Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.25% or lower before 2027?
open
Total volume
$265
Trades
21
Unique wallets
10
Liquidity
$4,667
Latest YES mid
4¢
Latest NO mid
96¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-30
last 06-01 18:44
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
NO holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 1 | — | $31 | $31 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 5 | $29 | $44 | $16 |
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | $16 | — | +$16 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 1 | — | — | +— |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $10 | — | +$10 |
| Median | 1 | — | — | +— |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | $6 | — | +$6 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 4 | $29 | $21 | +$8 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | — | $31 | $31 |
| unranked | 1 | — | $24 | $24 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kind-Senator 0x4b91…982d | Yes | +100 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-30 21:30 |
| Rude-Ecology 0x7ac4…4f44 | Yes | +100 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-30 21:30 |
| Purple-Yarn 0x7c9e…db3d | Yes | +97 | $5 | $6 | 2 | 06-01 18:44 |
| Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | +82 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-30 21:30 |
| Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | No | +22 | $21 | $21 | 1 | 05-31 15:20 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-01 18:44:51 | Purple-Yarn 0x7c9e…db3d | Yes | SELL | 3 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xb6924b… |
| 06-01 18:44:51 | Faint-Obedience 0xca76…b9c1 | No | SELL | 3 | 94¢ | $3 | 0xb6924b… |
| 05-31 20:02:36 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | No | SELL | 25 | 95¢ | $24 | 0xbf4b03… |
| 05-31 20:02:36 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xbf4b03… |
| 05-31 16:11:02 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 5¢ | $2 | 0xe0da08… |
| 05-31 16:11:02 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 33 | 95¢ | $31 | 0xe0da08… |
| 05-31 16:11:02 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xe0da08… |
| 05-31 15:20:17 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 33 | 94¢ | $31 | 0x9dff62… |
| 05-31 15:20:17 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x9dff62… |
| 05-31 15:20:17 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | No | BUY | 22 | 95¢ | $21 | 0x9dff62… |
| 05-31 15:20:17 | Purple-Yarn 0x7c9e…db3d | Yes | BUY | 100 | 6¢ | $6 | 0x9dff62… |
| 05-31 15:20:17 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | No | BUY | 25 | 94¢ | $24 | 0x9dff62… |
| 05-30 21:30:20 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | Yes | SELL | 327 | 5¢ | $16 | 0x5a408d… |
| 05-30 21:30:20 | Kind-Senator 0x4b91…982d | Yes | BUY | 100 | 5¢ | $5 | 0x5a408d… |
| 05-30 21:30:20 | Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | BUY | 82 | 5¢ | $4 | 0x5a408d… |
| 05-30 21:30:20 | Rude-Ecology 0x7ac4…4f44 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 5¢ | $5 | 0x5a408d… |
| 05-30 21:30:20 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 45 | 95¢ | $43 | 0x5a408d… |
| 05-30 21:30:13 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 6¢ | $3 | 0xbed921… |
| 05-30 21:30:13 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xbed921… |
| 05-30 21:30:13 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | Yes | SELL | 397 | 6¢ | $24 | 0xbed921… |
| 05-30 21:30:13 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | Yes | BUY | 327 | 6¢ | $20 | 0xbed921… |