Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 8,000 in 2026?
open
Total volume
$496
Trades
66
Unique wallets
27
Liquidity
$6,917
Latest YES mid
21¢
Latest NO mid
79¢
End date
2027-01-01
First seen
2026-05-30
last 06-30 17:51
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-36.7¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $127
vs crowd: 37% YES on $361)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 6 | $34 | $153 | $119 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 6 | $64 | $13 | +$50 |
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | $26 | — | +$26 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 12 | $9 | $63 | $54 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | $127 | $127 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $12 | $16 | $4 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | $24 | $24 | +$0 |
| Median | 1 | — | — | +— |
| Below median | 1 | — | — | +— |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | — | — | +— |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $40 | — | +$40 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | $27 | — | +$27 |
| unranked | 10 | $30 | $63 | $33 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x89cd…4d7d | No | +182 | $127 | $127 | 1 | 06-29 09:21 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +117 | $34 | $34 | 5 | 06-29 09:21 |
| (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | +47 | $16 | $18 | 2 | 06-30 17:51 |
| (anonymous) 0xad99…dbab | No | +35 | $26 | $26 | 1 | 06-21 20:13 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +35 | $7 | $7 | 2 | 06-29 10:45 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +32 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 05-30 20:12 |
| Friendly-Legislation 0xa9b7…f43c | Yes | +22 | $6 | $6 | 3 | 06-29 10:45 |
| Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | +20 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-11 19:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x2767…7def | No | +10 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 06-14 16:22 |
| (anonymous) 0xb2ca…cf4d | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-28 22:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x40c7…b1e8 | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-28 22:04 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-30 17:51:14 | (anonymous) 0x8b1c…1ec7 | No | SELL | 36 | 87¢ | $31 | 0x688dc1… |
| 06-30 17:51:14 | (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x688dc1… |
| 06-30 17:51:14 | Humming-Macaw 0xfc92…27c9 | Yes | SELL | 28 | 13¢ | $4 | 0x688dc1… |
| 06-29 10:45:58 | Humming-Macaw 0xfc92…27c9 | Yes | SELL | 28 | 18¢ | $5 | 0xfbf05a… |
| 06-29 10:45:58 | Humming-Macaw 0xfc92…27c9 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 16¢ | $2 | 0x03cbcc… |
| 06-29 10:45:58 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | SELL | 10 | 84¢ | $8 | 0x03cbcc… |
| 06-29 10:45:58 | Humming-Macaw 0xfc92…27c9 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 25¢ | $1 | 0x425bd2… |
| 06-29 10:45:58 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 28 | 18¢ | $5 | 0xfbf05a… |
| 06-29 10:45:58 | Friendly-Legislation 0xa9b7…f43c | Yes | BUY | 5 | 25¢ | $1 | 0x425bd2… |
| 06-29 10:02:53 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | BUY | 10 | 72¢ | $7 | 0xd17f89… |
| 06-29 10:02:53 | Friendly-Legislation 0xa9b7…f43c | Yes | BUY | 10 | 28¢ | $3 | 0xd17f89… |
| 06-29 09:30:32 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 28¢ | $2 | 0x719cad… |
| 06-29 09:30:32 | Friendly-Legislation 0xa9b7…f43c | Yes | BUY | 8 | 28¢ | $2 | 0x719cad… |
| 06-29 09:21:53 | (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | BUY | 55 | 31¢ | $17 | 0x78fff1… |
| 06-29 09:21:53 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 50 | 31¢ | $16 | 0x78fff1… |
| 06-29 09:21:53 | Humming-Macaw 0xfc92…27c9 | Yes | BUY | 70 | 30¢ | $21 | 0x78fff1… |
| 06-29 09:21:53 | (anonymous) 0x89cd…4d7d | No | BUY | 182 | 69¢ | $127 | 0x78fff1… |
| 06-29 09:21:53 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 31¢ | $2 | 0x78fff1… |
| 06-28 22:12:47 | (anonymous) 0xb2ca…cf4d | Yes | BUY | 5 | 30¢ | $2 | 0x6bc2f5… |
| 06-28 22:12:47 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 30 | 29¢ | $9 | 0x6bc2f5… |
| 06-28 22:12:47 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 31¢ | $1 | 0x3319ae… |
