Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$2
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
46
lifetime
Volume
$741
lifetime
Avg / trade
$16
Open exposure
$202
5 positions
First seen
2026-05-18
last 07-11 00:38
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
61%
Other
33%
Crypto
7%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
14 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027? No +55 $52 95¢ $52 +$1 07-11 00:38
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.25% or lower before 2027? No +53 $50 96¢ $51 +$0 07-08 02:51
Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026? No -51 $-50 98¢ $-50 $-0 06-09 12:15
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026? No +55 $52 90¢ $49 $-2 06-30 06:35
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No +0 $-0 95¢ $0 +$0 06-17 16:06