Tim Walz in jail by December 31?
open
Total volume
$41
$12 in 24h
Trades
24
Unique wallets
11
Liquidity
$12,890
Latest YES mid
8¢
Latest NO mid
92¢
End date
2026-03-31
First seen
2026-05-29
last 06-12 06:15
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
NO holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 2 | — | $24 | $24 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 3 | $2 | $2 | +$0 |
| 🐟 Fish | 1 | — | $2 | $2 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 5 | — | $1 | $1 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | $2 | — | +$2 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | — | $7 | $7 |
| Median | 1 | — | $2 | $2 |
| Below median | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | $17 | $17 |
| unranked | 6 | — | $3 | $3 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | +34 | $2 | $2 | 5 | 06-10 22:19 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +18 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 06-10 22:19 |
| Punctual-Sand 0x21d0…ce91 | No | +8 | $7 | $7 | 6 | 06-12 06:15 |
| (anonymous) 0x6108…018e | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-29 15:10 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-12 06:15:25 | Punctual-Sand 0x21d0…ce91 | No | BUY | 2 | 92¢ | $2 | 0xd5f7b8… |
| 06-12 06:15:25 | Dismal-Directory 0xc95c…5e0b | No | SELL | 2 | 92¢ | $2 | 0xd5f7b8… |
| 06-11 22:15:49 | Dismal-Directory 0xc95c…5e0b | No | BUY | 2 | 92¢ | $2 | 0x3cd2b3… |
| 06-11 22:15:49 | Mammoth-Hop 0x95dc…4b45 | No | SELL | 2 | 92¢ | $2 | 0x3cd2b3… |
| 06-10 22:19:48 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 18 | 93¢ | $17 | 0x7a3f95… |
| 06-10 22:19:48 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x7a3f95… |
| 06-10 04:42:43 | (anonymous) 0x6c67…9e48 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xd20d0e… |
| 06-10 04:42:43 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xd20d0e… |
| 06-07 10:48:28 | Punctual-Sand 0x21d0…ce91 | No | BUY | 1 | 92¢ | $1 | 0x9e2c7a… |
| 06-07 10:48:28 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | SELL | 1 | 92¢ | $1 | 0x9e2c7a… |
| 06-07 10:45:01 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | BUY | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x6d073a… |
| 06-07 10:45:01 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x6d073a… |
| 06-06 06:15:42 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | SELL | 1 | 92¢ | $1 | 0xe327da… |
| 06-06 06:15:42 | Punctual-Sand 0x21d0…ce91 | No | BUY | 1 | 92¢ | $1 | 0xe327da… |
| 06-06 04:13:22 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xdd1115… |
| 06-06 04:13:22 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | BUY | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0xdd1115… |
| 06-05 21:01:27 | Punctual-Sand 0x21d0…ce91 | No | BUY | 1 | 92¢ | $1 | 0x7387cb… |
| 06-05 21:01:27 | (anonymous) 0x6ed9…8e36 | No | SELL | 1 | 92¢ | $1 | 0x7387cb… |
| 06-05 20:36:01 | (anonymous) 0x5656…a2df | No | SELL | 1 | 92¢ | $1 | 0xa76b03… |
| 06-05 20:36:01 | Punctual-Sand 0x21d0…ce91 | No | BUY | 1 | 92¢ | $1 | 0xa76b03… |
| 06-05 20:18:01 | (anonymous) 0x723c…2715 | No | SELL | 1 | 92¢ | $1 | 0xb843d1… |
| 06-05 20:18:01 | Punctual-Sand 0x21d0…ce91 | No | BUY | 1 | 92¢ | $1 | 0xb843d1… |
| 05-29 15:10:43 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x81038a… |
| 05-29 15:10:43 | (anonymous) 0x6108…018e | No | BUY | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x81038a… |