(anonymous) 0x8f9d9d…b15e06
bot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$45
Unrealized P&L
+$71
Hit rate
43.9%
Resolved
68
Trades
377
lifetime
Volume
$3.09K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$542
30 positions
First seen
2026-09-23
last 10-28 20:25
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 24 days
Categories
Other
55% 52% +$94
Politics
36% 29% -$144
Tech
4% — —
Sports
3% — —
Crypto
2% 100% +$4
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
31 active days in 12wk • peak 56 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +85 $70 82¢ $69 -$1 10-28 20:08
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +60 $41 66¢ $40 -$1 10-27 01:59
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% before 2027? No +79 $10 49¢ $39 +$30 10-11 02:29
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? No +36 $20 69¢ $25 +$5 10-05 11:06
Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026? Yes +35 $18 62¢ $22 +$4 10-05 21:50
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? Yes +101 $10 22¢ $22 +$12 09-30 19:11
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? No +25 $20 87¢ $22 +$2 10-04 20:26
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October? No +28 $11 77¢ $21 +$10 10-28 15:51
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +31 $20 66¢ $20 +$0 10-28 20:13
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +115 $20 17¢ $20 $0 10-28 20:22
No one announced as next James Bond? Yes +91 $20 21¢ $19 -$1 10-28 15:55
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House Yes +67 $20 28¢ $18 -$2 10-06 14:58
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +101 $19 18¢ $18 -$2 09-30 10:25
us x iran ceasefire continues through december 31 20260918 No +20 $10 72¢ $14 +$4 09-23 17:43
Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? Yes +98 $17 15¢ $14 -$3 10-26 19:02
Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting? Yes +13 $10 100¢ $13 +$3 09-26 11:52
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? No +15 $9 84¢ $13 +$3 09-23 17:34
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +14 $10 84¢ $12 +$2 09-23 17:35
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? No +11 $9 100¢ $11 +$1 10-05 11:00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? No +11 $10 94¢ $11 +$1 09-23 17:37
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +63 $10 17¢ $11 +$1 09-26 10:16
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? No +11 $9 92¢ $10 +$1 09-26 13:00
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +16 $12 64¢ $10 -$2 10-27 02:04
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +81 $10 12¢ $10 +$0 09-26 09:30
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +18 $10 56¢ $10 $0 10-28 04:07
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? Yes +11 $10 91¢ $10 -$1 10-04 22:41
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? No +12 $10 78¢ $10 +$0 09-26 10:20
another fed rate hike in 2026 No +42 $7 22¢ $9 +$2 10-25 09:57
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +22 $10 42¢ $9 -$1 10-28 20:19
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +80 $10 12¢ $9 $0 09-23 17:28