Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

90.9%

Resolved

Trades

3,047

lifetime

Volume

$3.52K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-18

last 08-12 07:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Politics

52% 75% +$3

Other

43% 100% +$1

Sports

3% — —

Tech

2% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

78 active days in 12wk • peak 45 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	103	$154	92	93	-1	open	—	03-23 15:37
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	40	$153	80	80	+0	open	—	04-13 18:11
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	101	$127	134	132	+2	open	—	03-07 08:33
will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	72	$101	69	64	+5	open	—	03-24 17:53
netanyahu out by march 31 854	86	$100	52	52	+0	open	—	03-17 09:50
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	86	$81	129	98	+32	open	—	07-07 19:31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	65	$71	39	37	+2	open	—	06-28 21:34
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	39	$64	45	45	-0	open	—	03-01 15:56
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	28	$62	35	29	+6	open	—	03-11 00:37
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	49	$53	37	35	+2	open	—	08-04 00:25
will germany strike iran by march 31	21	$46	25	25	+0	open	—	03-06 06:52
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	26	$44	60	44	+16	open	—	02-27 16:41
israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	38	$42	26	19	+7	open	—	07-10 22:10
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	27	$41	21	22	-1	open	—	05-17 23:31
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	38	$41	37	36	+1	open	—	03-15 01:41
will any eu country strike iran by march 31	22	$40	23	23	+0	open	—	03-23 14:33
fact check maduro capture staged	30	$40	22	19	+3	open	—	03-15 07:15
Gemini 3.5 released by March 31?	23	$38	26	26	+0	open	—	02-19 18:42
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	23	$37	46	44	+3	open	—	02-27 15:47
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	33	$37	22	23	-1	open	—	07-07 19:57
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?	34	$36	31	6	+24	open	—	03-28 19:26
us strikes iran by february 24 2026	23	$34	34	34	+1	open	—	02-25 03:18
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?	9	$33	17	17	+0	open	—	03-24 03:13
us strikes iran by february 19 2026 992	19	$33	17	17	+0	open	—	02-19 19:06
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	23	$33	17	17	+0	open	—	07-06 13:36
Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?	24	$29	15	15	+0	open	—	04-10 21:34
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	16	$29	17	17	+0	open	—	04-02 11:06
iran strike on qatar by february 28 2026 334	20	$29	19	18	+1	open	—	02-28 20:59
US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?	22	$26	48	49	-1	open	—	02-27 19:32
will france uk or germany strike iran by february 28	15	$24	13	12	+1	open	—	02-21 06:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-12 07:01:28	AI bubble burst in 2026?	No	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x6deedf…
08-12 03:26:42	us iran final nuclear deal by september 30 2026	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x62552d…
08-11 14:40:58	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	No	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x4af20a…
08-11 11:14:04	Anthropic IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	0	82¢	$0	0x89f06a…
08-11 11:14:01	Anthropic IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0xd52408…
08-11 09:22:28	AI bubble burst in 2026?	No	SELL	0	86¢	$0	0x858057…
08-11 07:59:01	Anthropic IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x19ba8d…
08-11 03:37:16	Anthropic IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x3ee3a0…
08-11 03:31:13	Anthropic IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x3b6014…
08-10 21:42:09	AI bubble burst in 2026?	No	SELL	0	86¢	$0	0xb8bd2f…
08-10 14:29:39	AI bubble burst in 2026?	No	SELL	0	85¢	$0	0x46006b…
08-10 08:48:37	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	SELL	0	80¢	$0	0x457a2b…
08-10 06:06:36	iran leadership change by august 22	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x558a5f…
08-09 15:56:30	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157	Yes	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x86b77f…
08-09 11:39:09	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	SELL	1	78¢	$1	0xd18eef…
08-09 10:21:04	AI bubble burst in 2026?	No	SELL	0	87¢	$0	0xfe7329…
08-09 08:20:00	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 10 2026	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x9cbdae…
08-09 06:28:22	iran leadership change by november 30	No	SELL	0	84¢	$0	0xd5d123…
08-09 06:23:40	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 11 2026	No	SELL	1	88¢	$0	0x4f208a…
08-08 22:40:24	tesla and spacex merger officially announced by september 30	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x0e0b34…
08-08 22:06:49	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 11 2026	No	SELL	1	88¢	$0	0xfc8588…
08-08 21:28:21	iran leadership change by november 30	No	SELL	0	84¢	$0	0x83c166…
08-08 20:18:46	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 11 2026	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x1e5a44…
08-08 19:16:28	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	SELL	1	68¢	$1	0xf613cd…
08-08 18:02:22	Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.25% or lower before 2027?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x7d6f10…
08-08 16:55:07	iran leadership change by november 30	No	SELL	0	84¢	$0	0x84da3b…
08-08 06:34:06	Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.75% or higher before 2027?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x2f6e9d…
08-08 06:28:45	Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.25% or lower before 2027?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x80d5da…
08-08 06:21:19	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	2	87¢	$2	0x8ce6a4…
08-08 06:07:45	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xa3fd9f…
08-08 05:30:45	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x431978…
08-08 05:23:55	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x29962d…
