Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6.28K

Unrealized P&L

-$79

Hit rate

4.7%

Resolved

3,898

Trades

21,335

lifetime

Volume

$311.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

$85

20 positions

First seen

2026-07-06

last 10-28 05:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 114 days

Categories

Other

62% 8% -$4,300

Politics

22% 3% -$1,522

Crypto

10% 10% -$102

Tech

3% 4% -$231

Sports

2% 7% -$110

Pop-Culture

1% 0% -$19

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 506 trades/day

Open positions (20) Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	+75	$72	88¢	$66	-$5	10-22 14:37
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480?	Yes	+47	$54	23¢	$11	-$43	09-30 21:29
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?	Yes	+50	$4	5¢	$3	-$2	10-28 04:56
Metamask FDV above $4B one day after launch?	Yes	+65	$6	2¢	$1	-$5	09-22 08:58
Extended FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	+75	$5	2¢	$1	-$4	10-20 21:48
Russia coup attempt in 2026?	Yes	-50	-$1	2¢	$-1	-$1	10-07 01:22
Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in 2026?	Yes	+50	$2	2¢	$1	-$1	10-27 20:55
Will Macky Sall be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?	Yes	+34	$2	2¢	$1	-$2	10-24 15:11
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	No	+20	$1	2¢	$0	-$1	10-16 14:32
Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026?	No	+0	$7	80¢	$0	-$7	09-22 18:58
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	+0	$0	99¢	$0	$0	07-24 02:27
Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	+0	$3	96¢	$0	-$3	09-27 08:21
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31?	No	+0	$0	96¢	$0	$0	10-23 18:06
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena \| WebDev AI at the end of October 2026?	Yes	+0	$0	95¢	$0	$0	10-27 13:03
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027?	No	+0	$1	95¢	$0	-$1	10-27 22:37
Will Masoud Pezeshkian attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	+0	$3	92¢	$0	-$3	10-14 19:53
Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Yes	+0	$1	7¢	$0	-$1	10-26 23:31
Ukraine coup attempt by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+0	$0	3¢	$0	$0	10-26 18:40
Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	+0	$1	2¢	$0	-$1	10-03 04:21
Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027?	Yes	+0	$0	1¢	$0	$0	10-22 01:15

