Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch?
open
Total volume
$5,671
$122 in 24h
Trades
261
Unique wallets
101
Liquidity
$7,299
Latest YES mid
3¢
Latest NO mid
97¢
End date
2028-01-01
First seen
2026-05-29
last 07-26 15:42
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-2.3¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $12
vs crowd: 2% YES on $3.2K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 6 | $4 | $268 | $263 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 17 | $8 | $1.1K | $1.1K |
| 🐟 Fish | 21 | $13 | $434 | $421 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 57 | $50 | $1.3K | $1.3K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | $12 | $12 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 7 | $6 | $526 | $520 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| Median | 12 | $1 | $494 | $493 |
| Below median | 12 | $2 | $418 | $416 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $2 | — | +$2 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 4 | $5 | $6 | $1 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | $3 | $256 | $253 |
| unranked | 57 | $56 | $1.4K | $1.4K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Confused-Orange 0x41dc…1cf1 | Yes | +902 | $20 | $20 | 2 | 07-18 22:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x7971…baf0 | Yes | +648 | $11 | $11 | 4 | 07-19 19:06 |
| Joyful-Glutamate 0xe9c7…147a | No | +426 | $420 | $420 | 3 | 06-03 22:02 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +361 | $3 | $3 | 3 | 06-30 16:41 |
| Silver-Century-Ethics 0x1882…fdb3 | No | +200 | $198 | $198 | 2 | 07-10 09:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x3b7e…23eb | No | +184 | $179 | $179 | 4 | 06-04 04:47 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | +149 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 07-19 19:06 |
| (anonymous) 0xf3fa…7be3 | Yes | +134 | $4 | $4 | 4 | 07-19 19:06 |
| Loyal-Speakerphone 0xcd96…cbdc | Yes | +100 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-19 19:06 |
| (anonymous) 0x952e…9ee1 | No | +100 | $98 | $98 | 4 | 07-08 22:37 |
| Major-Shift 0x4e46…7150 | Yes | +73 | $1 | $1 | 3 | 06-14 21:58 |
| Willing-Trait 0x65fe…911e | No | +72 | $71 | $71 | 4 | 07-19 16:28 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | +65 | $65 | $226 | 4 | 07-19 19:06 |
| Pleased-Sandpaper 0xd2ae…f36b | Yes | +60 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 07-15 11:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x54c8…84d8 | No | +59 | $58 | $58 | 1 | 07-06 08:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x1281…8cfa | No | +57 | $56 | $56 | 1 | 06-04 18:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x93ed…0f0d | No | +56 | $55 | $55 | 2 | 07-07 19:52 |
| (anonymous) 0x031c…2ac0 | No | +54 | $53 | $53 | 2 | 07-06 08:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x42fe…ea66 | No | +53 | $52 | $52 | 1 | 07-07 19:52 |
| (anonymous) 0x1b46…6576 | No | +51 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 06-04 18:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x542c…89a1 | No | +50 | $49 | $49 | 1 | 07-18 22:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x270e…f2f3 | No | +46 | $45 | $84 | 9 | 06-02 10:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x0c9d…c227 | No | +40 | $40 | $40 | 1 | 07-08 08:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x79a9…2b6a | No | +39 | $39 | $39 | 2 | 07-06 08:34 |
| (anonymous) 0xe2f7…cd9a | No | +30 | $29 | $29 | 2 | 06-04 18:09 |
| Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | +30 | $-1 | $4 | 3 | 06-14 21:58 |
| Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | +25 | $1 | $2 | 5 | 07-18 23:26 |
| Discrete-Deliberation 0x31af…e843 | Yes | +21 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-15 20:17 |
| Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | +20 | $-4 | $15 | 19 | 07-18 23:31 |
| (anonymous) 0x47bd…e755 | Yes | +20 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 06-30 16:41 |
| (anonymous) 0xe086…26f9 | No | +16 | $14 | $117 | 2 | 07-19 19:06 |
| Live-Checkbook 0xaa69…bdeb | No | +10 | $10 | $35 | 4 | 07-05 22:48 |
| (anonymous) 0xe488…a601 | No | +6 | $6 | $16 | 2 | 07-26 15:42 |
| Ambitious-Doubter 0x1f17…a918 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-12 15:55 |
| Barren-Reporting 0x0ac6…04f7 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-10 12:00 |
| Terrible-Anxiety 0x965f…50de | No | +4 | $3 | $3 | 3 | 06-03 09:52 |
| (anonymous) 0xcc17…7b65 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-30 07:46 |
| (anonymous) 0x8c6c…fe79 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-01 18:58 |
| (anonymous) 0xd990…749e | Yes | +1 | $-3 | $5 | 3 | 07-18 23:26 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-26 15:42:30 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x4ce0c8… |
| 07-26 15:42:30 | (anonymous) 0xe488…a601 | No | SELL | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x4ce0c8… |
| 07-23 10:37:12 | Practical-Mixture 0x4bc5…a968 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xc5d51f… |
| 07-23 10:37:12 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xc5d51f… |
| 07-19 19:06:03 | (anonymous) 0x6256…1a00 | No | SELL | 41 | 98¢ | $40 | 0x535590… |
| 07-19 19:06:03 | (anonymous) 0xa702…b3bb | No | SELL | 51 | 99¢ | $50 | 0x535590… |
| 07-19 19:06:03 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | BUY | 149 | 2¢ | $3 | 0x535590… |
| 07-19 19:06:03 | (anonymous) 0xc2ef…543c | No | SELL | 50 | 98¢ | $49 | 0x535590… |
| 07-19 19:06:03 | (anonymous) 0xf2c4…8c91 | No | SELL | 51 | 99¢ | $50 | 0x535590… |
| 07-19 19:06:03 | (anonymous) 0xf3fa…7be3 | Yes | BUY | 71 | 2¢ | $2 | 0x535590… |
| 07-19 19:06:03 | (anonymous) 0x7971…baf0 | Yes | BUY | 200 | 2¢ | $3 | 0x535590… |
| 07-19 19:06:03 | (anonymous) 0xdb08…c038 | No | SELL | 51 | 99¢ | $50 | 0x535590… |
| 07-19 19:06:03 | Subtle-Balalaika 0xd163…1428 | Yes | SELL | 1,103 | 2¢ | $21 | 0x535590… |
| 07-19 19:06:03 | Elated-Vegetarian 0x7957…ddbc | No | SELL | 123 | 97¢ | $119 | 0x535590… |
| 07-19 19:06:03 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 100 | 98¢ | $98 | 0x535590… |
| 07-19 19:06:03 | Loyal-Speakerphone 0xcd96…cbdc | Yes | BUY | 100 | 2¢ | $2 | 0x535590… |
| 07-19 19:06:03 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 35 | 96¢ | $34 | 0x535590… |
| 07-19 19:06:03 | (anonymous) 0xe086…26f9 | No | SELL | 52 | 99¢ | $51 | 0x535590… |
| 07-19 16:28:30 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | No | SELL | 6 | 96¢ | $6 | 0x931b58… |
| 07-19 16:28:30 | Willing-Trait 0x65fe…911e | No | BUY | 6 | 96¢ | $6 | 0x931b58… |
| 07-19 11:19:49 | (anonymous) 0xedee…67e6 | Yes | SELL | 56 | 3¢ | $2 | 0x664167… |
| 07-19 11:19:49 | Virtual-Persimmon-Tights 0xa2db…a60d | No | SELL | 18 | 97¢ | $17 | 0x664167… |
| 07-19 11:19:49 | (anonymous) 0xf3fa…7be3 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x664167… |
| 07-19 11:19:49 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 3 | 97¢ | $3 | 0x664167… |
| 07-18 23:31:31 | (anonymous) 0xedee…67e6 | Yes | SELL | 109 | 4¢ | $4 | 0xd2ed6e… |
| 07-18 23:31:31 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 14 | 96¢ | $13 | 0xd2ed6e… |
| 07-18 23:31:31 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 45 | 96¢ | $43 | 0xd2ed6e… |
