Realized P&L
+$6
Unrealized P&L
+$782
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
1
Trades
1,019
lifetime
Volume
$83.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$82
Open exposure
$8.24K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-23 11:45
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
64%
—
—
Politics
17%
100%
+$6
Crypto
11%
—
—
Sports
8%
—
—
Tech
0%
—
—
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
37 active days in 12wk
• peak 46 trades/day
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? | No | +8,414 | $4,641 | 62¢ | $5.3K | +$617 | 07-23 11:45 | |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? | No | +967 | $730 | 88¢ | $846 | +$116 | 07-20 07:34 | |
| Will EUR/USD hit 1.20 (High) in 2026? | No | +399 | $284 | 78¢ | $311 | +$28 | 07-20 07:34 | |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? | No | +221 | $177 | 83¢ | $184 | +$6 | 07-19 17:01 | |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | No | +200 | $166 | 86¢ | $171 | +$5 | 06-26 14:39 | |
| Will Trump pardon Keonne Rodriguez before 2027? | No | +176 | $148 | 82¢ | $145 | $-3 | 07-20 07:27 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | +147 | $138 | 94¢ | $137 | $-1 | 07-23 07:45 | |
| Will Phantom launch a token by September 30, 2026? | No | -134 | $-130 | 98¢ | $-132 | $-2 | 07-12 22:39 | |
| Will X launch a USD stablecoin in 2026? | No | +147 | $129 | 86¢ | $126 | $-2 | 07-20 07:36 | |
| Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026? | No | -123 | $-119 | 98¢ | $-120 | $-2 | 06-02 19:15 | |
| Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026? | No | -100 | $-95 | 96¢ | $-96 | $-0 | 07-16 10:16 | |
| Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026? | No | +80 | $74 | 94¢ | $75 | +$1 | 07-19 17:02 | |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | No | +100 | $64 | 66¢ | $66 | +$2 | 06-26 14:40 | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | +130 | $63 | 48¢ | $63 | +$0 | 07-19 17:01 | |
| Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? | No | -50 | $-48 | 98¢ | $-49 | $-1 | 07-16 23:41 | |
| Human moon landing in 2026? | No | -50 | $-48 | 98¢ | $-49 | $-0 | 05-28 07:58 | |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | +50 | $46 | 94¢ | $47 | +$2 | 06-26 14:34 | |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | No | +50 | $46 | 94¢ | $47 | +$1 | 06-26 14:38 | |
| Will Trump pardon Roger Ver before 2027? | No | +44 | $40 | 92¢ | $40 | $-0 | 07-20 07:28 | |
| Will a country leave BRICS in 2026? | No | +40 | $36 | 95¢ | $37 | +$2 | 06-29 15:28 | |
| Will EUR/USD hit 1.35 (High) in 2026? | No | +38 | $35 | 98¢ | $37 | +$2 | 06-30 18:25 | |
| Will EUR/USD hit 1.24 (High) in 2026? | No | +34 | $28 | 94¢ | $31 | +$4 | 06-30 18:25 | |
| Will Trump pardon Julian Assange before 2027? | No | -33 | $-30 | 94¢ | $-31 | $-1 | 07-08 07:37 | |
| New pandemic in 2026? | No | +30 | $27 | 94¢ | $28 | +$1 | 06-26 14:37 | |
| Will EUR/USD hit 1.30 (High) in 2026? | No | +24 | $22 | 96¢ | $23 | +$1 | 06-30 18:25 | |
| Will EUR/USD hit 1.26 (High) in 2026? | No | +24 | $21 | 95¢ | $23 | +$2 | 06-30 18:25 | |
| Will EUR/USD hit 1.22 (High) in 2026? | No | +30 | $21 | 72¢ | $21 | +$1 | 06-30 18:25 | |
| OpenAI IPO before 2027? | No | +20 | $14 | 79¢ | $16 | +$2 | 06-26 14:35 | |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | +20 | $18 | 70¢ | $14 | $-4 | 06-26 14:37 | |
