Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$88

Unrealized P&L

-$61

Hit rate

56.9%

Resolved

486

Trades

808

lifetime

Volume

$4.92K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$44

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-13

last 09-17 20:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 62 days

Categories

Other

81% 19% +$17

Politics

12% 38% -$33

Sports

3% 100% +$143

Crypto

3% 45% -$40

Tech

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027?	Yes		+637	$100	7¢	$44	-$56	07-21 12:26
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes		+36	$5	1¢	$0	-$5	07-14 01:45

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	8	$533	349	349	+0	Yes	+$53	07-17 15:53
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	3	$199	411	411	+0	No	-$1	03-21 11:13
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	2	$122	76	76	+0	No	+$22	07-09 10:29
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	2	$110	1,449	0	+1,449	No	-$110	01-30 19:32
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?	7	$107	295	295	+0	Yes	+$87	07-22 16:50
Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027?	2	$100	637	0	+637	open	—	07-21 12:26
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$89	0	3,571	-3,571	No	+$89	07-02 18:49
fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 btts	2	$79	59	59	+0	Yes	+$39	07-01 17:42
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 17?	2	$71	75	75	+0	Yes	+$65	07-17 08:47
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	4	$64	129	129	+0	No	+$4	01-30 01:53
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C on July 31?	2	$63	60	60	+0	Yes	+$57	07-31 10:05
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?	8	$61	99	99	+0	Yes	+$37	07-31 06:03
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	5	$60	97	97	+0	No	-$10	07-17 08:32
Will Elon Musk post 1000+ tweets in August 2026?	2	$60	214	0	+214	No	-$60	08-05 13:06
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 36°C or higher on July 25?	2	$56	53	53	+0	Yes	+$50	07-25 12:38
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on July 19?	6	$49	66	66	+0	No	-$11	07-19 21:36
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$47	0	1,281	-1,281	No	+$47	06-30 13:21
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on July 5?	2	$47	51	51	+0	Yes	+$43	07-05 22:23
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on July 10?	6	$47	54	31	+23	Yes	+$26	07-10 23:05
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	9	$45	214	214	+0	No	+$17	07-26 03:26
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on July 19?	3	$40	61	23	+37	No	-$20	07-19 22:07
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	2	$40	54	54	+0	No	+$30	07-07 06:28
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on July 22?	2	$39	29	29	+0	Yes	+$19	07-22 11:41
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by June 5?	2	$38	37	37	+0	Yes	+$19	06-07 12:15
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on July 19?	4	$38	30	30	+0	Yes	-$2	07-19 17:47
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	2	$36	26	26	+0	Yes	+$16	07-07 17:34
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	9	$36	148	148	+0	No	+$6	07-28 07:33
us strikes iran by january 16 2026 498	1	$35	0	65	-65	No	+$35	01-14 22:16
Will "Little House on the Prairie: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week?	6	$34	27	27	+0	No	+$19	07-21 17:51
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on July 21?	2	$31	28	28	+0	Yes	+$25	07-21 17:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-17 20:28:31	Will "Monster: The Lizzie Borden Story" be the top global Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	8	30¢	$2	0x82c637…
09-17 20:28:28	Will "Monster: The Lizzie Borden Story" be the top US Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	19	13¢	$2	0x734549…
09-12 16:28:22	Will "Why Did I Get Married Again?" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	No	BUY	25	10¢	$2	0x969e61…
09-11 12:18:19	Will "Crew Girl: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x3e0361…
09-11 10:28:42	Will "Death of the Pastor's Wife: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	17	15¢	$2	0xc0e103…
09-11 01:42:45	Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	No	SELL	8	4¢	$0	0xa35c2a…
09-10 06:28:36	Will "The Gentlemen: Season 2" be the top global Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	23	11¢	$2	0x212617…
09-10 04:28:24	Will "Crew Girl: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x04d7d1…
09-03 02:28:46	Will "The Whisper Man" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	No	BUY	9	28¢	$2	0xda99fe…
09-03 02:28:40	Will "The Whisper Man" be the top global Netflix movie this week?	No	BUY	12	21¢	$2	0x9e13ee…
09-01 15:42:21	Will "The Whisper Man (2026)" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	No	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0xcbfd39…
09-01 02:28:31	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	No	BUY	17	15¢	$2	0x7341c5…
08-31 14:28:36	Will "Conversations with a Killer: The Charles Manson Tapes: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	104	2¢	$2	0xc5af26…
08-31 06:28:22	Will "Tires: Season 3" be the top global Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	8	32¢	$2	0xbe2852…
