Writhing-Round — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$8.43K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

33.9%

Resolved

132

Trades

7,447

lifetime

Volume

$303.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$41

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-24

last 08-11 00:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

92% 54% $-8,428

Other

4% — —

Politics

3% — —

Sports

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

30 active days in 12wk • peak 137 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (15) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4PM ET	59	$8.4K	17,853	0	+17,853	Down	$-1,183	05-07 20:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2PM ET	73	$7.2K	11,604	0	+11,604	Up	$-718	05-07 18:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9AM ET	262	$7.1K	12,460	2,000	+10,460	open	—	04-28 13:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2AM ET	43	$6.8K	11,923	0	+11,923	open	—	05-15 06:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2PM ET	202	$6.5K	13,165	0	+13,165	Down	$-772	05-06 18:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3PM ET	80	$5.9K	9,856	0	+9,856	Up	$-2,054	05-08 19:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3PM ET	109	$5.7K	10,587	0	+10,587	Up	$-598	05-05 19:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12PM ET	171	$5.4K	11,845	0	+11,845	open	—	05-01 16:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11AM ET	61	$5.4K	10,137	0	+10,137	open	—	05-01 15:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6AM ET	66	$4.9K	9,681	0	+9,681	open	—	04-30 10:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12PM ET	73	$4.8K	8,768	0	+8,768	open	—	04-30 16:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1PM ET	137	$4.6K	9,446	0	+9,446	open	—	04-30 17:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6AM ET	87	$4.6K	10,434	0	+10,434	Up	$-2,079	05-06 10:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1AM ET	65	$4.5K	6,728	0	+6,728	Up	$-543	05-05 05:52
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	1	$4.3K	5,000	0	+5,000	open	—	05-23 22:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5AM ET	27	$4.2K	7,224	0	+7,224	Down	$-764	05-08 09:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6AM ET	76	$4.0K	9,650	0	+9,650	open	—	05-01 10:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1PM ET	101	$3.9K	7,088	500	+6,588	open	—	04-28 17:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3AM ET	58	$3.9K	6,318	0	+6,318	Up	$-626	05-08 07:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4AM ET	58	$3.7K	7,924	0	+7,924	open	—	04-29 09:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4PM ET	127	$3.6K	8,281	0	+8,281	Down	+$494	05-04 20:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2PM ET	9	$3.6K	7,405	0	+7,405	Up	$-1,205	05-05 18:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3PM ET	64	$3.5K	6,303	0	+6,303	open	—	04-30 19:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4PM ET	61	$3.5K	6,996	0	+6,996	Up	+$726	05-05 20:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3AM ET	159	$3.5K	7,756	0	+7,756	Down	+$237	05-05 07:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9AM ET	98	$3.4K	6,969	0	+6,969	open	—	05-04 13:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3PM ET	75	$3.3K	6,906	0	+6,906	Up	+$537	05-06 19:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11AM ET	138	$3.3K	6,516	0	+6,516	open	—	05-04 15:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12PM ET	78	$3.2K	8,541	0	+8,541	open	—	04-29 16:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2AM ET	107	$3.0K	7,013	0	+7,013	Up	+$600	05-06 06:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-11 01:49:45	us iran hormuz agreement by august 15 20260804222025506 211	No	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0x93a0a9…
08-11 01:49:45	us iran hormuz agreement by august 15 20260804222025506 211	No	BUY	46	74¢	$34	0x57416b…
08-11 01:32:07	will the highest score achieved by an anthropic claude model on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 60 or higher 20260723190836287	Yes	BUY	40	57¢	$23	0x744c2c…
08-11 01:01:43	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	No	SELL	31	50¢	$16	0x5259ed…
08-11 01:01:24	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	No	SELL	19	50¢	$9	0x73fb0f…
08-11 00:33:39	will spacex starship flight test 14 launch by august 31	No	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0xbe36cf…
08-11 00:32:51	us iran hormuz agreement by august 31 20260804222025507 868 993	No	SELL	20	39¢	$8	0xa252ef…
08-11 00:22:31	Will Trump meet with Changpeng Zhao in 2026?	No	SELL	49	77¢	$38	0xd8e99c…
08-11 00:12:40	will xagusd reach 72 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	20	37¢	$7	0xb2ab43…
08-11 00:09:09	russia ukraine peace talks by september 30 2026 20260609012542188	No	SELL	31	75¢	$23	0xb96ff1…
08-10 23:47:03	will xagusd reach 72 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0xf560c8…