| 07-18 23:31:31 | Minty-Scalp 0x11b9…d361 | No | SELL | 10 | 96¢ | $10 | 0xd2ed6e… |
| 07-18 23:31:31 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 40 | 4¢ | $2 | 0xd2ed6e… |
| 07-18 23:26:58 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | No | SELL | 100 | 94¢ | $94 | 0x3c1fc5… |
| 07-18 23:26:58 | (anonymous) 0xd990…749e | Yes | SELL | 24 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x3c1fc5… |
| 07-18 23:26:58 | Sane-Cytokine 0xa9d0…60ed | Yes | SELL | 31 | 7¢ | $2 | 0x3c1fc5… |
| 07-18 23:26:58 | Elated-Vegetarian 0x7957…ddbc | No | BUY | 15 | 96¢ | $14 | 0x3c1fc5… |
| 07-18 23:26:58 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | SELL | 6 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x3c1fc5… |
| 07-18 23:26:58 | Minty-Scalp 0x11b9…d361 | No | BUY | 10 | 95¢ | $10 | 0x3c1fc5… |
| 07-18 23:26:58 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 14 | 92¢ | $13 | 0x3c1fc5… |
| 07-18 23:26:39 | (anonymous) 0xd990…749e | Yes | SELL | 65 | 4¢ | $3 | 0xd8753f… |
| 07-18 23:26:39 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 25 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xd8753f… |
| 07-18 23:26:39 | (anonymous) 0xcb58…ccd0 | No | SELL | 40 | 96¢ | $38 | 0xd8753f… |
| 07-18 23:05:31 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | SELL | 3 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x53e2ed… |
| 07-18 23:05:31 | (anonymous) 0x8c8f…b385 | No | SELL | 50 | 96¢ | $48 | 0x53e2ed… |
| 07-18 23:05:31 | Elated-Vegetarian 0x7957…ddbc | No | BUY | 16 | 96¢ | $16 | 0x53e2ed… |
| 07-18 22:57:21 | Frozen-Mansion 0xdf3f…0aa4 | No | SELL | 50 | 97¢ | $48 | 0x8c2a7d… |
| 07-18 22:57:21 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | SELL | 50 | 3¢ | $2 | 0x8c2a7d… |
| 07-18 22:52:40 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | SELL | 50 | 3¢ | $2 | 0xce9404… |
| 07-18 22:52:40 | Frozen-Mansion 0xdf3f…0aa4 | No | BUY | 50 | 98¢ | $49 | 0xce9404… |
| 07-18 22:52:40 | Flamboyant-Porch 0xda20…cb8d | No | SELL | 100 | 97¢ | $97 | 0xce9404… |
| 07-18 22:50:55 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | No | SELL | 150 | 98¢ | $147 | 0x8de27c… |
| 07-18 22:50:55 | Flamboyant-Porch 0xda20…cb8d | No | BUY | 50 | 98¢ | $49 | 0x8de27c… |
| 07-18 22:50:55 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | No | BUY | 50 | 98¢ | $49 | 0x8de27c… |
| 07-18 22:50:55 | (anonymous) 0x8c8f…b385 | No | BUY | 50 | 98¢ | $49 | 0x8de27c… |
| 07-18 22:50:55 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | SELL | 147 | 3¢ | $5 | 0xb811b0… |
| 07-18 22:50:55 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | No | SELL | 147 | 97¢ | $142 | 0xb811b0… |
| 07-18 22:50:03 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | No | BUY | 6 | 98¢ | $6 | 0x5c1d43… |
| 07-18 22:50:03 | Confused-Orange 0x41dc…1cf1 | Yes | BUY | 434 | 2¢ | $10 | 0x5c1d43… |
| 07-18 22:50:03 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 100 | 98¢ | $98 | 0x5c1d43… |
| 07-18 22:50:03 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | No | BUY | 297 | 98¢ | $290 | 0x5c1d43… |
| 07-18 22:50:03 | Elated-Vegetarian 0x7957…ddbc | No | BUY | 31 | 98¢ | $30 | 0x5c1d43… |
| 07-18 22:49:43 | Virtual-Persimmon-Tights 0xa2db…a60d | No | BUY | 18 | 98¢ | $18 | 0xd1e835… |
| 07-18 22:49:43 | Confused-Orange 0x41dc…1cf1 | Yes | BUY | 467 | 2¢ | $10 | 0xd1e835… |
| 07-18 22:49:43 | (anonymous) 0xc2ef…543c | No | BUY | 50 | 98¢ | $49 | 0xd1e835… |
| 07-18 22:49:43 | Willing-Trait 0x65fe…911e | No | BUY | 30 | 98¢ | $29 | 0xd1e835… |
| 07-18 22:49:43 | (anonymous) 0x542c…89a1 | No | BUY | 50 | 98¢ | $49 | 0xd1e835… |
