Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$667

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

56.3%

Resolved

499

Trades

1,765

lifetime

Volume

$19.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-08

last 09-17 15:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 101 days

Categories

Other

54% 32% -$408

Politics

25% 32% -$150

Sports

15% 43% -$94

Tech

5% 42% -$16

Crypto

0% 33% +$1

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

30 active days in 12wk • peak 104 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the 2026 bad bunny super bowl halftime show video get between 100m and 125m views in its first 7 days	12	$541	275	275	+0	No	+$0	02-15 15:15
will cardi b perform during the super bowl lx halftime show	12	$474	300	300	+0	Yes	+$7	02-09 05:40
will silver si hit high 120 by end of february 431 947 594 173 652 316	17	$415	220	220	+0	No	+$0	02-22 20:22
spx up or down on february 18 2026	7	$391	250	150	+100	Up	+$0	02-18 20:52
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	16	$273	160	160	+0	Yes	+$0	02-18 16:27
will silver si hit high 160 by end of february 597 366 984 937	4	$195	100	100	+0	No	+$0	02-10 22:29
will the 2026 bad bunny super bowl halftime show video get between 75m and 100m views in its first 7 days	4	$194	100	100	+0	Yes	+$1	02-15 08:29
Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?	6	$193	100	100	+0	No	+$1	02-09 22:08
will silver si hit high 130 by end of february 915 491 526 914 543 364	3	$191	100	100	+0	No	+$1	02-09 19:58
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?	15	$157	190	190	+0	No	-$8	09-12 05:23
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	11	$157	100	100	+0	No	+$0	02-18 20:48
will mrbeasts latest video get 2022 million views on day 1 835 752	8	$156	80	80	+0	No	+$1	02-22 15:03
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?	6	$154	90	90	+0	open	—	09-07 04:42
will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	13	$147	151	151	+0	No	-$1	09-06 03:50
Will annual inflation be 3.3% in August?	7	$132	97	97	+0	No	+$1	09-11 04:47
will the us collect between 100b and 200b in revenue in 2025	6	$117	60	60	+0	No	+$0	02-20 15:46
will apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 781	6	$117	60	60	+0	No	+$0	02-17 01:06
Will ISM Services PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in August?	6	$106	80	80	+0	No	-$1	09-03 14:00
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%?	8	$103	100	100	+0	open	—	09-01 03:50
spx up or down on february 9 2026	2	$99	50	50	+0	Up	+$0	02-09 19:39
will gold gc hit low 4000 by end of february 542 564 882 215 825 637 559 654 593 764 923	3	$98	50	50	+0	No	+$0	02-10 15:41
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	6	$97	51	51	+0	No	+$0	02-22 05:06
will gold gc hit low 4200 by end of february 891 227 734 585 416 787 933 185 752 713 424	3	$96	50	50	+0	No	+$0	02-14 20:25
will trump and netanyahu not shake hands by february 13 2026	10	$96	85	65	+20	No	+$0	02-11 18:12
will mrbeasts next video get between 46 and 47 million views on day 4	3	$95	100	50	+50	Yes	$0	02-11 13:59
will gold gc hit high 6000 by end of february 957 635 788 121 773 745 586	2	$93	50	50	+0	No	+$0	02-09 22:22
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?	6	$92	60	60	+0	No	-$1	09-07 05:47
elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 280 299	15	$89	2,696	93	+2,603	No	-$44	03-27 15:21
Will Rayssa Furlan win the most votes in the 2026 Amapá Senate election?	6	$88	69	69	+0	Yes	-$1	09-05 03:50
elon musk of tweets march 23 march 25 65 89	3	$87	207	0	+207	No	-$87	03-25 13:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-17 15:50:46	Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.25 and $1.50 on October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0x628ab6…
09-17 15:50:45	Will Anne Marie Dryden win the 2026 Nanaimo mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	26	2¢	$1	0xff81eb…
09-17 15:50:45	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Nebraska be 900,000 or more?	Yes	SELL	30	1¢	$0	0xcbcc23…
09-17 15:50:45	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio be 5,100,000 or more?	Yes	SELL	26	0¢	$0	0x4a9fe9…
09-17 15:50:43	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Rhode Island be 450,000 or more?	Yes	SELL	25	2¢	$0	0xdef434…
09-17 15:50:43	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-04 House election by 5%-15%?	Yes	SELL	30	2¢	$1	0x9d00f1…
09-17 15:50:43	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio be less than 3,900,000?	Yes	SELL	30	1¢	$0	0x74537c…
09-17 15:50:43	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan be between 5,400,000 and 5,600,000?	Yes	SELL	30	1¢	$0	0x1fce83…
09-17 05:02:54	Will the Centre Party (C) be in the next Swedish government?	Yes	SELL	30	66¢	$20	0x47aa6a…
09-17 04:39:28	Will Cristopher Sanchez win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x81f5be…
09-17 03:50:39	Will the Minnesota 2026 Senate race be within 5%?	No	SELL	21	77¢	$16	0xc0fc95…
