Realized P&L
+$24
Unrealized P&L
-$33
Hit rate
95.5%
Resolved
19
Trades
3,863
lifetime
Volume
$489.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$127
Open exposure
$41.7K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-30 15:06
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 7 days
Categories
Other
58% 75% $-7
Politics
29% 100% +$19
Tech
6%
Sports
5%
Crypto
1% 92% +$12
Pop-Culture
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 84 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30? No -5,670 $-5,629 100¢ $-5665 $-36 06-14 02:43
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No -3,202 $-2,690 86¢ $-2770 $-80 05-31 12:35
100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30? No -2,512 $-2,501 100¢ $-2509 $-8 06-21 13:59
Will Belgium reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No +2,402 $2,321 96¢ $2.3K $-9 06-22 09:01
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No +2,308 $2,242 100¢ $2.3K +$64 06-24 07:04
Will Croatia reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No +2,283 $2,243 99¢ $2.3K +$11 06-21 09:55
Will Uber ask Travis Kalanick back by June 30, 2027? No +1,803 $1,772 99¢ $1.8K +$13 06-30 13:33
Will Canada reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No +1,734 $1,701 98¢ $1.7K $-2 06-21 09:22
Will Switzerland reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No +1,700 $1,667 97¢ $1.6K $-24 06-20 14:58
Hantavirus outbreak by June 30? No -1,491 $-1,483 100¢ $-1488 $-5 06-24 07:03
Will Ivory Coast reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No +1,470 $1,442 100¢ $1.5K +$26 06-29 06:20
Will Sweden reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No +1,378 $1,349 99¢ $1.4K +$21 06-21 09:54
Anthropic CEO arrested? No -1,246 $-1,238 100¢ $-1242 $-4 06-20 14:45
Will Austria reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No +1,228 $1,209 99¢ $1.2K +$11 06-21 20:32
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30? No -1,194 $-1,190 100¢ $-1191 $-1 06-12 17:09
Will Australia reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No +1,104 $1,088 99¢ $1.1K +$7 06-29 06:23
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30? No -1,003 $-994 100¢ $-999 $-5 06-15 18:27
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30? No -883 $-875 100¢ $-881 $-7 06-18 14:01
Will Ghana reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No +876 $858 100¢ $873 +$15 06-28 06:16
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? No +842 $809 100¢ $842 +$33 06-13 08:10
Will Ecuador reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No +801 $783 99¢ $789 +$6 06-17 13:05
McDonald's CEO out by June 30? No +790 $770 100¢ $788 +$18 06-21 07:22
Katy Perry confirmed pregnant by June 30? No +664 $653 100¢ $662 +$9 06-23 14:31
Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No +675 $635 94¢ $633 $-2 06-21 13:50
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? No -646 $-607 96¢ $-617 $-10 06-10 11:55
Thailand strikes Cambodia by June 30, 2026? No -614 $-618 100¢ $-611 +$7 06-29 14:06
Anthropic IPO before 2027? Yes -754 $-526 76¢ $-577 $-51 06-14 01:25
Will Tim Walz resign by June 30? No -528 $-523 100¢ $-528 $-4 06-08 14:03
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30? No -505 $-477 100¢ $-505 $-28 06-05 05:58
Will Senegal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No +421 $413 98¢ $414 +$2 06-17 12:18