Realized P&L
+$762
Unrealized P&L
+$434
Hit rate
76.3%
Resolved
250
Trades
2,809
lifetime
Volume
$44.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$16
Open exposure
$311
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-04
last 08-15 12:12
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 71 days
Categories
Other
53% 61% +$649
Crypto
40% 59% +$41
Politics
6% 60% +$56
Tech
1% 50% +$17
Sports
0% 0% $0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
4 active days in 12wk • peak 77 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027? No +105 $98 98¢ $103 +$6 08-07 18:10
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.25% or lower before 2027? No +89 $92 98¢ $87 -$5 08-07 18:10
Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch? No +80 $55 95¢ $76 +$21 07-23 00:16
Metamask FDV above $300M one day after launch? No +15 $4 96¢ $14 +$10 07-26 18:56
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.5% or lower before 2027? Yes +227 $5 3¢ $7 +$2 08-06 12:26
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.25% or lower before 2027? Yes -285 -$13 2¢ $-7 +$6 07-26 19:02
Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes +80 $35 5¢ $4 -$31 08-15 12:10
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027? Yes +105 $6 2¢ $2 -$5 07-08 02:57
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.25% or higher before 2027? Yes -61 -$2 2¢ $-1 +$1 05-24 17:46
Will XRP reach $2.60 by December 31, 2026? Yes +21 $2 6¢ $1 $0 06-24 16:11
Printr FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes +16 $2 7¢ $1 -$1 08-04 18:57
Extended FDV above $2B one day after launch? No +1 $0 98¢ $1 +$1 06-18 09:10
Will Ethereum reach $6,000 by December 31, 2026? No +1 $1 98¢ $1 +$0 07-11 18:27
Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch? No +1 $1 96¢ $1 +$0 08-07 18:30
Hyperbeat FDV above $300M one day after launch? No +1 $1 98¢ $1 +$0 07-26 16:24
Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch? No +1 $0 94¢ $1 +$1 06-24 06:47
Metamask FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes +15 $2 4¢ $1 -$1 08-01 07:42
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? No +1 -$29 93¢ $1 +$29 07-26 18:56
Felix Protocol FDV above $2B one day after launch? No +1 $0 98¢ $1 +$1 08-04 08:27
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +1 $85 82¢ $1 -$84 06-18 19:56
Consensys IPO closing market cap above $1B? Yes +8 $1 6¢ $0 -$1 08-06 13:12
Metamask FDV above $2B one day after launch? Yes +9 $0 3¢ $0 $0 08-06 14:30
Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch? Yes +1 -$477 18¢ $0 +$477 08-01 18:57
Base FDV above $6B one day after launch? No +0 $1 76¢ $0 $0 06-18 18:00
Metamask FDV above $4B one day after launch? No +0 -$9 98¢ $0 +$9 07-23 01:44
Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch? No +0 -$3 96¢ $0 +$4 07-11 10:26
Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch? Yes +2 $1 4¢ $0 -$1 07-11 10:26
Hurupay FDV above $50M one day after launch? Yes +1 $0 5¢ $0 +$0 06-30 21:43
Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch? Yes +1 $4 4¢ $0 -$4 07-15 15:06
Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes +1 $0 5¢ $0 +$0 06-18 09:10