Truthful-Level — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$274

Unrealized P&L

-$562

Hit rate

36.4%

Resolved

Trades

2,581

lifetime

Volume

$176.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$68

Open exposure

$31

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-20

last 07-22 16:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Other

74% 17% $-352

Politics

12% — —

Crypto

7% 33% $-2

Sports

6% 100% +$80

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

80 active days in 12wk • peak 145 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will USD/JPY hit 175 (High) in 2026?	Yes		+154	$23	14¢	$22	$-2	07-22 20:41
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes		+1,000	$570	1¢	$9	$-560	06-18 16:20

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will gas hit (High) $4.60 by May 31?	42	$6.6K	4,818	4,818	+0	open	—	06-01 00:08
will usd fall to 1pt5m iranian rials by june 30	17	$5.7K	5,327	5,327	+0	open	—	06-21 16:06
will wti dip to 70 in june 2026 532 385 742	27	$5.7K	5,620	5,620	+0	open	—	06-24 13:17
Will gas hit (High) $4.25 by April 30?	63	$5.2K	4,557	4,465	+91	open	—	04-30 13:07
will gas hit high 4pt00 by march 31	33	$5.2K	6,577	4,721	+1,856	open	—	03-31 07:17
will gas hit high 4pt25 by march 31	31	$4.8K	3,608	3,608	+0	open	—	03-30 07:40
will usd reach 1pt9m iranian rials by june 30	30	$4.8K	3,254	3,140	+113	open	—	06-26 15:48
will usd reach 1pt8m iranian rials by june 30	59	$4.4K	5,081	5,081	+0	open	—	06-29 07:51
iran confirmed not to participate in 2026 fifa world cup by march 31	42	$3.6K	3,384	3,384	+0	open	—	03-15 04:53
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	33	$3.3K	3,061	2,329	+732	open	—	05-29 17:12
will spacexs valuation hit high 2pt5t by june 30	170	$3.0K	2,475	2,475	+0	open	—	06-15 18:03
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	10	$2.6K	5,942	5,942	+0	open	—	02-28 16:05
andrew tate of tweets march 6 march 13 2026 100 129	9	$2.6K	2,230	2,230	+0	open	—	03-13 15:22
will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	28	$2.5K	3,900	3,300	+600	open	—	07-12 22:00
Will gas hit (High) $4.70 by May 31?	27	$2.2K	1,798	1,798	+0	open	—	05-27 21:26
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	16	$2.2K	2,367	2,367	+0	open	—	03-08 19:13
deepseek v4 released by march 15 678	18	$2.2K	2,705	2,056	+650	open	—	03-12 09:31
Will USD reach 1.8M Iranian rials by April 30?	18	$2.1K	2,246	2,246	+0	open	—	04-30 17:34
wta andrees teichma 2026 06 24	5	$2.0K	2,002	1,250	+752	open	—	06-24 18:45
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	13	$2.0K	7,696	7,696	+0	open	—	03-03 20:34
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	27	$1.9K	2,042	2,042	+0	open	—	07-06 21:33
will bitcoin dip to 50k in june 2026	5	$1.8K	5,000	5,000	+0	open	—	06-07 09:17
Will gas hit (High) $4.45 by May 31?	4	$1.8K	1,035	1,035	+0	open	—	05-04 07:54
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	4	$1.8K	1,577	1,577	+0	open	—	02-28 07:25
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?	10	$1.8K	6,000	6,000	+0	open	—	06-05 18:57
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	4	$1.7K	2,500	2,500	+0	open	—	03-01 18:28
will cristiano ronaldo score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	9	$1.7K	2,212	0	+2,212	open	—	06-23 17:07
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	25	$1.7K	1,500	1,922	-422	open	—	06-26 14:05
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	15	$1.6K	3,929	3,928	+0	open	—	03-07 23:07
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	12	$1.6K	3,000	3,000	+0	open	—	06-05 18:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-22 21:17:01	will wti dip to 60 in july 2026 528 175	Yes	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0x4a7fc7…
07-22 20:41:57	Will USD/JPY hit 175 (High) in 2026?	Yes	BUY	154	15¢	$23	0x2343c1…
07-22 19:57:57	Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?	Yes	SELL	2,000	10¢	$200	0x3f8a29…
07-22 19:14:37	will russia capture all of rodynske again by july 31	Yes	BUY	93	12¢	$11	0x268712…
07-22 16:23:03	spcx above 130 on july 31 2026	No	SELL	895	67¢	$600	0x14d04b…
07-21 06:24:31	spcx above 150 on july 31 2026	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xee8f4c…
07-20 17:55:12	Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?	Yes	BUY	2,000	5¢	$100	0x9a25b5…
07-19 15:22:06	will michael olise transfer to real madrid 20260717222856707	Yes	BUY	500	20¢	$100	0xc4386e…
07-19 14:37:33	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	Yes	BUY	1,246	15¢	$186	0x65c14b…
