Wobbly-Chain — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.35K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

4,000

lifetime

Volume

$876.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$219

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-10 12:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

46% 100% +$1,213

Politics

36% 100% +$127

Crypto

9% 100% +$10

Tech

8% — —

Sports

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

83 active days in 12wk • peak 93 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will gta 6 cost 100	170	$87.9K	88,967	0	+88,967	open	—	02-22 22:32
Will SpaceX IPO by May 31, 2026?	54	$33.6K	33,632	307	+33,325	open	—	05-20 20:44
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	35	$31.8K	33,000	0	+33,000	open	—	03-04 11:00
will israel nuke iran by january 31	13	$26.9K	27,000	0	+27,000	open	—	01-31 21:49
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	104	$25.5K	25,469	3,700	+21,769	open	—	04-22 10:32
si hit 150 high jan 2026	30	$22.6K	22,966	0	+22,966	open	—	01-24 21:36
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	29	$21.3K	20,000	2,000	+18,000	No	+$620	04-23 02:42
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	18	$18.9K	19,142	0	+19,142	open	—	05-15 11:07
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	6	$16.7K	17,559	0	+17,559	open	—	01-17 21:58
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	2	$15.0K	15,000	0	+15,000	open	—	03-04 16:31
Will SpaceX IPO by April 30, 2026?	16	$13.0K	13,071	0	+13,071	open	—	04-16 05:12
Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?	25	$12.4K	12,434	0	+12,434	open	—	06-20 07:01
netanyahu out by march 31 854	7	$12.4K	7,989	4,993	+2,996	open	—	03-19 09:44
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	15	$9.9K	5,000	5,000	+0	open	—	03-18 14:12
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	43	$9.4K	10,000	0	+10,000	Yes	+$593	03-10 14:32
will trump visit china by march 31	23	$9.3K	9,477	0	+9,477	open	—	03-21 10:54
bad bunny video becomes most viewed sb halftime on youtube in 1st month	29	$9.3K	9,409	0	+9,409	open	—	03-08 12:00
us charges hormuz fees by july 31 2026 20260713151243233	15	$8.7K	8,743	0	+8,743	open	—	07-29 09:17
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?	152	$8.1K	8,136	0	+8,136	open	—	06-18 03:10
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?	25	$7.7K	8,215	0	+8,215	open	—	08-08 01:06
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	25	$7.7K	7,771	0	+7,771	open	—	04-22 14:32
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	8	$7.1K	7,600	0	+7,600	open	—	06-06 09:25
Will January be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?	11	$7.1K	7,197	0	+7,197	open	—	03-27 12:36
iran charges hormuz fees by july 31	21	$7.1K	7,299	0	+7,299	open	—	08-01 02:48
will bitcoin reach 105k in march 2026	2	$7.0K	7,018	0	+7,018	open	—	03-27 10:40
trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by june 30	51	$6.4K	6,438	0	+6,438	open	—	06-21 09:21
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	3	$6.3K	6,400	0	+6,400	open	—	01-31 21:08
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	43	$6.2K	3,238	3,578	-340	open	—	06-21 11:28
Will Trump visit China by May 8?	16	$6.0K	6,078	0	+6,078	No	+$63	05-04 09:17
will ethereum reach 3600 in january 2026	4	$6.0K	6,024	0	+6,024	open	—	01-31 17:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 17:38:54	iran charges hormuz fees by december 31 20260706203029175 553	Yes	BUY	300	53¢	$159	0xe0916a…
08-10 16:35:22	us iran hormuz agreement by august 31 20260804222025507 868 993	Yes	BUY	200	60¢	$120	0xfdf78a…
08-10 15:48:51	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	No	BUY	400	88¢	$352	0x75c539…
08-10 15:48:51	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	No	BUY	400	89¢	$354	0x403a1a…
08-10 15:20:15	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by august 31 20260707233859434	No	BUY	23	73¢	$17	0x888bf4…
08-10 14:46:22	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by august 31 20260707233859434	No	BUY	15	73¢	$11	0x780aa3…
08-10 14:41:25	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by august 31 20260707233859434	No	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xa42944…
08-10 14:40:34	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by august 31 20260707233859434	No	BUY	11	73¢	$8	0x227f5b…
08-10 13:58:39	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by august 31 20260707233859434	No	BUY	6	73¢	$4	0x7692d7…
08-10 12:02:45	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by august 31 20260707233859434	No	BUY	17	73¢	$12	0x851293…
08-10 11:40:39	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by august 31 20260707233859434	No	BUY	200	73¢	$146	0xff763d…