09-16 15:50:38	Will Jérôme Guedj be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	30	4¢	$1	0x846a58…
09-16 03:50:31	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Arizona be between 2,000,000 and 2,150,000?	Yes	SELL	26	0¢	$0	0x5a0ee6…
09-15 03:51:31	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 30?	Yes	SELL	11	89¢	$10	0xc948b1…
09-14 16:45:21	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Louisiana be between 1,500,000 and 1,600,000?	Yes	SELL	30	13¢	$4	0x6d25a7…
09-14 15:50:42	Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be between $0.45 and $0.50 on September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	0¢	$0	0xf0b5ee…
09-14 03:50:27	Will Michigan State have more than 4.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	U 4.5	SELL	30	48¢	$14	0x3b944c…
09-13 15:50:52	Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	27	87¢	$23	0xbdda63…
09-12 05:23:33	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	26	6¢	$2	0x3f808a…
09-11 17:23:16	Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats?	No	SELL	20	13¢	$3	0x4f9570…
09-11 15:57:12	Will Matt Olson hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?	No	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0xfa1195…
09-11 15:50:43	Will Jacory Croskey-Merritt have 574.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	10	55¢	$6	0x23feb6…
09-11 15:50:34	Will Rogerio Carvalho win the most votes in the 2026 Sergipe Senate election?	Yes	SELL	24	30¢	$7	0x731d17…
09-11 15:50:33	Will the Minnesota 2026 Senate race be within 5%?	No	SELL	5	77¢	$4	0x7c2f00…
09-11 04:47:04	Will annual inflation be 3.3% in August?	No	SELL	27	77¢	$21	0x02ad58…
09-11 04:04:24	Will annual inflation be 3.4% in August?	No	SELL	0	49¢	$0	0x3434bd…
09-11 03:58:54	Will Travis Kelce have 474.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	4	49¢	$2	0x3aaaf6…
09-11 03:55:46	Will annual inflation be 3.4% in August?	No	SELL	4	49¢	$2	0xcc8e62…
09-11 03:53:36	Will annual inflation be 3.4% in August?	No	SELL	20	49¢	$10	0xe85c24…
09-11 03:51:37	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in August?	No	SELL	23	33¢	$8	0x84a455…
09-11 03:50:46	Will BNB reach $1400 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	13	94¢	$12	0x70114f…
09-11 03:50:46	Will Nick Kurtz record the most intentional walks during the 2026 MLB regular season?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x038121…
09-11 03:50:45	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in August?	No	SELL	21	44¢	$9	0x67214d…
09-11 03:50:45	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% or more in August?	No	SELL	23	87¢	$20	0x0adc71…
09-10 03:50:33	Will Nassourdine Imavov be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3	61¢	$2	0xeedaac…
09-10 03:50:28	Will Travis Etienne Jr. have 774.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	SELL	30	59¢	$18	0x32052b…
09-09 22:13:36	Will annual inflation be 3.3% in August?	No	BUY	27	68¢	$18	0x29bba4…
09-09 22:11:10	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% or more in August?	No	BUY	23	86¢	$20	0xa41eda…
09-09 22:09:04	Will annual inflation be 3.4% in August?	No	BUY	25	53¢	$13	0x0f0df6…
09-09 22:06:15	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in August?	No	BUY	21	50¢	$10	0xa42bef…
09-09 21:57:45	Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats?	No	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0x4762d7…
09-09 21:53:12	Will BNB reach $1400 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	13	95¢	$12	0xfa978c…
09-09 21:52:06	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in August?	No	BUY	23	37¢	$9	0x1db663…
09-09 21:37:40	Will Jannik Sinner be Number 1 on the End of Year ATP Rankings	No	SELL	13	32¢	$4	0xf8e67c…
09-09 21:20:27	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	8¢	$2	0x5d392a…
09-09 17:01:04	Will Jacory Croskey-Merritt have 574.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	20	55¢	$11	0x0f6cb1…
09-09 16:24:10	Will Nassourdine Imavov be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	64¢	$6	0xc9e3bd…
09-09 16:10:43	Will there be 5 or fewer UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	2¢	$0	0xe86d73…
09-09 15:50:36	Will Denis Bećirović be the Bosniak Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election?	No	SELL	14	36¢	$5	0x70f333…
09-09 15:50:36	U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by September 30?	Yes	SELL	8	25¢	$2	0x25c18b…
09-09 15:50:34	Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include National + ACT + NZF?	Yes	SELL	20	47¢	$10	0xe17607…
09-09 15:50:33	Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $800B and $900B on September 30?	No	SELL	21	67¢	$14	0xd729e6…
09-09 15:50:30	Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	81¢	$24	0xd13d1f…
09-09 05:06:37	Will Jannik Sinner be Number 1 on the End of Year ATP Rankings	No	SELL	10	11¢	$1	0xc822e3…
09-09 04:59:40	Will Patrick Von Dohlen win the 2026 Bexar County Judge election?	Yes	SELL	30	3¢	$1	0xa5a792…
