Long-Term-Overhead 0xbd14da…1576b4
whale cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$1.79K
Unrealized P&L
-$1.75K
Hit rate
8.3%
Resolved
87
Trades
14,230
lifetime
Volume
$1.26M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$88
Open exposure
$4.63K
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-13
last 06-30 18:46
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 24 days
Categories
Other
64% 3% $-1,124
Politics
18% 14% $-297
Sports
9% 0% $-37
Tech
6% 0% $-331
Crypto
2% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
79 active days in 12wk • peak 1117 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? Anthropic -1,671 $-381 90¢ $-1495 $-1,115 06-26 14:17
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes -2,459 $-907 55¢ $-1340 $-433 06-24 11:26
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? No -410 $-320 90¢ $-371 $-51 06-08 13:11
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +552 $260 43¢ $238 $-22 06-15 12:44
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +261 $180 75¢ $196 +$16 06-14 21:51
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No -208 $-125 86¢ $-178 $-53 05-28 22:27
Cuban regime falls in 2026? Yes -775 $-145 15¢ $-112 +$33 06-16 22:49
Grok 5 released by June 30, 2026? No +85 $80 100¢ $85 +$5 06-02 18:15
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? Yes +258 $77 31¢ $80 +$3 06-30 14:50
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30? No -75 $-67 99¢ $-75 $-8 06-05 09:18
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before June 30, 2026? No -70 $-7 97¢ $-68 $-61 05-28 20:05
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? Yes -499 $-150 12¢ $-62 +$87 05-28 01:13
Will the Texas Rangers clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? No +110 $54 50¢ $54 +$1 06-30 18:59
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? Yes +308 $137 16¢ $51 $-86 06-12 05:28
Will Faker win a Finals MVP Award at an international event in 2026? No -66 $-56 75¢ $-49 +$7 05-28 03:41
Will Russia capture Prymorske by December 31, 2026? No -56 $-35 67¢ $-38 $-3 06-05 07:17
Will Sabrina Carpenter attend Taylor Swift's wedding? Yes +41 $34 81¢ $33 $-0 06-30 15:25
Ramp IPO before 2027? Yes +205 $22 11¢ $21 $-1 06-27 19:24
Will OpenAI announce a watch in 2026? Yes -85 $-10 18¢ $-15 $-5 05-31 17:39
Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026? Yes -115 $-10 12¢ $-13 $-3 06-05 22:49
Will Donald Trump visit Ireland in 2026? No +40 $12 31¢ $12 +$0 06-30 08:05
Will Portugal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? Yes -75 $-17 14¢ $-10 +$6 06-16 07:01
US federally charges Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel? No +10 $9 96¢ $10 +$1 06-15 01:23
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by June 30? No +7 $17 97¢ $7 $-10 06-10 15:34
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by December 31, 2026? Yes -58 $16 9¢ $-5 $-22 06-26 21:52
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? Yes +22 $12 11¢ $2 $-10 06-30 03:02
Hyperbeat FDV above $50M one day after launch? No +2 $2 74¢ $2 $-0 06-30 01:36
Hotstuff FDV above $20M one day after launch? Yes +3 $2 44¢ $2 +$0 06-25 20:25
Will Top Esports make a roster change before July? Yes +420 $26 0¢ $0 $-26 06-26 07:58
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30? Yes -25 $-2 1¢ $-0 +$2 06-14 19:55