Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
open
Total volume
$9,030
$74 in 24h
Trades
474
Unique wallets
120
Liquidity
$2,923
Latest YES mid
25¢
Latest NO mid
75¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-28
last 07-04 19:39
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-6.8¢
(top1%: 35% YES on $713
vs crowd: 42% YES on $5.8K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 17 | $601 | $900 | $299 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 19 | $643 | $1.1K | $465 |
| 🐟 Fish | 37 | $808 | $1.1K | $308 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 47 | $363 | $216 | +$148 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 3 | $251 | $463 | $212 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 8 | $45 | $341 | $296 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 5 | $115 | $66 | +$49 |
| Median | 9 | $696 | $74 | +$622 |
| Below median | 16 | $154 | $173 | $19 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 6 | $86 | $27 | +$59 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 9 | $316 | $408 | $92 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 6 | $234 | $146 | +$88 |
| unranked | 58 | $518 | $1.6K | $1.1K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ready-Progression 0xa9ac…c5d1 | Yes | +772 | $209 | $292 | 12 | 07-02 14:35 |
| Purple-Fruit 0x97ea…3363 | No | +700 | $442 | $442 | 7 | 06-08 18:04 |
| Ethical-Reception 0x8c10…d7b3 | No | +500 | $320 | $320 | 1 | 06-12 14:41 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +372 | $113 | $113 | 10 | 06-24 15:09 |
| Beautiful-Thistle 0x7bd9…bd75 | No | +346 | $221 | $697 | 24 | 06-29 16:58 |
| Perfumed-Appointment 0x3f3b…1d77 | Yes | +273 | $79 | $79 | 2 | 06-24 02:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x5809…9b2e | Yes | +240 | $67 | $67 | 4 | 06-22 02:57 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | +222 | $147 | $147 | 8 | 06-29 10:21 |
| Plush-Loft 0xa284…fbba | Yes | +203 | $75 | $75 | 1 | 06-08 01:43 |
| Scared-Administrator 0xb8ad…ff58 | No | +200 | $126 | $126 | 1 | 06-12 10:08 |
| Trifling-Ravioli 0xf8eb…8473 | Yes | +185 | $129 | $964 | 23 | 06-26 16:33 |
| Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | +179 | $53 | $53 | 10 | 06-28 07:09 |
| Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | +171 | $120 | $120 | 9 | 06-27 15:43 |
| Golden-Anguish 0x23a8…8004 | Yes | +148 | $47 | $70 | 7 | 06-26 22:28 |
| (anonymous) 0xc6cf…b265 | Yes | +119 | $32 | $32 | 1 | 07-02 14:35 |
| Precious-Physical 0xe8a6…644b | Yes | +100 | $24 | $114 | 11 | 07-04 19:39 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | +94 | $63 | $63 | 2 | 06-18 08:17 |
| Limited-Spokesman 0xa58c…56e3 | Yes | +87 | $29 | $29 | 9 | 06-15 09:41 |
| albert.c 0x0655…475d | No | +76 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 05-31 09:26 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | +67 | $13 | $422 | 16 | 06-30 19:41 |
| (anonymous) 0xc324…7f01 | Yes | +55 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 06-11 07:23 |
| (anonymous) 0xa3ff…dc64 | No | +55 | $35 | $35 | 1 | 06-08 03:16 |