08-10 11:07:13	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by august 31 20260707233859434	No	BUY	24	73¢	$18	0x9a9e96…
08-10 10:33:36	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157	No	SELL	959	16¢	$149	0x2d240c…
08-10 10:23:43	will wti dip to 50 in august 2026	No	BUY	3,416	99¢	$3,382	0x823d7c…
08-10 10:23:34	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157	No	SELL	15	15¢	$2	0x00f76f…
08-10 10:23:31	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157	No	SELL	26	16¢	$4	0x493793…
08-10 10:12:46	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	No	BUY	300	89¢	$267	0xcebe78…
08-10 02:29:46	will aemond targaryen die in the house of the dragon season 3 finale 20260807034401069	No	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0x8b143d…
08-10 01:23:16	will daemon targaryen die in the house of the dragon season 3 finale 20260807034401066	No	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0xe3de76…
08-10 00:32:48	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	SELL	600	86¢	$516	0x9bd33b…
08-09 23:18:28	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	No	BUY	371	98¢	$363	0x18a508…
08-09 17:04:40	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	Yes	BUY	400	9¢	$36	0x3bc91e…
08-09 12:38:22	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	SELL	384	93¢	$357	0xc09c78…
08-09 11:49:21	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	No	BUY	46	98¢	$45	0x08426d…
08-09 11:44:40	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	No	BUY	5	98¢	$4	0x8e902c…
08-09 11:44:00	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x160803…
08-09 11:15:16	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x16c297…
08-09 10:51:09	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	No	BUY	52	98¢	$51	0x8c7f33…
08-09 10:19:54	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xc3a2f6…
08-09 10:15:24	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xdb9873…
08-09 09:58:15	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	BUY	1,000	88¢	$880	0x9d5359…
08-09 09:57:37	Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?	No	SELL	100	25¢	$25	0x59799a…
08-09 09:53:48	iran leadership change by august 31 669 893	No	BUY	1,000	96¢	$962	0x55b1cf…
08-09 09:41:52	will aemond targaryen die in the house of the dragon season 3 finale 20260807034401069	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x2593d9…
08-09 09:41:33	will daemon targaryen die in the house of the dragon season 3 finale 20260807034401066	No	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0xdb9e2e…
08-09 02:19:01	iran invades kuwait by august 31 20260720015031546	No	BUY	700	97¢	$680	0x39248f…
08-08 18:37:03	italy senate approves nuclear power bill by august 31	No	BUY	250	98¢	$245	0xe16373…
08-08 18:15:18	spacex ipo officially added to sp 500 in 2026 20260608202834697	No	BUY	200	96¢	$192	0x5c03f9…
08-08 12:43:39	Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top 50?	Yes	BUY	360	63¢	$227	0xfb773f…
08-08 09:04:43	Will Trump meet with Changpeng Zhao in 2026?	No	BUY	100	78¢	$78	0xbfcf16…
08-08 08:59:39	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163 739 824	No	BUY	2,526	91¢	$2,298	0x93440e…
08-08 06:35:54	Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?	No	BUY	50	43¢	$22	0x743af1…
08-08 01:06:43	Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?	No	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xcd2bab…
08-07 23:49:00	Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?	No	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xe3d770…
08-07 17:54:13	Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?	No	BUY	40	91¢	$36	0x890b0b…
08-07 15:05:49	will anthropic ipo by september 30 2026 733	No	BUY	500	91¢	$455	0x11d044…
08-07 13:17:52	us charges hormuz fees by december 31 2026 20260713151243236	No	BUY	916	92¢	$843	0x25c300…
08-07 13:17:39	will anthropic ipo by september 30 2026 733	No	BUY	297	92¢	$273	0x02e753…
08-07 13:17:24	will anthropic ipo by september 30 2026 733	No	BUY	110	92¢	$101	0x60bbef…
08-07 11:13:57	Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?	No	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x34476d…
08-07 10:25:57	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	BUY	400	76¢	$304	0x42e65b…
08-06 20:50:47	Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?	No	BUY	43	91¢	$39	0x99d251…
08-06 20:48:38	US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x421500…
08-06 20:24:24	will anthropic ipo by september 30 2026 733	No	BUY	600	94¢	$564	0xdfd944…
08-06 20:20:48	Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?	No	BUY	43	91¢	$39	0x8ba6e0…
