Truthful-Level — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$12.8K

Unrealized P&L

-$1.23K

Hit rate

65.1%

Resolved

436

Trades

3,399

lifetime

Volume

$245.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$72

Open exposure

$2.32K

7 positions

First seen

2026-01-20

last 11-04 19:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 147 days

Categories

Other

74% 41% +$14,116

Crypto

12% 17% -$1,656

Politics

9% 26% -$411

Sports

5% 42% +$832

Tech

1% 33% -$90

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

46 active days in 12wk • peak 39 trades/day

Open positions (7) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+34,053	$1,691	2¢	$783	-$908	11-04 15:46
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+9,053	$896	8¢	$770	-$127	11-04 15:08
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+2,921	$550	14¢	$394	-$155	11-04 17:51
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?	No	+624	$249	40¢	$250	+$1	11-04 15:10
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?	No	+1,100	$88	9¢	$98	+$11	11-04 15:07
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?	No	+100	$20	22¢	$22	+$2	11-04 15:06
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+0	$50	6¢	$0	-$50	11-04 15:08

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will gas hit (High) $4.60 by May 31?	42	$6.6K	4,818	4,818	+0	No	+$2,912	06-01 00:08
will usd fall to 1pt5m iranian rials by june 30	17	$5.7K	5,327	5,327	+0	No	+$1,039	06-21 16:06
will wti dip to 70 in june 2026 532 385 742	27	$5.7K	5,620	5,620	+0	Yes	+$3,549	06-24 13:17
Will gas hit (High) $4.25 by April 30?	63	$5.2K	4,557	4,465	+91	Yes	+$227	04-30 13:07
will gas hit high 4pt00 by march 31	33	$5.2K	6,577	4,721	+1,856	Yes	-$1,378	03-31 07:17
Will USD reach 1.9M Iranian rials by June 30?	33	$4.9K	3,254	3,254	+0	No	+$997	06-26 15:48
will gas hit high 4pt25 by march 31	31	$4.8K	3,608	3,608	+0	No	+$1,023	03-30 07:40
will usd reach 1pt8m iranian rials by june 30	59	$4.4K	5,081	5,081	+0	No	+$1,196	06-29 07:51
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of July?	13	$4.2K	4,314	4,314	+0	No	-$234	07-30 10:45
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	36	$3.7K	3,061	3,061	+0	No	+$235	05-29 17:12
iran confirmed not to participate in 2026 fifa world cup by march 31	42	$3.6K	3,384	3,384	+0	No	+$530	03-15 04:53
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	21	$3.6K	17,766	8,713	+9,053	open	—	11-04 15:08
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?	12	$3.2K	11,769	8,848	+2,921	open	—	11-04 17:51
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?	7	$3.1K	2,784	2,784	+0	Yes	+$1,123	07-17 19:46
will spacexs valuation hit high 2pt5t by june 30	170	$3.0K	2,475	2,475	+0	Yes	+$281	06-15 18:03
will wti dip to 80 in july 2026	9	$2.7K	2,000	2,000	+0	Yes	+$1,225	07-28 10:50
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	10	$2.6K	5,942	5,942	+0	Yes	+$823	02-28 16:05
andrew tate of tweets march 6 march 13 2026 100 129	9	$2.6K	2,230	2,230	+0	Yes	+$193	03-13 15:22
will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	28	$2.5K	3,900	3,300	+600	Yes	+$203	07-12 22:00
will wti dip to 85 in july 2026	21	$2.4K	3,199	535	+2,664	Yes	+$534	07-26 21:03
Will gas hit (High) $4.70 by May 31?	27	$2.2K	1,798	1,798	+0	No	+$600	05-27 21:26
spcx above 130 on july 31 2026	8	$2.2K	1,790	1,790	+0	No	+$533	07-23 10:00
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	16	$2.2K	2,367	2,367	+0	Yes	-$179	03-08 19:13
deepseek v4 released by march 15 678	18	$2.2K	2,705	2,056	+650	No	-$237	03-12 09:31
will spcx reach 140 in august 2026	11	$2.2K	2,303	2,303	+0	Yes	+$204	08-12 14:38
Will USD reach 1.8M Iranian rials by April 30?	18	$2.1K	2,246	2,246	+0	No	+$1,625	04-30 17:34
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	7	$2.1K	41,740	7,687	+34,053	open	—	11-04 15:46
wta andrees teichma 2026 06 24	5	$2.0K	2,002	1,250	+752	Bianca Andreescu	+$169	06-24 18:45
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	12	$2.0K	6,000	5,854	+147	No	+$81	10-30 15:45
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	13	$2.0K	7,696	7,696	+0	No	-$786	03-03 20:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 19:24:49	Will US gas hit $4.30 (High) in November?	No	BUY	15	78¢	$12	0x8a6c27…
11-04 17:57:48	Will US gas hit $4.25 (High) in November?	No	BUY	19	78¢	$15	0x9aeb5f…
11-04 17:52:10	Will US gas hit $4.30 (High) in November?	No	BUY	200	77¢	$153	0xbcabb9…
11-04 17:51:55	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,500	13¢	$195	0x05b18e…
11-04 15:46:24	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4,284	3¢	$133	0xd30078…
11-04 15:45:55	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	239	3¢	$6	0xfd5c4a…
11-04 15:29:22	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in November?	No	BUY	307	45¢	$138	0x770ad1…
