Untried-Budget 0xdd287f…8a374a
whale cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$4.42K
Unrealized P&L
-$184
Hit rate
54.6%
Resolved
1,385
Trades
3,815
lifetime
Volume
$270.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$71
Open exposure
$6.72K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-30 06:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 219 days
Categories
Other
72% 55% +$772
Politics
11% 64% -$7,721
Sports
10% 58% +$2,353
Crypto
6% 76% +$177
Tech
0% 100% +$0
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 145 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will a country leave BRICS in 2026? No -1,477 -$1,346 92¢ $-1357 -$11 10-01 07:53
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +868 $569 85¢ $738 +$169 10-27 19:34
Altcoin market cap dip to $150B before 2027? No +1,089 $897 67¢ $730 -$168 09-21 22:53
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +869 $723 82¢ $717 -$6 10-09 14:54
Will Roma win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? Yes +3,337 $681 13¢ $445 -$236 10-27 09:02
Will Gold have the best performance in 2026? No -471 -$368 94¢ $-445 -$77 07-26 09:58
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +350 $260 80¢ $278 +$19 10-28 08:56
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +204 $145 92¢ $186 +$42 08-14 23:01
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +167 $150 82¢ $137 -$13 10-02 15:32
Kash Patel out by December 31? No +162 $122 80¢ $130 +$9 08-18 10:38
israel x iran ceasefire continues through december 31 No +200 $66 63¢ $126 +$60 08-20 06:12
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? No -132 -$120 94¢ $-124 -$5 09-15 19:36
Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026? No -123 -$119 98¢ $-121 -$2 06-02 19:15
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No -122 -$129 94¢ $-115 +$13 10-12 09:45
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +130 $63 88¢ $115 +$52 07-19 17:01
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +360 $112 32¢ $113 +$2 09-04 19:21
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? No +123 $100 86¢ $107 +$7 09-25 14:47
Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026? No -100 -$95 97¢ $-97 -$1 07-16 10:16
Will Ethereum reach $6,000 by December 31, 2026? No -90 -$87 98¢ $-88 -$2 08-07 22:46
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026? No +80 $74 95¢ $76 +$2 07-19 17:02
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? No +52 $50 99¢ $52 +$1 09-17 11:55
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? No -53 -$51 96¢ $-50 +$0 10-22 19:36
Human moon landing in 2026? No -50 -$48 99¢ $-49 -$1 05-28 07:58
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? Yes +427 $77 12¢ $49 -$28 09-05 12:51
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? No -50 -$48 98¢ $-49 -$1 07-16 23:41
Tom Lee charged by December 31? No -50 -$48 98¢ $-49 $0 08-16 20:22
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? No -50 -$48 97¢ $-48 -$1 08-05 11:55
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? No +323 $65 15¢ $47 -$18 08-22 09:31
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +257 $36 17¢ $43 +$6 07-25 21:17
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +50 $33 70¢ $35 +$2 09-22 15:41