08-08 05:11:01	Mistral AI IPO before 2027?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x45483c…
08-08 05:06:25	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x5eea2f…
08-08 04:48:37	us iran final nuclear deal by september 30 2026	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xff6a8f…
08-08 04:47:30	tesla and spacex merger officially announced by september 30	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x85acf6…
08-08 04:45:10	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xa43070…
08-08 04:41:28	iran leadership change by november 30	No	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x142ee1…
08-08 04:40:48	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x4a8181…
08-08 03:05:34	tesla and spacex merger officially announced by september 30	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x2ed384…
08-07 15:57:46	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xbbfd9e…
08-07 15:02:04	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	No	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0x7bb340…
08-07 12:28:49	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	No	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0x021dc0…
08-07 01:47:22	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xf64663…
08-07 01:47:06	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x4a0884…
08-06 17:31:08	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x686584…
08-06 16:54:11	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	SELL	6	80¢	$5	0x69efc9…
08-06 16:24:32	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xa4acba…
08-06 16:24:23	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xdaf768…
08-06 16:24:00	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x413d22…
08-06 16:23:57	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x62fb8b…
08-06 16:19:12	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xa34e29…
08-05 16:13:08	will trump say waitress during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421458	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x7df311…
08-05 16:11:51	will trump say waitress during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421458	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x579efd…
08-05 16:08:32	will trump say waitress during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421458	Yes	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x0717f8…
08-05 15:34:38	Will LIV Golf announce shutdown in 2026?	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x8c92c3…
08-05 05:01:20	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xf4d2ca…
08-04 02:56:59	tesla and spacex merger officially announced by september 30	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xb9b527…
08-04 02:32:51	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x7175c9…
08-04 00:25:33	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	1	78¢	$1	0x539a7b…
08-03 12:04:59	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x8c6435…
08-03 03:08:18	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xa083ec…
08-02 23:47:21	will wti reach 110 in august 2026	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x6fa9ee…
08-02 22:53:26	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	SELL	1	52¢	$1	0xf0f6d5…
08-02 22:48:36	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	SELL	1	52¢	$1	0x8c87a8…
08-02 22:14:51	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xeab8fa…
08-02 22:00:09	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	SELL	4	43¢	$2	0x928f57…
08-02 21:44:11	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xf6113b…
08-02 21:22:21	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x8e0a4d…
08-02 18:41:12	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	66¢	$1	0xcf1782…
08-02 16:37:30	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x770f42…
08-02 15:22:21	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	66¢	$0	0xa9e081…
08-02 15:19:15	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	66¢	$0	0x2bede3…
08-02 14:23:47	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x2ac8fd…
08-02 07:33:45	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xa3c6d8…
08-02 06:27:26	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x778f0a…
08-02 06:25:08	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xfa6df2…
08-02 06:20:59	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xe91c3f…
08-02 04:50:36	will wti reach 110 in august 2026	No	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0xaeb15a…
08-02 04:33:30	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x5d36f0…
08-02 03:39:11	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xc4cd2b…
08-02 03:03:09	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	4	56¢	$2	0xc082d5…
08-02 02:40:38	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	1	23¢	$0	0x8bd52f…
08-02 02:39:41	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	4	21¢	$1	0x788e1c…
08-02 02:29:05	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x429b3f…
08-02 02:27:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xf0290b…
08-02 02:23:51	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	0	21¢	$0	0x0856a5…
08-02 02:23:39	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x3c7442…
08-02 02:22:35	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	1	21¢	$0	0x54b4d1…
08-02 02:21:45	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	1	23¢	$0	0x5678e0…
08-02 02:18:42	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	SELL	0	64¢	$0	0x483270…
08-02 02:18:41	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	SELL	0	64¢	$0	0x230bc0…
08-02 02:16:45	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	1	20¢	$0	0x239ca4…
08-02 02:16:08	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	0	20¢	$0	0x31a33e…
08-02 02:13:26	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	1	20¢	$0	0x1fa51f…
08-02 02:11:02	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	4	78¢	$3	0xa9711d…
08-02 02:05:56	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xeee025…
08-02 00:05:27	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	6	24¢	$1	0x60cce6…
08-01 23:52:38	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x2d9bc1…
08-01 23:27:27	will wti reach 100 in august 2026	No	SELL	4	54¢	$2	0x694318…