| (anonymous) 0x2831…d641 | No | +53 | $38 | $38 | 2 | 06-25 07:41 |
| Precious-Physical 0xe8a6…644b | No | +50 | $34 | $34 | 2 | 06-26 22:28 |
| (anonymous) 0xcea0…0ebd | No | +47 | $34 | $70 | 2 | 06-25 07:41 |
| (anonymous) 0x2837…f18a | No | +45 | $31 | $31 | 1 | 06-23 08:34 |
| Clear-Cut-Furniture-Drainage 0xa9a0…e259 | No | +45 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-31 21:20 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | +43 | $12 | $12 | 2 | 06-24 02:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x090c…9bb8 | No | +40 | $28 | $28 | 1 | 06-23 06:56 |
| (anonymous) 0xc71b…e265 | Yes | +39 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 06-24 07:53 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | No | +39 | $26 | $26 | 2 | 06-25 16:37 |
| (anonymous) 0xd385…dd8a | Yes | +35 | $11 | $20 | 2 | 06-27 05:58 |
| Key-Finding 0xa9f2…6c8e | No | +33 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 07-04 19:39 |
| Untimely-Mood 0x0711…f03c | Yes | +30 | $9 | $9 | 2 | 06-20 19:38 |
| (anonymous) 0x21d2…2c27 | No | +30 | $22 | $62 | 2 | 06-25 07:40 |
| (anonymous) 0xc978…6d3c | No | +25 | $19 | $75 | 2 | 06-23 06:56 |
| Violet-Negligee 0xd687…bbb3 | Yes | +20 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 06-16 23:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x3413…d913 | Yes | +18 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-24 14:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x2712…eb71 | No | +17 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 06-20 07:10 |
| Unrealistic-Opinion 0x4fb3…a39b | Yes | +15 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-14 00:18 |
| (anonymous) 0xa754…ec4b | Yes | +10 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 06-05 08:25 |
| Melodic-Portion 0x772d…0deb | No | +8 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-31 04:46 |
| Expensive-Owl 0xf915…0c01 | No | +7 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-27 18:57 |
| Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | No | +7 | $6 | $139 | 8 | 06-08 18:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x6d21…52fb | Yes | +7 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-22 09:34 |
| Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | No | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-29 03:47 |
| Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | +5 | $3 | $86 | 8 | 06-29 16:57 |
| Feminine-Pennant-Disadvantage 0xe1e0…fe32 | No | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-08 01:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-24 07:53 |
| (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | No | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-06 16:41 |
| (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-06 15:22 |
| Ordinary-Confectionery 0xa5e3…4d7e | No | +3 | $1 | $40 | 8 | 05-29 22:06 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-04 19:39:34 | Precious-Physical 0xe8a6…644b | Yes | BUY | 28 | 26¢ | $7 | 0x3cfdeb… |
| 07-04 19:39:34 | Key-Finding 0xa9f2…6c8e | No | BUY | 33 | 74¢ | $24 | 0x3cfdeb… |
| 07-04 19:39:34 | Beloved-Laryngitis-Hunger 0xb2d5…ff8b | No | SELL | 5 | 74¢ | $4 | 0x3cfdeb… |