| 06-28 22:12:47 | (anonymous) 0x175c…3ac3 | No | SELL | 4 | 69¢ | $3 | 0x3319ae… |
| 06-28 22:12:47 | Long-Term-Overhead 0xbd14…76b4 | Yes | SELL | 35 | 29¢ | $10 | 0x6bc2f5… |
| 06-28 22:04:55 | (anonymous) 0x175c…3ac3 | No | BUY | 1 | 71¢ | $1 | 0xed7c32… |
| 06-28 22:04:55 | Long-Term-Overhead 0xbd14…76b4 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 29¢ | $0 | 0xed7c32… |
| 06-28 22:04:55 | (anonymous) 0x175c…3ac3 | No | BUY | 1 | 71¢ | $1 | 0x3a2b64… |
| 06-28 22:04:55 | Long-Term-Overhead 0xbd14…76b4 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 29¢ | $0 | 0x3a2b64… |
| 06-28 22:04:53 | Long-Term-Overhead 0xbd14…76b4 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 29¢ | $0 | 0xb5e449… |
| 06-28 22:04:53 | Long-Term-Overhead 0xbd14…76b4 | Yes | BUY | 31 | 29¢ | $9 | 0xd32f30… |
| 06-28 22:04:53 | (anonymous) 0x40c7…b1e8 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 30¢ | $2 | 0xd32f30… |
| 06-28 22:04:53 | (anonymous) 0x8b1c…1ec7 | No | BUY | 36 | 71¢ | $25 | 0xd32f30… |
| 06-28 22:04:53 | (anonymous) 0x175c…3ac3 | No | BUY | 1 | 71¢ | $1 | 0xb5e449… |
| 06-25 10:55:32 | Past-Reverse 0xb8fc…ed7f | No | SELL | 14 | 75¢ | $11 | 0x28b65c… |
| 06-25 10:55:32 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 14 | 25¢ | $4 | 0x28b65c… |
| 06-21 21:07:52 | (anonymous) 0x03c1…3e98 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 26¢ | $1 | 0xdf259f… |
| 06-21 21:07:52 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 4 | 26¢ | $1 | 0xdf259f… |
| 06-21 20:22:01 | (anonymous) 0x03c1…3e98 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 27¢ | $1 | 0xadc8cb… |
| 06-21 20:22:01 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 27¢ | $1 | 0xadc8cb… |
| 06-21 20:16:35 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 26¢ | $2 | 0x97db8a… |
| 06-21 20:16:35 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 9 | 26¢ | $2 | 0x97db8a… |
| 06-21 20:13:55 | (anonymous) 0xad99…dbab | No | BUY | 35 | 74¢ | $26 | 0x983af3… |
| 06-21 20:13:55 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 24 | 26¢ | $6 | 0x983af3… |
| 06-21 20:13:55 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 26¢ | $2 | 0x983af3… |
| 06-21 20:13:55 | Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | No | SELL | 2 | 73¢ | $2 | 0x983af3… |
| 06-18 07:57:58 | Male-Cacao 0x8929…733e | Yes | SELL | 1 | 35¢ | $0 | 0x5ee74c… |
| 06-18 07:57:58 | (anonymous) 0x17b3…62ca | No | SELL | 1 | 65¢ | $1 | 0x5ee74c… |
| 06-17 15:35:31 | Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | No | SELL | 1 | 73¢ | $1 | 0x68a3e3… |
| 06-17 15:35:31 | (anonymous) 0x17b3…62ca | No | BUY | 1 | 73¢ | $1 | 0x68a3e3… |
| 06-14 18:20:39 | Proud-Cockroach 0x78b1…f58f | Yes | SELL | 1 | 27¢ | $0 | 0x7da0a9… |
| 06-14 18:20:39 | Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | No | SELL | 1 | 73¢ | $1 | 0x7da0a9… |
| 06-14 16:22:22 | Flat-Gadget 0xd278…0e08 | No | SELL | 8 | 73¢ | $6 | 0x97af08… |
| 06-14 16:22:22 | (anonymous) 0x2767…7def | No | BUY | 10 | 73¢ | $7 | 0x97af08… |
| 06-14 16:22:22 | Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | No | SELL | 2 | 73¢ | $2 | 0x97af08… |
| 06-12 10:03:25 | Useless-Smoking 0xf609…e68b | Yes | SELL | 7 | 26¢ | $2 | 0xc9b6bf… |
| 06-12 10:03:25 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 26¢ | $2 | 0xc9b6bf… |
| 06-11 19:09:37 | Useless-Smoking 0xf609…e68b | Yes | SELL | 20 | 25¢ | $5 | 0x6b6157… |
| 06-11 19:09:37 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 20 | 25¢ | $5 | 0x6b6157… |
| 06-07 19:38:52 | Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | No | SELL | 5 | 71¢ | $4 | 0x970141… |
| 06-07 19:38:52 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 18 | 71¢ | $13 | 0x970141… |
| 06-07 19:38:52 | Useless-Smoking 0xf609…e68b | Yes | SELL | 23 | 29¢ | $7 | 0x970141… |
| 06-07 19:04:36 | Pink-Activation 0x88bb…8d2c | No | SELL | 11 | 57¢ | $7 | 0x3e32a4… |
| 06-07 19:04:36 | Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | No | BUY | 11 | 57¢ | $7 | 0x3e32a4… |
| 05-30 23:09:30 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 18 | 57¢ | $10 | 0xe95068… |
| 05-30 23:09:30 | Useless-Smoking 0xf609…e68b | Yes | BUY | 18 | 43¢ | $8 | 0xe95068… |
| 05-30 20:12:10 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 32 | 49¢ | $16 | 0xc671e6… |
| 05-30 20:12:10 | Useless-Smoking 0xf609…e68b | Yes | BUY | 32 | 51¢ | $16 | 0xc671e6… |