Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 8,000 in 2026?
open
Total volume
$3,752
Trades
189
Unique wallets
59
Liquidity
$6,917
Latest YES mid
11¢
Latest NO mid
89¢
End date
2027-01-01
First seen
2026-05-30
last 08-11 13:50
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-13.1¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $127
vs crowd: 13% YES on $2.3K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 8 | $101 | $397 | $296 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 17 | $111 | $707 | $596 |
| 🐟 Fish | 17 | $77 | $857 | $781 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 17 | $13 | $41 | $29 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | $127 | $127 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 5 | $16 | $150 | $133 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 7 | $28 | $754 | $725 |
| Median | 4 | $12 | $53 | $42 |
| Below median | 10 | $24 | $198 | $174 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 4 | $39 | $43 | $4 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 5 | $55 | $276 | $221 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 4 | $91 | $147 | $56 |
| unranked | 19 | $37 | $256 | $220 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Accurate-Rail 0x3b00…d78b | No | +666 | $581 | $720 | 4 | 08-09 11:37 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | +392 | $47 | $47 | 2 | 08-09 11:37 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +231 | $49 | $49 | 9 | 08-09 17:50 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | +209 | $187 | $187 | 5 | 08-11 13:50 |
| Flaky-Lift 0xd0f1…6712 | No | +153 | $135 | $135 | 4 | 07-23 09:11 |
| Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | +60 | $9 | $9 | 2 | 07-02 12:19 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | +58 | $5 | $7 | 2 | 08-06 05:21 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +52 | $34 | $34 | 5 | 08-05 19:42 |
| Flawed-Ship 0xc50c…3017 | Yes | +50 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 08-09 11:37 |
| Flawed-Ship 0xc50c…3017 | No | +49 | $43 | $43 | 1 | 08-09 15:38 |
| (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | +47 | $16 | $18 | 2 | 06-30 17:51 |
| Hasty-Saucer 0xe60f…f4b4 | No | +45 | $40 | $40 | 1 | 07-02 12:19 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +35 | $7 | $7 | 2 | 06-29 10:45 |
| Friendly-Legislation 0xa9b7…f43c | Yes | +22 | $6 | $6 | 3 | 06-29 10:45 |
| Defenseless-Eyebrow 0xe50c…d88c | Yes | +20 | $1 | $1 | 4 | 08-05 19:42 |
| (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | +17 | $3 | $29 | 3 | 08-04 16:01 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | +17 | $18 | $275 | 4 | 08-04 16:01 |
| Slimy-Coin 0x2b73…174e | Yes | +15 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 08-05 11:28 |
| Slimy-Coin 0x2b73…174e | No | +15 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 08-04 18:08 |
| Weepy-Infusion 0x510b…da8d | Yes | +14 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-04 12:28 |
| Ashamed-Hatchet 0x3f20…2615 | Yes | +12 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 08-06 05:21 |
| (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | +10 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 07-02 14:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x2767…7def | No | +10 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 06-14 16:22 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | +5 | $5 | $173 | 9 | 08-09 11:37 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +5 | $1 | $5 | 4 | 08-05 12:11 |