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Ahmad Vahidi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	20	$731	515	515	+0	open	—	10-08 08:27
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?	22	$706	520	520	+0	open	—	10-18 10:37
Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2026?	22	$684	585	585	+0	No	-$11	09-14 03:27
Metamask FDV above $2B one day after launch?	45	$671	596	596	+0	open	—	10-15 10:47
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?	26	$657	532	532	+0	open	—	10-26 23:43
Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch?	18	$613	445	445	+0	open	—	10-20 22:27
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480?	16	$602	370	323	+47	open	—	09-30 21:29
Puffpaw FDV above $300M one day after launch?	26	$584	429	429	+0	open	—	10-27 10:27
Will Macky Sall be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?	20	$580	475	441	+34	open	—	10-24 15:11
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	21	$578	355	355	+0	open	—	10-26 17:57
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $2.25T and $2.5T?	6	$555	300	300	+0	open	—	09-10 20:57
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?	22	$549	523	523	+0	open	—	10-06 18:57
Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?	14	$526	326	326	+0	open	—	10-22 12:37
Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?	19	$525	390	390	+0	open	—	09-22 16:37
Will Donald Trump attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	19	$515	450	450	+0	open	—	10-16 09:37
Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch?	16	$511	380	380	+0	open	—	10-01 14:27
Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026?	20	$508	360	360	+0	No	-$3	09-03 00:07
José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison?	12	$499	315	315	+0	open	—	10-18 00:37
Yoon out of custody before 2027?	19	$499	515	515	+0	open	—	10-17 06:06
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?	15	$499	365	365	+0	open	—	10-27 23:29
Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch?	100	$492	370	370	+0	open	—	10-20 03:47
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?	20	$490	398	398	+0	No	-$2	08-26 19:57
Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch?	28	$485	515	515	+0	open	—	10-15 17:43
Extended FDV above $3B one day after launch?	12	$482	295	295	+0	open	—	10-20 09:57
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?	10	$452	250	250	+0	open	—	10-12 15:07
US x China tariff agreement by December 31?	16	$446	413	413	+0	Yes	-$4	09-10 07:27
Will Trump meet with Nick Fuentes in 2026?	15	$445	370	370	+0	open	—	08-31 12:37
Will Faker win a Finals MVP Award at an international event in 2026?	28	$439	351	351	+0	open	—	10-15 10:17
Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2027?	10	$438	263	263	+0	open	—	09-23 04:37
Printr FDV above $100M one day after launch?	14	$437	320	320	+0	open	—	09-30 13:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 08:04:20	Cambria FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	50	1¢	$1	0x1f3c37…
10-28 08:03:17	Will Juan Branco advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	No	SELL	50	95¢	$48	0xe32546…
10-28 07:58:43	Will Juan Branco advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0xac3a96…
10-28 07:47:14	Will Gretchen Whitmer be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	No	SELL	20	92¢	$18	0x4abdec…
10-28 07:45:02	Will Gretchen Whitmer be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	No	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x79db9c…
10-28 05:51:08	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.10% before 2027?	No	SELL	50	96¢	$48	0xa24707…
10-28 05:48:14	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.10% before 2027?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x118c06…
10-28 05:23:49	Will Movistar KOI Make the Worlds 2026 Grand Final?	Yes	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0x81a3b2…
10-28 04:57:20	Will "GTA VI" have a Metascore of at least 92?	No	SELL	50	5¢	$2	0xd7e563…
10-28 04:57:11	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?	Yes	SELL	47	4¢	$2	0x127183…
10-28 04:57:05	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?	Yes	BUY	47	6¢	$3	0xddbd2f…
10-28 04:56:34	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?	Yes	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x79a373…
10-28 04:54:44	Will "GTA VI" have a Metascore of at least 92?	No	BUY	50	5¢	$3	0x13dd8e…
10-28 04:47:11	Will the Republican Party hold between 215 and 219 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	SELL	3	92¢	$3	0x3f3029…
10-28 04:41:26	Will the Republican Party hold between 215 and 219 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	SELL	17	92¢	$16	0x4a1462…
10-28 04:41:25	Will the Republican Party hold between 215 and 219 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	BUY	17	93¢	$16	0x9fb753…
10-28 04:41:25	Will the Republican Party hold between 215 and 219 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0x7b54e3…
10-28 04:37:52	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Florida be between 8,250,000 and 8,500,000?	No	SELL	20	80¢	$16	0xf89a12…
10-28 04:37:22	Republican Senate odds dip to 25% by October 31?	Yes	SELL	50	3¢	$2	0x166d1c…
10-28 04:37:11	Will Lovable announce bankruptcy before 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x4685b1…
10-28 04:37:02	Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.5% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0xd93c9c…
10-28 04:31:56	Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027?	No	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0xc27329…
10-28 04:28:19	Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027?	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x39d56c…
10-28 03:26:03	Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad?	Yes	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0x1b203f…
10-28 03:23:03	Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad?	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x32f49f…
10-28 03:14:14	Will the Republicans win Fort Bend County in the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x162478…
10-28 03:12:16	Will the Republicans win Fort Bend County in the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x52689e…
10-28 00:13:09	Will total votes cast in the first round of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Georgia be between 3,800,000 and 4,000,000?	No	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0x3e732f…
10-27 23:50:05	Will the Democrats win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	20	88¢	$18	0xd653f9…
10-27 23:48:56	Will the Democrats win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0xe4a178…
10-27 23:47:11	Josh O'Connor announced as next James Bond?	Yes	SELL	50	6¢	$3	0x1da73a…
10-27 23:29:38	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?	Yes	SELL	50	3¢	$2	0x66ec25…
10-27 23:29:14	Will Michel Barnier advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	50	1¢	$1	0x360695…
10-27 23:29:00	Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME Person of the Year 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0x3aad84…
10-27 23:28:20	Will Cambria launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	18	1¢	$0	0xd44466…
