Realized P&L
+$8.96K
Unrealized P&L
+$10.8K
Hit rate
90.5%
Resolved
516
Trades
6,559
lifetime
Volume
$1.22M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$185
Open exposure
$144.6K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-27 21:50
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 147 days
Categories
Other
50% 68% +$11,420
Politics
33% 59% -$6,453
Tech
9% 79% +$1,216
Crypto
8% 73% +$2,478
Sports
0% 50% +$304
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 87 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
New pandemic in 2026? No +24,354 $21,428 96¢ $23.5K +$2,074 06-14 03:56
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? No +9,101 $8,521 97¢ $8.8K +$285 09-11 10:01
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by October 31? No +8,131 $7,934 99¢ $8.1K +$153 10-22 10:13
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +7,970 $7,371 98¢ $7.8K +$467 10-19 06:44
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? No +8,000 $7,118 96¢ $7.7K +$602 08-26 17:09
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No -8,000 -$7,459 94¢ $-7532 -$73 10-26 13:24
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +6,700 $5,963 94¢ $6.3K +$301 09-05 11:24
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +6,000 $5,260 98¢ $5.9K +$623 07-25 17:45
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? No +6,099 $5,844 95¢ $5.8K -$29 08-22 21:39
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +6,000 $5,660 94¢ $5.7K +$10 10-15 09:21
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +6,000 $5,665 94¢ $5.6K -$55 10-20 22:13
Will AI solve 2 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? No +5,158 $4,191 96¢ $4.9K +$750 09-20 16:28
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +5,000 $4,702 97¢ $4.8K +$142 10-21 16:43
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +5,000 $4,185 82¢ $4.1K -$110 09-11 17:17
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? No +5,100 $2,001 76¢ $3.9K +$1,900 09-18 19:11
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No +3,944 $3,816 97¢ $3.8K +$10 09-18 19:04
Will GTA 6 cost $100+? No +3,229 $3,145 99¢ $3.2K +$53 08-06 14:47
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31? No +3,500 $2,904 90¢ $3.2K +$246 10-19 13:59
Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026? No +2,814 $2,681 97¢ $2.7K +$40 10-27 02:50
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +3,000 $2,428 86¢ $2.6K +$167 09-01 09:40
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy) No +2,441 $1,943 96¢ $2.3K +$400 10-23 09:12
us charges hormuz fees by december 31 2026 20260713151243236 No +2,378 $2,168 97¢ $2.3K +$129 10-04 02:26
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +2,300 $2,132 97¢ $2.2K +$93 10-04 09:36
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? No +4,671 $1,107 44¢ $2.1K +$948 09-20 14:10
Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026? No +2,000 $1,105 95¢ $1.9K +$795 10-02 10:02
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +2,000 $1,860 94¢ $1.9K +$30 10-14 20:04
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +2,023 $1,687 86¢ $1.7K +$46 09-09 07:40
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? No +1,547 $1,441 100¢ $1.5K +$104 10-17 11:24
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? No +1,634 $637 82¢ $1.3K +$702 09-20 12:17
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +1,335 $1,285 95¢ $1.3K -$13 10-04 09:35