| (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | +1 | $-0 | $16 | 3 | 08-09 17:50 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-11 13:50:28 | (anonymous) 0x3b69…01d7 | No | SELL | 50 | 84¢ | $42 | 0x11d3e8… |
| 08-11 13:50:28 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 50 | 84¢ | $42 | 0x11d3e8… |
| 08-09 17:50:10 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 1 | 13¢ | $0 | 0xb1ac7d… |
| 08-09 17:50:10 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | BUY | 1 | 87¢ | $1 | 0xb1ac7d… |
| 08-09 17:47:36 | Flamboyant-Porch 0xda20…cb8d | Yes | SELL | 49 | 13¢ | $6 | 0x7ec696… |
| 08-09 17:47:36 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 49 | 13¢ | $6 | 0x7ec696… |
| 08-09 15:38:09 | Flawed-Ship 0xc50c…3017 | No | BUY | 49 | 87¢ | $43 | 0xafeafa… |
| 08-09 15:38:09 | Flamboyant-Porch 0xda20…cb8d | Yes | BUY | 49 | 13¢ | $6 | 0xafeafa… |
| 08-09 11:37:28 | Accurate-Rail 0x3b00…d78b | No | BUY | 285 | 86¢ | $245 | 0xa084ed… |
| 08-09 11:37:28 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | BUY | 143 | 14¢ | $20 | 0xa084ed… |
| 08-09 11:37:28 | Flawed-Ship 0xc50c…3017 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 14¢ | $7 | 0xa084ed… |
| 08-09 11:37:28 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 50 | 14¢ | $7 | 0xa084ed… |
| 08-09 11:37:28 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 43 | 86¢ | $37 | 0xa084ed… |
| 08-08 13:53:52 | (anonymous) 0x321e…9292 | Yes | SELL | 17 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x4b6207… |
| 08-08 13:53:52 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 17 | 92¢ | $16 | 0x4b6207… |
| 08-06 05:21:12 | Ashamed-Hatchet 0x3f20…2615 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x88f82f… |
| 08-06 05:21:12 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x88f82f… |
| 08-05 19:42:24 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0x63636b… |
| 08-05 19:42:24 | Defenseless-Eyebrow 0xe50c…d88c | Yes | BUY | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x63636b… |
| 08-05 19:22:24 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0xd96e7f… |
| 08-05 19:22:24 | Defenseless-Eyebrow 0xe50c…d88c | Yes | BUY | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xd96e7f… |
| 08-05 19:04:51 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0x25d2ac… |
| 08-05 19:04:51 | Defenseless-Eyebrow 0xe50c…d88c | Yes | BUY | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x25d2ac… |
| 08-05 18:47:29 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0x0ae1e4… |
| 08-05 18:47:29 | Defenseless-Eyebrow 0xe50c…d88c | Yes | BUY | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x0ae1e4… |
| 08-05 12:11:51 | Accurate-Rail 0x3b00…d78b | No | SELL | 30 | 93¢ | $28 | 0x17d45e… |
| 08-05 12:11:51 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 30 | 93¢ | $28 | 0x17d45e… |
| 08-05 12:11:42 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 15 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x0f07e8… |
| 08-05 12:11:42 | Accurate-Rail 0x3b00…d78b | No | SELL | 45 | 93¢ | $42 | 0x0f07e8… |
| 08-05 12:11:42 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 30 | 93¢ | $28 | 0x0f07e8… |
