Realized P&L
-$131
Unrealized P&L
+$75
Hit rate
53.5%
Resolved
5,005
Trades
22,307
lifetime
Volume
$75.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$361
30 positions
First seen
2026-09-24
last 10-27 03:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 34 days
Categories
Other
56% 39% +$436
Crypto
41% 38% -$570
Politics
1% 23% +$8
Sports
1% 41% -$18
Tech
0% 38% +$16
Pop-Culture
0% 33% -$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
34 active days in 12wk • peak 989 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027? No +42 $26 87¢ $37 +$10 10-15 05:36
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026? No +30 $16 87¢ $26 +$10 10-20 14:37
Will a US-Iran deal in 2026 include Surrender of Iranian Enriched Uranium? No +20 $18 92¢ $18 +$0 10-19 14:01
Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? No +16 $9 98¢ $16 +$7 10-14 13:54
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5 Playoffs Inner Circle Esports +20 $13 74¢ $15 +$1 10-26 19:52
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027? No +15 $12 96¢ $14 +$2 10-06 12:36
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No +20 $9 61¢ $12 +$3 10-10 08:54
Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch? No +15 $10 72¢ $11 +$1 10-21 12:58
Will Su Chiao-hui win the next New Taipei Mayor election? Yes +20 $10 54¢ $11 +$0 10-17 03:52
Will David Eby be the next Premier of British Columbia? No +10 $6 100¢ $10 +$4 10-02 11:51
Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%? No +10 $6 99¢ $10 +$3 10-14 21:58
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? Yes +10 $8 98¢ $10 +$1 10-13 13:23
Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +10 $4 98¢ $10 +$5 09-29 15:53
Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting? Yes +10 $9 98¢ $10 +$1 10-12 10:19
Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? No +10 $9 98¢ $10 +$1 10-14 13:54
will texas enact a data center moratorium by december 31 2026 No +10 $4 98¢ $10 +$6 09-29 18:08
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026? No +10 $8 98¢ $10 +$2 10-04 21:14
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027? No +10 $8 97¢ $10 +$1 09-29 18:58
Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad? No +10 $6 96¢ $10 +$4 10-06 13:59
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? No +10 $7 96¢ $10 +$2 10-01 05:50
Will Drake be the top artist for 2026? No +10 $9 96¢ $10 +$0 09-29 14:18
Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +10 $9 96¢ $10 +$0 10-05 14:25
Anthropic IPO before 2027? Yes +10 $6 94¢ $9 +$3 10-16 15:28
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026? No +10 $8 94¢ $9 +$2 10-14 13:07
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in December 2026 (ET)? No +10 $8 93¢ $9 +$2 10-13 16:43
Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch? No +10 $9 93¢ $9 $0 10-25 07:28
Will Su Chiao-hui win the next New Taipei Mayor election? No +20 $9 46¢ $9 +$0 10-20 04:35
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +10 $8 92¢ $9 +$1 10-08 16:17
Will "Babydoll — Dominic Fike" be the top song for 2026? No +10 $9 92¢ $9 +$0 10-08 23:07
Will Hanwha Life Esports win Worlds 2026? No +10 $8 91¢ $9 +$1 09-29 11:28