| 07-03 15:32:46 | (anonymous) 0x2a1e…3cd1 | Yes | SELL | 14 | 26¢ | $4 | 0xf3a74e… |
| 07-03 15:32:46 | Precious-Physical 0xe8a6…644b | Yes | BUY | 14 | 26¢ | $4 | 0xf3a74e… |
| 07-03 15:20:05 | Precious-Physical 0xe8a6…644b | Yes | BUY | 8 | 26¢ | $2 | 0xc696e1… |
| 07-03 15:20:05 | Gripping-Easel 0xd599…6a46 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 26¢ | $2 | 0xc696e1… |
| 07-02 14:35:58 | (anonymous) 0xc6cf…b265 | Yes | BUY | 119 | 27¢ | $32 | 0x684390… |
| 07-02 14:35:58 | Ready-Progression 0xa9ac…c5d1 | Yes | SELL | 119 | 27¢ | $32 | 0x684390… |
| 07-01 19:18:14 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | SELL | 31 | 27¢ | $8 | 0x0a0f93… |
| 07-01 19:18:14 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 19 | 27¢ | $5 | 0x0a0f93… |
| 07-01 19:18:14 | Ready-Progression 0xa9ac…c5d1 | Yes | SELL | 35 | 27¢ | $9 | 0x0a0f93… |
| 07-01 19:18:14 | Unused-Dirt 0xb1df…309d | No | SELL | 85 | 73¢ | $62 | 0x0a0f93… |
| 07-01 10:39:35 | Ready-Progression 0xa9ac…c5d1 | Yes | BUY | 27 | 26¢ | $7 | 0x1af9ad… |
| 07-01 10:39:35 | (anonymous) 0xa706…42f0 | Yes | SELL | 27 | 26¢ | $7 | 0x1af9ad… |
| 06-30 19:41:38 | Ready-Progression 0xa9ac…c5d1 | Yes | BUY | 129 | 26¢ | $33 | 0x9c8cf1… |
| 06-30 19:41:38 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | SELL | 129 | 26¢ | $33 | 0x9c8cf1… |
| 06-30 19:11:20 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 19 | 27¢ | $5 | 0x4ec701… |
| 06-30 19:11:20 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | SELL | 19 | 27¢ | $5 | 0x4ec701… |
| 06-29 17:00:58 | Nautical-Steak 0x1694…8bad | Yes | SELL | 26 | 26¢ | $7 | 0x5c03d5… |
| 06-29 17:00:58 | Ready-Progression 0xa9ac…c5d1 | Yes | BUY | 26 | 26¢ | $7 | 0x5c03d5… |
| 06-29 17:00:08 | Nautical-Steak 0x1694…8bad | Yes | SELL | 5 | 28¢ | $1 | 0x5d73e6… |
| 06-29 17:00:08 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | SELL | 5 | 72¢ | $4 | 0x5d73e6… |
| 06-29 16:58:41 | Beautiful-Thistle 0x7bd9…bd75 | No | SELL | 74 | 73¢ | $54 | 0xdc677b… |
| 06-29 16:58:41 | Nautical-Steak 0x1694…8bad | Yes | BUY | 31 | 27¢ | $8 | 0xdc677b… |
| 06-29 16:58:41 | Reckless-Bracket 0x9eda…6e19 | Yes | SELL | 105 | 27¢ | $28 | 0xdc677b… |
| 06-29 16:57:49 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | SELL | 5 | 73¢ | $4 | 0xc781d1… |
| 06-29 16:57:49 | Beautiful-Thistle 0x7bd9…bd75 | No | SELL | 6 | 73¢ | $4 | 0xc781d1… |
| 06-29 16:57:49 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | SELL | 11 | 27¢ | $3 | 0xc781d1… |
| 06-29 16:57:47 | Canine-Biplane 0x4435…786f | Yes | SELL | 50 | 28¢ | $14 | 0xc1ecf6… |
| 06-29 16:57:47 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | BUY | 50 | 28¢ | $14 | 0xc1ecf6… |
| 06-29 16:57:46 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 29¢ | $14 | 0x2755a8… |
| 06-29 16:57:46 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | SELL | 39 | 29¢ | $11 | 0xc0ecd3… |
| 06-29 16:57:46 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | BUY | 39 | 29¢ | $11 | 0xc0ecd3… |
| 06-29 16:57:46 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 29¢ | $14 | 0x2755a8… |
