Realized P&L
+$1.35K
Unrealized P&L
+$861
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
5
Trades
3,663
lifetime
Volume
$817.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$223
Open exposure
$44.7K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-20 22:22
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Other
46% 100% +$1,213
Politics
36% 100% +$127
Crypto
10% 100% +$10
Tech
8%
Sports
0%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
79 active days in 12wk • peak 93 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +7,600 $7,145 96¢ $7.3K +$185 06-06 09:25
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? No +7,631 $7,193 94¢ $7.2K +$18 07-13 04:38
New pandemic in 2026? No +5,355 $4,696 94¢ $5.0K +$311 06-14 03:56
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +5,000 $4,350 92¢ $4.6K +$225 07-01 17:14
Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026? No +4,228 $4,132 98¢ $4.2K +$23 07-17 21:17
Will GTA 6 cost $100+? No +2,034 $1,981 98¢ $2.0K +$9 07-19 15:51
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? No -2,000 $-1,972 98¢ $-1956 +$16 06-27 04:34
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? No +2,000 $1,884 95¢ $1.9K +$21 07-16 09:35
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? No +1,300 $1,252 96¢ $1.2K $-5 07-17 20:48
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? Yes +1,100 $929 92¢ $1.0K +$88 06-01 08:50
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +1,100 $945 86¢ $940 $-4 07-20 22:22
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? No +991 $918 93¢ $922 +$4 07-19 09:33
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +900 $998 99¢ $888 $-111 07-17 21:01
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No +883 $825 96¢ $845 +$20 05-30 04:03
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +1,000 $594 56¢ $555 $-39 07-06 23:21
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026? No -497 $-483 99¢ $-490 $-7 06-01 18:44
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +500 $470 94¢ $468 $-2 07-12 00:18
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No +465 $265 80¢ $374 +$109 06-11 17:06
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -500 $-400 74¢ $-368 +$32 07-14 21:06
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +400 $352 88¢ $350 $-2 07-18 21:27
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026? No +923 $156 31¢ $281 +$125 06-26 07:15
Will Google have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,080 $442 24¢ $265 $-178 07-12 02:25
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +300 $249 84¢ $250 +$2 07-13 19:46
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.0% before 2027? No +255 $209 89¢ $227 +$18 06-01 18:44
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? No +300 $186 70¢ $211 +$25 07-07 10:59
Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top 50? Yes +232 $170 76¢ $176 +$6 07-11 06:38
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +200 $184 86¢ $171 $-13 07-04 21:42
Fed rate hike in 2026? No +400 $192 42¢ $166 $-26 06-07 22:00
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +200 $150 80¢ $161 +$11 07-16 14:33
Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026? No +178 $160 90¢ $159 $-1 07-19 20:19