08-10 23:46:57	will xagusd reach 72 in august 2026	No	SELL	20	63¢	$13	0x8e837e…
08-10 23:31:24	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	SELL	15	75¢	$11	0xdd4cf5…
08-10 22:42:16	Kash Patel out by December 31?	No	SELL	10	75¢	$7	0x930f35…
08-10 20:10:01	will the unsc adopt a resolution endorsing the final us iran deal by date	Yes	BUY	100	24¢	$24	0x37f724…
08-10 19:52:40	will kai or speed be eliminated by the void 20260807142948643	No	SELL	20	57¢	$11	0x5f333e…
08-10 19:46:39	Kash Patel out by December 31?	No	SELL	1	76¢	$1	0x1679c0…
08-10 19:42:30	iran charges hormuz fees by december 31 20260706203029175 553	No	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0x398732…
08-10 19:28:18	will kai or speed be eliminated by the void 20260807142948643	No	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x079dd2…
08-10 19:11:03	iran full airspace closure by december 31 20260727170429885	No	BUY	37	68¢	$25	0xd43211…
08-10 18:56:37	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 21 20260808192512605	Yes	SELL	20	65¢	$13	0x7c58cf…
08-10 18:29:31	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	200	56¢	$112	0xa49e88…
08-10 18:25:51	will xagusd reach 72 in august 2026	No	BUY	20	72¢	$14	0x7a7f6a…
08-10 18:22:10	yabloko effectively banned from 2026 russian elections by september 17 20260807161302974	Yes	SELL	31	97¢	$30	0x20c129…
08-10 14:01:49	yabloko effectively banned from 2026 russian elections by september 17 20260807161302974	Yes	SELL	50	78¢	$39	0x91f079…
08-10 13:15:51	will kai or speed die to a pillager 20260808122745361	No	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0x0eea6d…
08-10 12:34:18	us iran hormuz agreement by august 31 20260804222025507	No	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0xf048da…
08-10 11:42:55	yabloko effectively banned from 2026 russian elections by september 17 20260807161302974	Yes	SELL	19	66¢	$12	0x7d0812…
08-10 11:41:25	yabloko effectively banned from 2026 russian elections by september 17 20260807161302974	Yes	BUY	100	64¢	$64	0x7017d7…
08-10 11:28:12	Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	28	22¢	$6	0x3e9038…
08-10 11:28:03	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 21 20260808192512605	Yes	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0x5885dd…
08-08 21:01:46	will the highest score achieved on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 60 or higher 20260723190142923	Yes	BUY	40	70¢	$28	0xf9409d…
08-08 20:57:12	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	SELL	14	54¢	$8	0x575ad8…
08-08 20:14:55	will anthropics valuation hit high 2pt5t by december 31 169	No	BUY	50	78¢	$39	0x42aa51…
08-08 18:49:24	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0xa593b5…
08-08 18:20:09	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	SELL	20	55¢	$11	0x9abfa0…
08-08 13:37:57	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by august 31 20260707233859434	Yes	SELL	7	55¢	$4	0x7d91da…
08-08 13:37:55	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by august 31 20260707233859434	Yes	SELL	7	55¢	$4	0xaaed85…
08-08 12:24:43	russia ukraine peace talks by december 31 2026 20260609012542189	Yes	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0xb865b4…
08-08 11:53:49	will openais astra model be released by august 31 2026 20260801214557731	No	SELL	20	78¢	$16	0x1fd88c…
08-08 11:06:36	will russia capture orikhiv by december 31 2026	No	BUY	50	76¢	$38	0x9a6fda…
08-08 09:39:24	alofoke forms party in dr by june 30 2027	Yes	SELL	20	40¢	$8	0x28117d…
08-08 09:04:22	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	56¢	$28	0x7e84e3…
08-08 08:57:07	will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	No	SELL	20	67¢	$13	0xddb5fa…
08-08 08:48:09	will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	No	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0x65aa1c…
08-08 08:31:18	will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	No	SELL	20	66¢	$13	0x286086…
08-08 04:53:58	us iran hormuz agreement by august 31 20260804000051471	Yes	SELL	20	65¢	$13	0x8a4829…
08-08 04:45:13	will xauusd reach 4600 in august 2026	No	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0xd53d62…
08-08 03:37:16	Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	77¢	$38	0x428f49…
08-08 03:30:13	us iran hormuz agreement by august 15 20260804222025506	Yes	SELL	50	77¢	$38	0xc722f0…
08-08 01:31:24	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	No	BUY	50	52¢	$26	0x941bc2…
08-08 01:27:54	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0x031bdb…
08-08 00:53:22	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	SELL	5	78¢	$4	0x5f82f4…
08-08 00:38:57	will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	No	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0xa9019b…
08-07 22:58:13	iran charges hormuz fees by december 31 20260706203029175 553	No	BUY	37	44¢	$16	0x0e174e…