| 06-29 16:57:44 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 29¢ | $14 | 0xeeea0e… |
| 06-29 16:57:44 | Reckless-Bracket 0x9eda…6e19 | Yes | BUY | 105 | 29¢ | $30 | 0xeeea0e… |
| 06-29 16:57:44 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | SELL | 10 | 71¢ | $7 | 0xeeea0e… |
| 06-29 16:57:44 | Canine-Biplane 0x4435…786f | Yes | BUY | 50 | 29¢ | $14 | 0xeeea0e… |
| 06-29 16:57:44 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | BUY | 50 | 29¢ | $14 | 0xeeea0e… |
| 06-29 16:57:44 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | SELL | 312 | 29¢ | $90 | 0xeeea0e… |
| 06-29 16:57:44 | Precious-Physical 0xe8a6…644b | Yes | BUY | 47 | 29¢ | $14 | 0xeeea0e… |
| 06-29 11:53:32 | (anonymous) 0x508f…5a4f | Yes | SELL | 3 | 29¢ | $1 | 0xa0245c… |
| 06-29 11:53:32 | Precious-Physical 0xe8a6…644b | Yes | BUY | 3 | 29¢ | $1 | 0xa0245c… |
| 06-29 10:21:44 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | BUY | 4 | 69¢ | $2 | 0xc0a6c8… |
| 06-29 10:21:44 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 34 | 68¢ | $23 | 0xc0a6c8… |
| 06-29 10:21:44 | Long-Term-Overhead 0xbd14…76b4 | No | SELL | 43 | 68¢ | $29 | 0xc0a6c8… |
| 06-29 10:02:11 | (anonymous) 0xa14e…58ba | No | SELL | 1 | 69¢ | $1 | 0xefebee… |
| 06-29 10:02:11 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | BUY | 1 | 69¢ | $1 | 0xefebee… |
| 06-29 09:26:44 | Long-Term-Overhead 0xbd14…76b4 | No | SELL | 1 | 70¢ | $1 | 0x4940d8… |
| 06-29 09:26:44 | Canine-Biplane 0x4435…786f | Yes | SELL | 1 | 30¢ | $0 | 0x4940d8… |
| 06-29 09:26:43 | Canine-Biplane 0x4435…786f | Yes | BUY | 1 | 30¢ | $0 | 0xf89041… |
| 06-29 09:26:43 | (anonymous) 0xa14e…58ba | No | BUY | 1 | 70¢ | $1 | 0xf89041… |
| 06-28 07:09:17 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | No | SELL | 8 | 70¢ | $6 | 0xd48207… |
| 06-28 07:09:17 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 23 | 30¢ | $7 | 0xd48207… |
| 06-28 07:09:17 | (anonymous) 0x4b7f…73a9 | Yes | SELL | 31 | 30¢ | $9 | 0xd48207… |
| 06-27 22:11:46 | Long-Term-Overhead 0xbd14…76b4 | No | SELL | 37 | 69¢ | $25 | 0x5b1159… |
| 06-27 22:11:46 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 44 | 31¢ | $14 | 0x5b1159… |
| 06-27 22:11:46 | Loyal-Speakerphone 0xcd96…cbdc | Yes | SELL | 81 | 31¢ | $25 | 0x5b1159… |
| 06-27 18:57:02 | Expensive-Owl 0xf915…0c01 | No | BUY | 7 | 69¢ | $5 | 0x0887ba… |
| 06-27 18:57:02 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 6 | 31¢ | $2 | 0x0887ba… |
| 06-27 18:57:02 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | SELL | 1 | 69¢ | $1 | 0x0887ba… |
| 06-27 15:43:17 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 31 | 68¢ | $21 | 0xd7855c… |
| 06-27 15:43:17 | (anonymous) 0x4b7f…73a9 | Yes | BUY | 31 | 32¢ | $10 | 0xd7855c… |
| 06-27 12:47:08 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | SELL | 4 | 69¢ | $2 | 0x43903a… |
| 06-27 12:47:08 | (anonymous) 0x175c…3ac3 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 31¢ | $1 | 0x43903a… |
| 06-27 05:58:08 | (anonymous) 0xd385…dd8a | Yes | SELL | 15 | 33¢ | $5 | 0x52dd4e… |
| 06-27 05:58:08 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | No | SELL | 15 | 67¢ | $10 | 0x52dd4e… |
