Realized P&L
+$8.21K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.33K
Hit rate
82.8%
Resolved
1,123
Trades
6,836
lifetime
Volume
$994.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$145
Open exposure
$41.9K
25 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-01 13:41
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 233 days
Categories
Other
52% 82% +$5,273
Politics
27% 81% +$2,008
Tech
12% 84% +$915
Sports
7% 86% +$648
Crypto
1% 78% -$818
Pop-Culture
0% 90% +$180
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
83 active days in 12wk • peak 57 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +6,582 $5,914 96¢ $6.3K +$372 10-06 03:23
GTA VI released by November 30? Yes +6,110 $5,796 97¢ $5.9K +$106 10-31 03:35
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +4,838 $4,487 95¢ $4.6K +$109 10-30 14:23
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes +3,336 $3,134 100¢ $3.3K +$193 10-25 03:58
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? No +3,183 $2,623 94¢ $3.0K +$385 11-01 02:28
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? No +3,523 $2,709 84¢ $3.0K +$268 10-30 14:31
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027? No +2,149 $1,939 94¢ $2.0K +$90 10-28 14:28
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? Anthropic +2,056 $1,725 98¢ $2.0K +$286 10-24 14:00
Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027? No +1,950 $1,669 95¢ $1.9K +$187 11-01 09:52
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +1,936 $1,819 96¢ $1.8K +$29 10-01 10:52
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -1,185 -$935 97¢ $-1151 -$216 05-08 06:57
Iran leadership change by November 30? No +1,093 $1,006 92¢ $1.0K +$5 10-31 09:55
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Yes +1,002 $921 100¢ $999 +$78 10-25 12:40
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? No +959 $920 96¢ $924 +$4 11-01 04:18
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? No +973 $806 74¢ $722 -$84 10-25 03:10
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? No -646 -$607 98¢ $-631 -$24 06-10 11:55
Will Uber ask Travis Kalanick back by June 30, 2027? No -1,100 -$1,002 50¢ $-546 +$457 07-30 13:30
Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026? Yes +497 $464 98¢ $485 +$21 10-24 18:59
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +491 $463 99¢ $484 +$21 10-28 15:30
Brian Armstrong out as Coinbase CEO before 2027? No +435 $414 95¢ $412 -$2 10-31 13:34
will anthropic ipo by december 31 2026 546 128 Yes +350 $1,342 90¢ $315 -$1,027 10-23 05:35
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +234 $208 84¢ $195 -$13 10-29 03:30
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? No +125 $105 88¢ $111 +$6 09-21 14:21
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026? No -70 -$179 97¢ $-68 +$111 08-21 09:11
will wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027 20260723171611669 Yes +182 $35 2¢ $4 -$31 08-17 13:18