11-04 15:28:39	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in November?	No	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x80e848…
11-04 15:28:18	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in November?	No	BUY	200	21¢	$42	0xdba1a8…
11-04 15:27:45	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in November?	No	BUY	197	21¢	$41	0xcfeb09…
11-04 15:27:28	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in November?	No	BUY	18	45¢	$8	0x3062a9…
11-04 15:26:49	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in November?	No	BUY	18	45¢	$8	0xe3ef61…
11-04 15:26:04	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in November?	No	BUY	1,099	45¢	$494	0xf70ede…
11-04 15:23:31	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in November?	No	BUY	196	18¢	$35	0xd98038…
11-04 15:23:30	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in November?	No	BUY	304	18¢	$55	0x8b2612…
11-04 15:22:51	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in November?	No	BUY	50	19¢	$10	0x4ffcfd…
11-04 15:21:34	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in November?	No	BUY	293	17¢	$50	0x54408f…
11-04 15:16:24	Will US gas hit $4.25 (High) in November?	No	BUY	70	65¢	$46	0x762fef…
11-04 15:16:15	Will US gas hit $4.20 (High) in November?	No	BUY	60	49¢	$29	0xc594ab…
11-04 15:10:54	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?	No	BUY	139	40¢	$56	0x122a23…
11-04 15:08:49	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6,222	15¢	$933	0x4af2a0…
11-04 15:08:39	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,040	8¢	$83	0xe6d896…
11-04 15:08:39	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	214	8¢	$17	0x2146d7…
11-04 15:08:31	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4,207	6¢	$252	0x6f376f…
11-04 15:07:51	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?	No	BUY	485	40¢	$193	0x67929d…
11-04 15:07:25	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?	No	BUY	1,100	8¢	$88	0x15c567…
11-04 15:06:57	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?	No	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0xb9837c…
11-04 15:04:52	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7,687	2¢	$192	0x5924bf…
11-04 14:42:40	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	227	16¢	$36	0xddd233…
11-04 14:42:16	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	959	9¢	$86	0x5a3802…
11-04 14:39:51	Will US gas hit $3.95 (Low) in November?	Yes	BUY	112	66¢	$74	0xa9af3d…
11-04 14:39:24	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,000	10¢	$100	0xbf7f93…
11-04 12:18:07	Will US gas hit $4.05 (Low) in November?	Yes	BUY	121	79¢	$96	0xeff602…
11-04 12:17:25	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in November?	Yes	SELL	1,748	2¢	$42	0xf1433f…
11-04 12:17:15	Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in November?	Yes	SELL	712	3¢	$24	0xf095e0…
11-04 12:17:01	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in November?	Yes	SELL	797	5¢	$40	0x67b111…
11-04 01:14:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on November 4?	No	BUY	371	1¢	$5	0x068e85…
11-03 13:42:27	Will US gas hit $3.90 (Low) in November?	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x9cb34e…
11-03 13:41:43	Will US gas hit $4.00 (Low) in November?	Yes	BUY	26	62¢	$16	0x8cd27b…
11-03 13:41:21	Will US gas hit $3.95 (Low) in November?	Yes	BUY	151	45¢	$68	0x23d1b1…
11-03 13:41:00	Will US gas hit $4.00 (Low) in November?	Yes	BUY	150	60¢	$90	0x6b1d83…
11-03 13:38:48	Will US gas hit $4.05 (Low) in November?	No	SELL	207	28¢	$58	0xaed40f…
11-03 12:22:07	Will US gas hit $4.05 (Low) in November?	No	BUY	207	28¢	$57	0xa7e309…
11-03 12:20:25	Will US gas hit $3.95 (Low) in November?	Yes	SELL	200	42¢	$85	0xfd2c43…
11-03 12:20:10	Will US gas hit $4.00 (Low) in November?	Yes	SELL	113	57¢	$64	0x53769a…
11-03 12:19:36	Will US gas hit $4.05 (Low) in November?	Yes	SELL	67	77¢	$52	0xf85a5b…
11-03 00:50:33	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in November?	Yes	BUY	797	10¢	$80	0x750057…
11-02 23:23:01	Will US gas hit $4.00 (Low) in November?	Yes	BUY	31	50¢	$16	0xb8fc3a…
11-02 23:23:01	Will US gas hit $4.00 (Low) in November?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x447078…
11-02 23:21:45	Will US gas hit $3.95 (Low) in November?	Yes	BUY	200	39¢	$79	0xeabdb1…
11-02 23:20:54	Will US gas hit $4.00 (Low) in November?	Yes	BUY	80	44¢	$35	0xf46ee6…
11-02 23:20:30	Will US gas hit $4.05 (Low) in November?	Yes	BUY	67	57¢	$38	0xc216af…
11-02 23:19:22	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,500	11¢	$275	0xc625d3…
11-02 21:18:27	Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in November?	Yes	BUY	712	5¢	$35	0x4859dd…
11-02 21:17:25	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in November?	Yes	BUY	1,748	4¢	$63	0x1520d0…
