Will X launch a USD stablecoin in 2026?
open
Total volume
$1,107
Trades
56
Unique wallets
26
Liquidity
$849
Latest YES mid
13¢
Latest NO mid
87¢
End date
2027-01-01
First seen
2026-06-08
last 08-05 08:50
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+92.6¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $17
vs crowd: 7% YES on $781)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 5 | $4 | $503 | $499 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 7 | $25 | $210 | $185 |
| 🐟 Fish | 6 | $26 | $5 | +$21 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 8 | $4 | $5 | $1 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | $17 | — | +$17 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | $11 | — | +$11 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | $3 | — | +$3 |
| Median | 5 | $9 | $458 | $448 |
| Below median | 3 | $3 | $81 | $78 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $2 | — | +$2 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | $4 | — | +$4 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 3 | $1 | $174 | $173 |
| unranked | 8 | $8 | $10 | $2 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x8931…a90c | No | +355 | $329 | $329 | 1 | 07-27 08:35 |
| Wobbly-Chain 0xcc79…1c2a | Yes | +227 | $17 | $17 | 3 | 07-27 08:35 |
| (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | +95 | $8 | $8 | 3 | 07-27 08:35 |
| Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | +74 | $10 | $10 | 2 | 07-20 07:53 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | +50 | $46 | $226 | 3 | 08-01 14:27 |
| Secondary-Lobotomy 0x250c…2774 | Yes | +37 | $2 | $5 | 3 | 08-01 14:27 |
| Untried-Budget 0xdd28…374a | No | +32 | $23 | $234 | 2 | 07-28 11:16 |
| Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | +31 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-27 15:24 |
| (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | +20 | $2 | $2 | 4 | 07-20 07:36 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | +16 | $14 | $62 | 2 | 08-05 08:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x5a7f…6413 | Yes | +10 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-27 08:35 |
| Loving-Hate 0x48c4…19e5 | Yes | +8 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-02 01:18 |
| Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | +7 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-20 07:36 |
| Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | +6 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-26 21:36 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | +4 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 07-27 15:25 |
| Defenseless-Eyebrow 0xe50c…d88c | Yes | +1 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 07-27 21:45 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 08:50:39 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 26 | 91¢ | $24 | 0x99d3b8… |
| 08-05 08:50:39 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 26 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x99d3b8… |
| 08-01 14:27:57 | Secondary-Lobotomy 0x250c…2774 | Yes | SELL | 13 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x08c108… |
| 08-01 14:27:57 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | No | SELL | 13 | 90¢ | $12 | 0x08c108… |
| 08-01 14:27:53 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | No | SELL | 42 | 91¢ | $38 | 0x20a899… |
| 08-01 14:27:53 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 42 | 91¢ | $38 | 0x20a899… |
| 08-01 14:27:50 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | No | SELL | 33 | 92¢ | $31 | 0xccb610… |
| 08-01 14:27:50 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | BUY | 33 | 92¢ | $31 | 0xccb610… |
| 08-01 14:27:30 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | No | BUY | 88 | 92¢ | $81 | 0x178389… |
| 08-01 14:27:30 | Grim-Fishnet 0x2be6…e054 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x178389… |
| 08-01 14:27:30 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 97 | 92¢ | $90 | 0x178389… |
| 07-28 11:16:44 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | BUY | 115 | 92¢ | $105 | 0xa3f758… |
| 07-28 11:16:44 | Untried-Budget 0xdd28…374a | No | SELL | 115 | 92¢ | $105 | 0xa3f758… |
| 07-27 21:45:00 | Grim-Fishnet 0x2be6…e054 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 8¢ | $0 | 0xf46025… |
| 07-27 21:45:00 | Genuine-Orangutan 0x672f…26aa | No | SELL | 5 | 89¢ | $5 | 0xd4b416… |