09-09 03:50:40	Will there be 4-6 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0x901183…
09-09 03:50:39	Will Alex Nuttall win the 2026 Barrie mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	20	86¢	$17	0xabac1e…
09-09 03:50:39	Will Gladson Camelí win the most votes in the 2026 Acre Senate election?	No	SELL	21	83¢	$18	0x372630…
09-09 03:50:34	U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by September 30?	Yes	SELL	15	27¢	$4	0x2f5b58…
09-09 03:50:33	Will Harry Kane finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	26	5¢	$1	0xb1841f…
09-09 03:50:31	Will Grüne win the fourth-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	No	SELL	30	49¢	$15	0x981a73…
09-08 17:47:37	Will Helder win the most votes in the 2026 Pará Senate election?	Yes	SELL	30	78¢	$23	0x8fd04f…
09-08 17:16:37	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% or more in August?	No	SELL	13	87¢	$11	0xea45ca…
09-08 15:53:12	Will Eduardo Braga win the most votes in the 2026 Amazonas Senate election?	Yes	SELL	5	78¢	$4	0x139c24…
09-08 15:50:33	Will Core PCE YoY be 3.1% in August?	Yes	SELL	20	16¢	$3	0x99a510…
09-08 15:50:28	OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	30	10¢	$3	0xb17191…
09-08 05:47:18	Will Jadarian Price have 549.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	30	34¢	$10	0xbfd270…
09-08 05:14:27	Will "Beef" win 0 or 1 awards at the Emmys?	No	SELL	18	42¢	$8	0xd5dea8…
09-08 03:50:33	Will Babalwa Lobishe be the next mayor of Nelson Mandela Bay?	No	SELL	13	86¢	$11	0x9678e1…
09-08 03:50:31	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	12¢	$2	0xa9c12f…
09-08 03:50:31	Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027?	No	SELL	19	97¢	$19	0x8cabeb…
09-08 03:50:30	Will San Diego State have more than 7.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	No	SELL	21	54¢	$11	0xbe2144…
09-08 03:50:24	Will Alex Nuttall win the 2026 Barrie mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	10	86¢	$8	0x37c136…
09-07 17:28:15	Will "Beef" win 0 or 1 awards at the Emmys?	No	SELL	6	35¢	$2	0x333833…
09-07 16:26:45	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan be between 4,800,000 and 5,000,000?	No	SELL	20	66¢	$13	0x301c81…
09-07 16:05:55	Will Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2026 AFC South?	Yes	SELL	30	27¢	$8	0x7aea6d…
09-07 16:04:27	Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?	No	SELL	30	88¢	$26	0xd3dad4…
09-07 15:50:42	Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	22	43¢	$9	0x4d54d8…
09-07 15:50:39	Will Manchester City qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?	Yes	SELL	29	77¢	$22	0xb92531…
09-07 15:50:36	Will 2026 rank between 10th and 12th among the highest domestic box office years?	No	SELL	30	34¢	$10	0x4c8a25…
09-07 15:50:28	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Idaho be between 600,000 and 640,000?	No	SELL	30	64¢	$19	0x852331…
09-07 05:47:09	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	25	75¢	$18	0xafecb6…
09-07 05:19:13	Will Marília Campos win the most votes in the 2026 Minas Gerais Senate election?	No	SELL	1	44¢	$0	0xd5121f…
09-07 05:19:13	Will Marília Campos win the most votes in the 2026 Minas Gerais Senate election?	No	SELL	9	44¢	$4	0x568690…
09-07 04:42:39	Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?	No	SELL	30	86¢	$26	0x44615f…
09-07 04:38:10	Will the median home value in the US be between $433,000 and $440,000 on September 30?	Yes	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0x12ad42…
09-07 04:14:46	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0x93bf3f…
09-07 04:12:16	Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xf2e066…
09-07 04:00:55	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	4	75¢	$3	0xae4b4c…
09-07 03:50:30	Will Mark Sager win the 2026 West Vancouver mayoral election?	No	SELL	22	55¢	$12	0x75d803…
09-07 03:50:28	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% or more in August?	No	SELL	10	86¢	$9	0x5f5df8…
09-07 03:50:28	Will Xi Jinping visit US by October 31?	No	SELL	24	4¢	$1	0x2dd201…
09-07 03:50:27	Will Guilherme Derrite win the most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?	Yes	SELL	29	44¢	$13	0x51c037…
09-07 03:50:27	Will Josh Morgan win the 2026 London mayoral election?	No	SELL	26	14¢	$4	0x04e90f…
09-07 03:50:24	Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	11¢	$3	0xc6a24b…
09-07 03:50:22	Will Kyle Monangai have 449.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	30	24¢	$7	0x113059…
09-07 03:50:21	Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $7.00 on December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	30	79¢	$24	0xa785e9…
09-06 17:38:25	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 15?	No	SELL	24	88¢	$21	0xc9f001…
09-06 17:30:57	Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	Yes	SELL	26	86¢	$22	0xee1eb0…
09-06 17:29:42	Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	4¢	$1	0xe9d66e…