Realized P&L
+$1.35K
Unrealized P&L
+$926
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
5
Trades
3,288
lifetime
Volume
$743.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$226
Open exposure
$69.4K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-30 09:29
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Other
48%
100%
+$1,213
Politics
33%
100%
+$127
Crypto
10%
100%
+$10
Tech
9%
—
—
Sports
0%
—
—
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
79 active days in 12wk
• peak 93 trades/day
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026? | No | +12,434 | $12,367 | 100¢ | $12.4K | +$55 | 06-20 07:01 | |
| Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026? | No | +8,086 | $8,036 | 100¢ | $8.1K | +$42 | 06-18 03:10 | |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | No | +7,600 | $7,145 | 96¢ | $7.3K | +$143 | 06-06 09:25 | |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | No | +5,650 | $5,551 | 100¢ | $5.6K | +$93 | 06-14 09:21 | |
| New pandemic in 2026? | No | +5,355 | $4,696 | 92¢ | $4.9K | +$204 | 06-14 03:56 | |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? | No | +4,400 | $4,375 | 100¢ | $4.4K | +$18 | 06-24 13:38 | |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? | No | +3,612 | $3,559 | 100¢ | $3.6K | +$44 | 06-28 10:17 | |
| Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30? | No | +3,121 | $3,092 | 100¢ | $3.1K | +$26 | 06-10 13:57 | |
| Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026? | No | +2,570 | $2,502 | 97¢ | $2.5K | +$1 | 06-26 13:56 | |
| Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026? | No | +2,382 | $2,371 | 100¢ | $2.4K | +$10 | 06-23 01:10 | |
| Will Trump create a tariff dividend by June 30? | No | +2,000 | $1,996 | 100¢ | $2.0K | +$1 | 06-30 08:41 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | -2,000 | $-1,972 | 98¢ | $-1963 | +$9 | 06-27 04:34 | |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? | No | +1,900 | $1,882 | 100¢ | $1.9K | +$14 | 06-28 13:12 | |
| Will Trump pardon Tiger Woods by June 30? | No | +1,222 | $1,209 | 100¢ | $1.2K | +$12 | 06-10 17:31 | |
| Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? | Yes | +1,100 | $929 | 90¢ | $990 | +$61 | 06-01 08:50 | |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30? | No | -900 | $-857 | 100¢ | $-899 | $-42 | 06-17 17:46 | |
| Will Meta have a #1 AI model by June 30? | No | +883 | $874 | 100¢ | $881 | +$7 | 06-10 20:59 | |
| Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? | No | +883 | $825 | 96¢ | $844 | +$19 | 05-30 04:03 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | -497 | $-483 | 99¢ | $-490 | $-7 | 06-01 18:44 | |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June? | No | -454 | $-450 | 100¢ | $-453 | $-3 | 06-24 15:25 | |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30? | No | +420 | $255 | 100¢ | $419 | +$163 | 06-28 13:06 | |
| McDonald's CEO out by June 30? | No | +412 | $402 | 100¢ | $411 | +$9 | 06-25 12:40 | |
| Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? | No | +400 | $386 | 100¢ | $398 | +$12 | 06-01 16:04 | |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? | No | +389 | $353 | 100¢ | $389 | +$36 | 06-13 16:36 | |
| Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30? | No | -375 | $-362 | 100¢ | $-375 | $-13 | 06-01 12:29 | |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? | No | +465 | $265 | 76¢ | $353 | +$88 | 06-11 17:06 | |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June? | No | +349 | $343 | 100¢ | $349 | +$6 | 06-01 19:11 | |