| Discord IPO before 2027? | No | +20 | $8 | 63¢ | $13 | +$4 | 06-26 14:35 |
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? | 44 | $10.6K | 13,307 | 4,893 | +8,414 | open | — | 07-23 11:45 |
| nothing ever happens crypto edition 319 | 19 | $4.7K | 2,472 | 2,642 | -170 | open | — | 02-22 17:05 |
| will a nation that has never won the world cup win in 2026 20260605003149811 | 8 | $4.2K | 2,489 | 2,489 | +0 | open | — | 07-10 10:19 |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? | 10 | $2.9K | 5,580 | 0 | +5,580 | open | — | 02-26 09:41 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair? | 7 | $2.8K | 358 | 3,107 | -2,748 | open | — | 02-01 18:13 |
| Will TheUnitedStrand get a haircut by 2025-26 season end? | 4 | $2.7K | 1,583 | 1,583 | +0 | open | — | 02-26 09:28 |
| will bitcoin dip to 80k in january 2026 | 6 | $1.3K | 784 | 784 | +0 | open | — | 01-14 18:04 |
| sea int juv 2026 02 14 juv | 4 | $1.3K | 1,704 | 0 | +1,704 | open | — | 02-14 18:53 |
| US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026? | 6 | $1.2K | 2,387 | 0 | +2,387 | open | — | 02-25 08:12 |
| sea int bol 2026 01 04 bol | 2 | $756 | 400 | 400 | +0 | open | — | 01-04 22:32 |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? | 5 | $730 | 967 | 0 | +967 | open | — | 07-20 07:34 |
| sea com fio 2026 02 14 fio | 3 | $702 | 852 | 0 | +852 | open | — | 02-14 11:28 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | 3 | $683 | 13,018 | 350 | +12,668 | open | — | 06-02 19:15 |
| us forcibly removes khamenei from power by march 31 | 2 | $603 | 339 | 339 | +0 | open | — | 02-14 11:24 |
| will bitcoin dip to 55k in february 2026 644 513 935 | 4 | $552 | 320 | 320 | +0 | open | — | 02-14 11:24 |
| epl eve wol 2026 01 07 wol | 3 | $539 | 354 | 304 | +49 | open | — | 01-07 09:13 |
| sea cag cre 2026 04 11 draw | 1 | $473 | 1,479 | 0 | +1,479 | open | — | 04-07 09:46 |
| will mara corina machado enter venezuela by january 31 859 245 | 4 | $455 | 406 | 406 | +0 | open | — | 01-23 23:17 |
| sea nap mil 2026 04 06 draw | 1 | $450 | 1,246 | 0 | +1,246 | open | — | 03-25 08:54 |
| US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026? | 3 | $449 | 1,486 | 0 | +1,486 | open | — | 02-22 17:06 |
| Will Cesc Fabregas be the next Chelsea manager? | 3 | $436 | 224 | 224 | +0 | open | — | 01-05 17:50 |
| us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563 | 3 | $413 | 220 | 220 | +0 | open | — | 02-23 18:11 |
| sea com udi 2026 01 03 udi | 2 | $373 | 453 | 0 | +453 | open | — | 01-03 11:05 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? | 8 | $368 | 245 | 345 | -100 | open | — | 02-16 08:53 |
| itc int com 2026 04 21 int | 2 | $367 | 748 | 0 | +748 | open | — | 04-21 06:55 |
| us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368 | 3 | $342 | 187 | 187 | +0 | open | — | 02-26 12:42 |
| sea laz fio 2026 01 07 fio | 1 | $338 | 445 | 0 | +445 | open | — | 01-02 18:00 |
| will khamenei leave iran by march 31 224 161 138 998 | 3 | $333 | 182 | 182 | +0 | open | — | 02-10 09:18 |
| US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026? | 4 | $331 | 554 | 0 | +554 | open | — | 02-26 09:29 |
| sea mil gen 2026 01 08 gen | 1 | $327 | 364 | 0 | +364 | open | — | 01-08 12:18 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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