| 08-05 11:28:21 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 15 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x44806c… |
| 08-05 11:28:21 | Slimy-Coin 0x2b73…174e | Yes | BUY | 15 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x44806c… |
| 08-05 09:32:51 | (anonymous) 0x3f3a…0ecb | No | SELL | 3 | 94¢ | $3 | 0xc129c6… |
| 08-05 09:32:51 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xc129c6… |
| 08-04 18:08:11 | Slimy-Coin 0x2b73…174e | No | BUY | 15 | 93¢ | $14 | 0xd81fed… |
| 08-04 18:08:11 | (anonymous) 0xb2ca…cf4d | Yes | SELL | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xd81fed… |
| 08-04 18:08:11 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 20 | 93¢ | $19 | 0xd81fed… |
| 08-04 16:02:12 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | BUY | 70 | 8¢ | $6 | 0x959d4b… |
| 08-04 16:02:12 | Ugly-Platinum 0x5c91…5ccc | Yes | SELL | 70 | 8¢ | $6 | 0x959d4b… |
| 08-04 16:01:48 | Ugly-Platinum 0x5c91…5ccc | Yes | SELL | 30 | 9¢ | $3 | 0x49b352… |
| 08-04 16:01:48 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 9¢ | $3 | 0x49b352… |
| 08-04 16:01:32 | Ugly-Platinum 0x5c91…5ccc | Yes | BUY | 100 | 10¢ | $10 | 0xc54301… |
| 08-04 16:01:32 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | SELL | 128 | 10¢ | $13 | 0xc54301… |
| 08-04 16:01:32 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 28 | 90¢ | $25 | 0xc54301… |
| 08-04 16:01:14 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | BUY | 95 | 11¢ | $10 | 0xd3c86f… |
| 08-04 16:01:14 | Long-Term-Overhead 0xbd14…76b4 | Yes | SELL | 95 | 11¢ | $10 | 0xd3c86f… |
| 08-04 16:01:12 | (anonymous) 0xf7ec…e53a | Yes | SELL | 50 | 11¢ | $6 | 0x7d55b4… |
| 08-04 16:01:12 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | BUY | 50 | 11¢ | $6 | 0x7d55b4… |
| 08-04 16:01:11 | Long-Term-Overhead 0xbd14…76b4 | Yes | BUY | 95 | 11¢ | $10 | 0x72a6ec… |
| 08-04 16:01:11 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | BUY | 249 | 11¢ | $27 | 0x72a6ec… |
| 08-04 16:01:11 | (anonymous) 0xf7ec…e53a | Yes | BUY | 50 | 11¢ | $6 | 0x72a6ec… |
| 08-04 16:01:11 | (anonymous) 0xd43f…c66b | No | SELL | 5 | 89¢ | $4 | 0x72a6ec… |
| 08-04 16:01:11 | Accurate-Rail 0x3b00…d78b | No | BUY | 455 | 89¢ | $405 | 0x72a6ec… |
| 08-04 16:01:11 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | No | SELL | 50 | 89¢ | $44 | 0x72a6ec… |
| 08-04 16:01:11 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | SELL | 6 | 89¢ | $5 | 0x72a6ec… |
| 07-23 09:11:10 | Flaky-Lift 0xd0f1…6712 | No | BUY | 50 | 88¢ | $44 | 0x564c3f… |
| 07-23 09:11:10 | (anonymous) 0xba6c…618b | No | SELL | 50 | 88¢ | $44 | 0x564c3f… |
| 07-23 07:30:13 | Flaky-Lift 0xd0f1…6712 | No | BUY | 50 | 88¢ | $44 | 0x3099d7… |
| 07-23 07:30:13 | (anonymous) 0xc8a2…c9b6 | No | SELL | 50 | 88¢ | $44 | 0x3099d7… |
| 07-23 07:30:06 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | No | SELL | 50 | 88¢ | $44 | 0x193ded… |
| 07-23 07:30:06 | Flaky-Lift 0xd0f1…6712 | No | BUY | 50 | 88¢ | $44 | 0x193ded… |
| 07-23 07:28:04 | Flaky-Lift 0xd0f1…6712 | No | BUY | 3 | 88¢ | $3 | 0xc4888a… |
| 07-23 07:28:04 | Ugly-Platinum 0x5c91…5ccc | No | SELL | 3 | 88¢ | $3 | 0xc4888a… |
| 07-23 07:27:51 | Ugly-Platinum 0x5c91…5ccc | No | BUY | 3 | 89¢ | $3 | 0xe933e4… |
| 07-23 07:27:51 | Wide-Eyed-Dark 0x167a…91d5 | No | SELL | 3 | 89¢ | $3 | 0xe933e4… |
| 07-23 07:27:01 | Wide-Eyed-Dark 0x167a…91d5 | No | BUY | 3 | 90¢ | $3 | 0xae515c… |