07-18 22:14:30	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 spread away 3pt5	France	SELL	249	82¢	$204	0x92a057…
07-18 22:14:30	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 spread away 3pt5	France	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0x40ad82…
07-18 22:08:19	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 spread away 3pt5	France	BUY	250	54¢	$136	0x26a765…
07-17 15:48:48	spcx above 150 on july 31 2026	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x01d874…
07-17 14:35:04	spcx above 120 on july 31 2026	No	BUY	700	41¢	$287	0xb1142e…
07-17 14:32:09	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	Yes	BUY	1,150	28¢	$321	0xe79152…
07-17 13:38:52	spcx above 150 on july 31 2026	No	SELL	188	93¢	$175	0xcf7c9d…
07-17 12:26:57	spcx above 140 on july 31 2026	No	SELL	723	88¢	$636	0x4f84b1…
07-16 18:04:02	spcx above 130 on july 31 2026	No	BUY	1,050	50¢	$525	0x2fa7ec…
07-16 05:21:37	untitled market 1 20260626145744786	Yes	SELL	122	85¢	$104	0xb9d9d4…
07-15 21:13:07	untitled market 1 20260626145744786	Yes	SELL	29	85¢	$24	0x5f6add…
07-15 18:20:40	spcx above 130 on july 31 2026	No	BUY	21	41¢	$8	0x59f00a…
07-15 17:20:04	untitled market 1 20260626145744786	Yes	SELL	10	85¢	$8	0x138d8b…
07-15 15:25:35	spcx above 130 on july 31 2026	No	BUY	205	41¢	$84	0xfb9b06…
07-15 15:23:31	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 spread home 2pt5	England	BUY	1,300	4¢	$52	0x60ff17…
07-14 19:58:31	spcx above 130 on july 31 2026	No	BUY	500	41¢	$205	0x387336…
07-14 19:54:13	spcx above 130 on july 31 2026	No	BUY	15	35¢	$5	0xdb208d…
07-14 18:19:50	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 spread home 2pt5	France	BUY	1,000	6¢	$58	0xe158b4…
07-14 13:03:34	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	No	SELL	585	36¢	$211	0x98f7e6…
07-14 10:40:59	untitled market 1 20260626145744786	Yes	BUY	161	51¢	$82	0xf8f838…
07-14 10:32:10	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	No	SELL	2	33¢	$1	0x2b7098…
07-14 10:31:31	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	No	SELL	13	33¢	$4	0x979ff4…
07-13 23:34:16	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	No	BUY	600	53¢	$318	0x07c80c…
07-13 15:41:25	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in july 2026 618	Yes	SELL	1,500	31¢	$465	0x53c02c…
07-13 13:16:22	spcx above 140 on july 31 2026	No	BUY	367	49¢	$180	0x639ede…
07-13 13:16:14	spcx above 140 on july 31 2026	No	BUY	48	44¢	$21	0xc2f02c…
07-12 22:00:05	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	No	BUY	62	47¢	$29	0xa6d13b…
07-12 22:00:05	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	No	BUY	221	47¢	$104	0x986d54…
07-12 22:00:04	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	No	BUY	221	47¢	$104	0xd1e463…
07-12 22:00:04	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	No	BUY	85	47¢	$40	0x0d9302…
07-12 21:55:59	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	No	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xe935f3…
07-12 21:28:10	spcx above 150 on july 31 2026	No	BUY	81	49¢	$40	0x8c2e91…
07-12 19:24:40	will russia capture all of kostyantynivka by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	2,315	2¢	$50	0x2cc36f…
07-11 22:25:26	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11 totals 2pt5	Under	BUY	88	48¢	$42	0x9086c9…
07-11 22:24:55	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11 totals 2pt5	Under	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x4438ea…
07-11 22:23:46	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11 totals 2pt5	Under	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x03d4f5…
07-10 01:48:38	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in july 2026 618	Yes	BUY	1,500	30¢	$450	0x620a49…
07-09 21:34:58	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 spread home 1pt5	France	SELL	200	85¢	$170	0xf44b72…
07-09 21:08:47	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 spread home 1pt5	France	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0xb3fecd…
07-09 21:08:47	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 spread home 1pt5	France	BUY	1	28¢	$0	0x6929a8…
07-09 21:08:47	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 spread home 1pt5	France	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x373f61…
07-09 21:08:41	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 spread home 1pt5	France	BUY	2	29¢	$0	0xba01c9…
07-09 21:08:37	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 spread home 1pt5	France	BUY	27	28¢	$8	0x3dfc95…
07-09 21:08:35	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 spread home 1pt5	France	BUY	30	28¢	$9	0xf13ef4…
