Long-Term-Overhead 0xbd14da…1576b4
whale cold 21L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$125.2K
Unrealized P&L
-$574
Hit rate
4.2%
Resolved
6,783
Trades
59,106
lifetime
Volume
$3.90M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$66
Open exposure
$312
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-13
last 10-22 21:09
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 198 days
Categories
Other
61% 10% -$74,725
Politics
27% 8% -$34,764
Tech
6% 8% -$8,178
Sports
5% 17% -$6,322
Crypto
1% 17% -$1,033
Pop-Culture
0% 8% -$137
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
39 active days in 12wk • peak 737 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US military draft authorized in 2026? No -154 -$3 97¢ $-149 -$147 04-28 12:35
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes -65 -$1 74¢ $-48 -$48 08-06 12:45
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31? Yes +211 $85 18¢ $39 -$45 09-09 06:14
Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher? No +36 $41 53¢ $19 -$22 09-09 14:44
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026? No -10 -$9 96¢ $-10 -$1 04-28 22:22
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes +112 $20 7¢ $8 -$12 09-09 21:56
Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? Yes -14 $0 30¢ $-4 -$4 04-28 12:35
Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026? Yes +5 $6 92¢ $4 -$2 07-31 01:25
Will GitLab be acquired before 2027? No +4 $5 93¢ $3 -$2 08-09 06:04
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes +3 $14 100¢ $3 -$10 07-29 12:19
will clavicular wear a yarmulke in 2026 20260710172344899 No +4 $3 59¢ $2 -$1 08-08 07:22
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027? No +5 $2 47¢ $2 $0 08-27 14:17
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? No +2 $2 97¢ $2 $0 09-06 16:19
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? No +4 $13 43¢ $2 -$11 08-28 11:17
Iran full airspace closure by December 31? No +3 $19 63¢ $2 -$18 08-30 19:37
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison? No +2 $2 79¢ $2 $0 07-30 01:00
Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027? No +2 $2 97¢ $2 $0 08-02 04:58
Will Pam Alexis win the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election? Yes +40 $16 4¢ $1 -$15 09-09 20:44
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? Yes +4 $1 30¢ $1 +$1 07-13 04:19
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +4 $151 22¢ $1 -$150 08-11 14:57
Will Bola Tinubu win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election? Yes +1 $1 70¢ $1 +$0 08-26 14:53
Kash Patel out by December 31? Yes +4 $12 20¢ $1 -$11 09-08 04:15
will openai announce another millennium prize solution by december 31 2026 Yes +5 $2 15¢ $1 -$1 09-09 22:49
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? Yes +3 $21 29¢ $1 -$20 09-03 14:08
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026? No +2 $15 43¢ $1 -$14 09-03 05:07
Will Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by December 31? Yes +12 $14 6¢ $1 -$13 09-06 01:35
Will Sal Stewart win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award? No +4 $7 17¢ $1 -$7 09-08 10:47
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? No +2 $16 27¢ $1 -$15 07-29 18:09
china x philippines military clash before 2027 20260723214807932 Yes +3 $2 18¢ $1 -$1 08-02 08:18
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison? Yes +2 $5 21¢ $0 -$5 09-04 10:34