Will Billie Eilish have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?
open
Total volume
$361
Trades
38
Unique wallets
12
Liquidity
$157
Latest YES mid
25¢
Latest NO mid
75¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-06-09
last 07-21 22:44
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 4 | $59 | $114 | $55 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | $3 | — | +$3 |
| 🐟 Fish | 4 | $52 | $80 | $28 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 3 | $10 | $16 | $6 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | $57 | $1 | +$56 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | $2 | — | +$2 |
| Median | 3 | $11 | — | +$11 |
| Below median | 2 | $46 | $80 | $35 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | $2 | $113 | $111 |
| unranked | 2 | $6 | $16 | $10 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tense-Fort 0x2f26…0d8f | No | +206 | $113 | $113 | 7 | 07-18 23:09 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +113 | $49 | $49 | 6 | 07-11 13:27 |
| (anonymous) 0x0c9b…e768 | Yes | +100 | $46 | $46 | 2 | 07-18 23:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x0c9b…e768 | No | +99 | $80 | $80 | 3 | 07-19 03:01 |
| Pesky-Cranberry 0xe004…7849 | Yes | +32 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 07-21 22:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x5a7f…6413 | Yes | +30 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 07-17 15:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | +20 | $2 | $14 | 3 | 07-19 03:01 |
| Forsaken-Meridian 0x91d7…0dfc | Yes | +15 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-21 14:45 |
| (anonymous) 0x7438…b741 | Yes | +4 | $0 | $4 | 2 | 07-21 22:44 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-05 08:26 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-21 22:44:39 | Pesky-Cranberry 0xe004…7849 | Yes | BUY | 32 | 13¢ | $4 | 0x11e564… |
| 07-21 22:44:39 | (anonymous) 0x7438…b741 | Yes | SELL | 16 | 13¢ | $2 | 0x11e564… |
| 07-21 22:44:39 | Jumbo-Discharge 0x9070…e32c | Yes | SELL | 10 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x11e564… |
| 07-21 22:44:39 | Major-Brush 0x52b3…3a58 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x11e564… |
| 07-21 14:45:34 | Jumbo-Discharge 0x9070…e32c | Yes | SELL | 5 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x078fed… |
| 07-21 14:45:34 | Major-Brush 0x52b3…3a58 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x078fed… |
| 07-21 14:45:34 | Forsaken-Meridian 0x91d7…0dfc | Yes | BUY | 15 | 12¢ | $2 | 0x078fed… |
| 07-19 03:01:00 | (anonymous) 0x0c9b…e768 | No | BUY | 49 | 75¢ | $37 | 0x5d0a66… |
| 07-19 03:01:00 | Major-Brush 0x52b3…3a58 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 25¢ | $3 | 0x5d0a66… |
| 07-19 03:01:00 | Jumbo-Discharge 0x9070…e32c | Yes | BUY | 18 | 25¢ | $5 | 0x5d0a66… |
| 07-19 03:01:00 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 20 | 25¢ | $5 | 0x5d0a66… |
| 07-18 23:09:13 | Tense-Fort 0x2f26…0d8f | No | BUY | 50 | 56¢ | $28 | 0x7dadd6… |
| 07-18 23:09:13 | (anonymous) 0x0c9b…e768 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 44¢ | $22 | 0x7dadd6… |
| 07-17 16:07:57 | (anonymous) 0x0c9b…e768 | No | BUY | 20 | 89¢ | $18 | 0x37e5ad… |
| 07-17 16:07:57 | (anonymous) 0x7438…b741 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 11¢ | $2 | 0x37e5ad… |
| 07-17 15:51:10 | (anonymous) 0x0c9b…e768 | No | BUY | 30 | 85¢ | $26 | 0xe678ef… |
| 07-17 15:51:10 | (anonymous) 0x5a7f…6413 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 15¢ | $4 | 0xe678ef… |
| 07-17 14:25:18 | Tense-Fort 0x2f26…0d8f | No | BUY | 50 | 53¢ | $26 | 0xcf631a… |
| 07-17 14:25:18 | (anonymous) 0x0c9b…e768 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 47¢ | $24 | 0xcf631a… |
| 07-11 13:27:04 | Tense-Fort 0x2f26…0d8f | No | BUY | 21 | 55¢ | $12 | 0xbe30b4… |
| 07-11 13:27:04 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 21 | 45¢ | $9 | 0xbe30b4… |
| 07-11 13:26:58 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 44¢ | $4 | 0xbe7fdd… |
| 07-11 13:26:58 | Tense-Fort 0x2f26…0d8f | No | BUY | 8 | 56¢ | $4 | 0xbe7fdd… |
| 07-10 01:14:43 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 43¢ | $3 | 0x5df76d… |
| 07-10 01:14:43 | Tense-Fort 0x2f26…0d8f | No | BUY | 8 | 57¢ | $5 | 0x5df76d… |
| 07-05 21:52:49 | Tense-Fort 0x2f26…0d8f | No | BUY | 63 | 55¢ | $35 | 0x192ea6… |
| 07-05 21:52:49 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 63 | 45¢ | $28 | 0x192ea6… |
| 07-05 08:26:56 | Jumbo-Discharge 0x9070…e32c | Yes | SELL | 5 | 42¢ | $2 | 0x5cfe54… |
| 07-05 08:26:56 | Vague-Parser 0x7513…c94e | No | SELL | 21 | 57¢ | $12 | 0x5cfe54… |
| 07-05 08:26:56 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 14 | 43¢ | $6 | 0x5cfe54… |
| 07-05 08:26:56 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 2 | 56¢ | $1 | 0x5cfe54… |
| 06-13 03:25:55 | Jumbo-Discharge 0x9070…e32c | Yes | BUY | 7 | 26¢ | $2 | 0xb343e2… |
| 06-13 03:25:55 | Vague-Parser 0x7513…c94e | No | BUY | 21 | 75¢ | $16 | 0xb343e2… |
| 06-13 03:25:55 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 14 | 24¢ | $3 | 0xb343e2… |
| 06-09 12:21:16 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 43¢ | $3 | 0xe0c29e… |
| 06-09 12:21:16 | Tense-Fort 0x2f26…0d8f | No | BUY | 6 | 57¢ | $3 | 0xe0c29e… |
| 06-09 09:31:46 | Putrid-Reunion 0xa6f7…1f33 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 19¢ | $1 | 0xb297ed… |
| 06-09 09:31:46 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 19¢ | $1 | 0xb297ed… |