08-30 20:54:04	Minnesota Lynx vs. Atlanta Dream	Atlanta Dream	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xdaeef1…
08-30 00:38:01	Los Angeles Sparks vs. Seattle Storm	Seattle Storm	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x3f3649…
08-30 00:08:25	Los Angeles Sparks vs. Seattle Storm	Seattle Storm	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x5b6710…
08-29 11:08:36	Minnesota Lynx vs. Atlanta Dream	Atlanta Dream	BUY	6	42¢	$2	0x79effd…
08-29 06:28:31	Will "Conversations with a Killer: The Charles Manson Tapes: Season 1" be the top global Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	12	21¢	$2	0x80a5c8…
08-28 08:28:22	Will "Beauty in Black: Season 3" be the top US Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	17	15¢	$2	0x3c2159…
08-28 00:28:28	Will "The Whisper Man (2026)" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	No	BUY	9	28¢	$2	0x15fa3f…
08-27 20:28:24	Will "Outer Banks: Season 5" be the top global Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	19	13¢	$2	0x92267b…
08-27 02:28:25	Will "Outer Banks: Season 5" be the top US Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	17	15¢	$2	0x747da8…
08-21 00:28:27	Will "The Last House" be the top global Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	19	13¢	$2	0x4628da…
08-21 00:28:25	Will "Don't Say Good Luck" be the top global Netflix movie this week?	No	BUY	21	12¢	$2	0x2793c1…
08-20 06:28:55	Will "Outer Banks: Season 5" be the top global Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	21	12¢	$2	0x513782…
08-20 06:28:51	Will "Outer Banks: Season 5" be the top US Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	22	12¢	$2	0xf4efda…
08-20 01:08:03	wnba atl la 2026 08 20	Los Angeles Sparks	BUY	12	21¢	$2	0xbdd0b0…
08-14 04:28:34	Will "My Life With the Walter Boys: Season 3" be the top global Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0x1d71b9…
08-14 00:28:37	Will "My Life With the Walter Boys: Season 3" be the top US Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	23	11¢	$2	0x8d7ea5…
08-13 02:28:28	Will "The Last House" be the top global Netflix movie this week?	No	BUY	17	15¢	$2	0x3f46f9…
08-13 02:28:25	Will "The Last House" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	No	BUY	18	14¢	$2	0x9a3415…
08-10 23:03:15	Will "72 Hours" be the top global Netflix movie this week?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x7fee93…
08-10 04:26:39	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on August 10?	Yes	BUY	23	9¢	$2	0x382cbc…
08-10 04:26:36	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on August 11?	Yes	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0xaf05d3…
08-10 04:26:36	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on August 11?	Yes	BUY	24	8¢	$2	0xa06129…
08-10 04:26:36	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 11?	Yes	BUY	38	8¢	$3	0x8de9c5…
08-10 04:26:36	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on August 11?	Yes	BUY	44	7¢	$3	0x3c4ee8…
08-10 04:26:36	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 10?	Yes	BUY	16	12¢	$2	0x33af2e…
08-09 13:06:27	Will "72 Hours" be the top global Netflix movie this week?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xd5fa79…
08-07 22:54:01	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on August 7?	Yes	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xd34093…
08-07 08:11:13	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 7?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x94c012…
08-07 08:10:57	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 8?	Yes	SELL	36	3¢	$1	0xaa80d5…
08-07 08:10:48	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on August 7?	Yes	SELL	28	4¢	$1	0x223ef8…
08-07 08:10:42	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 7?	Yes	SELL	19	9¢	$2	0x15895c…
08-07 08:10:36	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C on August 8?	Yes	SELL	42	4¢	$2	0xad29f4…
08-07 05:07:07	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on August 7?	Yes	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0x71e58c…
08-07 05:05:57	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 7?	Yes	BUY	19	16¢	$3	0xb09ad4…
08-07 05:04:19	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on August 7?	Yes	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xfc70e8…
08-07 05:04:00	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 7?	Yes	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xcb8482…
08-07 05:01:46	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	42	7¢	$3	0xbb29b3…
08-07 05:00:52	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	36	8¢	$3	0x73177d…
08-07 05:00:52	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on August 7?	Yes	BUY	2,382	0¢	$3	0x33f817…
08-07 05:00:51	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on August 7?	Yes	BUY	28	11¢	$3	0x25561d…
08-07 03:02:42	Will "72 Hours" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	SELL	12	16¢	$2	0x1813e3…
08-07 03:01:55	Will "The Last House" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	No	SELL	13	16¢	$2	0x86fa6b…
08-07 02:28:51	Will "The Last House" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	No	BUY	13	19¢	$2	0xba0edf…
