Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027?
open
Total volume
$822
$606 in 24h
Trades
54
Unique wallets
25
Liquidity
$2,361
Latest YES mid
12¢
Latest NO mid
88¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-27
last 06-16 07:25
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+36.4¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $54
vs crowd: 64% YES on $135)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 1 | $10 | — | +$10 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 4 | $54 | $0 | +$53 |
| 🐟 Fish | 4 | $1 | $36 | $35 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 16 | $22 | $13 | +$9 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | $54 | — | +$54 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | $10 | — | +$10 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | — | $0 | $0 |
| Median | 4 | — | $8 | $8 |
| Below median | 3 | — | — | +— |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | $35 | $35 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | — | — | +— |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| unranked | 11 | $22 | $6 | +$16 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x82ef…5bdf | Yes | +183 | $22 | $22 | 1 | 06-03 23:46 |
| Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | +100 | $9 | $98 | 19 | 06-16 07:25 |
| (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | +55 | $6 | $14 | 5 | 06-03 23:46 |
| Poor-Tavern 0x8304…f086 | No | +40 | $35 | $35 | 3 | 06-16 03:34 |
| Prime-Browsing 0x7d33…c15f | No | +9 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-31 23:10 |
| Whispered-Diary 0xb260…9d59 | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-04 16:24 |
| Vigilant-School 0x3cff…6fbd | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-15 23:12 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-16 07:25:16 | Icy-Tart 0xbccc…4f41 | No | SELL | 13 | 86¢ | $11 | 0x5d6bf8… |
| 06-16 07:25:16 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 13 | 14¢ | $2 | 0x5d6bf8… |
| 06-16 03:34:34 | Poor-Tavern 0x8304…f086 | No | BUY | 20 | 88¢ | $18 | 0x7c8380… |
| 06-16 03:34:34 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 20 | 12¢ | $2 | 0x7c8380… |
| 06-16 03:34:21 | Poor-Tavern 0x8304…f086 | No | BUY | 10 | 88¢ | $9 | 0x7665a1… |
| 06-16 03:34:21 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 10 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x7665a1… |
| 06-15 23:12:43 | (anonymous) 0xd384…8f91 | No | SELL | 1 | 87¢ | $1 | 0xea502b… |
| 06-15 23:12:43 | Vigilant-School 0x3cff…6fbd | No | BUY | 1 | 87¢ | $1 | 0xea502b… |
| 06-11 01:28:13 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 10 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x1aa42a… |
| 06-11 01:28:13 | Poor-Tavern 0x8304…f086 | No | BUY | 10 | 88¢ | $9 | 0x1aa42a… |
| 06-10 12:26:46 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 3 | 12¢ | $0 | 0x476e8c… |
| 06-10 12:26:46 | (anonymous) 0x1364…d4a3 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 12¢ | $0 | 0x476e8c… |
| 06-10 02:33:21 | Round-Carol 0x3aca…197b | Yes | SELL | 32 | 12¢ | $4 | 0xe7fe43… |
| 06-10 02:33:21 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 32 | 12¢ | $4 | 0xe7fe43… |
| 06-09 19:13:51 | Red-Hunt 0xdd62…cf51 | No | SELL | 4 | 86¢ | $4 | 0x81edd0… |
| 06-09 19:13:51 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 4 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x81edd0… |
| 06-07 17:52:19 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 167 | 13¢ | $22 | 0x3b3fa9… |