| Will Google have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? | Yes | +870 | $388 | 30¢ | $265 | $-122 | 06-26 10:04 | |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.0% before 2027? | No | +255 | $209 | 92¢ | $236 | +$27 | 06-01 18:44 | |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30? | No | +229 | $211 | 98¢ | $225 | +$14 | 06-30 01:43 |
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| will gta 6 cost 100 | 170 | $87.9K | 88,967 | 0 | +88,967 | open | — | 02-22 22:32 |
| Will SpaceX IPO by May 31, 2026? | 54 | $33.6K | 33,632 | 307 | +33,325 | open | — | 05-20 20:44 |
| Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? | 35 | $31.8K | 33,000 | 0 | +33,000 | open | — | 03-04 11:00 |
| will israel nuke iran by january 31 | 13 | $26.9K | 27,000 | 0 | +27,000 | open | — | 01-31 21:49 |
| Will Trump visit China by April 30? | 104 | $25.5K | 25,469 | 3,700 | +21,769 | open | — | 04-22 10:32 |
| si hit 150 high jan 2026 | 30 | $22.6K | 22,966 | 0 | +22,966 | open | — | 01-24 21:36 |
| Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair? | 29 | $21.3K | 20,000 | 2,000 | +18,000 | No | +$620 | 04-23 02:42 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31? | 18 | $18.9K | 19,142 | 0 | +19,142 | open | — | 05-15 11:07 |
| no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting | 6 | $16.7K | 17,559 | 0 | +17,559 | open | — | 01-17 21:58 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? | 2 | $15.0K | 15,000 | 0 | +15,000 | open | — | 03-04 16:31 |
| Will SpaceX IPO by April 30, 2026? | 16 | $13.0K | 13,071 | 0 | +13,071 | open | — | 04-16 05:12 |
| Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026? | 25 | $12.4K | 12,434 | 0 | +12,434 | open | — | 06-20 07:01 |
| netanyahu out by march 31 854 | 7 | $12.4K | 7,989 | 4,993 | +2,996 | open | — | 03-19 09:44 |
| will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting | 15 | $9.9K | 5,000 | 5,000 | +0 | open | — | 03-18 14:12 |
| Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair? | 43 | $9.4K | 10,000 | 0 | +10,000 | Yes | +$593 | 03-10 14:32 |
| will trump visit china by march 31 | 23 | $9.3K | 9,477 | 0 | +9,477 | open | — | 03-21 10:54 |
| bad bunny video becomes most viewed sb halftime on youtube in 1st month | 29 | $9.3K | 9,409 | 0 | +9,409 | open | — | 03-08 12:00 |
| Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026? | 152 | $8.1K | 8,136 | 0 | +8,136 | open | — | 06-18 03:10 |
| Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30? | 25 | $7.7K | 7,771 | 0 | +7,771 | open | — | 04-22 14:32 |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | 8 | $7.1K | 7,600 | 0 | +7,600 | open | — | 06-06 09:25 |
| Will January be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026? | 11 | $7.1K | 7,197 | 0 | +7,197 | open | — | 03-27 12:36 |
| will bitcoin reach 105k in march 2026 | 2 | $7.0K | 7,018 | 0 | +7,018 | open | — | 03-27 10:40 |
| trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by june 30 | 51 | $6.4K | 6,438 | 0 | +6,438 | open | — | 06-21 09:21 |
| will there be another us government shutdown by january 31 | 3 | $6.3K | 6,400 | 0 | +6,400 | open | — | 01-31 21:08 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? | 43 | $6.2K | 3,238 | 3,578 | -340 | open | — | 06-21 11:28 |
| Will Trump visit China by May 8? | 16 | $6.0K | 6,078 | 0 | +6,078 | No | +$63 | 05-04 09:17 |
| will ethereum reach 3600 in january 2026 | 4 | $6.0K | 6,024 | 0 | +6,024 | open | — | 01-31 17:23 |
| will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026 | 4 | $5.9K | 6,000 | 0 | +6,000 | open | — | 03-18 10:17 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? | 3 | $5.6K | 3,000 | 2,611 | +389 | open | — | 06-13 16:36 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | 8 | $5.6K | 5,650 | 0 | +5,650 | open | — | 06-14 09:21 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open this tab to load correlated wallets… | ||||