Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch?
open
Total volume
$6,641
$122 in 24h
Trades
331
Unique wallets
118
Liquidity
$7,299
Latest YES mid
3¢
Latest NO mid
97¢
End date
2028-01-01
First seen
2026-05-29
last 08-16 14:32
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-2.5¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $12
vs crowd: 2% YES on $4.0K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 8 | $8 | $347 | $340 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 19 | $11 | $1.3K | $1.3K |
| 🐟 Fish | 27 | $14 | $832 | $818 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 64 | $67 | $1.4K | $1.4K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | $12 | $12 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 7 | $6 | $526 | $520 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | $1 | $8 | $7 |
| Median | 14 | $1 | $891 | $890 |
| Below median | 16 | $3 | $502 | $499 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 5 | $9 | $6 | +$2 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | $3 | $328 | $325 |
| unranked | 67 | $75 | $1.6K | $1.5K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Confused-Orange 0x41dc…1cf1 | Yes | +902 | $20 | $20 | 2 | 07-18 22:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x7971…baf0 | Yes | +881 | $17 | $17 | 5 | 08-07 17:01 |
| Joyful-Glutamate 0xe9c7…147a | No | +426 | $420 | $420 | 3 | 06-03 22:02 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +361 | $3 | $3 | 3 | 06-30 16:41 |
| Pitiful-Concentration 0x32bb…894a | Yes | +358 | $8 | $8 | 2 | 08-07 02:53 |
| Colorless-Engine 0x39c0…1306 | No | +306 | $300 | $300 | 1 | 08-07 02:53 |
| Silver-Century-Ethics 0x1882…fdb3 | No | +200 | $198 | $198 | 2 | 07-10 09:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x3b7e…23eb | No | +184 | $179 | $179 | 4 | 06-04 04:47 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | +149 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 07-19 19:06 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | +139 | $137 | $298 | 6 | 08-07 01:57 |
| (anonymous) 0xf3fa…7be3 | Yes | +134 | $4 | $4 | 4 | 07-19 19:06 |
| Major-Shift 0x4e46…7150 | Yes | +103 | $2 | $2 | 4 | 08-01 12:00 |
| Loyal-Speakerphone 0xcd96…cbdc | Yes | +100 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-19 19:06 |
| (anonymous) 0x952e…9ee1 | No | +100 | $98 | $98 | 4 | 07-08 22:37 |
| Vigorous-Dream 0x9e00…adf9 | No | +100 | $97 | $97 | 1 | 08-07 17:01 |
| Willing-Trait 0x65fe…911e | No | +72 | $71 | $71 | 4 | 07-19 16:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x54c8…84d8 | No | +59 | $58 | $58 | 1 | 07-06 08:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x1281…8cfa | No | +57 | $56 | $56 | 1 | 06-04 18:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x93ed…0f0d | No | +56 | $55 | $55 | 2 | 07-07 19:52 |
| (anonymous) 0x9f3c…91b7 | No | +55 | $54 | $54 | 1 | 08-07 17:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x031c…2ac0 | No | +54 | $53 | $53 | 2 | 07-06 08:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x42fe…ea66 | No | +53 | $52 | $52 | 1 | 07-07 19:52 |
| (anonymous) 0x1b46…6576 | No | +51 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 06-04 18:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x5533…51ba | Yes | +51 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 08-07 06:28 |
| Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | +47 | $1 | $6 | 12 | 08-10 08:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x270e…f2f3 | No | +46 | $45 | $84 | 9 | 06-02 10:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x0c9d…c227 | No | +40 | $40 | $40 | 1 | 07-08 08:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x79a9…2b6a | No | +39 | $39 | $39 | 2 | 07-06 08:34 |
| Ultimate-Netbook 0x80aa…2e25 | No | +37 | $36 | $36 | 1 | 08-10 00:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x23e0…d439 | No | +33 | $32 | $73 | 3 | 08-16 14:32 |
