Realized P&L
-$8.43K
Unrealized P&L
-$24
Hit rate
33.9%
Resolved
132
Trades
7,297
lifetime
Volume
$299.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$41
Open exposure
$553
13 positions
First seen
2026-04-24
last 07-21 16:21
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 11 days
Categories
Crypto
93% 54% $-8,428
Other
3%
Politics
3%
Sports
1%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
37 active days in 12wk • peak 766 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? No +200 $128 62¢ $123 $-5 07-21 04:56
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +200 $128 58¢ $117 $-11 07-21 10:37
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No -200 $-90 46¢ $-93 $-3 07-21 15:47
Fed rate hike in 2026? No -200 $-75 42¢ $-83 $-8 07-21 15:57
Anthropic IPO before 2027? No -100 $-20 36¢ $-36 $-16 07-21 15:53
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? No -28 $-22 78¢ $-22 +$0 07-21 16:08
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? Yes -50 $-20 40¢ $-20 +$0 07-21 16:09
Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? Yes -20 $-16 82¢ $-16 $-0 07-21 16:10
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Yes -35 $-35 46¢ $-16 +$19 07-21 15:46
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No -15 $-12 82¢ $-12 $-0 07-21 16:13
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? No +18 $8 46¢ $8 +$0 07-21 16:18
Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027? Yes -20 $-4 20¢ $-4 $-0 07-21 16:20
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? Yes -5 $-3 58¢ $-3 $-0 07-21 16:18