Realized P&L
-$592
Unrealized P&L
-$27
Hit rate
73.3%
Resolved
234
Trades
3,405
lifetime
Volume
$78.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$23
Open exposure
$1.49K
22 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-28 12:23
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 78 days
Categories
Other
58% 67% -$686
Crypto
32% 67% +$5
Tech
5% 87% +$135
Politics
2% 100% +$0
Sports
2% 40% -$19
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$26
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 84 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? No -347 -$302 96¢ $-333 -$31 07-28 12:44
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? No -160 -$146 92¢ $-147 $0 10-19 15:43
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? No -133 -$110 97¢ $-129 -$19 04-28 14:59
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? No -113 -$113 98¢ $-111 +$3 09-03 08:47
Base FDV above $12B one day after launch? No -115 -$92 84¢ $-97 -$5 06-01 19:49
Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +81 $75 88¢ $71 -$4 10-25 00:16
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? No -65 -$67 98¢ $-64 +$4 09-16 20:15
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026? No -65 -$60 97¢ $-63 -$3 05-21 07:22
Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +63 $44 90¢ $57 +$13 10-26 16:51
Base FDV above $2B one day after launch? Yes -140 -$94 40¢ $-57 +$38 07-02 05:52
Will Hyperliquid dip to $12 by December 31, 2026? No -50 -$49 99¢ $-50 -$1 07-04 12:12
Will Loopscale launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +50 $45 91¢ $46 +$0 10-16 05:46
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026? No -44 -$41 97¢ $-43 -$2 06-30 16:44
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026? No -40 -$38 99¢ $-40 -$1 07-04 20:51
Will Solana dip to $20 by December 31, 2026? No -40 -$39 98¢ $-39 +$0 08-27 11:35
Will Tempo launch a token by December 31, 2026? No -35 -$35 96¢ $-34 +$1 08-03 14:17
Will Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026? No -28 -$8 91¢ $-25 -$17 07-08 12:56
Will Ethereum reach $6,000 by December 31, 2026? No -20 -$20 98¢ $-20 $0 07-04 20:15
Will Ethereum reach $5,500 by December 31, 2026? No -20 -$21 98¢ $-20 +$2 06-30 16:44
Metamask FDV above $2B one day after launch? No -20 -$21 98¢ $-20 +$2 09-19 12:32
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +135 $20 11¢ $14 -$5 08-22 19:14
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No +10 $9 97¢ $10 +$1 04-30 17:33