| (anonymous) 0xe2f7…cd9a | No | +30 | $29 | $29 | 2 | 06-04 18:09 |
| Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | +20 | $-4 | $15 | 19 | 07-18 23:31 |
| (anonymous) 0xe086…26f9 | No | +16 | $14 | $117 | 2 | 07-19 19:06 |
| Punctual-Disease 0x657c…74a0 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 08-08 06:47 |
| Live-Checkbook 0xaa69…bdeb | No | +10 | $10 | $35 | 4 | 07-05 22:48 |
| Ambitious-Doubter 0x1f17…a918 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-12 15:55 |
| Barren-Reporting 0x0ac6…04f7 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-10 12:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x1b10…4f30 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 07-29 10:13 |
| Terrible-Anxiety 0x965f…50de | No | +4 | $3 | $3 | 3 | 06-03 09:52 |
| (anonymous) 0x1b10…4f30 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-29 10:15 |
| (anonymous) 0xcc17…7b65 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-30 07:46 |
| (anonymous) 0x8c6c…fe79 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-01 18:58 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-16 14:32:27 | Discrete-Deliberation 0x31af…e843 | Yes | SELL | 21 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x9befb5… |
| 08-16 14:32:27 | (anonymous) 0x23e0…d439 | No | SELL | 21 | 98¢ | $20 | 0x9befb5… |
| 08-10 08:43:25 | Euphoric-Snowplow 0x7257…fc40 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xd03534… |
| 08-10 08:43:25 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 7 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xd03534… |
| 08-10 08:40:07 | Euphoric-Snowplow 0x7257…fc40 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x962f53… |
| 08-10 08:40:07 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 8 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x962f53… |
| 08-10 00:32:04 | Euphoric-Snowplow 0x7257…fc40 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xbc8d5a… |
| 08-10 00:32:04 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 23 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xbc8d5a… |
| 08-10 00:32:04 | Ultimate-Netbook 0x80aa…2e25 | No | BUY | 37 | 98¢ | $36 | 0xbc8d5a… |
| 08-08 18:09:58 | Euphoric-Snowplow 0x7257…fc40 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xc3e38e… |
| 08-08 18:09:58 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 8 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xc3e38e… |
| 08-08 06:47:00 | Euphoric-Snowplow 0x7257…fc40 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x101c1c… |
| 08-08 06:47:00 | Punctual-Disease 0x657c…74a0 | No | BUY | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0x101c1c… |
| 08-07 17:01:06 | (anonymous) 0x9f3c…91b7 | No | BUY | 55 | 98¢ | $54 | 0xb908f7… |
| 08-07 17:01:06 | (anonymous) 0x23e0…d439 | No | BUY | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0xb908f7… |
| 08-07 17:01:06 | Vigorous-Dream 0x9e00…adf9 | No | BUY | 100 | 97¢ | $97 | 0xb908f7… |
| 08-07 17:01:06 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | SELL | 62 | 2¢ | $2 | 0xb908f7… |
| 08-07 17:01:06 | (anonymous) 0x7971…baf0 | Yes | BUY | 233 | 3¢ | $6 | 0xb908f7… |
| 08-07 17:01:06 | Gleeful-Box 0xabfb…12e5 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xb908f7… |
| 08-07 06:28:16 | (anonymous) 0x5533…51ba | Yes | BUY | 25 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x94d4ce… |
| 08-07 06:28:16 | Monumental-Terrace 0xcb9f…a6c0 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x94d4ce… |
| 08-07 06:27:00 | (anonymous) 0x5533…51ba | Yes | BUY | 26 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x57663f… |
| 08-07 06:27:00 | Monumental-Terrace 0xcb9f…a6c0 | Yes | SELL | 26 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x57663f… |
| 08-07 06:26:39 | Gleeful-Box 0xabfb…12e5 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xe1fc1f… |
