Realized P&L
+$4
Unrealized P&L
+$6
Hit rate
90.9%
Resolved
8
Trades
2,615
lifetime
Volume
$3.10K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$21
12 positions
First seen
2026-02-18
last 07-01 16:23
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Politics
53% 75% +$3
Other
42% 100% +$1
Sports
3%
Tech
2%
Crypto
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
71 active days in 12wk • peak 45 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? No -4 $-4 96¢ $-4 $-0 06-06 14:43
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No +5 $1 76¢ $4 +$3 06-09 22:44
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No +4 $1 74¢ $3 +$2 06-09 22:45
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No -2 $-2 95¢ $-2 $-0 06-13 17:59
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +2 $2 100¢ $2 +$0 06-28 21:34
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes -2 $-2 82¢ $-2 +$0 06-15 14:40
Discord IPO before 2027? No +3 $1 47¢ $1 +$0 06-08 23:30
Major CEX insolvent in 2026? No +1 $1 93¢ $1 $-0 06-20 14:31
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? No +1 $1 92¢ $1 +$0 06-27 00:14
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting? No +1 $0 79¢ $1 +$0 06-25 19:09
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes -1 $-1 30¢ $-0 +$0 06-24 16:55
AI bubble burst in 2026? No +0 $0 81¢ $0 +$0 06-20 13:15