| 06-27 05:57:31 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | BUY | 5 | 68¢ | $3 | 0x53656c… |
| 06-27 05:57:31 | Stale-Armoire 0xca1f…d282 | No | SELL | 20 | 68¢ | $14 | 0x53656c… |
| 06-27 05:57:31 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | No | BUY | 15 | 68¢ | $10 | 0x53656c… |
| 06-26 22:31:25 | Unused-Dirt 0xb1df…309d | No | SELL | 16 | 66¢ | $11 | 0x881508… |
| 06-26 22:31:25 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | SELL | 16 | 34¢ | $5 | 0x881508… |
| 06-26 22:30:05 | Unused-Dirt 0xb1df…309d | No | SELL | 145 | 66¢ | $96 | 0xb9cd30… |
| 06-26 22:30:05 | Beautiful-Thistle 0x7bd9…bd75 | No | BUY | 26 | 66¢ | $17 | 0xb9cd30… |
| 06-26 22:30:05 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | SELL | 119 | 34¢ | $40 | 0xb9cd30… |
| 06-26 22:28:13 | Beautiful-Thistle 0x7bd9…bd75 | No | BUY | 74 | 66¢ | $49 | 0x17b4af… |
| 06-26 22:28:13 | Unused-Dirt 0xb1df…309d | No | SELL | 368 | 67¢ | $246 | 0x17b4af… |
| 06-26 22:28:13 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | BUY | 5 | 68¢ | $3 | 0x17b4af… |
| 06-26 22:28:13 | Golden-Anguish 0x23a8…8004 | Yes | SELL | 31 | 33¢ | $10 | 0x17b4af… |
| 06-26 22:28:13 | Precious-Physical 0xe8a6…644b | No | BUY | 18 | 68¢ | $12 | 0x17b4af… |
| 06-26 22:28:13 | Long-Term-Overhead 0xbd14…76b4 | No | BUY | 81 | 67¢ | $54 | 0x17b4af… |
| 06-26 21:45:55 | Unused-Dirt 0xb1df…309d | No | SELL | 144 | 68¢ | $98 | 0x910598… |
| 06-26 21:45:55 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | SELL | 19 | 30¢ | $6 | 0x910598… |
| 06-26 21:45:55 | Precious-Physical 0xe8a6…644b | No | BUY | 32 | 68¢ | $22 | 0x910598… |
| 06-26 21:45:55 | Beautiful-Thistle 0x7bd9…bd75 | No | BUY | 80 | 68¢ | $54 | 0x910598… |
| 06-26 21:45:55 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | No | BUY | 8 | 69¢ | $6 | 0x910598… |
| 06-26 21:45:55 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | BUY | 5 | 69¢ | $3 | 0x910598… |
| 06-26 20:35:49 | Long-Term-Overhead 0xbd14…76b4 | No | SELL | 31 | 71¢ | $22 | 0x3a4c2d… |
| 06-26 20:35:49 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | SELL | 31 | 29¢ | $9 | 0x3a4c2d… |
| 06-26 20:35:29 | (anonymous) 0x175c…3ac3 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 28¢ | $1 | 0xd2fcb4… |
| 06-26 20:35:29 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 20 | 72¢ | $14 | 0xa54cc5… |
| 06-26 20:35:29 | Long-Term-Overhead 0xbd14…76b4 | Yes | SELL | 46 | 28¢ | $13 | 0xa54cc5… |
| 06-26 20:35:29 | Unused-Dirt 0xb1df…309d | No | SELL | 94 | 72¢ | $67 | 0xa54cc5… |
| 06-26 20:35:29 | Long-Term-Overhead 0xbd14…76b4 | No | BUY | 28 | 72¢ | $20 | 0xa54cc5… |
| 06-26 20:35:29 | Long-Term-Overhead 0xbd14…76b4 | No | BUY | 4 | 72¢ | $3 | 0xd2fcb4… |
| 06-26 20:22:14 | Unused-Dirt 0xb1df…309d | No | SELL | 74 | 72¢ | $53 | 0x6cd375… |
| 06-26 20:22:14 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 20 | 72¢ | $14 | 0x6cd375… |
| 06-26 20:22:14 | Long-Term-Overhead 0xbd14…76b4 | Yes | SELL | 54 | 28¢ | $15 | 0x6cd375… |
| 06-26 16:33:58 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 27¢ | $2 | 0xa83b69… |