10-27 23:28:02	Will Lighter reach $8 before 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0x658ad3…
10-27 23:27:54	Will Lighter reach $10 before 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0x96262f…
10-27 23:27:47	Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31?	Yes	SELL	29	3¢	$1	0x892240…
10-27 23:27:41	New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x32a782…
10-27 23:27:26	Will Cash Cat be the first to hit a $1B FDV?	Yes	SELL	50	3¢	$2	0x3ec419…
10-27 23:27:18	Will Guitarricadelafuente win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	20	80¢	$16	0xf69e85…
10-27 22:42:57	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Florida be between 8,250,000 and 8,500,000?	No	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0xc89b80…
10-27 22:37:12	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027?	No	SELL	3	93¢	$3	0x71bf71…
10-27 22:36:14	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027?	No	SELL	17	94¢	$16	0xa239fe…
10-27 22:33:50	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xfc06ca…
10-27 22:30:36	Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 33M tonnes at end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	90¢	$45	0x6c0b70…
10-27 22:29:50	Will Iraq recognize Israel by December 31?	No	SELL	11	95¢	$10	0x6fb82e…
10-27 22:27:36	Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 33M tonnes at end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	91¢	$46	0x3624ef…
10-27 22:27:27	Will Iraq recognize Israel by December 31?	No	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x858438…
10-27 22:27:12	Will Syria recognize Israel by December 31?	No	SELL	11	96¢	$10	0xa757b5…
10-27 22:27:09	Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31?	Yes	SELL	21	4¢	$1	0x5b1c83…
10-27 22:27:02	Will Syria recognize Israel by December 31?	No	BUY	11	96¢	$10	0x8a44bf…
10-27 21:47:12	Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 80% or higher?	Yes	BUY	14	9¢	$1	0x9b6070…
10-27 21:27:12	Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic vice-presidential nomination?	No	SELL	20	92¢	$18	0x3c0c7f…
10-27 21:23:51	Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic vice-presidential nomination?	No	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0xd53e6b…
10-27 21:17:15	Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31?	No	SELL	50	97¢	$49	0xefb9b0…
10-27 21:14:48	Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x5df00a…
10-27 21:07:26	Will Trump meet with King Mohammed VI in 2026?	No	BUY	0	92¢	$0	0x3466e6…
10-27 20:55:57	Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x5b23f6…
10-27 20:54:03	Will UNI reach $14.00 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0xbbc73d…
10-27 20:51:35	Will UNI reach $14.00 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xe2b1c0…
10-27 19:37:12	French election called by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	50	89¢	$45	0x84a913…
10-27 19:35:45	French election called by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	93¢	$47	0x0f70e4…
10-27 19:35:26	Republican Senate odds dip to 25% by October 31?	Yes	BUY	50	5¢	$3	0xd0ec41…
10-27 19:21:26	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot?	No	SELL	50	6¢	$3	0xdedaf4…
10-27 19:21:24	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot?	No	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x3212bb…
10-27 19:17:11	1win FDV above $150M one day after launch?	No	SELL	50	87¢	$44	0xe3c4e7…
10-27 19:12:12	Will Omonia finish top 8 in UEL league phase?	No	SELL	20	94¢	$19	0x90c2ee…
10-27 19:11:38	Will Omonia finish top 8 in UEL league phase?	No	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x3f3f1e…
10-27 19:07:12	Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by December 31?	No	SELL	20	85¢	$17	0x889302…
10-27 19:02:23	Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by December 31?	No	SELL	20	87¢	$17	0x06856e…
10-27 19:01:35	Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by December 31?	No	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0x447dc9…
10-27 19:00:29	Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by December 31?	No	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0xc692a0…
10-27 18:48:57	Will Lighter reach $10 before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x01d5b9…
10-27 18:48:38	Will Lighter reach $8 before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0x4df12d…
10-27 18:47:12	Ostium FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	SELL	50	96¢	$48	0x504138…
10-27 18:45:24	Ostium FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0x20f28e…
10-27 18:37:14	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio be between 4,500,000 and 4,650,000?	No	SELL	20	87¢	$17	0x04ad43…
10-27 17:38:00	Will Lovable announce bankruptcy before 2027?	Yes	SELL	0	3¢	$0	0x0c6f14…
10-27 17:34:11	Will Lovable announce bankruptcy before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x780a0a…
10-27 17:33:51	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.25% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0x256bbd…
10-27 17:24:05	StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	50	97¢	$49	0x1c2596…
10-27 17:20:53	StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	50	97¢	$49	0x17cd4f…
10-27 16:10:21	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio be between 4,500,000 and 4,650,000?	No	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0xa62d56…
10-27 15:17:06	Will Cambria launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	18	1¢	$0	0x8f8db1…
10-27 14:27:11	Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii before 2027?	No	SELL	14	89¢	$12	0x16e2ee…
10-27 14:24:57	Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii before 2027?	No	BUY	14	92¢	$12	0xe199ef…
10-27 14:24:48	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.25% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0xab65f6…
10-27 14:09:00	Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.5% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x8d71c1…
10-27 14:07:11	Will Chung Tung-chin win the next Miaoli County Magistrate election?	Yes	SELL	50	86¢	$43	0xbb2119…
10-27 13:47:11	Will Sarah Knafo advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	No	SELL	50	96¢	$48	0x0e95a6…
10-27 13:43:53	Will Sarah Knafo advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0xd62d72…
10-27 13:43:26	Will Democrats win fewer than 2 House seats in Wisconsin in the 2026 midterm elections?	No	SELL	6	90¢	$5	0x3faafe…
10-27 13:41:08	Will Democrats win fewer than 2 House seats in Wisconsin in the 2026 midterm elections?	No	BUY	6	91¢	$5	0x78b814…
10-27 13:23:53	Josh O'Connor announced as next James Bond?	Yes	BUY	40	6¢	$2	0xddc625…
10-27 13:23:53	Josh O'Connor announced as next James Bond?	Yes	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0xa15907…
10-27 13:13:38	Will "GTA VI" have a Metascore of at least 90?	Yes	SELL	49	95¢	$46	0x9a92c1…
10-27 13:13:35	Will "GTA VI" have a Metascore of at least 90?	Yes	BUY	49	95¢	$46	0x6b7381…
10-27 13:03:41	Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena \| WebDev AI at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	93¢	$19	0xf42507…
10-27 12:57:26	Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena \| WebDev AI at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0xc2e002…