Writhing-Round 0x1583c5…9cbdde
whale cold 3W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$50.1K
Unrealized P&L
+$15.0K
Hit rate
49.8%
Resolved
2,106
Trades
38,912
lifetime
Volume
$2.98M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$76
Open exposure
$215.8K
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-24
last 10-29 05:58
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 153 days
Categories
Other
66% 38% -$45,341
Politics
18% 38% -$3,510
Crypto
10% 54% -$3,650
Tech
4% 33% -$583
Sports
2% 44% +$3,034
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$19
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
83 active days in 12wk • peak 1159 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +15,646 $14,959 97¢ $15.1K +$148 10-28 16:30
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? No +14,923 $12,463 98¢ $14.6K +$2,162 10-28 15:59
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? No +20,477 $11,625 60¢ $12.2K +$590 10-28 19:04
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? No +12,157 $10,126 99¢ $12.0K +$1,891 10-23 15:21
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No +10,805 $10,176 97¢ $10.5K +$283 10-28 02:23
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +9,394 $6,697 98¢ $9.2K +$2,490 10-26 00:41
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? No +8,799 $8,347 96¢ $8.5K +$126 10-25 23:39
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes +20,477 $8,994 40¢ $8.3K -$731 10-28 10:14
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +7,920 $7,685 98¢ $7.8K +$96 10-23 09:32
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +7,724 $7,429 97¢ $7.5K +$36 10-28 13:30
israel x iran ceasefire continues through october 31 Yes +7,687 $6,294 96¢ $7.4K +$1,124 10-25 08:28
Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate? Yes +11,087 $6,509 65¢ $7.2K +$736 10-24 11:55
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? No +8,168 $6,546 84¢ $6.9K +$315 10-27 23:34
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +7,070 $5,519 94¢ $6.7K +$1,162 10-28 19:04
Will there be no Hormuz agreement? Yes +7,117 $6,165 93¢ $6.6K +$461 10-28 10:51
Will oil be below $85 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate? No +5,940 $5,579 98¢ $5.8K +$227 10-17 07:52
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +6,726 $4,875 84¢ $5.7K +$809 10-22 16:41
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +5,640 $5,499 99¢ $5.6K +$105 10-24 23:54
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? Yes +9,416 $5,464 56¢ $5.3K -$144 10-27 02:09
Will oil be below $80 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate? No +5,328 $5,028 99¢ $5.3K +$228 10-16 04:50
France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026? No +5,264 $4,951 99¢ $5.2K +$261 10-25 22:03
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? Yes +5,919 $3,867 88¢ $5.2K +$1,312 10-28 07:01
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +6,133 $5,174 83¢ $5.1K -$75 10-26 23:18
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? No +5,746 $5,009 85¢ $4.9K -$134 10-28 05:39
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2? No +5,047 $4,596 94¢ $4.7K +$122 10-27 09:28
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +5,637 $3,404 83¢ $4.7K +$1,275 10-28 12:07
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029? No +5,760 $4,490 78¢ $4.5K +$32 10-27 01:07
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? No +5,024 $4,201 90¢ $4.5K +$295 10-27 03:12
Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026? Yes +6,761 $4,772 66¢ $4.5K -$309 10-22 03:25
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +5,228 $4,332 84¢ $4.4K +$86 10-24 23:39