| 07-27 21:45:00 | Defenseless-Eyebrow 0xe50c…d88c | Yes | BUY | 1 | 8¢ | $0 | 0xf46025… |
| 07-27 21:45:00 | Grim-Fishnet 0x2be6…e054 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xd4b416… |
| 07-27 21:43:10 | Genuine-Orangutan 0x672f…26aa | No | BUY | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x2a4397… |
| 07-27 21:43:10 | (anonymous) 0x4eba…c7d7 | No | SELL | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x2a4397… |
| 07-27 15:25:03 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | SELL | 4 | 8¢ | $0 | 0xe85c47… |
| 07-27 15:25:03 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 8¢ | $0 | 0xe85c47… |
| 07-27 15:24:46 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 31 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x8ef060… |
| 07-27 15:24:46 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | BUY | 4 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x8ef060… |
| 07-27 15:24:46 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 35 | 8¢ | $3 | 0x8ef060… |
| 07-27 08:35:51 | (anonymous) 0x4eba…c7d7 | No | BUY | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0x557adc… |
| 07-27 08:35:51 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x557adc… |
| 07-27 08:35:49 | Wobbly-Chain 0xcc79…1c2a | Yes | BUY | 200 | 7¢ | $14 | 0x87ff23… |
| 07-27 08:35:49 | Secondary-Lobotomy 0x250c…2774 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 7¢ | $3 | 0x87ff23… |
| 07-27 08:35:49 | (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 7¢ | $3 | 0x87ff23… |
| 07-27 08:35:49 | (anonymous) 0x8931…a90c | No | BUY | 355 | 93¢ | $329 | 0x87ff23… |
| 07-27 08:35:49 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x87ff23… |
| 07-27 08:35:49 | (anonymous) 0x5a7f…6413 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x87ff23… |
| 07-26 21:36:46 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | BUY | 6 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x483683… |
| 07-26 21:36:46 | Genuine-Orangutan 0x672f…26aa | Yes | SELL | 6 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x483683… |
| 07-26 21:35:00 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 6 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xd01015… |
| 07-26 21:35:00 | Genuine-Orangutan 0x672f…26aa | Yes | BUY | 6 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xd01015… |
| 07-20 07:53:45 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 34 | 11¢ | $4 | 0xaa6566… |
| 07-20 07:53:45 | (anonymous) 0xba6c…618b | Yes | SELL | 34 | 11¢ | $4 | 0xaa6566… |
| 07-20 07:48:04 | Grim-Fishnet 0x2be6…e054 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 11¢ | $2 | 0xe12df4… |
| 07-20 07:48:04 | (anonymous) 0xba6c…618b | Yes | SELL | 16 | 11¢ | $2 | 0xe12df4… |
| 07-20 07:36:22 | Untried-Budget 0xdd28…374a | No | BUY | 147 | 88¢ | $129 | 0xc77a77… |
| 07-20 07:36:22 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 40 | 15¢ | $6 | 0xc77a77… |
| 07-20 07:36:22 | (anonymous) 0xba6c…618b | Yes | BUY | 50 | 11¢ | $6 | 0xc77a77… |
| 07-20 07:36:22 | (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 12¢ | $4 | 0xc77a77… |
| 07-20 07:36:22 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 14¢ | $1 | 0xc77a77… |
| 07-20 07:36:22 | (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 10¢ | $0 | 0xc77a77… |
| 07-10 19:24:37 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 2 | 12¢ | $0 | 0x3035eb… |
| 07-10 19:24:37 | (anonymous) 0x7afd…4e62 | No | SELL | 2 | 88¢ | $2 | 0x3035eb… |
| 07-03 02:43:28 | Wobbly-Chain 0xcc79…1c2a | Yes | BUY | 17 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x63e52b… |
| 07-03 02:43:28 | (anonymous) 0x3c5d…f2c4 | Yes | SELL | 17 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x63e52b… |
| 07-02 01:18:16 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 8 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xdc2ae4… |
| 07-02 01:18:16 | Loving-Hate 0x48c4…19e5 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xdc2ae4… |
| 06-28 21:11:14 | Wobbly-Chain 0xcc79…1c2a | Yes | BUY | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x807749… |
| 06-28 21:11:14 | (anonymous) 0xac58…8a93 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x807749… |
| 06-08 08:31:49 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 1 | 33¢ | $0 | 0xa2fb6d… |
| 06-08 08:31:49 | (anonymous) 0xd78c…fc71 | No | SELL | 1 | 67¢ | $1 | 0xa2fb6d… |