Long-Term-Overhead 0xbd14da…1576b4
whale cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$1.79K
Unrealized P&L
-$2.31K
Hit rate
8.3%
Resolved
87
Trades
17,907
lifetime
Volume
$1.60M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$90
Open exposure
$5.30K
27 positions
First seen
2026-04-13
last 07-21 06:36
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 24 days
Categories
Other
62% 3% $-1,124
Politics
21% 14% $-297
Sports
8% 0% $-37
Tech
7% 0% $-331
Crypto
2% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 291 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes -2,459 $-879 58¢ $-1439 $-559 07-09 18:24
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? Anthropic -1,671 $-373 86¢ $-1428 $-1,056 07-16 05:23
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No +829 $692 80¢ $659 $-33 07-21 08:09
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? No -410 $-320 94¢ $-384 $-64 06-08 13:11
Fed rate hike in 2026? No +844 $728 42¢ $350 $-377 07-21 08:01
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +261 $180 84¢ $218 +$38 06-14 21:51
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +552 $260 36¢ $196 $-64 06-15 12:44
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No -208 $-121 86¢ $-180 $-59 07-18 21:08
Cuban regime falls in 2026? Yes -775 $-145 14¢ $-105 +$41 07-15 18:41
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? Yes -499 $-150 15¢ $-72 +$77 05-28 01:13
Will Faker win a Finals MVP Award at an international event in 2026? No -66 $-56 91¢ $-60 $-4 05-28 03:41
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? OpenAI +382 $161 15¢ $55 $-105 07-20 12:14
Will Russia capture Prymorske by December 31, 2026? No -56 $-35 80¢ $-45 $-10 06-05 07:17
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? Yes +308 $137 14¢ $42 $-96 06-12 05:28
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? No +22 $19 88¢ $19 $-0 07-18 08:52
Will the San Diego Padres clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? No +15 $13 84¢ $13 $-0 07-20 06:11
Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026? Yes -115 $-9 8¢ $-9 +$0 07-02 01:30
Will OpenAI announce a watch in 2026? Yes -85 $-10 8¢ $-7 +$3 05-31 17:39
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $9B in 2026? No +6 $5 88¢ $5 +$0 07-14 12:36
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by December 31, 2026? Yes -58 $16 6¢ $-3 $-20 06-26 21:52
Will the Texas Rangers clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? Yes +4 $2 50¢ $2 $-0 07-11 14:02
Hotstuff FDV above $20M one day after launch? Yes +3 $2 40¢ $1 $-0 06-25 20:25
Will the Pittsburgh Pirates clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? No +2 $1 62¢ $1 +$0 07-20 15:14
Will the Chicago Cubs clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? No +5 $5 22¢ $1 $-4 07-20 17:11
Will Utah use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? No +3 $3 12¢ $0 $-3 07-03 02:41
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? No +0 $-1 84¢ $0 +$1 06-05 07:17
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31? No -0 $11 82¢ $-0 $-11 07-02 02:47