08-06 19:49:56	will bitcoin dip to 62pt5k in august 2026 from august 3	No	BUY	8	28¢	$2	0x921a07…
08-06 19:37:38	will bitcoin dip to 62pt5k in august 2026 from august 3	No	BUY	1	28¢	$0	0x076f7e…
08-06 18:43:30	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	SELL	500	74¢	$370	0xc98cdf…
08-06 14:47:08	Will GTA 6 cost $100+?	No	BUY	184	98¢	$180	0x6a3836…
08-06 14:17:18	Will GTA 6 cost $100+?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x0de42d…
08-06 14:01:50	Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x1c6654…
08-06 14:00:30	Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x66643d…
08-06 13:43:05	will bitcoin dip to 62pt5k in august 2026 from august 3	No	BUY	124	28¢	$35	0x69c72a…
08-06 13:34:02	will bitcoin dip to 62pt5k in august 2026 from august 3	No	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xafb70b…
08-06 13:33:26	will bitcoin dip to 62pt5k in august 2026 from august 3	No	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xfca7c6…
08-06 13:32:54	will bitcoin dip to 62pt5k in august 2026 from august 3	No	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x9be3a1…
08-06 13:30:53	will bitcoin dip to 62pt5k in august 2026 from august 3	No	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xa6bfdf…
08-06 13:27:47	will bitcoin dip to 62pt5k in august 2026 from august 3	No	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x4f4c63…
08-06 13:25:20	will bitcoin dip to 62pt5k in august 2026 from august 3	No	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x6dea07…
08-06 13:08:51	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	SELL	400	91¢	$364	0x8aeb68…
08-06 09:56:08	italy senate approves nuclear power bill by august 31	No	BUY	200	98¢	$196	0x602ce9…
08-06 08:58:57	Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xd94191…
08-06 08:20:02	Will GTA 6 cost $100+?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xde04b3…
08-06 07:39:51	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	No	BUY	100	78¢	$78	0x416c7f…
08-06 06:53:33	israel withdraws from lebanon by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	500	12¢	$60	0x1c37aa…
08-06 03:19:56	will bitcoin dip to 62pt5k in august 2026 from august 3	No	BUY	139	28¢	$39	0x5fc79e…
08-05 20:30:41	Will pump.fun buybacks hit $500M by December 31?	No	BUY	100	59¢	$59	0xebb06d…
08-05 19:05:59	iran charges hormuz fees by december 31 20260706203029175	Yes	BUY	161	46¢	$74	0xd86d0d…
08-05 19:05:54	iran charges hormuz fees by december 31 20260706203029175	Yes	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0x8352c0…
08-05 19:05:54	iran charges hormuz fees by december 31 20260706203029175	Yes	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x2631cc…
08-05 18:59:50	china x philippines military clash before 2027 20260723214807932	No	BUY	300	70¢	$210	0x996a3d…
08-05 16:15:38	will bitcoin reach 65k in august 2026	Yes	BUY	52	91¢	$47	0xdab95f…
08-05 16:01:18	will bitcoin reach 65k in august 2026	Yes	BUY	695	91¢	$632	0xbd0aba…
08-05 15:31:42	will bitcoin reach 65k in august 2026	Yes	BUY	203	91¢	$185	0xe74c30…
08-05 15:30:11	will bitcoin reach 65k in august 2026	Yes	BUY	50	91¢	$45	0x194e2f…
08-05 15:17:54	Will Google have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0x749b41…
08-05 14:06:18	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489	No	BUY	1,000	4¢	$35	0x360a46…
08-05 14:05:41	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by august 31 20260707233859434	No	BUY	300	28¢	$84	0x72c0aa…
08-05 13:23:53	us charges hormuz fees by august 31 2026 20260713151243234	No	BUY	312	98¢	$305	0x4337e4…
08-05 12:07:45	iran charges hormuz fees by december 31 20260706203029175	Yes	BUY	130	46¢	$60	0x713d4c…
08-05 09:44:38	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	No	BUY	300	89¢	$267	0x3c016e…
08-05 09:06:56	Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?	No	BUY	6	91¢	$5	0x93278f…
08-05 09:06:26	iran successfully targets shipping by august 9 2026	No	BUY	109	61¢	$67	0x2f57c6…
08-05 09:01:14	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	Yes	BUY	100	60¢	$60	0x74a1d1…
08-05 08:11:50	US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?	No	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x85c7e2…
08-05 02:42:47	us charges hormuz fees by august 31 2026 20260713151243234	No	BUY	184	98¢	$179	0xbfbb53…
08-05 02:22:45	Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?	No	BUY	44	44¢	$19	0x0df39a…
08-04 21:57:29	Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?	Yes	BUY	193	18¢	$34	0x8d0874…
08-04 20:45:23	Will GTA 6 cost $100+?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xba1d0e…
08-04 20:10:57	Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	18¢	$1	0x4a5c77…