Realized P&L
+$4
Unrealized P&L
+$6
Hit rate
90.9%
Resolved
8
Trades
2,848
lifetime
Volume
$3.35K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$33
17 positions
First seen
2026-02-18
last 07-22 04:31
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Politics
52% 75% +$3
Other
43% 100% +$1
Sports
3%
Tech
2%
Crypto
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
74 active days in 12wk • peak 45 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? No +8 $8 96¢ $8 +$0 07-19 21:14
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No +5 $1 82¢ $4 +$3 06-09 22:44
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? No -4 $-4 98¢ $-4 $-0 06-06 14:43
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No +4 $1 80¢ $4 +$3 06-09 22:45
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +3 $2 70¢ $2 $-0 07-22 10:40
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No -2 $-2 96¢ $-2 $-0 06-13 17:59
Discord IPO before 2027? No +3 $1 66¢ $2 +$1 06-08 23:30
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting? Yes +9 $2 15¢ $1 $-1 07-14 12:31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes -2 $-2 54¢ $-1 +$1 06-15 14:40
Will the US federal government take a stake in Samsung Electronics Co., Ltd.? No +1 $1 94¢ $1 +$0 07-07 23:32
Databricks IPO before 2027? No +1 $1 90¢ $1 +$0 07-17 17:55
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? No +1 $1 78¢ $1 $-0 06-27 00:14
Major CEX insolvent in 2026? No +1 $0 94¢ $0 $-0 07-05 03:46
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? Yes +1 $1 52¢ $0 $-0 07-22 01:16
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? Yes +0 $0 92¢ $0 $-0 07-06 21:07
AI bubble burst in 2026? No +0 $0 83¢ $0 $-0 07-18 19:04
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes -1 $-1 $-0 +$1 06-24 16:55