07-09 21:08:16	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 spread home 1pt5	France	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x71c1e7…
07-09 21:06:50	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 spread home 1pt5	France	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0xd3ebab…
07-09 21:06:50	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 spread home 1pt5	France	BUY	1	28¢	$0	0xa56075…
07-09 21:06:49	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 spread home 1pt5	France	BUY	112	28¢	$32	0x8f2c69…
07-09 21:05:50	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 spread home 1pt5	France	BUY	2	28¢	$1	0xedaaab…
07-09 19:38:35	spcx above 140 on july 31 2026	No	BUY	83	23¢	$19	0xe873c0…
07-09 10:30:13	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	No	SELL	595	55¢	$327	0xd4692a…
07-09 08:56:23	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	No	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0xee8f38…
07-09 08:56:02	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	No	SELL	200	61¢	$122	0x519d10…
07-09 03:00:02	spcx above 140 on july 31 2026	No	BUY	330	20¢	$66	0xfeb6db…
07-08 21:19:43	spcx above 150 on july 31 2026	No	BUY	169	41¢	$69	0x4a4243…
07-08 15:44:04	atp fritz zverev 2026 07 08	Alexander Zverev	BUY	800	73¢	$584	0xe35aca…
07-08 13:37:16	spcx above 140 on july 31 2026	No	BUY	215	34¢	$73	0x7ae0b8…
07-08 13:31:44	bitcoin above 60k on july 8 2026	No	BUY	3,000	1¢	$39	0xa68d4a…
07-08 11:15:14	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	No	BUY	800	49¢	$392	0xde7f04…
07-08 08:21:41	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	Yes	SELL	24	36¢	$9	0xa184c4…
07-08 08:21:40	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	Yes	SELL	40	36¢	$14	0xf0fd04…
07-08 08:21:37	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	Yes	SELL	47	36¢	$17	0xe857cc…
07-08 08:21:35	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	Yes	SELL	100	36¢	$36	0x58ed73…
07-08 08:21:34	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	Yes	SELL	74	36¢	$27	0x4e6cd6…
07-08 08:21:31	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	Yes	SELL	88	36¢	$32	0x29542a…
07-08 08:21:26	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	Yes	SELL	104	36¢	$37	0xf3a737…
07-08 08:21:22	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	Yes	SELL	122	36¢	$44	0xefe850…
07-08 08:21:19	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	Yes	SELL	145	36¢	$52	0x143770…
07-08 08:21:16	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	Yes	SELL	474	36¢	$171	0x88463d…
07-08 00:47:47	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	Yes	SELL	3	36¢	$1	0xeb62ab…
07-08 00:41:37	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	Yes	SELL	200	36¢	$72	0xc3a6a5…
07-07 23:57:46	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	Yes	SELL	100	36¢	$36	0xce3b4b…
07-07 23:21:56	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	Yes	SELL	200	36¢	$72	0xab08ee…
07-07 23:20:08	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	Yes	SELL	8	36¢	$3	0x2d955d…
07-07 22:57:40	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	Yes	SELL	200	36¢	$72	0x9d6c08…
07-07 22:55:20	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	Yes	SELL	556	36¢	$200	0x1351c2…
07-07 22:50:43	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	Yes	SELL	15	36¢	$5	0x2a6096…
07-07 19:41:32	atp augeral djokovi 2026 07 07	Felix Auger-Aliassime	BUY	200	26¢	$52	0x3a51b7…
07-07 17:00:04	atp augeral djokovi 2026 07 07	Felix Auger-Aliassime	BUY	100	45¢	$45	0xc03652…
07-06 21:33:31	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	792	68¢	$539	0xaf7397…
07-06 21:33:25	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	98	68¢	$67	0xa85a17…
07-06 21:33:25	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	30	68¢	$21	0x16ce03…
07-06 21:33:23	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	10	68¢	$7	0x8fe473…
07-06 21:33:23	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	48	68¢	$33	0x0cd9e4…
07-06 21:33:22	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	8	68¢	$5	0x6a4b69…
07-06 21:33:22	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	9	68¢	$6	0x4b1513…
07-06 21:33:19	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	29	68¢	$20	0x6fdf53…
07-06 21:33:17	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	5	68¢	$3	0x060b02…
07-06 21:33:14	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	5	68¢	$3	0x33658d…
07-06 21:33:14	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	7	68¢	$5	0x1fd8cf…
07-06 21:00:02	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	1,042	47¢	$490	0x71a696…