| 07-18 22:49:43 | (anonymous) 0xcb58…ccd0 | No | BUY | 40 | 98¢ | $39 | 0xd1e835… |
| 07-18 22:49:43 | Flamboyant-Porch 0xda20…cb8d | No | BUY | 50 | 98¢ | $49 | 0xd1e835… |
| 07-18 22:49:43 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | BUY | 148 | 98¢ | $145 | 0xd1e835… |
| 07-18 22:49:43 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | No | BUY | 50 | 98¢ | $49 | 0xd1e835… |
| 07-15 19:52:08 | Willing-Trait 0x65fe…911e | No | BUY | 6 | 98¢ | $6 | 0x4f59fd… |
| 07-15 19:52:08 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 6 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x4f59fd… |
| 07-15 11:33:43 | Fabulous-Lark-Hippopotamus 0x1044…8ceb | No | SELL | 0 | 98¢ | $0 | 0x51a113… |
| 07-15 11:33:43 | Pleased-Sandpaper 0xd2ae…f36b | Yes | SELL | 0 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x51a113… |
| 07-13 08:04:14 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x604c58… |
| 07-13 08:04:14 | (anonymous) 0x73df…c515 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x604c58… |
| 07-12 15:55:23 | Ambitious-Doubter 0x1f17…a918 | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0xb2460f… |
| 07-12 15:55:23 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xb2460f… |
| 07-11 20:43:17 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 30 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xae295d… |
| 07-11 20:43:17 | Elated-Vegetarian 0x7957…ddbc | No | BUY | 30 | 98¢ | $30 | 0xae295d… |
| 07-10 13:16:14 | (anonymous) 0xc8a2…c9b6 | No | SELL | 0 | 98¢ | $0 | 0x6240c6… |
| 07-10 13:16:14 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x6240c6… |
| 07-10 12:00:55 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xe1da26… |
| 07-10 12:00:55 | Barren-Reporting 0x0ac6…04f7 | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0xe1da26… |
| 07-10 09:58:26 | (anonymous) 0xc8a2…c9b6 | No | BUY | 0 | 98¢ | $0 | 0x9dbc09… |
| 07-10 09:58:26 | Silver-Century-Ethics 0x1882…fdb3 | No | BUY | 160 | 99¢ | $158 | 0x9dbc09… |
| 07-10 09:58:26 | (anonymous) 0x7971…baf0 | Yes | BUY | 160 | 1¢ | $2 | 0x9dbc09… |
| 07-10 08:34:11 | Silver-Century-Ethics 0x1882…fdb3 | No | BUY | 40 | 99¢ | $40 | 0x13da32… |
| 07-10 08:34:11 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 40 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x13da32… |
| 07-10 08:01:29 | (anonymous) 0xea4c…f3b4 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x0558f0… |
| 07-10 08:01:29 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x0558f0… |
| 07-08 22:37:32 | (anonymous) 0x952e…9ee1 | No | BUY | 32 | 98¢ | $31 | 0xf29a0b… |
| 07-08 22:37:32 | (anonymous) 0x6256…1a00 | No | BUY | 41 | 97¢ | $40 | 0xf29a0b… |
| 07-08 22:37:32 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | SELL | 25 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xf29a0b… |
| 07-08 22:37:32 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xf29a0b… |
| 07-08 22:37:32 | (anonymous) 0x7971…baf0 | Yes | BUY | 123 | 3¢ | $3 | 0xf29a0b… |
| 07-08 08:32:53 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x8c3d04… |
| 07-08 08:32:53 | Minty-Scalp 0x11b9…d361 | No | SELL | 15 | 99¢ | $15 | 0x8c3d04… |
| 07-08 08:32:53 | (anonymous) 0x0c9d…c227 | No | BUY | 40 | 99¢ | $40 | 0x8c3d04… |
| 07-07 19:52:01 | (anonymous) 0x7971…baf0 | Yes | BUY | 165 | 2¢ | $2 | 0x2dfa87… |
| 07-07 19:52:01 | (anonymous) 0x952e…9ee1 | No | BUY | 38 | 98¢ | $37 | 0x2dfa87… |
| 07-07 19:52:01 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x2dfa87… |
| 07-07 19:52:01 | (anonymous) 0x93ed…0f0d | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x2dfa87… |