	82	6¢	$5	0xa8b0c5…
07-25 01:40:43	netanyahu out by july 31	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xea3688…
07-25 01:40:21	Iran nuclear test before 2027?	Yes	SELL	78	6¢	$5	0xd3e0fa…
07-24 23:25:52	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 26 20260723195838193	No	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x714660…
07-24 22:52:07	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by august 31	No	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x03ff5f…
07-24 22:51:37	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 26 20260723195838193	No	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x747f4b…
07-24 15:46:42	Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	90	4¢	$4	0xa3606e…
07-24 15:33:04	Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0x630419…
07-24 15:08:07	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	4¢	$4	0xebec89…
07-24 14:37:01	Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?	Yes	SELL	100	10¢	$10	0x0ec7ce…
07-24 13:56:37	Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	4¢	$0	0xfd15dc…
07-24 13:52:16	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0xd8732b…
07-24 13:47:36	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by august 31	No	SELL	47	2¢	$1	0xe4d458…
07-24 13:31:51	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	8¢	$8	0x186a03…
07-24 12:27:36	new stranger things episode released by july 31	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x0766a9…
07-24 10:44:04	Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	3¢	$0	0x25578b…
07-24 10:09:49	Will Ventuals launch a token by September 30 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x394c9a…
07-24 09:43:07	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by august 31	No	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0xcf263a…
07-24 09:24:13	Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	3¢	$0	0xeb1a06…
07-24 09:02:06	Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0x820fd9…
07-24 08:05:21	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by august 31	No	BUY	47	0¢	$0	0xbd5fd5…
07-24 07:44:00	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0x3afb94…
07-24 05:47:51	putin out as president of russia by september 30 2026	Yes	SELL	101	4¢	$4	0xde3ea8…
07-24 01:24:09	Will Phantom launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x462358…