| 06-07 17:52:19 | Soft-Alfalfa 0x4b07…9b67 | No | SELL | 238 | 87¢ | $207 | 0x3b3fa9… |
| 06-07 17:52:19 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | SELL | 19 | 13¢ | $2 | 0x3b3fa9… |
| 06-06 04:32:36 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 1 | 12¢ | $0 | 0x196865… |
| 06-06 04:32:36 | (anonymous) 0xf465…3342 | No | SELL | 1 | 88¢ | $1 | 0x196865… |
| 06-04 16:24:43 | Whispered-Diary 0xb260…9d59 | No | BUY | 6 | 90¢ | $5 | 0x89cbd9… |
| 06-04 16:24:43 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 6 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x89cbd9… |
| 06-04 01:04:06 | Every-Milkshake 0x3001…9af0 | No | SELL | 1 | 88¢ | $1 | 0x34285e… |
| 06-04 01:04:06 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 1 | 12¢ | $0 | 0x34285e… |
| 06-03 23:46:34 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 18 | 12¢ | $2 | 0x958e42… |
| 06-03 23:46:34 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 119 | 12¢ | $14 | 0x958e42… |
| 06-03 23:46:34 | (anonymous) 0x82ef…5bdf | Yes | BUY | 183 | 12¢ | $22 | 0x958e42… |
| 06-03 17:06:13 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 23 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x0cd32e… |
| 06-03 17:06:13 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 50 | 10¢ | $5 | 0x0cd32e… |
| 06-03 17:06:13 | Voluminous-Cabin 0x12bb…f88a | Yes | SELL | 150 | 11¢ | $16 | 0x0cd32e… |
| 06-03 01:04:14 | Pink-Zampone 0x01be…7586 | Yes | SELL | 213 | 11¢ | $23 | 0xe2882e… |
| 06-03 01:04:14 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 90 | 11¢ | $10 | 0xe2882e… |
| 06-03 01:04:14 | Plastic-Larder 0x355e…a038 | No | SELL | 123 | 89¢ | $110 | 0xe2882e… |
| 06-03 01:01:21 | Plastic-Larder 0x355e…a038 | No | SELL | 213 | 89¢ | $190 | 0x8d3f65… |
| 06-03 01:01:21 | Pink-Zampone 0x01be…7586 | Yes | SELL | 213 | 11¢ | $23 | 0x8d3f65… |
| 06-03 00:49:50 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 16 | 12¢ | $2 | 0x059a8a… |
| 06-03 00:49:50 | Pink-Zampone 0x01be…7586 | Yes | SELL | 16 | 12¢ | $2 | 0x059a8a… |
| 06-03 00:48:14 | Pink-Zampone 0x01be…7586 | Yes | SELL | 147 | 12¢ | $18 | 0xbad8e7… |
| 06-03 00:48:14 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 147 | 12¢ | $18 | 0xbad8e7… |
| 06-02 11:21:37 | (anonymous) 0xa951…8a2f | No | SELL | 1 | 87¢ | $1 | 0xb5c764… |
| 06-02 11:21:37 | Pink-Zampone 0x01be…7586 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 13¢ | $0 | 0xb5c764… |
| 06-01 14:29:18 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 14 | 13¢ | $2 | 0x95c090… |
| 06-01 14:29:18 | Sparse-Apartment 0xaa46…4a23 | No | SELL | 14 | 87¢ | $12 | 0x95c090… |
| 05-31 23:10:36 | Prime-Browsing 0x7d33…c15f | No | BUY | 9 | 88¢ | $8 | 0xb78a97… |
| 05-31 23:10:36 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 3 | 12¢ | $0 | 0xb78a97… |
| 05-31 23:10:36 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xb78a97… |
| 05-29 00:34:59 | Knobby-Methane 0x5d0f…7d7d | No | SELL | 2 | 86¢ | $1 | 0xd0e573… |
| 05-29 00:34:59 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 2 | 14¢ | $0 | 0xd0e573… |
| 05-29 00:30:32 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 90 | 13¢ | $12 | 0xb65294… |
| 05-29 00:30:32 | Likable-Temporariness 0xc15c…6549 | Yes | SELL | 130 | 13¢ | $17 | 0xb65294… |
| 05-29 00:30:32 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 39 | 13¢ | $5 | 0xb65294… |
| 05-27 22:28:25 | Legitimate-Airman 0xb1a1…d308 | No | BUY | 0 | 85¢ | $0 | 0x697c94… |
| 05-27 22:28:25 | Bouncy-Psychiatrist 0x64e4…15ad | No | SELL | 0 | 85¢ | $0 | 0x697c94… |