| 07-23 07:27:01 | (anonymous) 0xcb58…ccd0 | No | SELL | 3 | 90¢ | $3 | 0xae515c… |
| 07-23 07:25:03 | (anonymous) 0xd43f…c66b | No | BUY | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x13ceec… |
| 07-23 07:25:03 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | No | SELL | 50 | 91¢ | $46 | 0x13ceec… |
| 07-23 07:25:03 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | BUY | 45 | 91¢ | $41 | 0x13ceec… |
| 07-23 07:24:06 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 50 | 91¢ | $46 | 0x0dde20… |
| 07-23 07:24:06 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | No | BUY | 50 | 91¢ | $46 | 0x0dde20… |
| 07-23 07:24:06 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | No | BUY | 50 | 91¢ | $46 | 0x0dde20… |
| 07-23 07:24:06 | (anonymous) 0x89cd…4d7d | No | SELL | 328 | 91¢ | $299 | 0x0dde20… |
| 07-23 07:24:06 | (anonymous) 0xba6c…618b | No | BUY | 50 | 91¢ | $46 | 0x0dde20… |
| 07-23 07:24:06 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 20 | 92¢ | $18 | 0x0dde20… |
| 07-23 07:24:06 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | No | BUY | 50 | 91¢ | $46 | 0x0dde20… |
| 07-23 07:24:06 | (anonymous) 0xc8a2…c9b6 | No | BUY | 50 | 91¢ | $46 | 0x0dde20… |
| 07-23 07:24:06 | (anonymous) 0xcb58…ccd0 | No | BUY | 3 | 91¢ | $3 | 0x0dde20… |
| 07-12 11:25:43 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x2661c8… |
| 07-12 11:25:43 | (anonymous) 0x40c7…b1e8 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x2661c8… |
| 07-11 05:50:01 | (anonymous) 0xad99…dbab | No | SELL | 35 | 91¢ | $32 | 0x4ea1e0… |
| 07-11 05:50:01 | Purple-Yarn 0x7c9e…db3d | Yes | SELL | 50 | 9¢ | $4 | 0x4ea1e0… |
| 07-11 05:50:01 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 15 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x4ea1e0… |
| 07-08 00:15:08 | Purple-Yarn 0x7c9e…db3d | Yes | SELL | 75 | 10¢ | $8 | 0xf099e9… |
| 07-08 00:15:08 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | No | SELL | 75 | 90¢ | $68 | 0xf099e9… |
| 07-07 22:03:44 | Purple-Yarn 0x7c9e…db3d | Yes | SELL | 50 | 10¢ | $5 | 0xaf439c… |
| 07-07 22:03:44 | (anonymous) 0xc8a2…c9b6 | No | SELL | 50 | 90¢ | $45 | 0xaf439c… |
| 07-07 20:53:52 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | SELL | 5 | 90¢ | $4 | 0x478922… |
| 07-07 20:53:52 | Purple-Yarn 0x7c9e…db3d | Yes | SELL | 5 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x478922… |
| 07-07 18:12:58 | Purple-Yarn 0x7c9e…db3d | Yes | SELL | 115 | 10¢ | $12 | 0x9fe918… |
| 07-07 18:12:58 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 115 | 90¢ | $104 | 0x9fe918… |
| 07-07 17:57:08 | Purple-Yarn 0x7c9e…db3d | Yes | SELL | 50 | 10¢ | $5 | 0x01115e… |
| 07-07 17:57:08 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | No | SELL | 50 | 90¢ | $45 | 0x01115e… |
| 07-07 17:55:31 | Ugly-Platinum 0x5c91…5ccc | No | SELL | 50 | 90¢ | $45 | 0xc5c279… |
| 07-07 17:55:31 | Purple-Yarn 0x7c9e…db3d | Yes | SELL | 50 | 10¢ | $5 | 0xc5c279… |
| 07-07 17:55:13 | Ugly-Platinum 0x5c91…5ccc | No | BUY | 50 | 92¢ | $46 | 0xe9317e… |
| 07-07 17:55:13 | Purple-Yarn 0x7c9e…db3d | Yes | BUY | 50 | 8¢ | $4 | 0xe9317e… |
| 07-07 17:55:11 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | BUY | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0x73195a… |
| 07-07 17:55:11 | Purple-Yarn 0x7c9e…db3d | Yes | BUY | 345 | 8¢ | $28 | 0x73195a… |