11-02 21:04:30	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.05% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	25	35¢	$9	0xaa820f…
11-02 21:04:27	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.05% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	146	36¢	$53	0xdc10b8…
11-02 21:04:12	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.15% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	89	53¢	$47	0xb6e336…
11-02 16:31:46	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.15% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	89	53¢	$47	0x8027c9…
11-02 14:20:39	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in November?	Yes	SELL	715	7¢	$50	0xd1fc83…
11-01 20:39:34	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,500 in November?	Yes	BUY	30	7¢	$2	0x25ebc3…
10-30 22:03:04	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	170	11¢	$19	0x68d9d9…
10-30 15:45:04	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	147	13¢	$19	0x4aeae5…
10-30 15:26:57	Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.85% in October?	Yes	SELL	72	3¢	$2	0xae4588…
10-30 15:26:09	Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.90% in October?	Yes	SELL	441	4¢	$18	0x750780…
10-30 00:56:03	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.05% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	165	33¢	$54	0xc2fe62…
10-30 00:55:31	Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,777	3¢	$55	0xa05a8f…
10-30 00:48:18	Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.85% in October?	Yes	BUY	72	20¢	$14	0x0309c1…
10-30 00:31:09	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6,209	9¢	$559	0x87dfeb…
10-29 21:01:54	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4,204	9¢	$378	0x573ba7…
10-29 21:01:22	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,257	15¢	$489	0x050dfc…
10-29 21:00:09	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	1,465	15¢	$212	0x542597…
10-29 20:58:19	Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.90% in October?	Yes	BUY	620	14¢	$89	0xbab0d4…
10-29 20:57:12	Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.95% in October?	Yes	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0x055125…
10-29 20:54:31	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14,983	4¢	$659	0xe7599e…
10-29 20:54:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in November?	Yes	BUY	23	5¢	$1	0xa6fe4d…
10-29 20:53:55	Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	120	5¢	$6	0xdfbaca…
10-29 20:52:06	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	Yes	SELL	54	44¢	$24	0xf602cd…
10-29 20:52:06	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	Yes	SELL	483	44¢	$213	0x6014fd…
10-29 20:52:06	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	Yes	SELL	514	44¢	$226	0x421d19…
10-29 20:52:06	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	Yes	SELL	473	44¢	$208	0x3d28ad…
10-29 20:52:06	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	Yes	SELL	514	44¢	$226	0x18ab2d…
10-29 20:52:01	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	Yes	SELL	484	44¢	$213	0xfd401d…
10-29 20:51:58	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	Yes	SELL	477	44¢	$210	0xb78a2c…
10-29 16:01:17	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	3,000	4¢	$108	0x22ac60…
10-28 16:01:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in November?	Yes	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0xf57f47…
10-27 21:52:29	Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	55	5¢	$3	0x163b5e…
10-27 16:01:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in November?	Yes	BUY	342	6¢	$21	0x151821…
10-27 12:50:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in November?	Yes	BUY	191	6¢	$11	0x266360…
10-27 12:50:23	Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in October?	Yes	SELL	272	1¢	$3	0xa45f87…
10-27 12:49:50	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	1,454	2¢	$32	0x0c16e7…
10-27 12:17:45	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in November?	Yes	BUY	58	6¢	$3	0x5eb6c6…
10-27 12:17:20	Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.90% in October?	Yes	SELL	20	18¢	$4	0x07f7c6…
10-27 11:57:21	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in November?	Yes	BUY	51	6¢	$3	0x83a75b…
10-26 13:58:32	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	421	18¢	$76	0x5c3a88…
10-26 13:56:15	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	32	8¢	$3	0xc1a0e3…
10-26 13:55:06	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4,182	12¢	$502	0xe90fd9…
10-26 01:42:17	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	1,465	21¢	$308	0x3598ef…
10-26 00:23:15	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9,101	6¢	$510	0x87d91a…
10-26 00:03:39	Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.90% in October?	Yes	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0x900faa…