| 08-07 06:26:39 | (anonymous) 0x23e0…d439 | No | BUY | 44 | 98¢ | $43 | 0xe1fc1f… |
| 08-07 06:26:39 | Monumental-Terrace 0xcb9f…a6c0 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xe1fc1f… |
| 08-07 02:53:16 | Colorless-Engine 0x39c0…1306 | No | BUY | 306 | 98¢ | $300 | 0x848886… |
| 08-07 02:53:16 | Pitiful-Concentration 0x32bb…894a | Yes | BUY | 306 | 2¢ | $6 | 0x848886… |
| 08-07 02:01:12 | Monumental-Terrace 0xcb9f…a6c0 | Yes | SELL | 65 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x29a8f6… |
| 08-07 02:01:12 | Pitiful-Concentration 0x32bb…894a | Yes | BUY | 51 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x29a8f6… |
| 08-07 02:01:12 | (anonymous) 0x542c…89a1 | No | SELL | 14 | 98¢ | $14 | 0x29a8f6… |
| 08-07 01:57:16 | (anonymous) 0x6cb1…0f6e | No | SELL | 54 | 98¢ | $52 | 0x694f59… |
| 08-07 01:57:16 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | BUY | 24 | 98¢ | $24 | 0x694f59… |
| 08-07 01:57:16 | Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x694f59… |
| 08-07 01:57:13 | (anonymous) 0x6cb1…0f6e | No | BUY | 54 | 98¢ | $52 | 0xd3a914… |
| 08-07 01:57:13 | Monumental-Terrace 0xcb9f…a6c0 | Yes | BUY | 66 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xd3a914… |
| 08-07 01:57:13 | Gleeful-Box 0xabfb…12e5 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xd3a914… |
| 08-05 09:31:44 | (anonymous) 0x542c…89a1 | No | SELL | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0xc91b7d… |
| 08-05 09:31:44 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xc91b7d… |
| 08-04 16:02:41 | (anonymous) 0x542c…89a1 | No | SELL | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x313411… |
| 08-04 16:02:41 | (anonymous) 0xd990…749e | Yes | SELL | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x313411… |
| 08-03 15:09:39 | (anonymous) 0x542c…89a1 | No | SELL | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x69aab6… |
| 08-03 15:09:39 | Regal-Reindeer 0x7e77…9b21 | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x69aab6… |
| 08-01 12:00:26 | Pleased-Sandpaper 0xd2ae…f36b | Yes | SELL | 60 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x352f98… |
| 08-01 12:00:26 | Major-Shift 0x4e46…7150 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x352f98… |
| 08-01 12:00:26 | (anonymous) 0x542c…89a1 | No | SELL | 30 | 98¢ | $29 | 0x352f98… |
| 07-30 15:26:26 | Gleeful-Box 0xabfb…12e5 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x69335d… |
| 07-30 15:26:26 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 8 | 98¢ | $8 | 0x69335d… |
| 07-29 10:29:03 | Gleeful-Box 0xabfb…12e5 | Yes | BUY | 31 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x0436e7… |
| 07-29 10:29:03 | (anonymous) 0xd92e…6a51 | Yes | SELL | 31 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x0436e7… |
| 07-29 10:26:23 | Gleeful-Box 0xabfb…12e5 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xe15deb… |
| 07-29 10:26:23 | (anonymous) 0xd92e…6a51 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xe15deb… |
| 07-29 10:15:26 | (anonymous) 0xd92e…6a51 | Yes | SELL | 31 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x70d62b… |
| 07-29 10:15:26 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 31 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x70d62b… |
| 07-29 10:15:21 | (anonymous) 0x1b10…4f30 | No | BUY | 2 | 97¢ | $2 | 0x08804b… |
| 07-29 10:15:21 | Likable-Mention 0x3c3e…5a86 | No | SELL | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0x08804b… |
| 07-29 10:15:21 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 8 | 97¢ | $8 | 0x08804b… |
| 07-29 10:13:53 | (anonymous) 0x1b10…4f30 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xcdc3c3… |
| 07-29 10:13:53 | (anonymous) 0xd92e…6a51 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xcdc3c3… |
| 07-29 10:13:45 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | No | SELL | 50 | 97¢ | $48 | 0x9c60e3… |