08-07 22:53:34	iran charges hormuz fees by december 31 20260706203029175 553	Yes	SELL	50	55¢	$28	0xfb65fc…
08-07 22:42:36	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	BUY	200	54¢	$108	0x833172…
08-07 22:39:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	200	60¢	$120	0xc8e4c3…
08-07 22:38:34	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0x56c381…
08-07 22:36:13	will russia and ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 20260629155934232 846	Yes	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0x102b1e…
08-07 21:51:01	iran charges hormuz fees by december 31 20260706203029175 553	Yes	BUY	50	55¢	$28	0xf7e65c…
08-07 21:37:36	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0x3ba90a…
08-07 21:27:27	alofoke forms party in dr by june 30 2027	Yes	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0x8ed55e…
08-07 21:25:58	will carlos alcaraz play in the uptspt open 20260805193315485	No	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x72c181…
08-07 21:22:21	us iran hormuz agreement by august 15 20260804222025506	Yes	BUY	50	76¢	$38	0xc70693…
08-06 15:56:56	will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by august 31 2026 20260728213742051	No	SELL	20	84¢	$17	0xa8513b…
08-06 15:37:26	will xauusd reach 4400 in august 2026	No	SELL	20	44¢	$9	0xeb81a6…
08-06 15:30:59	russia ukraine peace talks by september 30 2026 20260609012542188	No	BUY	31	68¢	$21	0xa3a160…
08-06 15:01:09	iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	Yes	SELL	6	38¢	$2	0xfaac61…
08-06 13:57:15	will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	No	SELL	20	67¢	$13	0xe048cb…
08-06 13:44:17	Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	74¢	$37	0xb02107…
08-06 13:32:57	will spy reach 790 in august 2026	No	SELL	20	57¢	$11	0x486987…
08-06 12:35:24	will xauusd reach 4500 in august 2026	No	BUY	14	65¢	$9	0x60a2d6…
08-06 11:56:38	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	SELL	0	68¢	$0	0x3e1205…
08-06 11:32:14	will lifi launch a token by march 31 2027	Yes	BUY	50	22¢	$11	0x0bff1f…
08-06 11:28:57	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by august 31 20260707233859434	Yes	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0x6aebc9…
08-06 10:52:50	us government removes public access to a major chinese ai model in 2026 20260703203328223	Yes	BUY	14	17¢	$2	0xa6c077…
08-06 10:52:50	us government removes public access to a major chinese ai model in 2026 20260703203328223	Yes	BUY	36	17¢	$6	0x52df8e…
08-06 10:10:18	will strc hit 100 by december 31 20260618001621119	Yes	SELL	15	57¢	$8	0x38eb5c…
08-06 10:10:02	will strc hit 100 by december 31 20260618001621119	Yes	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0x8df7e5…
08-05 07:12:59	us iran hormuz agreement by august 31 20260804000051471	Yes	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0x3ed8f6…
08-05 06:48:33	will openais astra model be released by august 31 2026 20260801214557731	No	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0x18a957…
08-05 05:47:15	will xauusd reach 4400 in august 2026	No	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0xfa064c…
08-05 05:46:59	will xauusd reach 4400 in august 2026	No	BUY	8	81¢	$6	0xbc3df5…
08-05 05:37:36	will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by august 31 2026 20260728213742051	No	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0xfac54a…
08-05 02:38:51	will xagusd reach 64 in august 2026	No	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xc873b1…
08-05 02:00:57	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	BUY	200	62¢	$124	0x099afe…
08-05 00:49:39	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	SELL	200	63¢	$126	0xb0019c…
08-05 00:24:35	will spy reach 790 in august 2026	No	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0xf1eb63…
08-05 00:00:51	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	BUY	200	61¢	$122	0x351f27…
08-04 22:49:54	iran successfully targets shipping by august 9 2026	Yes	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0x40720c…
08-04 22:34:29	Kash Patel out by December 31?	No	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0x499fc0…
08-04 21:56:44	iran successfully targets shipping by august 9 2026	No	BUY	13	36¢	$5	0xb51371…
08-04 21:43:56	will russia capture oleksiievo druzhkivka by december 31 2026 20260706174556071	No	BUY	50	62¢	$31	0x436182…
08-04 21:39:15	iran successfully targets shipping by august 9 2026	Yes	SELL	20	64¢	$13	0x1ba1fa…
08-04 21:31:56	Will Trump meet with Changpeng Zhao in 2026?	No	BUY	50	81¢	$40	0x1d8734…
08-04 21:31:41	foreign intervention in gaza by december 31 775	Yes	BUY	200	55¢	$110	0x2948a6…
08-04 21:29:03	will trump praise roger penske in august 20260728221212351	No	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0x477fac…
08-04 21:20:44	iran successfully targets shipping by august 9 2026	Yes	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0xd5f758…
08-04 19:22:45	iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	Yes	BUY	200	64¢	$128	0xd54f13…