08-07 01:13:01	wnba las ind 2026 08 06	Indiana Fever	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x3df83f…
08-07 00:28:29	Will "72 Hours" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	12	21¢	$2	0xabc7ef…
08-06 19:03:15	Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in August 2026?	Yes	SELL	22	15¢	$3	0x6a55ff…
08-06 12:29:18	Will "72 Hours" be the top global Netflix movie this week?	No	BUY	7	38¢	$2	0x92bcc8…
08-06 04:28:32	Will "The Idaho Murders: College Nightmare: Season 1" be the top global Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	14	18¢	$2	0x925724…
08-05 16:39:59	Will "Dai Dai - Shakira, Burna Boy" be the #1 song this week?	Yes	BUY	105	2¢	$2	0xb3a6e8…
08-05 14:03:21	Will Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in August 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0x59a3c8…
08-05 13:33:21	Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in August 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0xccab16…
08-05 13:07:08	Will Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in August 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x326f7e…
08-05 13:07:02	Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in August 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	14¢	$3	0xa95150…
08-05 13:06:54	Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in August 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0xe97635…
08-05 13:06:26	Will Elon Musk post 1000+ tweets in August 2026?	Yes	BUY	51	20¢	$10	0x69636a…
08-05 02:52:20	wnba las ind 2026 08 06	Indiana Fever	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x1a88b4…
08-05 01:39:44	wnba las ind 2026 08 06	Indiana Fever	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x052d6e…
08-04 23:18:11	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on August 5?	Yes	BUY	35	9¢	$3	0xf3a614…
08-04 23:18:11	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 82-83°F on August 5?	Yes	BUY	43	7¢	$3	0x444c91…
08-04 23:18:11	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on August 5?	Yes	BUY	23	9¢	$2	0x2d80d4…
08-04 21:35:20	Will "Dai Dai - Shakira, Burna Boy" be the #1 song this week?	Yes	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0x1b0b1d…
08-04 18:51:26	Will "Dai Dai - Shakira, Burna Boy" be the #1 song this week?	Yes	BUY	135	4¢	$5	0xd97844…
08-04 06:20:45	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on August 3?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xd975ec…
08-04 06:20:35	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on August 3?	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xe1e7fe…
08-03 12:13:42	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on August 3?	Yes	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x6b0b70…
08-03 12:13:03	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 3?	Yes	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0xdb4539…
08-03 01:01:38	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on August 4?	Yes	BUY	33	9¢	$3	0x2e27c1…
08-03 01:01:36	Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on August 3?	Yes	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0xfd5c6d…
08-03 01:01:35	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 3?	Yes	BUY	25	12¢	$3	0xcd1776…
08-03 01:01:35	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on August 3?	Yes	BUY	41	7¢	$3	0x78276d…
08-03 01:01:35	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on August 3?	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x39fc72…
08-03 01:01:33	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on August 3?	Yes	BUY	32	9¢	$3	0x85fc74…
08-03 01:01:33	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 4?	Yes	BUY	34	9¢	$3	0x4eecc3…
08-03 01:01:32	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 4?	Yes	BUY	33	9¢	$3	0x446361…
08-02 18:44:03	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on August 2?	Yes	BUY	27	11¢	$3	0x99a9e5…
08-02 18:43:56	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on August 2?	Yes	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xcbae2e…
08-02 15:33:17	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	Yes	SELL	63	4¢	$3	0x3acbc5…
08-02 05:33:17	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	Yes	SELL	118	2¢	$3	0xfad068…
08-02 04:03:17	Will Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in August 2026?	Yes	SELL	67	7¢	$5	0xb56a32…
08-02 04:03:15	Will Elon Musk post 920-959 tweets in August 2026?	Yes	SELL	69	8¢	$6	0xaef660…
08-02 03:47:38	Will Elon Musk post 920-959 tweets in August 2026?	Yes	BUY	69	15¢	$10	0xe1b293…
08-02 03:47:32	Will Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in August 2026?	Yes	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0xcfec94…
08-02 03:29:45	Will Elon Musk post 1000+ tweets in August 2026?	Yes	BUY	164	31¢	$50	0xf69024…
08-02 03:22:02	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 36°C on August 2?	Yes	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0xb5b275…
08-02 03:22:00	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on August 2?	Yes	BUY	38	8¢	$3	0xc5a93a…
08-02 03:22:00	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 3?	Yes	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0x3ed4bc…