| 07-29 10:13:45 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | BUY | 50 | 97¢ | $48 | 0x9c60e3… |
| 07-29 10:13:41 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | No | BUY | 50 | 97¢ | $48 | 0xc11970… |
| 07-29 10:13:41 | (anonymous) 0xd92e…6a51 | Yes | BUY | 60 | 3¢ | $2 | 0xc11970… |
| 07-29 10:13:41 | Likable-Mention 0x3c3e…5a86 | No | BUY | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0xc11970… |
| 07-29 10:09:23 | (anonymous) 0xd92e…6a51 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x027168… |
| 07-29 10:09:23 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 8 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x027168… |
| 07-28 02:30:45 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 6 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x13c881… |
| 07-28 02:30:45 | (anonymous) 0x47bd…e755 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x13c881… |
| 07-28 02:30:45 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 8 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x13c881… |
| 07-28 02:30:45 | (anonymous) 0xe488…a601 | No | SELL | 6 | 97¢ | $6 | 0x13c881… |
| 07-26 15:42:30 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x4ce0c8… |
| 07-26 15:42:30 | (anonymous) 0xe488…a601 | No | SELL | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x4ce0c8… |
| 07-23 10:37:12 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xc5d51f… |
| 07-23 10:37:12 | Practical-Mixture 0x4bc5…a968 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xc5d51f… |
| 07-19 19:06:03 | (anonymous) 0x7971…baf0 | Yes | BUY | 200 | 2¢ | $3 | 0x535590… |
| 07-19 19:06:03 | (anonymous) 0xe086…26f9 | No | SELL | 52 | 99¢ | $51 | 0x535590… |
| 07-19 19:06:03 | (anonymous) 0x6256…1a00 | No | SELL | 41 | 98¢ | $40 | 0x535590… |
| 07-19 19:06:03 | Subtle-Balalaika 0xd163…1428 | Yes | SELL | 1,103 | 2¢ | $21 | 0x535590… |
| 07-19 19:06:03 | (anonymous) 0xf2c4…8c91 | No | SELL | 51 | 99¢ | $50 | 0x535590… |
| 07-19 19:06:03 | (anonymous) 0xc2ef…543c | No | SELL | 50 | 98¢ | $49 | 0x535590… |
| 07-19 19:06:03 | Loyal-Speakerphone 0xcd96…cbdc | Yes | BUY | 100 | 2¢ | $2 | 0x535590… |
| 07-19 19:06:03 | (anonymous) 0xa702…b3bb | No | SELL | 51 | 99¢ | $50 | 0x535590… |
| 07-19 19:06:03 | (anonymous) 0xdb08…c038 | No | SELL | 51 | 99¢ | $50 | 0x535590… |
| 07-19 19:06:03 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 100 | 98¢ | $98 | 0x535590… |
| 07-19 19:06:03 | Elated-Vegetarian 0x7957…ddbc | No | SELL | 123 | 97¢ | $119 | 0x535590… |
| 07-19 19:06:03 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 35 | 96¢ | $34 | 0x535590… |
| 07-19 19:06:03 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | BUY | 149 | 2¢ | $3 | 0x535590… |
| 07-19 19:06:03 | (anonymous) 0xf3fa…7be3 | Yes | BUY | 71 | 2¢ | $2 | 0x535590… |
| 07-19 16:28:30 | Willing-Trait 0x65fe…911e | No | BUY | 6 | 96¢ | $6 | 0x931b58… |
| 07-19 16:28:30 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | No | SELL | 6 | 96¢ | $6 | 0x931b58… |
| 07-19 11:19:49 | Virtual-Persimmon-Tights 0xa2db…a60d | No | SELL | 18 | 97¢ | $17 | 0x664167… |
| 07-19 11:19:49 | (anonymous) 0xf3fa…7be3 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x664167… |
| 07-19 11:19:49 | (anonymous) 0xedee…67e6 | Yes | SELL | 56 | 3¢ | $2 | 0x664167… |
| 07-19 11:19:49 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 3 | 97¢ | $3 | 0x664167… |
| 07-18 23:31:31 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 45 | 96¢ | $43 | 0xd2ed6e… |
| 07-18 23:31:31 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 14 | 96¢ | $13 | 0xd2ed6e… |
| 07-18 23:31:31 | (anonymous) 0xedee…67e6 | Yes | SELL | 109 | 4¢ | $4 | 0xd2ed6e… |
| 07-18 23:31:31 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 40 | 4¢ | $2 | 0xd2ed6e… |
| 07-18 23:31:31 | Minty-Scalp 0x11b9…d361 | No | SELL | 10 | 96¢ | $10 | 0xd2ed6e… |
| 07-18 23:26:58 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 14 | 92¢ | $13 | 0x3c1fc5… |