Realized P&L
+$48
Unrealized P&L
+$132
Hit rate
60.1%
Resolved
18
Trades
2,220
lifetime
Volume
$34.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$15
Open exposure
$2.30K
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-04
last 07-21 17:46
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Other
58% 56% +$48
Crypto
34%
Politics
7%
Tech
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
71 active days in 12wk • peak 112 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Metamask FDV above $300M one day after launch? No +524 $437 86¢ $451 +$14 07-20 14:20
Relay FDV above $1B one day after launch? No +265 $240 91¢ $240 +$0 07-10 01:15
Amazon 2026 capex above $180B? Yes +225 $192 98¢ $219 +$27 07-14 11:19
Probable FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +212 $181 87¢ $184 +$3 07-20 00:10
Neutrl FDV above $1B one day after launch? No +105 $99 98¢ $103 +$4 07-07 04:17
Ventuals FDV above $500M one day after launch? No +95 $89 97¢ $92 +$3 07-21 17:46
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027? No +93 $87 96¢ $90 +$3 07-12 03:29
Ventuals FDV above $300M one day after launch? No -83 $-78 95¢ $-79 $-1 06-28 08:09
Hyperbeat FDV above $300M one day after launch? No +79 $75 97¢ $76 +$1 07-14 06:21
Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes +511 $66 15¢ $74 +$8 07-20 14:20
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.25% or lower before 2027? No +76 $71 96¢ $73 +$2 07-08 02:57
Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch? No +91 $64 80¢ $73 +$9 07-17 17:19
Relay FDV above $900M one day after launch? Yes +273 $21 18¢ $50 +$29 07-12 16:39
Theo FDV above $1B one day after launch? No +50 $45 92¢ $46 +$1 07-21 11:08
Hurupay FDV above $40M one day after launch? No +43 $40 95¢ $41 +$1 07-16 19:12
Hyperbeat FDV above $200M one day after launch? No +40 $38 98¢ $39 +$1 06-23 17:31
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $20B? No +44 $35 86¢ $38 +$3 07-18 05:22
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.0% or lower before 2027? No -36 $-35 97¢ $-35 $-0 06-29 20:19
Printr FDV above $150M one day after launch? No +41 $19 80¢ $33 +$13 07-19 20:17
Felix Protocol FDV above $500M one day after launch? No +33 $30 96¢ $32 +$2 07-20 20:01
Probable FDV above $50M one day after launch? Yes +217 $30 15¢ $31 +$2 07-20 00:10
Abstract FDV above $2.5B one day after launch? No +32 $29 95¢ $30 +$1 06-30 08:41
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.5% or higher before 2027? No -25 $-24 97¢ $-24 $-0 07-09 14:42
Reya FDV above $150M one day after launch? Yes +88 $15 26¢ $23 +$8 07-01 08:12
Perena FDV above $200M one day after launch? No +31 $21 70¢ $22 +$1 07-13 22:27
Tuyo FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +37 $29 58¢ $21 $-8 07-17 17:37
Will Dogecoin reach $0.40 by December 31, 2026? No +22 $20 92¢ $21 +$0 07-12 02:56
SlingshotDAO FDV above $200M one day after launch? No +25 $15 82¢ $20 +$6 07-07 13:47
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.5% before 2027? No +21 $18 91¢ $19 +$1 06-24 13:54
Tabi FDV above $1B one day after launch? No +22 $19 86¢ $19 $-0 07-13 21:01